GunnerBill
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Posts posted by GunnerBill
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Thanks. I will probably be labelled a "hater" or told I think Tyrod is "terrible" but I can only say it as I see it I don't think my post was unfair at all.Really good post. I think people might be surprised at how good Roman's offense was for Tyrod. People in SF started blaming Roman & Harbaugh for Kaepernick's regression as a qb. Well, they left and CK struggled even more.
But I'd love to be surprised to see Tyrod's strengths are as a qb are quick timing routes. I don't see that but who knows.
And like you, I'd love to be proved wrong. Tyrod is an easy guy to root for.
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I don't think Jones makes it past the first cut.
It's McD's team now and any unproven leftover has a slim to no chance.
There is no first cut now. Just a single cut down day.
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So where I think Vic is right - the pay cut and contract slashing tells you all you all you need to know about how the Bills actually view Tyrod - the best option for now but not a viable long term option.
Where I think he is massively reaching - that the pay cut is likely to have any effect on Tyrod's mental state when the season begins. Tyrod just never comes across as that type to me. He is a guy that has never done anything the easy way as a QB his whole career. He has always been fighting the odds. To even be where he is is a fantastic underdog story of a competitor who takes knock backs as challenges. I expect Tyrod to be the same Tyrod we have seen through two years. He will be conservative with the football but will lead his guys and make some plays. Same ceiling, same flaws but the same competitor he has always been.
What has been mentioned in this thread that I do question a bit is the idea this offense is a perfect fit for him. I think people look at the boots and the rollouts and presume that.... but this offense also relies a lot on timing routes and really accentuates short range accuracy. They are areas I think Tyrod still has questions to answer.
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Still? It's only June
And he had about 2 weeks with the playbook. I bet he is getting first team reps by the 2nd week of camp.
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I can't see it. I don't see them as a double digit win team again either. They are certainly primed for regression but they are still pretty good.
Agree. Couple of injuries I can see them 6-10 but I can't see worse than that.
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I think they have a top 10 corner in Darby, and the pair of corners the Bills have may be better than the pair three years ago. Everyone says the Bills are in trouble in safety, and I really don't get that. Micah Hyde is a seriously good player, and Poyer has nice experience. Bills' safeties weren't all that great back then - Aaron Williams and who? Plus, as the OP points out, the strength of the team is the line, and the defensive line is now going to go back to it's strength - playing aggressively and getting into the backfield. Williams may be old, and we'll see what he has left. Dareus and Hughes should thrive, and now we'll get to see what Lawson has.
Bottom line, it's easy to see this as a top 10 defense, if the defensive coaching measures up.
Darby is not a top 10 corner. Not even close. He had a good rookie year and a real sophomore slump. I like the kid and I like the Tre pick but neither are replacing the talent that we lost in Gilmore in 2017... as unpopular as I know Gilmore is in these parts. Aaron Williams and D'Norris Searcy were at least established coming into 2014... they had been on the team they knew their teammates they were not quite starting from scratch and I am a Micah Hyde fan - loved that pickup.
I am as big a Shaq fan as anyone on this board as well.... but 2017 Shaq is not going to be 2014 Mario. He just isn't. Not the same type of player anyway and Mario was in that period 2012-2014 (his first 3 years on the Bills) 3rd in the league behind only JJ Watt and Justin Houston in sack production. He was absolutely a premier defensive end in the league and in his prime.
I think this D will get better..... but in my opinion I see it somewhere 9th-14th. Expecting it to catapult back to near the top of the league is a reach for me.
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I don't believe the talent level on defense is any less than what Schwartz had in 2014 when our defense was great. Ryan's game management and his defensive schemes were abysmal, and McDermott doesn't need to be a defensive genius to produce far better result. Good defense coupled with offensive production even slightly better than last year can produce a 10 or 11 win season. Last years win total of 7 would have been much higher with a decent defense.
I hope you are right, but I don't share your belief. We had a premier pass rushing defensive end, a 3 years young Kyle Williams, a top 10 corner and an established pair at safety. The linebackers were a question going into that year and played well and are a question at this stage this year and who knows.
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and are a lower caliber player than Peyton Manning or Andrew Luck imo. those guys were complete luck. Manning and Luck were sure things. we are only going to win 6 games this year. what's the difference between winning 3 and winning 6 if it gets you one of the 2 best QB's in the draft?
