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GunnerBill

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Posts posted by GunnerBill

  1. starting the season 0-2 in both the division and the conference never bodes well for playoffs. seems like that scenario will play out yet again this year.

     

    Does it? Cos I thought we didn't play the Patriots until week 13?? We start in the Division:

     

    Jets at home; Jets on the road

     

    And in the conference:

     

    Jets at home; Denver at home

     

    Think it is far more likely we "start" 2-0 in both rather than 0-2. I think we are better worrying about the Patriots in weeks 13 and 16 don't you? Play the schedule out. We might be done anyway by then, we might be in the mix.... but we don't start by counting games that we can do nothing about for a minimum of 12 weeks.

  2.  

    It would cost us $4.5 mill this year AND $9 mill next year, all dead money. Total $13.5 mill.

     

    Next year it would only save us his salary, $4.5 mill.

     

    The $4.5m saving would be in 2017 I think. His cap hit is $9m per year for the next 3 years. That is broken down into $4.5m per year salary, $2m a year in signing bonus, $2.5m a year in the restructure bonus. All of that signing bonus and restructure bonus money is DEAD because the reality is in cash terms he has already received it - it is simply spread out in the way we account for it against the cap.

     

    So if we cut him now we save his $4.5 salary in 2017, but count the $4.5 signing and restructure bonus. In 2018 he would still cost us $9m. We would save his $4.5m 2018 salary but not only his $4.5m 2018 signing and restructure bonus would count on the 2018 cap, but his $4.5m 2019 signing and restructure bonus would too.

     

    Have I mentioned how much I hate the Clay contract? Worst thing that happened on Whaley's watch by far in my opinion.

     

    EDIT: I don't see any way he is not on the team in 2017 and 2018 and I see no way that he IS on the team in 2019.

  3. I dont think the radio is on....I just think Brady processes information very fast and is very accurate

     

    I think when it comes to the patriots you just have to keep it simple

     

    Long sustained drives with touchdowns at the end

    Keep Brady off the field

    Understand that the pats are going to score

    Dont kill yourselves with stupid penalties

    HIT brady every time the opportunity presents itself

    DId I say hit Tom Brady?

    Agree John. I'd add... do as much as you can to confuse him with a 4 man rush. You start sending 5 regularly he kills you. The frustration is that Rex in his first year got the scheme right in the road game. We beat ourselves that night.

  4. I will watch the early years of the drought over the next few evenings. The first season I followed was 2002 and 2002-2006 I had to make do with the 30-50 seconds of highlights they showed on the MNF.

     

    2007 was the first year I had the means to watch every Bills game. I think I have missed about 4 or 5 since.

  5. [*]How many times have the Redskins made the playoffs in the last 17 years?

    [*]How many times has the team won more games than it lost in a season?

    These two come down to much more than FO. The answer is though that the Redskins have won more than 8 games four times in the period of the Bills drought and made the playoffs on all 4 occassions - twice with the same 9-7 records that haven't been good enough to get the Bills in.

     

    Considering that for most of those 17 years Washington was throwing a lot more money at players and coaches than the Bills and that they are not in a division with the greatest coach and Quarterback of all time I don't think it is that big of a stretch to say that their FO has been as dysfunctional as ours.

    This sounds like the prediction that pundits made about 15 years ago about the effect of the salary cap on teams being able to regularly field winning teams. Teams like NE, Pittsburgh, Green Bay, Kansas City, etc weren't supposed to happen.

    I'm sorry but explain to me again why Kansas City are on this list?

  6. New Orleans OL isn't good. Peat has been a massive disappointment and Armstead is hurt. Strief bounced back in 2016 but was awful in 2015. I'd have them closer to 20 than 10.

    As I said my ranking of them around the top 10 is based on when everyone is healthy. Armstead is a very good left tackle I think Peat is serviceable inside (though remains a problem when he had to flip to tackle when Armstead was hurt) Strief had a really good year and I think Max Unger is an outstanding center. I personally believe the Unger for Graham trade was the moment the Seahawks relinquished any hope of a dynasty.

     

    Theh might not have depth, but when everyone is healthy I think that line is good and I give it the edge over others because there is no obvious weak link.

  7. Again, I don't think that OL sucks. I do however think that we overrate our center and right guard. I am glad we drafted the kid from Temple.

     

    Jmo.

    Eric Wood has been up and down in his career it is true and he was awful in Marrone's 2nd year but he actually played pretty well in the Roman / Kromer scheme. I think he is a decent technician but he isn't going to flatten his man straight up.

     

    Miller I am a fan of. I thought he was better than many here thought his rookie year, and he was a solid starting guard in 2016. He is definitely better in the run game than in pass pro but his pass protection faults are more concerntration and technique on specific plays rather than being generally sub par.

