The Frankish Reich

Kind of good!

I just feel that there's no way Kamala could get 80+ million people to vote for her. I mean, I drove around exurban Denver yesterday and I must have seen 100 Trump-Vance signs and just one or two Harris-Walz. Plus have you seen those rally crowds?

Charges filed in weekend shooting in Rogers Park; alderman calls for hate crime investigation By Sam Charles October 28, 2024 at 3:52 p.m.

True. This is what happens when smart people leave the sh!thole areas of the country. Those people are mostly blue, and they settle in places like Colorado and Texas, which then begin the process of moving from purple to blue.

Just shows you guys tried really, really hard to find it. "Hey Google, play the Joe Rogan Trump interview"

YouTube is Google .... maybe work on your search skills?

Weird, because I just googled it and there it is. Posted 2 days ago. Another BS "the libs are censoring us!" story.

This looks like the Chicago Tribune's initial report - Saturday at 7:15 pm. So it's a "just the facts known" report. I googled it. Yesterday more details emerged. The headlines then changed. As they should.

Are you sure that isn't just a copyright/takedown issue? Spotify didn't pay Rogan all that money so that YouTube could just repost it ... but better to go with the conspiracy right off the bat!

There is no such "channel" at all for most people of the world.

I mentioned before: I've been to exactly one political rally in my life. Dukakis (!) 1988. I was working nearby the rally and they let us off work early because streets were shut down. It was the most boring and stupidest event I've ever been to in my life. And that's not even mentioning the magnetic Mr. Dukakis, who came on a good hour and a half into it. Can't imagine ever wanting to do that again for any candidate. I've decided people go because they have free tickets, nothing better to do, and want to feel some sense of camaraderie with fellow supporters. Not unlike a Super Bowl Parade I guess, although Bills fans have no way of knowing for sure.

It’s not even a Jussie Smollette story. That fool actually filed a police report, which as we’ve seen at least exposes you to prosecution if it’s shown to be a sham. This “affidavit” has never even been seen. The “affiant” is anonymous. There is nothing to give it any air of credibility other than it being posted on Twitter.

EDGY ALERT EDGE Are you saying Laura Ingraham finally came out?

The wild ones. By which I mean, pretty much all of them.

Yes, we should definitely convene a congressional committee to investigate because SOME GUY POSTED SOME SHITE ON THE INTERNET

That ring light makes him look positively SATANIC

I think that's about right. Again, I feel like Nate Silver here, albeit with better hair and less money. The fact that I want Harris to win doesn't influence my reasoned opinion that Trump is a slight favorite. Why would it?

I will. Immigration: I wanted Biden to win. I want Harris to win. But as soon as Biden was elected I predicted that immigration would continue to be the Dems' Achilles heel. Biden promised one of those "first day" immigration actions. It was a ridiculous moratorium on enforcement. OK, so maybe he was waiting a bit to put out his serious immigration reform proposal. That came out the following month. It was a joke. Basically an amnesty for anyone who'd been in the country since the day before the election. Yeah, those "long term Americans in all but name" who'd been here 3 months. Not a serious proposal. It paved the way for another burst of illegal immigration, and gave Trump the issue all over again. Bill Clinton knew how to deal with this, with a true enforcement-oriented bill. Biden didn't follow his lead. He followed his left wing advisors. So ... what doesn't make sense?

The classic Trumpian response! "Many people are saying it's true, I don't know, but is it wrong to ask the question?" It came from a weirdo in Rochester who just made it up. Period. No confidential affidavit, no mysterious death of the affiant. All made up for consumption of fools who trust the alt media.

Bills' pass rush storms back New Concussion Protocol? Dolphins' season ends.

Oh, I agree the Dems blew it. The proper thing to do was for Biden to announce he wasn't running and for the Dems to have a primary process in which a better candidate - not tied so closely to Biden - likely would have emerged. But Trump is not "leading." In fact, I misstated his highest popular vote share. It wasn't 48.5%. It was 46.8% in 2020. I think that's very, very close to his ceiling, so maybe he gets to 48, but he ain't getting to 50. But given his electoral college advantage, 48 or even 46.8 may do it for him.

Yes, no one cares about this manufactured scandal. I am pointing out that it was obviously manufactured and that some suckers here bit on it.

I'll give a serious response. I want Harris to win, or more accurately, I want Trump to lose. But I don't understand how being a fan makes people unable to make predictions against their fandom. There was never a time I wanted the dynasty Pats to beat the Bills, but I would have never ever bet on the Bills straight up to beat the Pats in any of those games. So ... if I were a betting man, my money's on Trump by a slim margin. - Kamala will win the popular vote, but probably by less than Biden's margin. I say about 2.5 points. My main hope for Kamala: I have yet to see evidence that Trump could ever get beyond the 48.5% of the popular vote he's received in the last couple tries, so I am deeply skeptical of any poll that has him cracking the 50% barrier. So to be specific, I'd say Kamala 51%, Trump 48.5%, a few assorted RFK Jr. and 3rd party votes. - Trump will win the electoral college, and I do think PA will be pivotal. Most models say that if Kamala doesn't win the popular vote by more than 2.5%, she likely doesn't win the electoral college. (Not causation, but a strong correlation) - Trump will also win NC, AZ, NV - Reps will win the Senate and have at least the necessary 50 senators (Vance as tie-breaker) to control it. - Dems will win seats in the House, taking it to just about 50/50. This to me is key. If the Republicans keep power in the House, win the Senate, and win the White House (they already have the Supreme Court), there is effectively no check on Trump's wilder schemes.

I would just like to take a moment to reflect on the sophisticated - dare I say edgy? - humor of the MAGA movement. Kamala is ret@rded! Blacks like watermelons!! Puerto Ricans don't practice birth control!! Humor that was out of date in 1970, now back in style with a certain audience. Edgy!