GunnerBill
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Posts posted by GunnerBill
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It's a fair question... and it is a bit of a shot in the dark as I think both Detroit and Minnesota will finish close to the Packers but I am going to say the Vikings. It is more a gut feeling about the Green Bay defense... I think they could look like the Saints where it is so bad the offense just can't overcome.Who wins the NFC North this year?
As you say it's a bold... but I could see the Packers at 9-7 and missing out on tiebreakers.
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Okay folks, we are 2 weeks out from camp.... time to get BOLD. At least one league wide bold prediction and at least one that pertains specifically to the Buffalo Bills.
I have more than one of each so to get the ball rolling and make sure there is some fodder to throw back at me in January here goes....
NFL Bold Predictions
1. The Denver Broncos end up with one of the worst 5 records in the NFL and a top 5 pick in the 2018 NFL Draft.
2. The NFC South provides BOTH NFC playoff wildcards.... leaving the Green Bay Packers who finish 2nd in the North on the outside looking in and results in no small part in.....
3. Two of the NFL's longest tenured coaches - Marvin Lewis and Mike McCarthy leaving their jobs by the end of January 2018.
4. By week 10 all 3 Quarterbacks drafted in the 1st round of the 2017 NFL Draft are starting for their respective teams.
Buffalo Bills Bold Predictions
1. Marcel Dareus posts double digit sacks.
2. Tyrod Taylor throws as many interceptions in 2017 as he did in 2015 and 2016 combined (which would be 12).
3. Micah Hyde has a 6 interception season and goes to the Pro-Bowl.
4. The Bills trade Sammy Watkins before the trade deadline for a 2nd and a 4th round pick in the 2018 Draft.
Flame away and add your own.
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So, one thing that almost never happens (and I challenge you to go find all those instances where it did happen if I'm wrong) happened with our own starting QB. Maybe the thing you think has little chance of happening has a decent chance of happening considering he's already doing the unexpected.
There is no doubt Tyrod is a guy who has fought the odds his whole career and has a habit of overcoming. I am not a Tyrod believer but I don't believe the guy will ever quit.
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That's a large part of it. Moving up and drafting Reuben Foster 31st was a steal. Kyle Shanahan was probably the most sought after potential head coach (I know he screwed up in the Super Bowl but his body of work as OC was outstanding).
He didn't appoint Shanahan. Shanahan was there first and appointed Lynch.
And for what is worth I think he played the Bears thing well.
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Both teams are going to continue to run the same schemes under the new coordinators.
Both teams have better talent than the Bills IMO.
I don't want the Bills to lose these games but think they will.
I give us a chance in Carolina. I think we will lose in Atlanta.
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Should new GMs even be ranked?
And how is John Lynch so much higher than the other new appointments?
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Not really.
The article Rico just posted sums it up.
The article Rico posted is about reasons to not like Manning. I am talking about reasons Bills fans do like him. It's because he isn't Brady. Once you strip that superficial level away there is not much to like. That was my point.
I have never liked Manning. Respect his ability? Sure. Find him likeable? Nah.
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I heard it mentioned on WGR (can't remember who they were interviewed, one of the NFL analysts) that the Bills play an easier schedule this year than in 2016 as it relates to rush defense.
Yes I heard it too. Think it was Evan Silva.
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Basically Bills fans tend to like Peyton because they hate Brady. It's like I really dislike Rafa Nadal because I love Roger Federer. I don't really have any reason to dislike Nadal but he is a rival of a player I am an unashamed super-fan of (and was even before his first Slam win by the way... goes back to him beating Sampras at Wimbledon in 2001). Bills fans have a passionate dislike for Tom Brady so they like Peyton because he is the rival. Objectively I have never found Peyton that likeable.
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Fans can be very ignorant about the impact of scheme and play design.
McCoy underproduced greatly in 2015 because he was presented the option of taking most plays outside...........and he did.
The amount of his runs that finished on the sideline was ridiculous and maddening to watch when considering that he didn't break ONE SINGLE outside run for a long TD all season.......while MG and Karlos were going bananas with long TD runs from inside the hashes.
Those two far-less accomplished minimum wage backs took the inside options in 2015 and that's why they had far better production.
Lynn FUNNELED the run inside in 2016.......he didn't simply trust Shady to follow his instinct as they had in 2015....and McCoy thrived.
Shady grew up a lot since his awful 2015 season but you still have to wonder if he will revert back into a horizontal runner without play design forcing him to do what's good for him.
I agree Badol. I think the discipline of Lynn calling those inside zone runs more than Roman did (they were in the playbook he just used them less) helped Shady even on those outside zone plays that were called not to keep bouncing and bouncing and bouncing until he bounced out of play..... they got him used to the one cut and attack the line idea and his production improved. A couple of his big runs last year were on outside zone plays where the defense over pursued on the edge and Shady hit it back inside and took advantage. In 2015 he was trying to force those plays outside rather than taking what the scheme and the defense was giving him.