     

    I am also glad we drafted Dawkins... because A - RT has been the weak spot and in the pass game at times a liability. B - with Kujo gone I worry about depth behind Glenn at the most important position. Dawkins played LT in college and has been there so far in OTAs etc.

     

    EDIT: for what it is worth and I am not an absolute believer in PFF but I think their end of season O-line rankings pretty much matched what I saw on tape not just from the Bills but around the league. It had the Bills 11th - that felt instinctively about right - and the teams it had ahead of them are broadly the ones I would have had (though one might quibble a bit with the order). For me based on 2016 there is a definite top 8:

     

    Dallas, Oakland, Tennessee, Green Bay, Pittsburgh, Washington, Baltimore, Atlanta.

     

    After that I think you could put the Bills anywhere from 9 to about 13/14. PFF additionally had New England and Philadelphia above them I actually have the Bills slightly ahead of those two, but behind New Orleans (Armstead missing time hurt their PFF grade) and right about level with the Bengals who similarly have (or had) an outstanding LT and LG and then solid but not special C and RG and a problem at RT.

  8. Tyrod doesn't buy time... he wastes time. It is there on tape he misses chances to throw to open receivers and asks the o-line to block too much space for too long.

     

    Where I do think he makes them look better is in run blocking. Tyrod's threat with his legs makes defences really reluctant to crash down in the middle of the line for fear that it is a keeper and Tyrod will simply run round the outside of them.

  9. I've had this bookmarked for a while, and it's still a great read. Really something I wish the Bills would include in their offense: uptempo/quick release/pre-snap reads/only having to read a small portion of the field.

     

    So how do they do it? By playing matchups. 2.2 seconds isn’t enough to scan the whole field and decipher the intricacies of the defensive scheme. Much of Brady’s decision-making comes from the pre-snap alignment of the defense. Once he receives the ball, Brady does little more than read the defenders in a small area of the field to be able to get rid of it so swiftly.

     

    https://www.profootballfocus.com/pro-why-the-patriots-have-the-best-short-pass-game-in-the-nfl-brady-gronkowski-amendola/

     

    Gotta have a QB who is cerebral and smart enough to run it. Nobody will ever do it as well as Tom Brady.

  10. Fun topic Jack!!

     

    HC - Marrone (he's an a-hole but was organized and his teams were prepared. Marrone was an easy choice for me here).

    OC - Chan (he's proven to be a good OC. He's scored points with some bad talen. This was another easy choice).

    DC - Fewell (this is much tougher. I don't love any of the candidates. Greggo has had some success as has Rex. His defense is totally antiquated though. Fewell gets the nod).

    ST - Lynn (he has some ST experience. I don't know what other way to go).

     

     

    With you 100%. Marrone and Gailey were easy choices. And as I had fun elongating their full names to Douglas and Chandler I went for the DC that was easiest to do that with (although I think Gregg is actually his full name... psshht....) In reality Fewell might be the best of a bad bunch there. The best Ds we have fielded came under Mularkey and Marrone.... two offensive coaches. Odd.

  11. I think DW is done as GM, I think the consensus around the league is the he is a good scout but over his head as a GM. Classic example of the Peter Principle.

     

    His ONLY shot of getting a GM job again (if he even wants to stay in scouting, he could go back to Wall Street and earn a fortune) is to take a VP for Pro-Personnel type job or an Assistant GM job in a place with an established veteran GM and make himself the go to "in house" candidate when that GM retires. Or go into a team, and KC may become that team, where they are not going to have a traditional GM but where the HC will be an omnipotent all powerful decision maker and Whaley could just scout.

  12. Rodgers receivers were spooked that day because Gilmore hit them early. We pressed, we got physical and we hit them in the mouth. Up front and on the backend. People talk about the Nelson drop but if Green Bay won that day it would have been totally undeserved. The Bills physically battered them. We were set up at that point to beat finesse teams... witness a similar destruction of Luck and the Colts on Rex's first day in situ. The crazy thing is under the Bully Builder we went from that to a bunch of kitty cats who allowed three 200 yard rushers in a single season (I think it was 4 times in history before 2016).

  13. I feel that he also stretches the pocket way too far, and never climbs up into it. Contrast the size of his pocket to that of someone like Matt Ryan, who will climb up into it to extend the play. TT's pocket is three times the size. How much harder is it to pass-protect when the O-line has to have eyes in the back of their heads to know where the QB is?

    Indeed. They are asked to protect too big of a space for too long.

  14. If it wasn't an agreed upon move I find it incredibly hard to picture a GM making a blockbuster trade for a QB against Reid's wishes. I find it much more likely that Reid would carry the juice to get the GM to make the move despite reservations. Still most likely though was they just agreed.

    Yep. Andy Reid gets what Andy Reid wants. To believe otherwise is to ignore his history. Mahomes was a Reid pick, I don't have a single doubt about it.

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