If they are 2-6 after 8 games I will want them to stop pretending the season is recoverable.
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Only chance we finish close to the bottom is a tyrod injury
I think Tyrod and McCoy would have to both go down for us to end worse than 5 wins.
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Wgr talking about it now. Better chance to make the playoffs than hit bottom
Agree. I don't think we will do either. I'd put the over/under at 7 wins again.... I'd be shocked if this team won fewer than 5, surprised if it won fewer than 6 and surprised if it won more than 9 shocked if it won more than 10.
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What if Brady is told pre-snap which receiver is uncovered?
Why would he need to be told? He can see? Or are you honestly suggesting Tom Brady doesn't know how to read which receiver is most likely to end up uncovered or in a mismatch but Josh McDaniel does? Tom Brady has been in that offense 17 years. He knows it and understands it better than anyone. He doesn't need telling pre-snap where the mismatch is. He understands what his checks and keys are on each play and calculates it himself. Or do you think Aaron Rodgers, Big Ben and Peyton Manning (other masters of identifying the mismatch) also need telling pre-snap in their headsets who might come uncovered?
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starting the season 0-2 in both the division and the conference never bodes well for playoffs. seems like that scenario will play out yet again this year.
Does it? Cos I thought we didn't play the Patriots until week 13?? We start in the Division:
Jets at home; Jets on the road
And in the conference:
Jets at home; Denver at home
Think it is far more likely we "start" 2-0 in both rather than 0-2. I think we are better worrying about the Patriots in weeks 13 and 16 don't you? Play the schedule out. We might be done anyway by then, we might be in the mix.... but we don't start by counting games that we can do nothing about for a minimum of 12 weeks.
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It would cost us $4.5 mill this year AND $9 mill next year, all dead money. Total $13.5 mill.
Next year it would only save us his salary, $4.5 mill.
The $4.5m saving would be in 2017 I think. His cap hit is $9m per year for the next 3 years. That is broken down into $4.5m per year salary, $2m a year in signing bonus, $2.5m a year in the restructure bonus. All of that signing bonus and restructure bonus money is DEAD because the reality is in cash terms he has already received it - it is simply spread out in the way we account for it against the cap.
So if we cut him now we save his $4.5 salary in 2017, but count the $4.5 signing and restructure bonus. In 2018 he would still cost us $9m. We would save his $4.5m 2018 salary but not only his $4.5m 2018 signing and restructure bonus would count on the 2018 cap, but his $4.5m 2019 signing and restructure bonus would too.
Have I mentioned how much I hate the Clay contract? Worst thing that happened on Whaley's watch by far in my opinion.
EDIT: I don't see any way he is not on the team in 2017 and 2018 and I see no way that he IS on the team in 2019.
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-Did somebody say BRAD SMITH??? -YAY!
Now we just need to get Brandan Kauffman off his shifts at KFC and then.... Superbowl?!?!
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without question. Some would suggest... rightly so...
He has had a lot of regular season success so it is hard to argue with. But he does need checks and balances. In Philadelphia the more control he got the worse the team got. Having a GM but giving Reid a strong final say is the way to go... if the Dorsey relationship was no longer effective a divorce was inevitable.
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I dont think the radio is on....I just think Brady processes information very fast and is very accurate
I think when it comes to the patriots you just have to keep it simple
Long sustained drives with touchdowns at the end
Keep Brady off the field
Understand that the pats are going to score
Dont kill yourselves with stupid penalties
HIT brady every time the opportunity presents itself
DId I say hit Tom Brady?
Agree John. I'd add... do as much as you can to confuse him with a 4 man rush. You start sending 5 regularly he kills you. The frustration is that Rex in his first year got the scheme right in the road game. We beat ourselves that night.
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I will watch the early years of the drought over the next few evenings. The first season I followed was 2002 and 2002-2006 I had to make do with the 30-50 seconds of highlights they showed on the MNF.
2007 was the first year I had the means to watch every Bills game. I think I have missed about 4 or 5 since.
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...Andy gets what Andy wants period..............
Correct.
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@allbrightnfl
#Chiefs /Dorsey split had absolutely nothing to do with Dorsey contract situation, despite a few speculative reports I've seen.
I know top to bottom what happened, and have reported what I could without burning sources.
