GoBills808

i believe if people understood how EPA functions as it relates to QB play they wouldn't be using it to differentiate between OCs, in particular as it pertains to Allen One of my absolute favorite parts of Allen's game is how ruthless he is in high leverage situations ie third/fourth and long, third downs in own territory, etc...these are down/distances that have huge EPA implications by virtue of converting simply because his play in these spots vs avg QB performance is so lopsided. The Miami first down for example: EP of third and 12 from your opponent's 35 is roughly 2.45...Allen breaks contain and hits the RB down on the one for first and goal. That single play was worth over 4.3 EPA and it had little to nothing to do w whoever happened to be OC

Colin is a casual... you can't really expect him to have a good take on how a particular QB performs relative to their given OC

Chiefs are 2-0 beating two AFC powerhouses and they haven't played close to their best ball yet...they are cruising unfortunately

I wasn't talking about your OP. I've been talking up our metrics for the past 2+years now

not yet because from an afcn perspective their biggest competition imo is also 0-2...but for seeding purposes yes they have hurt themselves sidenote this is how KC always manages to sneak out HFA in the postseason...they are a questionable PI call and an Isaiah Likely toe away from 0-2 and instead hold tiebreaks over two major AFC contenders

it's equally fascinating to see folks try to proclaim this might be a top offense after week2 where the offense is ranked 21st averaging under 300ypg

I'm not in every thread talking about it In fact iirc that was last season when the metrics were great and everyone wanted Dorsey fired 😂😂

CJ Mosley for current Always appreciated how he went about his business

There are some very valid sustainability concerns but folks won't want to hear them

EPA stands for expected points added. It's a derivative of expected points, which in itself is a measure of how many points you can expect to gain relative to down/distance. For example if you have the ball on the opponents 20 and it's first down, you have an EP of say 4 (roughly)...if it was third down your expected points would be 2.5 or thereabouts. I believe expected points and EPA both draw from the same data set that win% and success rate do also. EPA is just the difference between what your expected points is for a given play (or drive) and the outcome...like if it's fourth down and 10 from your own 40 (probably net zero or even negative EP in that position, so say its like -.15 expected points in that particular scenario) and you gain 11 yards that would be significantly positive outcome (like 1.25 EPA, I dont have the calculator in front of me) that play would be 1.10 EPA there is an awful lot to be said on this but im not sure this is the time or place tbh

Wait now we like EPA😂😂

Like look at last Mahomes pass that got called for PI The DB didn't even have to interfere, the ball was floating and behind the WR...should have been agame sealing INT and instead the corner loses his mind and jumps through the guy

Burrow- throws the checkdown 12 yards short of the sticks Rono- 'that's high level quarterbacking'

Just two mid QBs yawn

Absolutely horrific call in the Chiefs game

I think cook and Pacheco give you different but equally valuable traits at RB so for me wash And exactly👍the rest not particularly close

We will see Early returns are mixed imo

Aka a very good offense

Allen is easily the best player in the league

Been saying burrow massively overrated

Yeah and the fins aren't as bad as we made them look

Not a troll but early season divisional matchups

Never really saw him

Nah only one better than revis for me is champ Bailey