SCBills

Nevada is doing a bang up job eliciting confidence today. Clarke County officials snapping at reporters Washoe County, not to be outdone..

THIS 👏🏼 IS 👏🏼 WHAT 👏🏼 DEMOCRACY 👏🏼 LOOKS 👏🏼 LIKE 👏🏼 If you would’ve just renewed your NYT and WaPo subscriptions, you’d realize that this is totally normal and counting all the ballots in a timely manner is what the Russian bots want.

I don’t know that a ton of judgment can be made on one game if they come out and struggle offensively. Would be notable if they come out and look competent to good.. -If a running game is established. -If skill players have defined roles. It’s not just deep shots and reluctant check downs. Not that it would be a criticism or Allen or Dorsey, but maybe there is “move the chains” talent and hyper-aggressiveness is a detriment at times.

Statistical impossibility.

"We all went to Josh's house after the game and I didn't even know anything was wrong..." That's quite interesting...

This reads as opinion. Gay Marriage opps is so 1990’s So much so that gay white men are aligning more and more with conservatives because they’ve become “straight adjacent”.

Betting markets now favor Cortez-Masto over Laxalt. Not going to do anything to quell the side eyes some have when even Jon Ralston, who is an expert level on Nevada politics as it gets, looked at the remaining ballots last night and said it’s a long shot for her to come back and defeat Laxalt. For the record, I don’t believe shady ish goes on to the level to fraudently deny someone an election they otherwise would have won. I do think they invite the attacks and criticism when elections drag on for days/weeks and vote totals are released like molasses. Especially when the vote totals start countering trends. ‘20 made sense as outstanding vote totals were known to be from heavy Dem areas. Nevada and Arizona both have been analyzed via trends and where/when vote remaining is to be counted as the election workers take their time - and have been shown to be likely wins for Laxalt, Lombardo and Lake. Masters more of a long shot. Yet now, out of nowhere, Laxalt flips and Nevada says this likely will go into next week. Ok….

Every election has “some” fraud. It’s baked in. The pandemic gaslighting of it being the safest, most secure election ever is a joke.. It was not. There was a baseline of fraud, like there always is, but that baseline affected more votes due to the covid procedures. Does that mean Trump lost due to voter fraud and/or Dominion computers? No, it doesn’t. That being said, if the following election, our gov’t wanted to continue the deterioration of voter confidence, they would do what Nevada and Arizona are doing right now. It’s completely unacceptable to have the equipment breakdowns Arizona had, and then have two mid-sized states struggle this badly with counting ballots.

R's, if serious about dethroning DJT, have to limit the primary to a few people. If it's another Royal Rumble, that's how he gets through. People like Larry Hogan, who think the midterm results were a calling for him to run, need not apply. Same for Pence, Pompeo etc. Trump, DeSantis and Youngkin have earned the right to compete for it. There could certainly be others.

It’s evident … the powers that he have moved to DeSantis. Fox has been openly propping up a DeSantis run while suggesting Trump should step aside. Donors are lining up behind DeSantis. Major conservative influencers in social media doing the same. If Trump goes in .. it’s looking like he’s going in with the apparatus behind someone else. Apparently there was a pretty interesting meeting held the night Trump attacked DeSantis .. some notable kingmakers flew into Florida to sit down with DeSantis and his family to gauge if he’s ready for/wants the fight.

Even pollsters admit that polling will likely become a thing of the past as it’s just too expensive to fund when nobody, not just “young people” answers the phone. My parents are around 65, they’d never answer a landline or cell phone call to answer a pollster.

By that same token, I can say Dems position is just as unpopular. Look at the polling, anytime elective abortion is wildly opposed. Let me ask you this.. How long do you believe you can ride the Roe wave? Only so many ballot initiatives you can do, ie Michigan, to save Whitmer. It’s not something you can put in the ballot every election. Eventually states will begin to have settled laws on this. Once that occurs, we either largely move past this, or the conversation shifts from extreme GOP views of full bans to extreme Dem views (which is actually a pillar view) of anytime elective abortion. A position the majority of women even oppose. So, again, it seems Roe saved some races for y’all. Namely Michigan and PA, along with Trump pushing absurd candidates in Oz/Mastriano. I do agree, having R’s, even in ruby red states pushing for full bans, will continue to make abortion a liability for R’s, as that gives something for Dems in other states to point to as, see… they’ll bring that here. R’s would be wise to follow DeSantis/Youngkin … R’s who lean into the culture war on issues like schooling, trans in women sports, corporate DEI etc .. while signing mainstream abortion legislation that provides legal access up to a point with exceptions after. Notice Youngkin, DeSantis, even Kemp remain very popular while having abortion limitations … and in GA, strict limitations. May need to be a bit more lax in northern states, as Dems in PA, MI, WI are far more progressive than Southern Dems.

