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Everything posted by Doc Brown
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I'd rather use the money to extend Edwards and/or McGovern right now. See if Cook can replicate last year and then either let him walk for a comp pick or put the non exclusive franchise tag on him guaranteeing he'll be here until his age 27 season is up. He'd still cost less than $13.2m I believe on a RB franchise tag. By not extending him now they also could trade for a truly elite RB like Jonathan Taylor next year if the Colts are in rebuild mode as he enters the last year of his contract. Replicate what the Eagles and Ravens were able to do with Barkley/Henry. There's other unexpected opportunities that could open as well. The point being there shouldn't be a rush to re-sign him this year as it could prohibit a lot of possibilities next off-season.
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The way the Saints are run it's more likely they trade for Cousins, rip up his contract, and give him $100m guaranteed by restructuring 20 contracts. Then every salary cap isn't real idiot can do a victory lap.
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I meant nobody reputable in their mock draft had Hancock above Barron. I'd question their overall knowledge of how scouts as a whole feel about a certain player. I know some didn't like Barron because of his arm length. Trapasso had Baltimore taking him at #27 in his final one. Sorry for the confusion.
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If that's true than Chris Trapasso should find a new day job. Lol. Nobody reputable had Hancock above Barron.
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I think most fans have learned that guaranteed money is the thing that matters most in a contract after the Watson fiasco. How do we know Cook doesn't want a 4 year $69.2m extension so his average is $15m over the next five years? I kid but the point is do you think he's worth $13.2m a year over the next five? I don't. Replenish through the draft next year and spend that money at more premium positions.
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If Hairston becomes the next Elam and Strong becomes the next Benford then Beane needs to sit the first round out from now on. Let him cook on day 2 and 3.
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Draft picks are always so hyped by fans that it's difficult to predict. Jackson Hawes I guess if Knox or Kincaid are hurt for a period of time. Can't we just ask who will be the most disappointing?
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This is a family message board.
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It has nothing to do with height.
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The Bills. Why do you think out of all the positions (besides K, P, and special team aces) that running backs are paid the least?
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Guess the team during the drought years that spent the most first round picks on running backs......
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Reading the tea leaves his agent and Cook pry had a different price in mind after they started negotiating in early February when Cook started with his instagram stuff. I'm guessing Beane offered a team friendly but fair deal like Rousseau, Bernard, Shakir, and Benford signed. Take it or leave it. That seems to be Beane's MO when it comes to extensions. Yeah. Davis is definitely not at Cook's level and pry never will be. He'll be a lot easier to let walk after his rookie deal.
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Even if you think he can defy the odds what's the hurry in extending him when you have a year left on his rookie deal and have the option of using the franchise tag next year? I guess I just don't get why there's such an urgency amongst fans to extend him now?
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Not adding a RB in the draft makes me worried that Beane will give him an extension using this exact logic. Running back skill is the position most dependent on speed and strength. The human body will naturally deteriorate starting at age 27 regardless of the wear and tear on the body. RB's fall off the click the quickest and Cook is even more likely to hit a wall within the next year or two because relies mostly on speed. There's outliers to the age 27 natural drop off but I don't want Beane to pay for an outlier. Especially since we're paying a QB elite money and will always be skirting with just getting under the salary cap every year. Let him play out the year and if he puts up similar numbers I'd rather franchise tag him for one more year than extend him for top of the market value right now.
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The non exclusive franchise tag should be on the table if he has the same impact this season that he had last season. No way I'd extend him though.
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I'd be more open to it if the data of RB's declining after age 26 wasn't so damning. Beane has the rare advantage of seeing how how an older brother (siblings share anywhere from 37 percent to 65 percent of their parents genetic variants) declined once he hit age 27. I'd even consider a franchise tag next year depending on how he performs this upcoming season.
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Trying to be more optimistic in life. I said I was being more confident than usual because the one seed is more attainable than ever at this point. Five out of ten of the teams that won the one seeds made the Super Bowl since the playoffs expanded in 2020. Once they started seeding in Super Bowl X, 53 of the 100 teams that made the Super Bowl were number one seeds in their conference. We've lost one this year. Darn it. There goes my optimistic goal.
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Diggs wasn't a burner but he was excellent at creating separation and that's why Allen and him had such great chemistry. Josh is a very visual QB and an average NFL starting QB anticipatory thrower. He usually waits until he sees a WR open and then uses his bazooka arm to get it there. It's why having a WR with separation skills is more important to him than someone like Joe Burrow. That was my problem with the Keon Coleman pick and why I was hoping to hear Ladd McConkey was the 33rd pick after day 1 last year..
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More confident than usual because on paper it's the easiest path to the number one seed we've had. There's so much luck and randomness involved in those late Divisional and Conference Championship rounds I'd pry go with around a 25% chance to get there. Lower than some on here but much higher than the Vegas betting line.
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After age 27 is where you usually see a pretty quick dropoff at RB regardless of wear and tear. Peak seasons of a RB are usually between the ages of 24 and 26. For historical context, even Thurman Thomas had a drop off at age 27 going from 4.8 ypc to 3.7 ypc. Cook's brother's best years were when he was 25 and 26 before being cut when he was 27 despite coming off a pro bowl season. The Vikings who are very analytics driven could see first hand the decline in speed. The Jets in all their brilliance couldn't. Maybe James Cook can defy the odds after next season but I'd be fine with another team taking that gamble.
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Seems that way. I come here to distract me from the headaches of everyday life and was only getting a headache arguing with him. I tried the same tactic with my doctor when he told me my LDL's were high so I should eat less meat and I said "we're going to have to agree to disagree."
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Thought Exercise: Best Bills QB (99-2017) who'd be JA17 backup
Doc Brown replied to boyst's topic in The Stadium Wall
Does Rob Johnson mean nothing to you? -
Is there an NFL team with a weaker WR group than the Bills?
Doc Brown replied to Pete's topic in The Stadium Wall
Pry not but if it can even come close to last year we're already in a better position given how heavily we invested in defense this off season. I know it's said every off-season but getting the #1 seed is vital for obvious reasons. Especially with on paper the 5th easiest schedule based off over/under betting odds. Our division has never been weaker. Almost all the tough games this year (Chiefs, Eagles, Bengals, Ravens, Bucs) will be played at home. Houston's pry are toughest road game but we'd pry be favored right now. Barring an injury to Allen there's no excuses to not get the #1 seed imo.. It's the one situational variable that we haven't had the last five years in the playoffs. -
First things to look for when the schedule comes out
Doc Brown replied to Charles Romes's topic in The Stadium Wall
Oh. Pry should've caught that the first time. I was thinking the Weyslean Church now has a membership fee?