SoTier
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Somebody upthread wrote that he thought the Bills were in the Ravens' heads. I don't think that it's the Bills in the Ravens' heads; it's the Ravens in their own heads, including Harbaugh's. In critical games against good teams, especially in the playoffs, the Ravens seem to be their own worst enemy. Lamar fumbles and/or throws interceptions. Reliable veteran receivers drop what should be easy catches. Henry, who hardly ever fumbles, fumbles. Harbaugh, who's actually a great coach, makes questionable play calls that give their opponents second or even third chances.
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This is how I look at it, too. Two things to keep in mind about week 1 defenses: NFL defenses are tailored to specific opponents but in Week 1 defenses are working off last season's offenses, which may have changed significantly with changes in coaching and personnel. Most NFL teams play their starters relatively few snaps in pre-season, so veteran defenders don't play too much, and starting units may hardly play together at all. Years ago, it was always said that the defenses tended to be ahead of the offenses early in the season. I think this has reversed in modern NFL because the defenses are so much more sophisticated than they were even a decade ago that it takes defenses more playing time to get up to speed than they get in preseason. I also don't think that the Bills are going to face a tougher offense than the Ravens' this regular season. The Ravens can easily have the best running game in the NFL paired with a top five passing game led by a QB who can also run like a RB. Even teams like the Eagles don't present quite the challenge of the Ravens. If the Bills defense fails against a team like the Jests, then it's time to start worrying, but this week, enjoy the win.
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Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory games
SoTier replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
Wide Right. Music City Miracle. 13 Seconds. -
9/7/25 Other games chat (Around the League)
SoTier replied to RobbRiddick's topic in The Stadium Wall
Colts up 16-0 over Fish. Giants got stopped on 4th and goal but get new downs with a defensive penalty. -
9/7/25 Other games chat (Around the League)
SoTier replied to RobbRiddick's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bryce Young certainly improved after his benching last season, so it's very possible for him to make another big jump this season, too. I think the Panthers needed to improve their defense, and if they've done that, they could be in the mix to make the playoffs if Tampa stumbles. -
9/7/25 Other games chat (Around the League)
SoTier replied to RobbRiddick's topic in The Stadium Wall
Why the hate for Shedeur Sanders? Did he ask for all the media speculation about him going #1 in the draft? I think he's dealt with the reality very well. Hate on his dad if you've got to hate. If the coaching staff and FO listen to fans, then they deserve to be fired. -
The KC Vs Chargers game implications for the Bills
SoTier replied to BigAl2526's topic in The Stadium Wall
If you feel this way, why do you bother posting on TSW, Nostradamus? I think this game's implication for the Bills is that it sets the Chiefs behind all the other contenders in the AFC and in the AFCW in particular. The Chiefs are going to be hurting for the next 5-6 weeks at WR because of Rice's suspension and Worthy's injury. Poor OL play hampered the Chiefs' passing game last year, and even if they've added some young talent, it's going to take time for the youngsters to get their feet. The Chiefs next two opponents are the Eagles and Ravens. They could start 0-3, and only 4 teams (about 2.5%-2.7%) have made the playoffs after starting 0-3 since 1990. Since 1990, 25% of teams starting 1-2 have made the playoffs. If the Broncos and/or Chargers can capitalize on KC's early weaknesses and tough schedule, the Chiefs could be down 2 games to one or both before the halfway mark of the season. That might be enough to put them scrambling for a WC slot rather than for the division. Wild card teams can't get home field unless they face another WC team. -
9/7/25 Other games chat (Around the League)
SoTier replied to RobbRiddick's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm going to enjoy watching Red Zone today. Steelers vs Jests is Rodgers vs Fields in Met Life. I have NFL Gameday Morning on. They are really trying to talk up Fields. IMO, the only reason anybody cares about Fields is because he was such a high draft pick. Mariucci (I think) was talking about how Fields has improved every year. Unfortunately, that improvement hasn't been significant enough to make Fields a good QB. It's likely to be raining during at least the first half which I think favors Pitt. I think the Stillers win because they're simply a better team than the J-E-S-T-S. I'm most interested in Fishies vs Colts at Lucas Oil, Titans vs Broncos in Mile High and Giants vs Commanders in Northwest in Landover. I want to see how Sam Darnold and Geno Smith look with new teams, and get a look at JJ McCarthy. Cleveland's DL vs Cinci's OL seems likely to determine the Brownies' fate in this game. If Garrett and Co can get after Burrow, they have a chance. Last year that Bengals' OL was pretty shaky, and they didn't do much to improve it. Especially with the game in Met Life! -
The Worthy Trade Keeps Looking Worse and Worse
SoTier replied to Bills Costa Rica's topic in The Stadium Wall
So, maybe Tyreek would have gone in the 3rd or 4th round. Worthy isn't another Tyreek. He's just a small fast WR. The problems the Chiefs had with their OL probably limited their ability to throw downfield as much any lack of downfield threats, so I think that probably affected Worthy's yards per catch. Mahomes frequently didn't have time to let long downfield plays develop. That crappy OL play really bit the Chiefs in the arse in the SB because the Eagles D didn't give Mahomes to hit short passes until the game was out of reach. -
