Nihilarian

Take the sack and don't throw it up for grabs is my thought. I'm not gonna blame the line as much as I blame the QB and OC. The OC should take most of the heat for allowing that rookie QB to even throw as much as he did, seriously! That lone TD in the first half was all McCoy. I know it was only 14 attempts and 10 too many. Both the RT & RG positions have been a liability on this team for years and years. I think they drafted Dawkins to fix that issue as the OG should play better with a better OT next to him and vice versa. I think Incognito's play elevated Glenn's play too. Glenn getting a season-long injury made him a liability at his pay grade. Mills should be gone this year...hopefully...the team upgrades that right side both RT, RG for whatever QB is starting

While I highly doubt Roquan Smith will be there at the 12 spot what most fans forget while thinking about one of those top QBs and trading the farm for one. The BIlls could very well move up to the #7 spot after all the top four QB's are gone and select Smith there. Kinda like Doug Whaley should have done when thinking about Sammy Watkins and instead should have taken Mike Evans or Khalil Mack. The Bills should still have enough ammo in picks to trade up again should they want a QB or WR as the Steelers have been sniffing around Mason Rudolph and I don't think they will wait until the 28th pick to grab him. I honestly don't care who this regime drafts as long as they become quality starters for a few years. Must be bad karma or something to finally make the playoffs and yet want to select one of the top QB's in a draft they should see as many as six QBs be drafted in the first round. Yet they might not be able to get one of the top four.

When you think about players like Derek Carr, Russell Wilson, Dak Prescott you have to think these people who grade these players really have no clue a lot of the time. I see Mason Rudolph 6'5'', 235 lbs and his body of work as being very close to Baker Mayfield and the kid is as big as Josh Allen only he doesn't have Allen's arm. Rudolph also doesn't have Allen's ability to shed sackers or easily escape the pocket. Unlike Allen who only played two seasons at Wyoming with a 56% comp %, Rudolph played four seasons at OSU going from 57% comp% to 65%. It also makes me wonder why the entire Pittsburgh Steeler front office and coaching staff have been hovering around this kid at every turn, combine and pro day.

While I see Zierlein's name on each of the drafts prospects rankings. I have great difficulty in thinking that this man alone arbitrarily wrote up hundreds (over 500)of player profiles and gave them all grades all by himself. I have read that he talks with NFL teams scouts and executives but still, this seems like an enormous task for one individual who was never a college/NFL scout. The NFL does have over fifty writers, draft analysts, ex-NFL scouts working for them and I want to think they all contribute to helping him compile his scouting reports. I could be wrong though and it's just one guy who used to be a radio talk show host in Houston.

I wonder if he has a beamer

The ceiling I agree with and not the floor as this is a good kid and not a druggie or a temperamental jerk like Ryan Leaf. His fellow players love him and they follow him unlike other QBs in this year's draft where his teammates can't stand him. Watch the senior bowl highlights.

"If Allen wants to be a top 5 or top 10 type pick, he has to improve his overall game by developing his footwork and accuracy and decision-making. It’s a fact that quarterbacks who have accuracy problems in college don’t become accurate as NFL passers. Because of his lack of college experience, he is still a work in progress. Yes, there is loads of talent to work with, but that talent needs to be refined. It’s up to him to make those improvements in his game." http://www.profootballweekly.com/2017/05/13/greg-gabriel-breaking-down-wyoming-qb-josh-allen/a3yfeoe/ Like I said in an earlier post he is working on his footwork. I would hate it if he became a NY Jet. Although they would probably ruin him there is still a chance he overcomes their inability to coach and becomes another Big Ben.

Brian Billick was on NFL network and stated he had a kid like Allen who had a bad accuracy problem in Kyle Boller and he thought they could fix it. They couldn't. The difference being that Boller played four years at Cal with a comp% of 38.6 his first year, 46.7 his second, 49.3 his third and finally 53.4 his senior season. That's four years of college. His NFL career comp% was at 56.7. Cal must have been desperate for a QB with completion percentages like those as those percentages are truly pathetic. Josh Allen has only played two seasons at Wyoming with some talent around in his first season and every player that touched the ball besides Allen was gone for the 2017 season and although his completion percentage stayed at 56%, 56.3 to be exact. There are several reasons as to why his comp% didn't improve in 2017. Mike Mayock recently stated he thinks Allen will be a top-five pick and I agree. Denver at the latest with the 6th pick. Most scouts will tell you that accuracy has so much to do with footwork and Allen even admitted his footwork in college was bad. He has since been working with Jordan Palmer(Carson's brother) who is a QB trainer and his footwork has improved as has his accuracy which he showed off at his pro day. Time will certainly tell whether this kid will be another Kyle Boller or Aaron Rodgers, Big Ben and I think it's the latter.

