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GunnerBill

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Posts posted by GunnerBill

  1.  

    The Cardinals were 13-3 in '15. Only reason they didn't make the SB was they lost Palmer and his back up very late in the season. If you actually predicted a Bills win last offseason, whatever you're doing to make a living, you're in the wrong bidniz.

    I did. I will find the post... but you are getting two years mixed up. 2014 was the year Palmer got injured and the replacements sucked in the playoffs against Carolina. In 2015 Palmer started to look a bit old at the end of the year and in the playoffs. As I say, over the years I have been reasonably good at predicting when teams that have had a run are about to fall off.

    You like Siemian but Tyrod not so much?

     

    I'd take Tyrod any day of the week over Siemian.

    So would I - but do think Siemian is a pretty good fit for the O we are about to run.

  2. Games 5-7.

     

    So many perfectionist here.

     

    I know you know what I meant you just wanted to correct me, thanks I'm an idiot

     

    Yes they are thanks. Just trying to spur up some conversation here. But I guess the thread should have been about the 16 most critical games this year. That would have been fun.

    Games 5-7 is still only 3 games... which are the other 2...?

  3. I actually think they would miss Shady more in 2017 than they did in 2015 and 2016 when he missed a few because I feel significantly worse about the depth behind him.

     

    Tyrod is 1a and Shady 1b for me. I think I'd put Hyde at 2 because he has to be the vet leader of the secondary and I put Glenn at 3 because he is 2nd only to Shady in terms of the best player on this team in my opinion. Sammy at 4, Jerry Hughes at 5.

  4. me too.

    Me three. Wouldn't even think twice.

     

     

    Saying pretty much any QB in his second year is hopeless doesn't really make sense. Lynch and Siemian both have a reasonable chance to be good. Having two young guys with some promise is a very very good thing for them.

    Well I never felt like Lynch had much of a chance coming out. He was my "not with a barge pole" player of the 2016 draft. Siemian is a perfect stylistic fit for Kubiak and Dennison - a poor man's Matt Schaub. Let's see how he transitions into Mike McCoy's offense - I suspect not well. And the defense keeps getting older and keeps losing peices and they lost Wade.

  5.  

    I agree. Their OL is among the worst and they don't know who'll be at QB. Game in Buffalo? Take the Bills.

     

    We go through this every year. We didn't think we'd beat the rams, Cardinals or Pats* prior to the KO of last season. We did, but got swept by NYJ & MIA. No one thought that would happen either.

    Not to be smug but I did think we would beat the Cardinals and the Rams. I had the Cardinals taking a big step back similar the way I have Denver doing this year. I didn't have the Jets or the Dolphins sweeping us though that is true. I like to think I am pretty good at spotting a team whose window has closed and is about to have a down year or two though and Denver is every inch that team this year.

  6.  

    We'll see. I think you're being very optimistic indeed. They were 9-7 and they got better.

    I think they got worse and have two hopeless Quarterbacks. 6-10 season coming up. It isn't about being optimistic for the Bills... I just see an ageing Denver team with much worse coaching and no answer at the Quarterback position.

     

    EDIT: I will go further... they will finish bottom of the AFC West and could well end up picking top 5 in the 2018 Draft. In fact I think that is going to be my bold prediction.

  7. That's not analytics, that's a useless bunch of elementary plots that wouldn't conclude any thing... ever.

     

    Strength of schedule and it's impact on a given team must be individualized and nomrmalized so it's relative.

     

    Strength of schedule based on prior results if impacting in any way, would surely impact the strong, weak and marginal teams quite differently- if at all.

    This. Absolutely this. If people think the original post was "analytics" they don't understand what analytics means. It doesn't mean "anything with numbers".

  8. I think they inherited a team that was closer than it had been for many years and made som major mistakes that set us back... the biggest being Rex Ryan (who it was so obvious to some of us at the time was the wrong man).

     

    I hope they have learned the hard way and Bean and McDermott look like a new way of working but so far besides buying the team they haven't got a lot right from a fan's perspective.

  9. I think the offense was limited due to not having its main offensive weapon on the field in Sammy Watkins

     

    We gave up a lot for this guy....and when he is healthy he is drawing consistant double coverage and beating it.

     

    Its tough to be explosive when your primary receiving weapon is Goodwin......so we relied heavily on our ground game and it did produce for the most part.

     

    We need more out of our pass catchers......they need to make plays for their qb who isnt a guy that is gonna put it on his shoulders and win a game (or has not shown the ability to do that)

    Nobody has argued that Goodwin is crap harder than me. Complete waste of time. But the QB's job is find the open guy and throw him the ball. We has plenty of open guys, it is there on film. When Tyrod lofted it and Goodwin failed to track the ball (because he is crap) I was the first to blame the receiver.

     

    I think the passing game was to an extent limited by Roman's design though. They were never trying to be a move the chains, methodical, west coast offense.

  10. Last years offense was built around the notion that the defense would be good enough to protect the lead. The offensive playbook wasnt designed to be explosive. It was all about ball control, not throwing for three hundred yards. Given that, Tyrod did what the coaches asked of him and more. The simple fact is, our defense didnt do what it was supposed to do and the offense was ill equiped to respond. That isnt a Tyrod problem, it was coaching. This is why Rex was let go.

    Not quite accurate. Rex's offense was supposed to be big play... it was not a dink and dunk offense it wae chunk plays in the run and pass game. Go check Billick's "Toxic differential".

     

    I think it was a limited offensive passing scheme but not limited in down the field plays. Limited in those intermediate routes. I am not sure Tyrod did do all that was asked "and more." He was very up and down in 2016 even in wins.

     

    I agree that the Defense was a bigger factor in the 7-9 record though.

  11.  

    @ChrisTrapasso

     

    Chris Trapasso Retweeted Buffalo Rumblings

     

    Another reminder that the #Bills ran some zone-blocking concepts last season. Anthony Lynn is a Shanahan disciple... just like Rick Dennison

    They ran some everything... Roman has just about every variety of run blocking in his scheme. It is true that in game calling terms Lynn as a play caller tendee to rely on more zone run plays than Roman.

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