transplantbillsfan

That Taylor throws less to the middle of them other QBs in the NFL is pretty much fact. That it's his weakness in the sense that he's just not good at doing it is, on the other hand, debatable. In a lot of ways I think it was offense of design. When Taylor through to the middle especially in 2016, he excelled. I'm really looking forward to an offense that focuses more on those short crossing routes.

Well... evidently Taylor's one of the biggest reasons he's interested. So, there's that

Thurm, you obviously know that was a typo on my part. And that's my bad. Less than 90 seconds in the fourth quarter on that touchdown to Clay. And it should've been less than 90 seconds in the game, but racks and the defense of course just let him down. I'm sorry, you're just wrong about that Clay pass against New England. It would have been a great catch. But it's an NFL catch. And it was an even better throw. Clay just couldn't track the football. I've watch that played many many times at this point. I have still images on my computer of that play with the ball hitting him and his finger. But Clay just couldn't track the ball and get his hands in the right place. And you're right, all QBs have their players drop footballs. And there are websites that track drops. The problem is, those 13 or 14 or whatever they are drops don't match up with what I think most of us sauce should have been caught passes. Maybe somewhere labeled as passes defense. Maybe some more just labeled as in completions. But most of those charts use the NFL official game log in order to chart of them. But I know from having gone through those things many many times, they aren't always very accurate. Cian Fahey watched every single snap and pass and tracked all of them and generated a number of really interesting stats based on watching all of the quarterbacks in the NFL, not just one of them. And yes, his eyes are subjectivize. But at least they are subjectivize that watched every single quarterback, not just one. That's been your major flaw in more than one of your arguments about Taylor. You need to compare, not just watch Taylor and come up with your own arbitrary a valuation based on whatever your own expectations are. Anyway, regarding those "drops" what he found was that Taylor's receivers had the fourth highest "failed reception" percentage among all quarterbacks in the NFL. And they had the 20th highest "created reception" percentage in the NFL. You want to dismiss his findings, that's fine. Go come up with your own numbers. Watch all the plays for all the quarterbacks and to get back to me with what you find. I'll trust your integrity. This isn't me saying that we should trust the findings of one guy completely. But I'll tell you this, without even looking at those findings from Fahey, it sure seemed like Taylor's receivers were not doing him any favors in 2016. Just drop this middle third Crusade already. It's ridiculous. And I'm not the only one here who's responded to you with that sentiment. Still haven't found a single reference to the middle third of the field made by a coach or NFL GM or executive or probably even an NFL player, have you? Yeah, that's because NFL coaches and players don't divide the field up and thirds The way random arrogant message board guy does. I give you actual evidence of the field being divided in the fifths and you just yuck it up. That's to be expected from you since you just like to ignore reality. But whatever, you'll ignore or go off on a tangent or do something rather than just admit that you're wrong since you're incapable of doing that. I endorse this post. You're still being silly. But whatever I grow tired of people who quibble with even bringing a quarterback's name into the same sentence as another quarterback. What a cliché and a bit of a weak out to a discussion. Brees and Rivers are clearly better quarterbacks than Taylor. and you're being silly for even implying that I am saying Taylor is as good as they are. It's silliness at its sloppiest.

Does "I think you're dreaming on the stats" mean that those stats would be good enough for you? It's a simple yes or no question Did you just quote and respond to yourself?

You're just talking bubbles now. Tell me specifically what it is he needs to do. He made place in the clutch this year. He was incredibly clutch against Seattle. That throw to the woods on third and 20 something is a pass that is literally is clutch as you get. He got screwed by refs and many other things in that game. He threw a touchdown pass on fourth down to Clay to go ahead against Miami with less than 90 seconds in the last game he played. Again, pretty damn clutch. And in that same game in overtime he made critical throws to extend A drive that should have been a game-winning drive before his offense of coordinator called one of the dumbest reverse plays to Reggie bush losing 8 yards after McCoy I lost 2 yards on first down. and Carpenter was still left with a very makeable field goal that he missed. In the second game against new England he threw a gorgeous 50 yard bomb that hit Clay on the hands that he just couldn't bring in. In the same game against new England he throws a beautiful 20 to 25 yard throws to Brandon Tate that he just flat out drops. Against Pittsburgh on a third and fairly short he throws the ball to a wide-open Sammy, and Sammy drops the football. It was even ruled a catch. That's how wide open he was. I don't think the refs could believe that he dropped the ball. But he did and he knew it. I can point out please and instances where he does the things that you state. What needs to happen? 4000 yards passing with 30 TDs and less than 10 and interceptions? Or are you tying everything to wins and losses? And if that's the case, what happens if our defense becomes elite but Taylor please even worse than he did in 2016? The team played well and made the playoffs and maybe even wins A game or two. The truth is I think that if Taylor has a good season with over 4000 yards passing, around 30 passing touchdowns and roughly 10 interceptions, he will inevitably be back in Buffalo. At that point, you know that he will also add roughly 500 yards rushing and somewhere between two and six rushing touchdowns. And that's a pretty damn good season for a quarterback. I expect if that's his season, the record will follow, and this team will be in the playoffs. If they aren't, then something went down hill with the coaching staff and or the defense and or the special teams. But Taylor will still be back.

Ummm... yes? Are you trying to verify that I posted that or are you trying to have a conversation? Yes, I posted that. Conversation to follow? Dude, I am no technological savant, but I understand how to use the "function on the message board. It's really not that hard. Please take all of us up on that offer to help

I read it. Is this one of those random tangent posts complaining in general about how the team needs to win before you can say anything at all about it? You made that comment in a thread about Taylor. And it was after some discussion about stats regarding Taylor. Sure seemed like you were upset about people bringing in stats and you wanted to bring your own two eyes into play. Yes, I read your post. Maybe you just needed to vent. But it was at best a tangent to the topic being discussed. Or at worst, It was a horrible conclusion about QBs and wins. I'm sorry for thinking the worst of you. Clearly I was misguided and should have just realize you needed to vent about the team the way so many Bills fans need to.

