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Everything posted by Logic
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GameNight PreGame Thread Bills @ Steelers
Logic replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yep. They COULD spend at least a little time breaking down how the Bills got to 9-4, looking at the Bills defense in detail, or analyzing Allen's season. Instead, they'd rather re-hash the Immaculate Reception with Franco Harris and talk to Devlin Hodges about his duck calling history. Ugh. -
GameNight PreGame Thread Bills @ Steelers
Logic replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This. Waiting until 5:20 for kickoff? Not so bad. And don't even get me started on how awesome it is to have games start at 10am usually rather than 1pm. After spending the first half of my life on the east coast, I much prefer the way things are on the (best) coast. -
According to Fivethirtyeight.com, after today's game outcomes, the Bills now have a 98% chance of making the playoffs. That's up from 95% when the day began. Even if the Bills lose to the Steelers tonight, they still have a 96% chance at playoffs, according to the site. As others have said, one Titans loss in the next two weeks essentially clinches for Buffalo, regardless of what the Bills do the rest of the regular season.
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Yes sir. Everything the Bills needed to have happen today has happened. Geaux Saints!
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Right, because our starting right tackle in three wins surely played no part whatsoever in helping achieve them. I'm sure you can be 100% certain, without any guesswork, that a Bills roster that featured AJ Brown and no Cody Ford would definitely still have won those games. The point I'm making is that it's ALL guesswork. Ya know, kind of like trying to say 13 games into Ford and Brown's careers who the better player is and will be? Sheesh.
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It absolutely is a guess. I'm not surprised that you can't see that, though.
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There we go, fixed it for you.
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Chark is a Jaguar, not a Titan.
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I'm not gonna sit here and say that Ford is great at right tackle. He's not. But to say that we know for sure that the Bills still would have won the three straight games they just did prior to Baltimore without Ford is disingenuous. We have no way of knowing that.
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And again, I'm not disagreeing with you. I'm just asking a simple question. If the Bills passed on Ford and took a WR, who would be playing right tackle for Buffalo right now? Ford, for instance, was critical to the Bills victory over Denver.
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Agreed. But by the same token, if that scenario had played out, who would be playing right tackle for Buffalo with Nsekhe out tonight and the past few weeks?
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I'm in agreement for the most part. I don't need him to be a top 5 or even top 10 deep ball thrower. I just need him to be able to do it often enough to keep opposing defenses from attacking him the way the Ravens did. We saw during the Fitzpatrick/Gailey years how limited an offense eventually becomes when a quarterback can't punish a defense deep and they are then able to squat on the short stuff and tee off on the QB. I just need Allen to show that he CAN do it from time to time. Otherwise, you're right, there are many, many more important aspects to being a quality QB, and Josh Allen does a lot of them well.
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Okay, well I have since provided the article from which I pulled my quote. It is not "garbage", "False information", or "fake news". So I'm sure you're sorry you pulled out all that heavy language, right? The article, by the way, backs up my claim that Josh Allen is 51st in the league in throw success over 30 air yards. Moreover, I support and root for Josh Allen, but I'm getting the feeling you're one of those people who get snappy and defensive any time someone says ANYTHING negative about him. It's okay to root for Josh Allen to succeed and to like him a lot but to ALSO point out that there are some areas where he's struggling. It's not sacrilege, it's just reality.
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Thanks for the unnecessarily salty response. We're talking about success on throws that travel 30 or more air yards. Showing me Allen's total completed air yards over the course of the season does not address the issue of how poorly he has done on long balls this season. I guess I'll just wait here for your apology?
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Obviously, the best and least stressful thing for Bills fans would be for Buffalo to just beat Pittsburgh and clinch playoffs tomorrow night. That being said, we all need to become giant Texans and Saints fans the next few weeks. Two Titans losses -- and they're against the desperate Texans twice and the Saints, so that's not super unrealistic, even with how well they've been playing -- also clinches playoffs for the Bills.
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Nope. But might be prudent to worry that a man who plays wide receiver by trade throws a more accurate deep ball than our starting quarterback. And if you don't like the wide receiver example, how about David Blough? Am I at least allowed to find it mildly concerning that the Detroit Lions third string quarterback is better at completing deep balls than our first round franchise QB?
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Yes. I'm well aware of that. The fact remains.
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You're correct. My mistake.
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THIS!!! I had to comb through five pages to see if someone would point this out. Thank God someone did! Someone honestly made a thread positing that the #3 KICK RETURNER IN THE NFL THIS YEAR is a "wasted roster spot". It got five pages of replies. I am speechless. I am without speech.
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Drew Haddad, Martin Nance, and Da'Rick Rodgers say hello!
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His weekly pre-game preview on The Athletic. Down at the bottom of the article.
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His two incorrect predictions were the Browns and Patriots, I believe. Picked Bills to win in both.
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Hey Joe -- I'm curious about something. You seem really certain that the Bills will win the game against the Steelers. I'm curious to know your reasoning. Obviously, the Bills defense should feast on Duck Hodges. Does their defense not worry you, though?
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Good stuff. One big problem is that Allen isn't just bad at the deep passes right now, he's comically, HISTORICALLY bad at them. I believe I read that he's 55th in the league right now in completions that travel over 30 air yards. I don't even know how that's POSSIBLE. He's rated worse than guys like David Blough and Courtland Sutton, though, so he's...well....he's pretty damn bad at it right now. If he can improve to league average or even slightly BELOW league average, it'll go a long way toward helping the Bills offense and breaking that vaunted 300-yard game barrier that everyone talks about.
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I always feel like there's a fine line to walk when discussing blame for an offense's failures. In the case of the Ravens game, my opinion is that Allen needs to hit a few of those early deep throws. If an offensive coordinator's scheme and gameplan are getting guys wide open 30 yards downfield, it's a good gameplan. It's Josh Allen's job to hit those open receivers. Some will counter by saying that since Daboll knows that the long ball isn't a strength of Allen's, he should be gameplanning ways to get shorter routes open and not depend on Allen to hit those long throws. There may be some merit to that. On the other hand, if a defense chooses to blitz the bejesus out of you and squat on short routes all together, not respecting the deep passing game WHATSOEVER, there's only so much an offensive coordinator can do. We saw this during the Chan Gailey years. At some point, your quarterback needs to be able to punish the defense with long completions when they're packing the box and squatting on short stuff. If Josh Allen is to become the franchise QB we all desperately want him to be, he NEEDS to learn to hit on those deep passes. Otherwise, teams will continue to defend him the way they defended Fitzpatrick: pack the box, squat on short throws, dare the offense to beat you deep. Again, there's only so much Daboll -- or ANY offensive coordinator -- can do if the opposing defense doesn't respect your ability to go deep. Not only that, but with an arm like Allen's, its downright criminal that the Bills aren't able to generate a vertical passing game. This needs to change before I'm willing to assign much blame to Brian Daboll.