R’s carry married men by 20%.. Married women by 14%.. Single men by 7%.. while Dems bank on single women to carry them to the tune of 37%. If those numbers comfort you while R’s make inroads heavy into the Hispanic communities and a few percentage points with black men, so be it. At some point you’ll have to confront a GOP not beholden to your saving grace, Trump .. luckily for you that may not be anytime soon.

You have a lot to say for someone simping for a party that lost seats in NY, lost the VA Gov last election, will lose the House, potentially the Senate (if not now, definitely in ‘24) and has a President that is wildly unpopular. You were saved by abortion in wake of the recent Roe decision and the fact R’s haven’t understood how to run campaigns in the post-covid era. Neither of those issues have heavy staying power.

Nobody is restricting access to non-homicidal birth control. Most allow you to murder a baby up to 15 weeks. Admittedly, R’s don’t have much to offer the youngest generation. They’re never going to appeal to easily manipulated Tik Tok climate doomers or provide govt handouts. They need to realize that once they get married, they’ll likely win them over and focus heavy on Hispanics (typically the social antithesis to young voters) to fill the gap.

Dems nominated a potato and had the race won before a debate. R’s can either adapt and just go machine vs machine to the point where we just cast a digital vote for our party regardless of candidate or burn down the system built up during covid and restore some trust in the process.

R’s need to take a machete to covid era voting procedures when and where they can. Absolutely absurd to have months of early voting, followed by days/weeks of ballot counting. End result for the “threat to democracy” folks… Every single election becomes Rep machine vs Dem Machine. Candidates don’t matter. Could be a potato. You have a ballot in your hand 45 days before the election. You probably haven’t heard a debate, the way we’re going, you won’t hear one anyway. You know next to nothing about the candidates. You simply fill in your tribal leanings and put it in the mail. Whoever activates more of their voters in the race wins. And then nobody trusts it, because the results don’t come down until 5 days after the election .. 50 days after you cast your ballot for candidate X that has your political affiliation next to their name.

You stated every American, not every voter. Not every American is a voter, and plenty don’t turn out because of the state they live in / apathy to cast a vote that doesn’t matter. That distorts national pop vote, just like your example of uncontested/non-competitive races does in downplaying R’s having wave level pop vote margins as if it’s different. It’s basically like Hillary winning the pop vote by +3 but Trump winning the election. She underperformed, but mainly experienced some bad luck in tight margin races…. Lost, and Dems all ranted about pop vote.

Yes, because people in NY, Cali, TX etc don’t just stay home because their state is always in the bag. That’s not any different than what you just pointed out.

Im pretty sure Republicans, at least as of a few hours ago, were up in the House popular vote in numbers that would indicate a wave, but the allocation of vote for them didn’t line up in the right races. Isnt pop vote the default excuse when y’all lose?

Maricopa really has the audacity to announce a vote drop at 8 pm EST, and after all the nonsense they’re mired in, STILL be - now - 45 minutes late on the drop..

This guy is a Stacey Abrams level voter registration machine for R’s. Seems like he had his finger on the pulse. (Sept 5th)

Some of us wonder if there’s enough talent on offense to not be 98.3% dependent upon Josh Allen. It’s easy to be dependent when he’s out there and healthy, because he is likely the best player in the entire league… especially when he’s on. However, we go through ebbs where that doesn’t work…and maybe, just maybe, we have to get back to basics. Do we have a running game if we actually need to have a running game? Do we have WR’s worth a crap after Diggs when the QB isn’t a guy who wants to throw lasers and bombs all game? What is the deal with Knox? Where did Morris go? How does Hines fit in? Can Cook be a weapon if we need him to be a weapon for an average QB? All questions we’ll see answered … good, bad or meh…. And maybe those are things we can learn from when Allen comes back.

Boebert’s demise was apparently greatly exaggerated