The Worthy Trade Keeps Looking Worse and Worse
SoTier replied to Bills Costa Rica's topic in The Stadium Wall
Tyreek was a fifth round pick. Day three is where small but fast guys tend to go. Big but fast guys are much harder to find, which is why they tend to go Day 1 or Day2. If Mahomes had had better protection last February, the Chiefs might have had their "threepeat" but they didn't, and all of Worthy's fancy SB stats were meaningless. -
The Worthy Trade Keeps Looking Worse and Worse
SoTier replied to Bills Costa Rica's topic in The Stadium Wall
They didn't have "the luxury of drafting a player with a limited skillset" in the first round. They needed another every down WR plus a better OT than they had as well some youth on their DL. They were desperate to add another speed demon like Tyreek, so they were willing to overlook Worthy's negatives to get that speed. -
The Worthy Trade Keeps Looking Worse and Worse
SoTier replied to Bills Costa Rica's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm not particularly a follower of Swift's personal life, but the article's description of the some of Swift's traits/behaviors do suggest that she may very well be somewhere on the Autism Spectrum. Autism isn't a new mental disorder -- it was first recognized by a psychiatrist in 1943 -- although it was only recognized by the American Psychiatric Association as a mental disorder in 1980. It wasn't until 2013 that the APA officially recognized that several disorders with overlapping symptoms were related and consolidated those under "Autism Spectrum Disorder". Many very creative or successful people exhibit traits that could be evidence of ASD. Some historians think that the great artist Vincent Van Gogh could have suffered from ASD. Having attended the VanGogh immersive experience that came to Buffalo several years ago, I think it's a plausible explanation for Van Gogh's genius as well as his rather chaotic personal life. -
The Worthy Trade Keeps Looking Worse and Worse
SoTier replied to Bills Costa Rica's topic in The Stadium Wall
What "victory parade"? It depends upon the nature of the injury. There's less correlation between size/weight and non-contact injuires or injuries caused by a player hitting the ground than between size/weight and injuries caused by collisions. -
The Worthy Trade Keeps Looking Worse and Worse
SoTier replied to Bills Costa Rica's topic in The Stadium Wall
Coleman was a full participant on Friday. Worthy collided with Kelce early in the game on Friday and didn't play again. He's going to have an MRI on his shoulder to determine the severity of the injury. -
Isaiah Likely to be out for the Bills Ravens game.
SoTier replied to BigAl2526's topic in The Stadium Wall
So bad!!!!!! 😄 -
Checking in on Culture-Building in Miami...
SoTier replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
I disagree. It's not the city/market culture that creates the kind of team culture that produces winning teams. A winning team starts with the ownership who sets the entire atmosphere because he hires the GM who usually but not always hires the HC. The HC is the guy who is probably the most influential in turning a collection of guys, from superstars to practice squad players, into a team. The Rams, Eagles, Niners, and Bucs are all regularly successful teams located in large metros. -
You are missing the point that @finn made that when 2 teams are closely matched, luck/chance becomes much more influential than normal. I'm not talking about how the game was tied, but that it was tied, and that winning the coin flip gave KC the first crack at winning the game. KC couldn't stop the Bills any more than the Bills could stop the Chiefs in that game. The way they were playing, the coin toss for OT was much more important than it might have been in any other game that season. The game wasn't tied because the teams had failed to score in the second half, but because each team scored almost at will during the last few minutes of the fourth quarter.
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There's no better example of the outsized role luck (probability) plays in a football game between closely matched team than the 13-seconds game. Neither team could stop the other. The Chiefs won the coin toss, and the Bills never got to touch the ball. If the Bills had won the coin toss, they were likely to go to the Super Bowl.
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Teams regularly work out kickers. They want to see what the kickers who are available can do "just in case" they have need of one, so I'm not sure if there's any real significance to these workouts.
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The Dollar Tree used to be "everything is a dollar" but a few years ago they raised their price to $1.25. I haven't shopped there in a couple of months, so they may well have gone up to $1.50 by now.
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As others have said, Clark was only available because the Packers wanted Parsons. If the Packers had been interested in trading Clark before they had a chance at Parsons, they would have traded him months or weeks ago. How do you know that Clark would be better than any of the Bills current DTs -- or even fit the Bills defense? I've heard him described as a nose tackle while the Bills use 1-tech and 3-tech DTs. Today's defenses are much more complex than in the past, so an excellent player in one type of defense might not do so well in another. Oh, yeah, and stop using every opportunity to instruct Brandon Beane on how to do his job.
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Back in the 1960s, my parents said the Beatles would never last, too. Taylor has already been around for almost 20 years, releasing her first hit, "Tim McGraw" in 2006, so I wouldn't bet against her
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Are you saying that the Grateful Dead had a cult following? 😲 According to an expert post upthread, fan cults are a recent phenomenon, apparently starting with Taylor Swift.