I think the Jets main plan is to draft Sam Darnold and if he isn't there I think they go RB Saquon Barkley. This makes so much more sense as they did sign Teddy Bridgewater who could be their long-term QB if he ever returns to 100% healthy. I love Josh Allen and think he would be a perfect fit in Buffalo. A big, strong blue-collar type who played in the snow and cold of Wyoming. His toughness reminds me of Jim Kelly.

That was the scheme under Dennison and now it's changing to Erhardt-Perkins scheme which is what the Patriots run and a big reason as to why Deball is the new OC. He worked for the Patriots for a lot of years as WR, TE assistant coach and was the Alabama OC last year. This was one of the reasons as to why they moved on from Tyrod and now want more of a pocket passer QB vs an RPO QB. Just some food for thought here. UCLA QB Josh Rosen ran a version of a WCO offense and that is kinda why I don't believe all the hype around the Bills wanting him.

Looking back on the last thirty years of the draft, it turns out that 39% of QBs taken in the first round became “elite” QBs (4,000 season passing yards, 60% completion percentage, a certain “put-the-team-on-my-back”-itude) while 39% become “busts”; the remaining 22% become middle-of-the-pack players. In fact, the first pick is the best time to take a QB: nine out of the fifteen QBs selected first overall in the past thirty years have become elite while only two have turned into busts. https://harvardsportsanalysis.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/drafting-an-nfl-qb/ Every NFL that doesn't have a franchise QB now wants their Carson Wentz. The problem is the draft is not an exact science and it's a gamble. The only guy I'd move up to #2 to gamble on is Sam Darnold. If he is gone I'd have to hope that one of the top four drops out of the first six picks for the next gamble to move up to #7. If that doesn't happen it looks like Mason Rudolph is the man at 22. That is if the Steelers don't move up to draft him before Buffalo.

Here is what I said, Which was kinda why I highlighted each of those eventual star NFL players first season in college. Not only did they improve their completion percentage after their first year. They also improved their college average completion percentage to the NFL completion percentage. Brett Favre was at 40.7% completion percentage in his first year at So Miss and averaged a 52.4 completion percentage in college. He improved over his first season and he then averaged over his NFL career a 62.0 percentage which was an improvement from his College days. Brett Favre, @ Southern Miss, First season 40.7-second season 55.8-third season 54.1- fourth season 55.4. Then in the NFL went right to 64.1 and averaged 62.0 over his career. Two seasons of college football is really not enough collected data to be 100% positive that a player won't improve as these are young boys who are developing into mature grown men. When Allen first got to Wyoming he was this scrawny kid who grew into that big frame. I gave reasons as to why Josh Allen might not have improved his accuracy due to a team filled with rookies in his second year vs a veteran team in his first year. He was also in a pro-style offense which features a deeper passing scheme which is tougher on young players vs what someone like Josh Rosen ran at UCLA which was a version of a west coast offense which featured shorter passes. Players like Darnold and Rosen also had better teams around them with better coaching, and Rosen had a greater receiver talent in a kid like Lasley who had 1264 yards receiving. Allen has already shown the NFL scouts he has improved his accuracy from what he showed in his senior bowl performance and hence the reason as to why he has moved up into the top one or two QBs in this years draft class. Let's also not forget that Allen was the MVP of the bowl game that Wyoming played in against Central Michigan going 11 of 19 for 154 yards, 3 TDs with a rating of 178.1. Do I know for 100% that Allen's completion percentage from 56.2 in college will improve to 60% plus, NO! Do I think it will, YES! Hopefully, he gets drafted by a team that will allow him to sit for a bit and develop

That article was dated Feb 24th before the combine. When almost the entire teams coaching staff and FO brass show up at a prospects pro day I think you can safely say there is smoke there. The kid is too good to last until the second round as his grade isn't that far away from the top 5 QB's. Darnold 7.0, Rosen 6.1. Mayfield and Allen 6.0, Jackson 5.9 and Rudolph 5.6.

