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SoTier

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Everything posted by SoTier

  1. I think your idea has some merit, but Doug Pederson is not the candidate to put forward for it. I'm especially concerned that both Wentz and Lawrence regressed under his coaching. It's entirely possible that they're both just not very good, but Lawrence's decline this past season says that Pederson is not particularly effective.
  2. What, exactly, has Pederson done since he won the SB after the 2017 season to warrant consideration for the job "assistant HC" on any team, much less the Bills? In his 8 years as a HC, his teams have made the playoffs exactly once, 2017. Pederson had the #2 overall pick in Philly in QB Carson Wentz. He had the #1 overall pick in Jax in QB Trevor Lawrence. Both QBs' play declined the longer they played for Pederson. IMO, Pederson caught lightning in a bottle in 2017 when he won the SB with a backup QB on a gadget play. Big pass.
  3. I'm recovering. This is the first time I've been back to TBD. I tried to watch GMFB yesterday but bailed when the Chiefs were mentioned. Right now, I don't want to hear/read/see anything about the Chiefs. I think I hate them right now in a way that I haven't hated a team since I hated the 70s Fins.
  4. Exprienced HCs frequently also wore GM hats in "the old days". Lou Saban, Don Shula, and Bill Parcells were three who came to mind. More like an unsprouted seed.
  5. I watched that segment with Cam, and I disagree with your assessment. Based on all the complaints I heard here about Cam, I expected him to diss Allen. He didn't do that at all. He questioned Allen's teammates -- can they make the big plays when needed -- but he praised Allen. He obviously sees Allen positively but the Bills team as not so great, especially compared to the Chiefs. Maybe you shouldn't be such a Cam hater so you can actually hear what he said rather than putting a negative spin on everything he says.
  6. I think all the posters who think that a OC/DC should jump at the first HC position offered him are thinking short term. New Orleans isn't a good landing spot for a coordinator aiming to become a HC because the lack of a good QB, an aging roster, and bad cap situation could very well spell FAIL for any HC much less a first time HC. If a HC in his first gig fails, he may not get a second chance. If a coordinator is on a really good team, he might do better waiting for a better opportunity in the next hiring cycle. Brady has to weigh his options. If his heart is in Louisiana (including his family's sentiments), then accepting the Saints job is probably a no-brainer. If Brady isn't emotionally tied to Louisiana, the decision needs to be more analytical. Ben Johnson waited and got the perfect situation. Bobby Slowik didn't get a HC gig in the last hiring cycle and got fired during the current one. Of course, Johnson proved his high-powered offense wasn't a one and done while Slowik failed miserably.
  7. The OL is significantly better, too, in both pass pro and run blocking. McGovern at C is better than Morse, and Brown has developed into a stud at RT. In listening to the media, it seems that most analysts haven't even considered the Bills running game being a weapon at all. If they could run against the Ravens, they can probably run against the Chiefs unless Spagnulo is willing to sell out to stop the run.
  8. I'm sure that the NFL has a market research company regularly conduct surveys that capture fans' opinions on most of the topics on the list.
  9. It became predictable because the Fins built a team that used running as an afterthought because Shula believed his great QB and 2 great WRs (Mark Clayton, Mark Duper) could beat anybody. Forty years later, the current iteration of the Fins are built the same way with Tua, Hill and Waddle ... and they're having similar results again against a more balanced Bills team. The posters complaining about the Bills game plan against the Ravens and/or complaining that the Bills aren't taking advantage of Allen's talent by passing more are making the same mistake that Don Shula made 40 years ago: you don't try to throw the ball all over the field just because you have a great QB. The Bills are not "wasting" Allen's talent by running more than passing against a particular opponent as long as they win the game. The whole point of playing football games is to outscore opponents not to win statistical battles, especially in the post season! Marino set all kinds of passing records by the time he retired, but he only made a single Super Bowl and lost it. The other two great QBs from the 1983 draft class, John Elway and Jim Kelly, made nine trips to the Super Bowl with Elway winning two Lombardis. The Bills need to have 1 more point than the Chiefs on the scoreboard at 00:00 on Sunday night. I don't care if the score is 38-37 or 10-9. If they do that, there's no "wasting" of anybody's talent. Not Josh Allen's, not Von Miller's, not Amari Cooper's, not DaQuan Jones' ... not Joe Andreessen's or Ray Davis'.
  10. I give a thumbs down to the idea. For starters, a QB on the level of Allen or Mahomes counts for 2 or 3 blue chips at least. Having blue chip players on the OL and DL is probably more effective than having blue chip players scattered around the roster. Having quality backups is also really important. I think that coaching counts, too.
