HappyDays
-
Posts
29,078 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by HappyDays
-
-
1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:
Well we could have simply not taken up (or more accurately renegotiated and then taken up which is what we actually did) Tyrod's option in 2017 and selected Watson or Mahomes that year.
Blame Pegula if you want. We didn't hire the next GM until after that draft. So who picks the QB, the defensive coach coming from a team that wasn't scouting QBs? There was no chance we were taking a QB that year. They certainly weren't going to go off of the scouting done by the lame duck GM and scouting staff. They had to cobble that draft together from Carolina's draft board. It's a miracle it went as well as it did. The eye was always on 2018 for drafting a QB, and if Allen turns out to be good the first 2 years won't mean a thing.
-
2
-
-
I hope the Bills don't plan on playing Zay more than Foster. That would be a big mistake.
-
Not entirely related, but:
Yeah, they'll definitely figure something out.
-
12 hours ago, Rocky Landing said:
I put Zay above Foster (which is, essentially what makes him a lock). I see Foster as a dynamic talent, but limited in his role on offense.
I think that's crazy. You could see on the tape in the latter half of the season that teams were game planning to stop Foster. Safeties were shadowing him down field. I didn't ever see that kind of attention given to Zay. Foster is a threat to score a TD on every single play. Zay is a decent route runner but he has zero ability to make plays happen all on his own. Foster had his faults, especially early on, but his skill set is a nightmare to defend. I'll take the "limited" dynamic talent over the JAG with a full route tree.
-
3
-
-
25 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:
It’s crazy to say how good they will be at this point.
Why is it "crazy" to watch two players play, evaluate the context and progress, and make predictions about who will end up better?
-
2
-
-
4 hours ago, C.Biscuit97 said:
but are ready to call Jackson a bust after a season which he played on the playoffs?
Yeah, he played. Did you watch the game?
-
1
-
-
55 minutes ago, Dablitzkrieg said:
A typical response from most on this board. You clearly missed the point, but that's ok, you usually do!
What was the point? That I'm not allowed to feel good about the team in May? This forum is filled with people that are addicted to football. I wouldn't go around my office asking people why they aren't paying attention to OTAs - I'd be the crazy person in that scenario. But by the same token I don't know why there's a whole genre of posters who makes it their duty to inform this group of crazy Bills fans that we're getting too crazy. No thanks. I'll get excited right now.
-
5
-
1
-
2
-
-
1 hour ago, Dablitzkrieg said:
It is day 5 of OTA's.
Yes, it's May. If you're not interested in any football between OTAs and preseason, the forum will still be here in September.
-
2
-
-
This would have been a top 5 catch for the Bills last year.
-
3
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, Putin said:
Should we wait till at least the pads come on before we give up on him ?
I don’t remember R Foster lighting it up in OTA’s last year ,
True but Foster came in promising speed and separation. He had faults but he delivered on that promise. Williams comes in promising contested catch ability and he's dropping the ball, literally. Not a good start for someone that was already fighting an uphill battle.
-
50 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:
I think we had a QB running with the 3’s last off season, it’s his offense now
Not that Williams is the same sitch, but early days, early days
No kidding. But right now I would consider Duke Williams a longshot to make the roster, and this thread is pumping him up as Jones's replacement. That isn't looking even remotely possible right now. I'm actually kind of fascinated by this WR group. Brown, Foster, and Jones could all conceivably start on the outside but I can't see us running a bunch of 4 WR sets. I guess there will be a heavy rotation there.
-
4
-
-
Again, a good sign from OTAs that Zay has the inside track:
Jones, Brown and McCloud seemed like receivers that had the most reps with the first team in practice this week after Foster was featured a lot last week. Foster still had a few reps and Andre Roberts was sprinkled in as well. Jones looked like the arguable class of the group. His quickness and route running led to a highlight-reel touchdown catch in a red zone drill. Allen split some defenders and Jones made a nice grab before easily trotting into the end zone. Jones as so excited he ran over to Bills general manager Brandon Beane, who was standing in the back of the end zone, for a quick celebratory hug. Fan favorite Duke Williams struggled hanging on to the ball throughout practice. He had a few drops and had trouble when Johnson was on him in coverage.
I'm happy to hear Jones looks improved this offseason. We might want to give up on the Duke Williams dream. He's struggling to catch the ball and is stuck with the 3rd team.