Me being obtuse...more like you being purposely dense! You dared me to show some examples that showed that college players improved their completion percentage and I did just that! I listed five examples. I don't need to show more than I showed and if you want more than look them up on your own. Each and every one of those players I listed started out lower with their completion percentage their first year in college and improved it over playing time just like I stated. Nothing more, nothing less. A big reason as to why Josh Allen's completion percentage wasn't higher in his second year is because every player that touched the football at Wyoming in 2016 besides Allen was gone in 2017. Attempt to comprehend that completion percentage is not just about the QB throwing the ball it's also about his receivers catching the ball...or more importantly not dropping the pass.

Joe Montana, @ ND 42.4-52.4-54.2. Then in the NFL went from 56.5 to as high as 71.4 and averaged 63.2 over his career. Brett Favre, @ Southern Miss, 40.7-55.8-54.1-55.4. Then in the NFL went right to 64.1 and averaged 62.0. Eli Manning, @ Ols Miss, 48.5-63.5-58.0-62.4. then in the NFL 48.2 in his first season and his career average is only 59.8. Most years he was above 60%. Russell Wilson, @ NC State, 54.5-59.3-58.4-72.8. then in the NFL his stats went to 64.1 and he averages 64.0. EDIT: looking at the name I figured I'd add Tyrod Taylor, @ VT, 53.7-57.2-56.0-59.7. Averaging NFL Comp% is 62.4% Exactly, this kid played in a pro-style offense which is tougher to play in and his throws were not short dump offs or screens. When you read what opposing coaches complained about when setting up a game plan against Wyoming's offense you get a better understanding of what this kid can do with his arm. Allen basically carried that team with his arm and they went 8-5 with no run game, a bad line, and rookie receivers. Allen didn't have the talent of a big-name coaching staff and elite players that guys like Rosen and Darnold had. One of Rosen's receivers had over 1200 yards receiving alone. Rosen's teams lost their bowl games and Darnold looked lost against Ohio St.

I gotta tell ya that you will look so silly with that cone up your ass singing that song when you realize that the Pittsburgh Steelers love this kid and will select him in the first IF he is still there. No way this kid makes it into the second round. Rudolph met with the Steelers brass at the combine and his pro day. With Big Ben talking about retirement the Steelers are already looking for a replacement. If Buffalo doesn't get one of the top four guys they should take him with the 22nd pick. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000921592/article/steelers-keep-close-eye-on-qb-mason-rudolph-at-pro-day

Allen had a 12.2 YPA in the senior bowl with better talent around him then he had at Wyoming. He went 9 of 13 for 158 yards, 2 TDs and he showed both accuracy and touch in that game. Probably why a lot of scouts, draft sites have elevated the kid to the #1 QB in this year's draft. Don't be surprised if he goes #1 to Cleveland or #2 to the Giants.

Excellent post kinda wasted on Bills fans who have already made up their minds because they have read that no QB can succeed with accuracy issues and Allen has had accuracy issues in College. Nevermind the fact that he only played two years at Wyoming and so many, many, many college QB's improved their accuracy after the first two years. Almost every big name QB out there in the history of the NFL improved their completion percentage over time spent playing. This kid was made to play for Buffalo big, strong, tough blue-collar type and some team is going to get a really good QB if they allow him some time to develop.

A monkey throwing darts at the draft board could have done just as well. Simple go back and look over every draft year to see the talent missed and no quality QB. Those people failed to properly identify needs and the talent to fill those needs. A WR for two first round picks and a fourth when the team didn't yet have an established franchise QB to throw to him was moronic. Even more so when just after the draft that year the FO came out and said they were still looking for that big, tall red zone target. Go back and look at the drafts for those years along with the free agent signings and then tell me a quality GM couldn't have done any better.

