transplantbillsfan

Awesome!!! Love it!

I want to say thank you for actually trying a similar exercise to see if my assessment of Allen lines up with other similar analyses. There are a few Foxxy pals posting in this thread who just baselessly categorize the analysis as ill-conceived, among other things, when I genuinely wanted them to actually try it themselves and post their conclusions, like you are. But I think some are just more comfortable with strident negativity and the general narrative that Allen is inaccurate.

The moment this series jumped the shark was when John and his men were stranded well beyond the wall and help seemed to arrive minutes later after he sent someone on horseback to travel likely dozens of miles for help. Too much of the last 2 seasons have been completely implausible, including tonight's episode. And honestly, not Martin's fault. It's the fact that HBO apparently hired crappy writers.

No excuses for what? What level do you expect he's required to play at now? This sounds like he must be an All-Pro... or else...

https://theathletic.com/981080/2019/05/17/how-much-better-can-josh-allen-and-the-bills-offense-be-an-analytical-breakdown-heading-into-2019/ How much better can Josh Allen and the Bills’ offense be? An analytical breakdown heading into 2019 By Matthew Fairburn May 17, 2019 Aggressiveness NFL Next Gen Stats tracks aggressiveness as the percentage of throws a quarterback attempts when a receiver has one yard or less of separation from the defender at the time of the completion or incompletion. This is a way to measure how often a quarterback is throwing into tight coverage. Allen finished at 13.8 percent in this category, though the number alone doesn’t correlate to a quarterback’s success. Allen’s percentage was within a decimal point of those of Tom Brady, Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers. Josh Rosen was the most aggressive quarterback in the league last year, and his rookie season was a disaster. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes ranked near the bottom of the league in this metric because his receivers were constantly running open. What this metric does tell us, though, is that Allen, despite having a sub-par group of receivers, wasn’t often throwing into tight coverage. Did he not trust his receivers to make plays on contested catches? Did he not trust what he was seeing? It could be a combination of the two. It would be understandable if Allen was less than confident in the receivers the Bills had. They also went through quite a few receiver combinations throughout the season, and without ideal timing, these tight-window throws aren’t as easy to make. Allen noted that after the team’s Week 16 loss to the Patriots. “It’s all about timing, trust and the relationship that you have with the guys out there,” Allen said. “We’re still relatively new with each other. To go through and play games like that and have opportunities that were so close but slip away, it definitely gives us confidence as we move forward. We’ll work on them and clean those things up, and in no time we’ll be completing those — having trust on depth, on timing in my drop and expecting guys to be where they are and they’re going to be there.” Now that the Bills will have three new receivers, Allen will once again have to establish timing with them. The difference is that he will spend the entire offseason working with the first-team offense and the receiver room shouldn’t have as much turnover as it did a year ago. What matters about this for now at least is that the narrative that Allen needs some kind of Herculean improvement from his 1st to 2nd year in terms of passing accuracy compared to his peers is incorrect. Completion percentage, yes. Accuracy, no.

To go through 11 pages of comments? No. I read some. Seems people feel similarly to the episode and season.

Feelin bullish about this...

I'll bet money on one thing... Dany WON'T end up on the Throne. This episode suddenly turned Dany into Cersei and made Cersei vulnerable. It's just so weird. Regardless, I think Jon clearly saw firsthand what a violent, cold-hearted malicious leader can do. He takes the Throne, or one of the 7 if they're divided up, at the very least.

So I finally had the chance to watch this episode. I haven't read any comments, but I'm really curious as to how people feel about it. To me, while I want to see Khaleesi go down, this just isn't believable (cue the "like Dragons are believable" guy to chime in). Not only did she get all angry at first and start burning down the city, she kept it up for... how long exactly are we supposed to believe? Sure seems like a long time. I wonder how Martin would feel about this. Was this his plan all along? We are watching the supposed rightful heir (up until recently at least) just spiral quickly downwards. And now it'll end predictably with Jon Snow on the throne. It almost just seems obvious. Can we even have Tyrion or Sansa or Arya on the throne? It's almost silly at this point. With that said, it's at least a wildly entertaining silly. I'll miss the show, but it's high point clearly was the Red Wedding. Such a shame it chose to go down such a relatively formulaic path.

Ummm... okay.... relevance?

So as I look at that chart, how are you keeping track of all that? It looks like you've got partially charted seasons for some of those QBs. That's a lot of categories... how are you assuring consistency in the way you grade each one across the categories? That was hard enough for me and I just had 4 categories (Catchable, Uncatchable, Throwaway/Spike, Batted/Tipped pass) to keep track of with the additional Interceptable passes that would fall under any of those 4 categories. And have you been offered money for your study? I'm not trying to be mean, but you might not want to get your hopes too high... in another couple months the interest in discussion of past play in the NFL will all but disappear as we creep into Training Camp and the start of the 2019 season.