-
1
-
-
-
20 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:
I thought Daboll did some excellent scheming last year, but the talent level was so poor that it was hard to detect.
I agree, and what Daboll did in the latter part of the year was nothing short of miraculous. We basically played like a league average offense after the bye week. Considering the offensive line, the rookie QB still learning on the job, and the mediocre pass catching group that's impressive. Obviously there has to be improvement this year but I'm optimistic about Daboll. I thought we had a real NFL scheme that should have been more successful than it was.
-
2
-
1
-
-
It won't happen. The NFL is doing better than ever. No one wants to walk away from that money and kill the market's trend line.
-
2
-
-
Well I promised myself I wouldn't get overly excited from OTA's, but I feel comfortable saving a spot on my wall for Josh Allen's hall of fame jersey.
-
1
-
6
-
-
Hard Knocks better double their staff. They're going to have trouble keeping up with this group.
-
1
-
2
-
-
1 hour ago, SoTier said:
I have no opinion on that
1 hour ago, SoTier said:the positive opinions of Allen's prospects are based on hope not fact because he didn't play all that well as a rookie.
You sound pretty opinionated about him to me.
-
1
-
-
I'd be more concerned about this:
Imagine a QB entering his 2nd season still learning how to hold the football.
-
2
-
1
-
-
19 minutes ago, LSHMEAB said:
Honest question. Do you think you'd still have the same optimism if the season ended at NE? As much as I've altered my stance and become open to the possibility that Allen can be the guy, I still find myself asking that question.
Darnold's last game was at New England and he played like crap. Do you feel less optimistic about his future?
-
1
-
-
9-7 is really my minimum expectation for how the season should go. We bought an NFL caliber offensive line, we added NFL caliber CB depth, and we bought two NFL caliber wide receivers. Plus we added Oliver to the defensive line. That's 4 position groups that improved and no position group got worse. And Allen is entering his second season with a full offseason as the definite starter. And Daboll is in the 2nd year of his system. And the defensive core has another year of experience.
Trending upwards is putting it lightly. I have very high expectations this season. Outside of injuries, if we go worse than 9-7 either Allen didn't progress or McDermott didn't prepare the team well. I'll stick to what I've been saying - if Allen takes the next step this team is ready for a deep playoff run right now.
-
3
-
1
-
-
That's a great breakdown from Rodak. Credit where credit is due.
We're still going to have a ton of cap space next year. I won't be surprised if we give someone like Clowney a massive deal.
-
11 minutes ago, Thurman#1 said:
He's saying that QBASE gave Allen a 20.7% chance of being worth 500 - 1500 yards total over replacement value when considered over years 3 - 5. That would mean that over those three years, years 3 - 5 of his career, he would be worth between 166.6 yards per year and 500 yards per year. Which would put him between 15th best and 25th best if you look at last year's DYAR stats (Fitz, Winston, Flacco, Trubisky, Dalton, Stafford, Carr, E. Manning, Newton, Mullens were 15th to 25th last year) . That is his idea of an average starter, and if Allen's doing that by the time he's in his fifth year, Bills fans most likely wouldn't be happy. And QBASE only gives him a 21.8% chance to be that good.
Yes, but in his interview all he's saying is that he doesn't see Allen as a starting QB. He's been pretty adamant since before the draft that Allen is a sure bust, even though
his own numbers don't support that. I don't even care about QBASE, I just find it weird that he doesn't seem to trust his own algorithm.
-
48 minutes ago, JESSEFEFFER said:
I am quite sure he has some basis for his opinion. That is his job, opnions based on numerical analysis.
His basis for his opinion is his website's algorithm called QBASE:
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2018/qbase-2018
According to that metric, Josh Allen has a 37.3% chance of becoming an adequate starter or better. Which is why I don't understand his relentless pessimism of Allen's chances. A better than 1 in 3 chance of becoming at least an adequate starter is really not all that unlikely. So even by the numbers his own website uses, Schatz's opinion doesn't make sense. Does he trust his own numbers or not? Imagine rolling a die and ridiculing the idea that a 1 or a 2 could be rolled. That is essentially what he is doing. Unless he doesn't trust his own algorithm which would be weird.
-
5
-
John Warrow’s High Praise For Beane & McDermott Regime
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
I mean, of course you can. Beane and the Panthers weren't scouting QBs. You wanted McDermott to draft a QB in a QB class they hadn't scouted? That's nonsense.