  11. A couple of takes from GMFB today on the Glenn hiring: Akbar: How will Rodgers react to Glenn? Will Rodgers try to undermine Glenn? (My interpretation of this is: that's what Rodgers did to Saleh). Kyle: This move sounds like a rehash of previous coaching changes. It's nice that Parcels endorsed Glenn, but Parcels has been out of football for 15 years and out of coaching for more than 20. This seems like a move to placate disgruntled fans. (My interpretation of this is: sell tix and merchandise).
  12. IIRC, it wasn't just that teams forced Miami to pass, but that Don Shula believed that he didn't need a running game to win because Marino was so great, so he NEVER gave Marino a solid running game ... and Marino never got back to the SB after losing Super Bowl XIX after the 1984 season, under Shula or his successors.
  13. The Ravens had real problems in pass defense in the first half of the season, but they changed some schemes and personnel in the second half of the season that enabled them to significantly improve their pass defense. The Bills forced the Ravens to make every effort to stop their running. Largely abandoning the run in the 2nd half would have been exactly what the Ravens wanted them to do. Do you think that the Bills chose the game plan they did in Week 4 in an attempt to make up for not having Milano, Bernard, and Johnson on defense? I'm on record that I think the Ravens were absolutely a far worse match up for the Bills than the Chiefs ever were or currently are, but you've really given me a new perspective on the Bills vs Ravens match up. Certainly the Bills never looked over-matched in this game.
  14. Did the Bills not have success running the ball in the first half? Three rushing TDs and a 21-10 lead suggests that they did. The Ravens sold out to stop the run in the second half. Given that they had an 11 point lead and the weather, the Bills chose to play it safe in the 2nd half rather than try to pass downfield a lot. Moreover, some of the second half plays that failed were audibles, so they weren't part of the game plan.
  15. Exactly. The Bills' offensive and defensive game plans are tailored specifically for their current opponent, so each game plan is different. Sometimes the offense and/or defense look similar from game to game because of the opponents have similar weaknesses and strength. The Bills are not going to play the same kind of offense and defense against KC as they did against Baltimore because KC isn't Baltimore. This is the Bills overriding philosophy for every game, and it absolutely works. It means every game requires game plans constructed to exploit each opponent's specific strengths and weaknesses while minimizing stupid plays and mistakes. Too many posters don't understand this. IMO, Allen and the OL are the Bills deadliest offensive weapons because the Bills can run or pass. When opponents sell out to stop the run, the Bills can counter by passing.
  16. I think that if you asked any NFL HC, he'd consider forcing a turnover to be better than forcing a punt. Exactly this! I figured that the only chance that the Bills had was to lay a 40-burger on them, which no team did all season. Since the Ravens beat the Bills 35-10 in late September, they went 11-3 with two score or more wins in 7 of them, including playoff teams Buccaneers, Broncos, Steelers (2 x), and Texans. They also beat the Commanders and Chargers. They embarrassed division rival Steelers' defense in the WC round. The Ravens also rolled up 200+ yard rushing games 7 times during the season and playoffs, including against the Bills in September and in their previous 4 games before Sunday. In fact, in the WC game against Pittsburgh, they ran for 299 yards. Furthermore, holding Derrick Henry to < 100 is a key to beating the Ravens. In the Bills loss to the Ravens in September, Henry ran for 199 yards. Henry ran for < 100 9 times including the 2 playoff games. The Ravens lost 6 of those games, including the Divisonal round game Sunday. They also had 2 wins by 1 point and an OT FG over the Bengals when Henry failed to run for 100 yards or more. I think that in the context of the way the Ravens had played prior to the Divisional game, the Bills defense did an excellent job. The Ravens were a terrible match up for the Bills defense, but the Bills evened the odds by forcing turn overs. Actually, while Lamar was careless with the ball, he was also trying to get free from Hamlin who had him by the leg IIRC. It was a classic example of a player fumbling when fighting to get a few more yards.
  17. McDermott and Babich have taken a bunch of lemons and made some tasty lemonade. I don't think that there's anyone who believes that the Bills have a particularly talented defense, but they are probably one of the best coached defenses in the NFL this year. I don't care that the Ravens didn't punt on Sunday because 3 of their drives resulted in turn overs which yielded 10 of the Bills 27 points. Moreover, the Bills defense has regularly forced take aways all season and have done it against the best teams they've played including the Chiefs (2) and Lions (1) as well as the Ravens (3).
  18. You only "take a big swing and draft a more dynamic quarterback" if there's actually such a potential QB in the draft who might be available. From all accounts, this upcoming QB crop doesn't have many great prospects, plus a lot of QB-hungry teams at the very top of the draft order unlikely to pass on a QB.