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This is really good analysis from Warren Sharp, who is extremely good with analytics and projected win totals etc. He knows you cannot base SOS solely on records, and bases his SOS on projected win totals for this year, totals for run/pass defense etc.
some interesting tidbits :
1) Bills have toughest SOS in league after game 1..(again based on his expected win totals for 2017)
2) Last year faced 6th toughest schedule against the run, this year projected to be 18th ( that should be good)
3) Face 3rd toughest schedule of opposing pass offenses
4) KC looks like they could take a big step back...really interesting talk starts around the 18-minute mark.
5) thinks AFC West is overrated --like's the Chargers...not as high on Derek Carr as the rest of the world.
really good listen...
I am with him 100% on 5). Think the Broncos are going to be bad, KC around .500 and Oakland a small step back maybe into the 9-7 range. The Chargers could be a sleeper.
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He had better numbers in 2016, but was hobbled more in 2015 as well. I think Shady is one of those rare RB's who can succeed in any system because of the lateral agility and stop-n-go ability he possesses.
Yep, let me clarify I wasn't meaning to suggest Shady can't succeed in an outside zone scheme. I do think the balance that Lynn called (inside and outside) is what best suits him though and if Dennison is sensible he will stay balanced and multiple in the run game and not just try and impose a pure outside zone stretch scheme on the personnel we have. That wouldn't quite be Rex imposing 3-4 on 4-3 personnel but it would still, to my mind at least, be a mistake.
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With injuries aside, I think he failed to see any cutback lanes based on the unsettled right side along with the mentality to continue to stretch until something opens up. I feel like he stretched way too many runs to the sideline on the right side in 2015. Last year, I think Lynn asked him to trust the line and cut up regardless of how small the hole was. Hopefully he can carry that with him and use that knowledge with the Dennison scheme.
I think Shady was guilty of stretching plays too far to both sides in 2015. I think it is why when Lynn got hold of playcalling he started to call a much more balanced inside / outside game whereas Roman featured the outside zone much more. It was an attempt from Lynn to force Shady to look to get north and south more quickly. It worked too. If Dennison is sensible he will continue to be balanced... because I think the inside stuff gets McCoy into the discipline of looking to hit the hole that then benefits them even when they run outside zone.
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It makes sense, I feel like McCoy likes to use his speed and prefers to go to the outside.
We ran much more outside zone in 2015 and yet McCoy had a much better year in the more inside zone heavy offense that Lynn called last season.
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There are reasons to like Peyton Manning? Huh. I've never come across one.
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I like the ending.... Tom Brady can't play forever... the end of their dynasty is close now. The Bills could be good soon. I have hope that the next decade is going to be a good one.
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Not sure what point you're trying to prove, but ok. My point is this isn't a team that struggled to find wins despite lackluster coaching, which is a significantly different situation than a new coach walking into a program that was 2-14 or 4-12 a year ago.
It's just a general irritation of mine. You are what your record says you are. It's not really about whether it says something good or bad about the Bills.... I said the same when people were trying to talk down the 9-7 season.
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I don't remember too many people playing Switzerland. Some had stringer feelings than others but most everyone (at least on this side of the pond) had a favorite.
I would say EJ was my favourite until I saw Tyrod play and then I really did not care so long as it wasn't Cassel and I might have had a major rant / meltdown when Coller on WGR made his infamous "tea leaves" proclamation that it would be Cassel on WGR the night after the 3rd pre-season game. The argument for Cassel never made any sense in my mind.
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I think a lot of people in 2015 were not on one horse or the other... so much as they were ABCs..... I certainly was. I didn't mind whether it was EJ or Tyrod (though I thought at the start Tyrod was a long shot) I just didn't want it to be Cassel.
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You one of the good ones, Bill.
What can I say.... equal opportunities talent spotter Jauronimo.
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C'mon, GB...I think I covered that with "essentially."
They weren't "essentially" anything.... they were .468. No more, no less.
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I do like me some hunky white dudes.
Trey Flowers is a good looking fella and I wouldn't kick Devin Lucien outta bed
Trey is dreamy. Not seeing it with Lucien Blokes I gotta say......
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on a team that was essentially .500 the last two seasons.
They were .468 the last two seasons. I don't want to hear woulda, shoulda, coulda about the Jets game. They lost it. Same as all the "well 2014 wasn't really 9-7.... it was 8-8...." Nope. NFL seasons are 16 games long. Excluding the final game from the record makes no sense.
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raysis
I'd find TD Mike relatively aesthetically pleasing too.
Let's get ready... 2017 BOLD predictions
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
Question about his weapons too. Cobb has regressed, who is running the ball? Can Adams be consistent? Only Jordy is a hang your hat on guy. The Packers are the most likely NFC North champs... that is why it is BOLD to say they miss out haha.