It's kind of an angry love... but he just hasn't been able to quit me for years now.

Awwww... you're still enviously stalking me--you still love me!

Except for the fact that you simply can't definitively say that because I highly doubt you actually scrutinized every single pass of every single QB or watched every single Allen pass at least a handful of times. Deep down in your gut, you know that what you're saying is based on just that, your gut.... "this is the national narrative, so it must be true!!!" Come back to me when you've watched every single pass of all those QBs at least once.

First of all, I don't think Danys is a villain. But as far as the remaining protagonists go, she's the last person I want to see on the throne. Tyrion, Arya, Jon Snow, Sansa, THEN Daenerys is the order for me. Tyrion's way ahead of the pack. Arya next, but she's a longshot--though Varys's comments in the last episode about how it might be best to have someone on the throne who doesn't want the throne combined with Arya telling Gendry she's not a Lady and doesn't want to be has me wondering. Jon and Sansa are basically a tie for me. All of them I would like. Like I said before, I hated the Daenerys storyline in the book and it hasn't changed much in the show. All the peripheral characters in her story have always been more interesting. Khal Drogos, Ser Jorah, Greworm, Missandre... I like all these characters more than her. Yes, she suffered, but in the very beginning of the series for a brief time at the hands of her brother, who she had killed, and Khal Drogos, who she fell in love with. Then she walked into a fire and got 3 Dragons. It's not the same as the other characters and I just don't want to see her sitting on the throne at the end. Just my opionion.

Are you doing all games for every QB? What's your methodology? Are you able to post any of your comparative numbers? Sounds interesting... let us know what you come up with!

I honestly wasn't even aware of A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms. I might have to check that one out.

She just has to die a slow and painful death at this point. It'd be such a letdown if she didn't. Are you reading the prequel Martin wrote that came out a few months ago? The one that takes place hundreds of years before GoT and I think centers on the Targaryens? I'm curious about how that book is and whether Martin is making that into a series, too.

The books are written as you might expect, where each chapter (sometimes very long chapter) is dedicated to a particular character. In fact, from what I recall each chapter is actually titled the character who it'll dive into. Any time the story centered around Winterfell, Castle Black, beyond the Wall with the Wildlings, or King's Landing, I loved it. I found it pretty easy reading because of how invested I was in the characters. I really didn't like Dany's storyline in the book and I didn't like her. I've felt the same in the show, too. It's why I hope she dies. But so in the books when it would go to her storyline, I would lose some interest. Part of the reason is because for the first half of the series, she's not in Westeros, so she's largely disconnected from the rest of the storyline and characters. I read the first 3 books in their entirety, bought the 4th book, got maybe halfway through, and stopped. In the 4th book they just started bringing in these new characters when they went to Dorne (I think) and I was already so invested in the others that I was kinda irritated Martin brought in these other distractions from Jon Snow and Tyrion. I also think the 4th book lost some steam much like the series for me because the 3rd book was the Red Wedding, which was also epic and unpredictable in the books. Tyrion's even better in the books. I didn't read far enough to actually get to it, but I know the show left out a really important twist involving Cat Stark... and I wonder why it chose to do that. But honestly, I'll never read the rest of the books and I actually question whether Martin even writes the 7th.

True, but nothing tops killing off Cat and Robb Stark, King of the North... along with his pregnant wife in such a gruesome manner. I don't know if any death even coming up can top that.

Minor character. The death was gruesome, but who cared about that guy?

Nonononononononono... This is a moment where I'll simply encourage you to actually go watch Jackson's snaps with the Ravens and then Allen's with the Bills. Allen was running for his life because of horrible OL play. The VAST majority of his runs and rushing yards came on passing plays. And yes, of course you could find plays where he bailed early, but MOST of them were him making lemonade out of lemons. Jackson, by contrast, was in an offensive system that set him off running on designed runs the vast majority of the time. And even many of his passing plays were getting him on the run rolling out to one side of the field in an effort to fake that he was going to run. The distinction between the 2 is absolutely fair. Jackson had loads more work to do in the offseason if he's going to become a long term pocket passer than Allen did. See above. No double standards here. Jackson just had waaaAAAaaaayyyy more designed runs than Allen. I have the actual numbers somewhere distinguishing between designed runs and scrambles, if you want them.

He's also the best of the characters in the books, too. For me it's been since the Red Wedding, but mainly because there's just no way to top that in terms of sheer visceral unpredictable tragedy.

It's a paid subscription website so I just posted that snippet so as not to violate CoC. The rest of the interview talks about maturity and other stuff.