Good god man! One of Buddy Nix's first statements as GM he said "we're not that far away" and the team then proceeded to go 4-12 with an eight-game losing streak to open that 2010 season. The team had enough talent to win games they just were devoid of quality coaching and a GM who knew what he was doing. Anyone else recall one of his first signings to fix the offensive line was Cornell Green at RT and he lasted a few games. I swear that a drunken Bills fan could have been more effective at RT by just falling over to obstruct the defensive player's ability to move towards the QB. Nix's ideas on offensive linemen were ridiculous in that he thought any tackle could play OG and that any big bodied 300lb, 6'+ person could be an offensive lineman. To put it delicately the man was a moron! He couldn't identify quality talent if they came up and kicked him in his arse. Look at his first draft by selecting CJ Spiller a "waterbug" that Chan Gailey wanted instead of a sorely needed offensive tackle. So After taking over for Trent Edwards who was released outright after three starts in three games. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick proceeded to run for his life for the next five games, literally. No other player in his first draft (2010)was worth a damn save Arthur Moats a 6th round pick at LB who was never really a full-time starter in Buffalo. Yes, Nix managed to lure Mario Williams into Buffalo and gave him 100 million dollars to play defensive end mostly because he was so inept at drafting he couldn't identify quality pass rushing talent in the draft. He missed on JPP, JJ Watt among other talents. I could go on and on but I would just be wasting my time talking about someone who should have never been a Buffalo Bills GM. A 70-year-old retired head scout. Marv Levy, Russ Brandon shouldn't have been GM's either. Just be grateful we Bills fans now have a real GM along with a decent head coach that isn't going to be micromanaged by the owner. Any mistakes they make or if they fail at least we Bills fans know that real NFL people qualified to do the job gave it their best shot.

It wasn't just Whaley that went as it was him and the entire Buffalo Bills scouting staff. I heard stories about how bad those guys were at their jobs. I think they were all going to be fired long before the draft and it just made no sense to fire them until draft after the draft. I also don't think McD trusted them to properly evaluate QB talent after EJ. Plus, he might have wanted to see if he could make things work with Tyrod Taylor. On another note, this FO looks like they want Josh Rosen. http://www.newyorkupstate.com/buffalo-bills/index.ssf/2018/02/josh_rosen_to_the_buffalo_bills_is_what_ive_heard_repeatedly_says_eric_galko.html

Oh man I agree and probably why I put so much into each players draft grade even if it's from the NFL network now.

Back then they had pro football weekly which was a godsend if you loved pro football and nothing else came close. There were reasons that Kelly and Marino fell in that year's draft. Kelly with his severe shoulder separation and Marino with his reported weed abuse. Both were winners in College though.

Naa, Everything this regime has done the past year to dump the big names with their big cap hits for picks tells me that this is the year they get their franchise QB. Right now everything is all smoke and mirrors because they don't want other teams to know who they like. One of the top six QBs will be a Buffalo Bills after April. I think this FO likes Darnold and are setting up plans just in case the Browns and Giants pass on him. I highly doubt they will give up the farm for the lesser graded players just to pick one. Rosen, Mayfield, Allen all grade about the same with Jackson pretty close and Rudolph not far behind them. The worst case scenario is Rudolph at #22 and best case is Darnold at #2. They could still trade up outta the 12 spot should one of the top four fall past the 6th pick.

I agree with this and I think the only reason for trade talks is if the Browns and Giants don't want Darnold as their #1 guy. Then and only then it would make some semblance of sense to trade the farm for that elite QB. Darnold at 7.0 which is what they graded Wentz at. All the other QB's grade pretty close with Rosen at 6.1, Allen & Mayfield at 6.0. Jackson at 5.9 and Rudolph at 5.6. Like the 1983 draft, I think we could see six QB's go in the first round. Of all those 83 QBs, #1 Elway, #7 Blackledge, #14 Kelly, #15 Eason, #24 O'Brien, #28, Marino. Only one was a bum, 2 were starters and three were HoFes. What the difference between this year and past years is that this GM/scouting dept finally knows what they are doing and aren't just grabbing for straws like the team did with JP Losman to fill a need. What the team also needs to do that they failed at in past years is to truly develop a young QB. If they get Darnold I could see starting him day one and all the rest all need time to develop. I wouldn't be unhappy should the team not move up if Darnold is already gone. Then take one of the top four at #12 if one should drop and if not take BPA at #12 and Mason Rudolph at #22. What's interesting to me is why the Pittsburgh Steelers have so much interest in Rudolph.