GunnerBill

I think is a factor he isn't the factor. This kind of offense where you don't have a single guy who you can rely on to always be open puts an extra premium on decision making. We have to get better than 2023 Josh to give that a shot of working. If it doesn't it won't really be Josh's fault. It will be Beane's fault for giving him the talent he has given him either because the guys couldn't get open or because if Josh again struggles at times with a decision maker it will prove why giving him those elite talented weapons to make those decisions easier matters.

It might take us a while. It is depending on us hitting the ground running. I'm not convinced Brady is the answer. I do think he will be better than Dorsey who I was not a fan of for this team and I do think he was one of the better available options. But ultimately the proof will be in the pudding.

I don't think there is going to be one guy on this offense that defenses key in on every week like they did on Stef. Certainly not early in the year anyway. In a sense that might give us a little bit of an advantage early on in the season if Josh genuinely can spread the ball around. I expect at some point teams will revert to a "don't let Samuel win deep and force Kincaid to break off his routes short rather than threaten the seam." But it will take some time for defenses to workout how this offense is going to run and if we can hit the ground ready to roll in week 1 that might even be in our favour.

While the tape definitely showed Diggs struggled to get open deep down the stretch in the short and intermediate areas he was still our most open receiver and by a fair amount. I didn't see a ton of evidence of Josh forcing it him.

I just don't trust Aaron Rodgers' motivation. I do think the Jets are the threat to the Bills in the division but I think Aaron is already retired in his head. If the Jets get off to a hot start they are a threat. But when adversity hits I think he will check out very quickly. I have the Bills winning 10 or 11. That could be enough for the division. It will likely be enough for the playoffs. I think the Jets could be a playoff team. I don't think Miami will be because I think their defense is gonna suck and while they will put up points against bad teams they will stall against good teams as per usual.

It was while he was explaining why he trains without gloves on for me. And once I saw them I couldn't unsee them. It was like "why has this grown man borrowed his arms off a 14 year old boy?"

I just watched it. Look Shakir is a good dude and I appreciate how hard he is working to be better..... but all through his workout I was just thinking "man how short are that dude's arms?" He must have someone tie his laces for him.

He won't get through a year on the PS. I am pretty sure on that. If they want to keep him they need to find a way to get him on the roster. Even if he makes it the the PS at cutdowns he wont last there for the year.

I think it means a 10 or 11 win season and a year where they go with more young guys over vets on those close roster decisions (whether that is about the 53 or about who starts on gameday).

I don't think MIN would have taken Penix from the intel I heard but they were sufficiently comfortable with Penix to not be willing to pay a steep price for McCarthy. In the end of course they did trade up for McCarthy. The Jets did the old one pick double bluff.

Oh good we need more Ohio State fans around here...... 🤣

We'd only have one 5th and two 6s but no 7th. Our original 5 belongs to the Eagles, via Houston as part of the Diggs trade. Our 7th was swapped for NYG's 6th in the Boogie trade. So if the comp formula does work out for us then I make it: one 1st two 2nds one 3rd three 4ths one 5th two 6ths 10 picks total.

Grable is still a work in progress but he is pretty experienced. He has 43 college starts at left tackle. Okay they were at Jacksonville State and UCF but I think he could be in the mix for a starting role in 2025 if they can keep him and develop him. My bigger question is how he translates to the right side.

The bolded is true. but that is NOT what you originally said, is it? You said "comp picks are fake"

Hmm. It's not showing that now for me. Possibly a glitch yesterday? He is close though because Edwards does count at $2.8m, so Hollins at $2.6m is only just the wrong side of the line.

Not to me it wasn't. If any single team in the NFL is down 3 or 4 guys at a position they are starting someone like an AJ Klein. It sucks that we had a cluster injury at a position but we did. Thats like saying the 49ers needed a QB because if what happened in the NFCCG in 2022.

You are right they may not have been on their board. But Beane did say they "had a couple of chances to take a receiver" and decided "other positions were greater needs." I don't know which picks those were. But fair to make some assumptions.

I think Kincaid could lead them in receptions. I don't see it in yards though.

Jacksonville was the prefect place for him. He is a total JAG.

In his prime? Yes. Possibly not at this stage. But he was elite his last year in MIN on 94 targets. He was at his peak the best route runner in football.

He tore wrist ligaments in game 2 and was never fully right thereafter.

They keep moving money around the deals. It isn't quite as straightforward as simple restructures as the OTC post explains. But they keep making sure their guys are getting cash in their pockets because that is what the players care about much more so than AAV once the deal is signed. OTC predicts 2027 for a new Josh Allen deal. I might go a year earlier.... 2026 is the sweet spot IMO.

I am not sugar coating it. I am just not yet ready to say he is done. Maybe he was disinterested. Maybe he was nicked up. He'd definitely fallen out with Josh. He might be done. Or he might rebound in different circumstances. Neither of those would surprise me.

See my reply to @HappyDays and the OTC link he provided. Josh is "making" top 3 or 4 money each year. AAV is AAV. It matters when you sign the deal and your agent can tweet out "best paid QB ever" etc. But year on year what matters is the money the Bills are actually paying him. While that money keeps being top 3 or 4 every year the less incentive there is for him to seek an extension. They are 8th and 9th in AAV. They are both top 3 in cash paid in 2024.

There is still money they could kick. They don't want to kick it. And the reasons why are pretty well explained in that article. They want to allow themselves flex to keep moving money around to keep the cash number Josh gets each year up there in value who will stop him hankering after a new deal with a higher overall AAV. Because while the AAV matters the day you sign the deal it doesn't matter after that. What matters is what you are getting cash terms year on year and I made this point earlier in the offseason when people started talking about needing to extend him. Josh may now be way down the list on AAV but he remains top 3 or 4 each year on cash based on the moves the Bills keep making with his deal.