Huh?!

Ummm... what?

This doesn't tell me much. He does all of those things. I could point to multiple plays for every one of your criteria that you set forth. My guess is you're going to say she doesn't do it enough. That's the easy way out for a lot of you. It's the old "eye test" thing. How often does he need to do these things, 100% of the time? 75% of the time? 50% of the time? If you truly believe that even the greatest quarterbacks of all time do those things 100% of the time let's just end this conversation because it's ridiculous belief. So, instead, give me your tangible criteria that we can see and somehow quantify that will get you behind the Buffalo Bills starting quarterback for 2018 QB if he continues with that job.

So he goes from Cardale Jones (Cardale Jones Cardale Jones) to talking about Ohio state to gushing on about how he played the game to talking about the Miami Hurricanes as though he was on the team to... well, geez, I don't know where he's going to go next. But this might be the best hijacking of a thread that I've ever seen. Noogie, simple question for you, what does Taylor need to do to win your affection?

How many does he have? Better yet, how many Fourth-quarter come from behind victories does Aaron Rodgers have against any team with a winning record at the end of the year? The answer to the second question is two. As for the first question, Rodgers has come back in the 4th quarter in 7% of his games over the span of his career. Taylor has in 6.9% of his career games.

See... these leaps to conclusions are apparently just inevitable here. So silly...

BWAHAHAHAHA!!!!

Clutch is overblown and overrated. It's great to have, but you don't need to have it to be great. See Aaron Rodgers. And I bet after I just posted his name you're immediately jumping to a single pass or a single play like the third down beauty that one the Dallas game in the playoffs. But the simple fact is, Aaron Rodgers really doesn't come from behind in the fourth quarter, with the game-winning drives. He's done it about as much as Taylor over the span of their careers, by percentage. And now someone's going to assume I'm comparing Taylor to Rogers and sayings somehow that Taylor is comparable in terms of how good he is. At least he used the quote function correctly there, right?

First of all, how did you get those numbers? Did you take both 2015 and 2016 and do math to come up with numbers he'd get with 35 passes per game? Or did you just take one of those years, and if so which one? Secondly, if he has those numbers I also assume he's going to get about the 500 yards and for the six rushing touchdowns he's gotten over the last two years as well? Those numbers could be a little higher or a little lower, but we all know Taylor is going to get a good amount of yards and at least a few touchdowns on the ground. If he starts all 16 games and get those Numbers and the team has a competent defense, I expect we'll make the playoffs and Taylor will be re-signed to a long term more stable deal.

I guess you think Philip Rivers and Drew Brees suck also?

Sorry, I really wasn't trying to be a buzz kill. I discovered that website last year when I was curious about the same subject. I think they just go through all of the ESPN sports and aggregate the data. There's other interesting stuff in there, too.

It breaks it down into less than 3 yards, 3 to 7 yards, 8+ yards. Taylor ranks as followson those passing plays where he does not scramble (which in all probability would actually increase his percentage since he such an effective scrambler... he was 10/16 on such plays on 3rd down in 2015): 3rd and short- 10th (16 plays) 3rd and medium-27th (51 plays) 3rd and long- 8th (51 plays)

You know the work is already done, right? http://stats.washingtonpost.com/fb/leaders.asp?range=NFL&rank=047&type=Passing&year=

Taylor was 8th in the NFL in third and long conversion percentage on passing plays in 2016.http://stats.washingtonpost.com/fb/leaders.asp?range=NFL&rank=047&type=Passing&year= I can't find the numbers for 2015 at the moment, but I remember distinctly that in 2015 his numbers were even better. That website had the same numbers for 2015, but I can't find a link to those numbers for that year anymore. I probably have it somewhere, but if I recall correctly I think he was about fifth or sixth and third and long conversion percentage on passing plays in 2015. Just think, for example, of that third and 24 or whatever yardage it was against Seattle with Taylor throwing a beauty to Robert Woods on the sideline for a conversion. Taylor is actually a QB you do want on third and long, probably because of the threat of him running as well. In 2015, I know that on passing plays where Taylor tucked the ball and ran (aka: scrambled) he converted 10 out of 16 of those third downs, which would actually increase his third down percentage in 2015 by more than 3% alone if those plays were factored in. It's weird the way perception very often does not match reality when it comes to what Taylor has accomplished or even what he's good at.

Kind of funny you ask this question because Taylor has been one of the best QBs on third and long over the last two years. That's actually a statistical fact.

I disagree about the first two weeks. I'm not saying that they should be disregarded completely, but Roman was fired after a game where the team put up yards and points. The problem in those first two games was that the offense couldn't stay on the field. And yes, Taylor was a part of that for sure. But it's pretty telling that the offense of coordinator was fired, again , After a game where the team put up yards in points. The bills had a 39% three and out percentage in those first two games. And one of those other drives that wasn't a three and out was an interception thrown on third down in Romans "all or nothing" offensive playcalling mentality. It's third and one and in typical Roman fashion he calls it down field throw rather than moving the chains. It's great when it works, but a low percentage play and it turns the ball over to the other team. That was as bad as a three and out if not worse. And that's Roman. All that changed once Lynn came in as the offense of coordinator. And back to the promise of the original post, that's why I believe there's a lot of optimism and Taylor thriving and this West Coast offense.

How what works? Math? I agree. Roman's offense was never a problem. It was his game preparation/planning and play calling. I'm sure that's why he was fired.

Are you drunk? We'll see, but one thing's clear You sure aren't having the first laugh