Reid forced Dorsey out per sources. #Chiefs
Just Andy Reid being Andy Reid.
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They have the best short passing attack because 1) refs allow them to commit offense PI, and 2) Brady's helmet radio doesn't shut off so he is told who's open.
So you think from the point of the snap he has time to receive the ball, McDaniels to odentify who is open, radio down to Tom and for him to throw it all within 2 seconds?
Sure.
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[*]How many times have the Redskins made the playoffs in the last 17 years?
[*]How many times has the team won more games than it lost in a season?
These two come down to much more than FO. The answer is though that the Redskins have won more than 8 games four times in the period of the Bills drought and made the playoffs on all 4 occassions - twice with the same 9-7 records that haven't been good enough to get the Bills in.
Considering that for most of those 17 years Washington was throwing a lot more money at players and coaches than the Bills and that they are not in a division with the greatest coach and Quarterback of all time I don't think it is that big of a stretch to say that their FO has been as dysfunctional as ours.
This sounds like the prediction that pundits made about 15 years ago about the effect of the salary cap on teams being able to regularly field winning teams. Teams like NE, Pittsburgh, Green Bay, Kansas City, etc weren't supposed to happen.
I'm sorry but explain to me again why Kansas City are on this list?
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New Orleans OL isn't good. Peat has been a massive disappointment and Armstead is hurt. Strief bounced back in 2016 but was awful in 2015. I'd have them closer to 20 than 10.
As I said my ranking of them around the top 10 is based on when everyone is healthy. Armstead is a very good left tackle I think Peat is serviceable inside (though remains a problem when he had to flip to tackle when Armstead was hurt) Strief had a really good year and I think Max Unger is an outstanding center. I personally believe the Unger for Graham trade was the moment the Seahawks relinquished any hope of a dynasty.
Theh might not have depth, but when everyone is healthy I think that line is good and I give it the edge over others because there is no obvious weak link.
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Eric Wood has been up and down in his career it is true and he was awful in Marrone's 2nd year but he actually played pretty well in the Roman / Kromer scheme. I think he is a decent technician but he isn't going to flatten his man straight up.Again, I don't think that OL sucks. I do however think that we overrate our center and right guard. I am glad we drafted the kid from Temple.
Jmo.
Miller I am a fan of. I thought he was better than many here thought his rookie year, and he was a solid starting guard in 2016. He is definitely better in the run game than in pass pro but his pass protection faults are more concerntration and technique on specific plays rather than being generally sub par.
I am also glad we drafted Dawkins... because A - RT has been the weak spot and in the pass game at times a liability. B - with Kujo gone I worry about depth behind Glenn at the most important position. Dawkins played LT in college and has been there so far in OTAs etc.
EDIT: for what it is worth and I am not an absolute believer in PFF but I think their end of season O-line rankings pretty much matched what I saw on tape not just from the Bills but around the league. It had the Bills 11th - that felt instinctively about right - and the teams it had ahead of them are broadly the ones I would have had (though one might quibble a bit with the order). For me based on 2016 there is a definite top 8:
Dallas, Oakland, Tennessee, Green Bay, Pittsburgh, Washington, Baltimore, Atlanta.
After that I think you could put the Bills anywhere from 9 to about 13/14. PFF additionally had New England and Philadelphia above them I actually have the Bills slightly ahead of those two, but behind New Orleans (Armstead missing time hurt their PFF grade) and right about level with the Bengals who similarly have (or had) an outstanding LT and LG and then solid but not special C and RG and a problem at RT.
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Carr by no metric had an "impressive rookie year" he started to play better the last 4 or 5 weeks and so the Raiders could legitimately feel good about him and he kicked on in year 2 but the start of his rookie year he really struggled. Carr is the poster boy for letting your guy play his rookie year and accepting the results.
Former player comes out
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
I played soccer with a guy who went through very much the same and attmepted a drug overdose (thankfully his sister found him and he was got to hospital in time and survived).
He came out after that and almost immediately the demons were gone. He was an angry, aggressive character that gave way to a funny, charming, laid back man.
Until you have seen the affect that wrestling to keep your true self hidden 24 hours a day has on a person you have no idea the mental torment that can cause.
My thoughts and best wishes are with Ryan O'Callaghan and I pay tribute to the people at Kansas City who saved that young man's life. I've seen with my own eyes how close a friend came.