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GunnerBill

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Posts posted by GunnerBill

  1. Not sure where you are getting your info from...his numbers compare pretty favorably to many other high value #2 receivers over the past few years and he played in a run first offense that didn't throw a lot of passes...

     

    Yea I suppose that is right. I just felt like his talents were below average (not that fast, good but not great hands, didn't get great separation) but it is a fair challenge matter - his production was right in that Sanu / Marvin Jones territory - hence he got paid as such.

  2. It is time we moved on from this marginal tackle. He has been a stop gap player at left tackle that we have come to rely on. He looks good because all others have been worse. The level of performance when healthy is not enough to win with. Remaining healthy has been only one of the issues. Just the best of a bad lot.

     

    Absolute nonsense. There are literally about 5 tackles that have performed as consistently well as Cordy since he entered the NFL. Marginal? Absolute rubbish.

  3. I think the point is you can make a realistic case for 7 or 8 teams in the NFC.... but only 3 or maybe 4 in the AFC (New England, Pittsburgh, Oakland if Carr comes back as good, Houston if Watson wins the job and gives them better than average Quarterback play).

     

    The NFC has achieved parity..... I hope Brady p****s off soon so that the AFC can do the same.

  4. Yep....exactly how I see it too. It makes the most logical sense. McD wanted Taylor over the likes of a Josh McCown and Brian Hoyer....

     

    And Cutler and Kaepernick and RGIII and Fitzpatrick and over starting a rookie week 1. That to me is not in question. McDermott felt Tyrod was a better choice than all those alternatives. So if you want to limit "the future" to the next year then McDermott absolutely believes Tyrod is his guy of the future. To me the future means the guy that you think is good enough that you stop looking and start loading up around him to make a Superbowl run.

     

     

    EDIT: And that is my 9,000 post on TBD. I hope you've all enjoyed them. :D

  5. I have no doubt McDermott thinks Tyrod is the best option NOW and bringing in an OC he knows (not McDermott's 1st choice it has to be said) is largely about setting Tyrod up to be comfortable and succeed. That is equally inarguable and I have never doubted that he will start this year or argued that Peterman is suddenly going to beat him out or any of that. Others might have. I haven't. Tyrod Taylor is the Bills starting Quarterback in 2017 and, barring a dramatic regression, going into 2018 too.

     

    But you have to accept that if McDermott really believed he was the Quarterback of the future "the guy" who is going to lead us to Championships he would not have slashed his contract in half and cut his pay for the duration of that contract by $10m. That just doesn't make sense.

     

    There are essentially the 3 scenarios I laid out. The actions of the Bills this offseason absolutely chime with a team that believes option A while keeping a residual hope that option B transpires.

  6. I haven't heard anything about whether or not McDermott is an analytics guy or not. I really don't want to see good schemes ruined by poor in-game decision making. He's an Andy Reid disciple, and while Reid is damn good at Xs and Os, he is a poor decision-maker when it comes to 4th downs, punting, FGs, etc.

     

    Dennison seem to be a very good fit for Tyrod and our running game...but if we've got a 4th and 2 from the opponent's 41 and punt, or if we're down by 5 late, score a TD and kick the XP, I'm going to lose my ****.

    I don't know any coach who doesn't go for two in the latter scenario. They all start playing the percentages that late in the game. As to the 4th and 2 from the 41... I am a believer that there is no definitive right and wrong. You have to make a decision based on the game situation and what you know about your team. Marrone got hammered a lot on here for punting on 4th down but normally he made the right call. He had an insipid offense and a defense that was very very good. Teams rarely went 80 yards and scored on them. In those situations sometimee you have to accept that as much as you want to be aggressive you team isn't built to win that way.

  7. Taking one line from an interview where the Head Coach and GM row back minutes later and ignoring the hard evidence of their actions is definitely cultish.

     

    There have been people banned and suspended from this forum for repeated criticism of Taylor this offseason and yet from where I am standing the cultish behaviour goes on unabated. It is just as harmful to genuine debate on the subject.

  8.  