  19. They have either struggled to throw downfield or haven't attempted to pass downfield for much of the last half of the season despite having AJ Brown and Devonta Smith. Even before Hurts was injured in the third quarter, all their passing was within a few yards of the LOS. I think that Brown had 1 catch yesterday.
  20. What your chart shows is that Tua plays in a very different offense than Josh Allen does. Tua primarily hits his designated receiver or his first read or he throws a check down. He doesn't scramble often. Those are the types of plays where's the biggest differences between Allen and Tua. I would characterize Tua's style as dependent upon timing and precision while Allen plays a much more ad-lib style in which he's most dangerous on broken plays. I doubt that Tua could play in an Allen-style offense because he's not robust enough, but I'm not sure that Allen would play nearly as well in a very scripted offense because it wouldn't take advantage of all his talents. The chart doesn't "prove" anything about which QBs are "better" or more successful. The acknowledged best QBs in the NFL are scattered all over this list: Burrow is #1, Allen is #8, Lamar is #14, and Mahomes is #19.
  21. I was shocked when I saw Earl Morrall's name on the list. I remembered him only as Johnny Unitas' backup who started Super Bowl III for the Baltimore Colts and lost to the Jests under Joe Namath (he started all 14 games that season and Baltimore went 13-1). In 1970, he only started 1 game but led the Colts to a win in SB V. In 1972, he started most of the games for Miami in their perfect season and won Super Bowl VII. The next year he won Super Bowl VIII with Miami again despite having started only 1 game. Morrall started in the NFL in 1956, so he was in his 13th season when he lost in Super Bowl III. He finally retired in 1976 after 21 seasons and winning 3 SBs while coming off the bench to replace his team's starting QB. The greatest "Super Sub" of all time.
  22. I agree totally. I thought maybe I was grossed out by all these commercials simply because I'm old and somewhat out of touch with modern personal hygiene. Absolutely. Until a few years ago when that first all body deodorant showed up, none of us realized we all stunk to high heaven. I think the next "big thing" we will be told we need is one-use paper towels to dry our faces because cloth towels may contain "bacteria" that these special paper towels will protect us from. I find your "theory" to be nonsense. It's based on nostalgia for the past and a lot of the bull manure that infests social media. A handful of weirdos who oppose sensible personal hygiene habits or don't wash their clothes regularly do not necessarily represent all young men -- or young women. Modern washers and modern detergents work just fine when used correctly, including sanitizing without using bleach. That's why washers come with manuals and detergents with "instructions for use". I don't know how old you are, but you sound like an old blowhard of about my age who views the "good old days" through rose-colored glasses. When I was a kid, dads didn't do a lot of teaching of personal hygiene to their sons except maybe shaving, probably because they didn't know all that much. In fact, dads frequently back then had little to do with their kids, boys or girls, until they were adolescents. It was all up to the moms. Another reality check is that Home Economics was seldom a required subject for high school graduation. Furthermore, back in the day, only girls took home economics classes while boys were relegated to shop or auto mechanics classes. Moreover, Home Economics generally morphed from learning how to wash clothes and make beds into "practical living" courses in the 1970s, so we've been stinking because of badly washed clothes for half a century and didn't know it until some advertising agency told us "the truth". I find people in general who don't wash themselves or their hair for days to be gross.
  23. The problem is that Jerry's enjoyment comes from running his team.
  24. Gonzalez doinked the ball off the inside of the goal post and in to give the Commanders the win!!!!!
  25. I think many if not most blow-out games in the NFL are similar to this game: the underdog/lesser team hangs around for the first half or into the third quarter, but eventually the better team exerts its superiority. Just going by the score ignores the fact that the Bills used three long drives to get those 13 points while largely holding the Broncos in check after their first drive TD. Poor Terry is still in mourning for the Stillers. The Ravens may be a bad match up for the Bills but the Bills are a bad matchup for the Ravens as well. The Ravens finished the season with 4 straight blow out wins against the Giants, the Stealers, the Texans, and the Browns. The Giants and Browns are both drafting in the top five. and the Steelers and Texans limped into the playoffs, playing poorly on both sides of the ball but especially on offense. The last time that the Ravens played a quality team that was playing well was when they lost to the Eagles, 24-19 on December 1. The Eagles, like the Bills, have both a strong running and a strong passing game as well as an outstanding OL. The Eagles have a better defense than the Bills but Jalen Hurts isn't nearly as dangerous as Josh Allen. The Steelers team the Ravens beat yesterday has had issues scoring in the red zone all season, and they were terrible on defense as well. They were a shadow of what they were earlier in the season. The Bills were on their game today on both sides of the ball. If the Bills bring their A game next week, the Ravens are in for a tough game.
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