    It's inarguable to say that the Bills don't view Tyrod Taylor as the QB of the future even though McDermott, when asked directly if the QB of the future is on the roster currently, his immediate response was "He is. In Tyrod Taylor." ...

    It is when moments later he rowed back massively from that statement and when you look at the actual action of an offseason in which that same coach had personnel control and they halved Taylor's contract and gave him, in real terms, a $10m paycut for the next two years.

     

    In what world are they the actions of a man who thinks he has his QB of the future?

     

    I repeat again, that is not to say that if my option B above plays out the Bills couldn't still change their mind and give Tyrod a 3rd new deal in three years.

     

    But judging the Bills on their actions and to an extent their words this offseason they judge Tyrod Taylor as a bridge. It really is inarguable.

  9. This is my annual attempt to track the chances of players to make the final 53. I always do one early May and then adjust a couple of times as we go. Not all 90 are included and you can assume that I think anyone not in the list at this stage is a longshot, but this year is probably less predictable than the last couple. So I expect this to look nothing like my final prediction the week before final cuts. Players are categorised as below:

     

    BLACK = Certain to be on the roster if healthy

    BLUE = Likely to be on the roster if healthy

    RED = Fighting for a roster spot

     

    Quarterback

    Tyrod Taylor

    Nathan Peterman

    TJ Yates

    Cardale Jones

    Josh Woodrum

     

    Fullback

    Patrick DiMarco

    Mike Tolbert

     

    Running Back

    LeSean McCoy

    Jonathan Williams

    Cedric O'Neal

    Joe Banyard

    Jordan Johnson

     

    Wide Receiver

    Sammy Watkins

    Zay Jones

    Andre Holmes

    Corey Brown

    Jeremy Butler

    Walt Powell

    Brandon Tate

    Kolby Listenbee

    Dez Lewis

     

    Tight End

    Charles Clay

    Nick O’Leary

    Logan Thomas

    Blake Annen

     

    Offensive Line

    Cordy Glenn

    Richie Incognito

    Eric Wood

    John Miller

    Jordan Mills

    Ryan Groy

    Dion Dawkins

    Cyrus Kouandjio

    Seantrel Henderson

    Patrick Lewis

    Vlad Ducasse

     

    Defensive Line

    Marcell Dareus

    Kyle Williams

    Shaq Lawson

    Jerry Hughes

    Adolphus Washington

    Jerel Worthy

    Ryan Davis

    Max Valles

    Marquavius Lewis

     

    Linebacker

    Reggie Ragland

    Preston Brown

    Lorenzo Alexander

    Ramon Humber

    Matt Milano

    Tanner Vallejo

    Carl Bradford

     

    Corner

    Tre'Davious White

    Ron Darby

    Kevon Seymour

    Leonard Johnson

    Shareece Wright

    Charles James

    Joe Powell

    Charles Gaines

     

    Safety

    Micah Hyde

    Jordan Poyer

    Colt Anderson

    Trae Elston

    Jonathan Dowling

    Shamiel Gray

     

    Specialists

    Steven Hauschka

    Colton Schmidt

    Reid Ferguson

    Austin Rehkow

  10. I suppose I'd ask what plays well means John. I see 3 possible scenarios:

     

    A - The most likely - Tyrod is pretty much the Quarterback we have seen so far and plays reasonably well as we end around .500. In my mind in that scenario the Bills keep Tyrod for the 2nd year of his contract even at the higher salary and draft a Quarterback in round 1. Tyrod starts 2018 as the starter and probably reliquinshes to the rookie at some point and is a FA in 2019.

     

    B - Tyrod hits it out of the park in 2017, throws for more yards, more touchdowns, a few more picks but wins the Bills games frequently. In that scenario I think the Bills try and extend him and don't take a Quarterback in round 1 and whether they take one in rounds 2 and 3 depends on how much they like Peterman.

     

    C - Tyrod regresses in the new offense when the run game doesn't click and he is forced to try and win more games in his arm. In that scenario I think the Bills bench him wih 5 or 6 games left cut ties at the end of 2017 swallow the cap hit and draft a Quarterback in round 1 who competes with Peterman to start in 2018.

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