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Bleeding Bills Blue's Achievements
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Its OK for the Bills to be a run-first team
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to First Round Bust's topic in The Stadium Wall
If they're going to show 2 high looks, run at them until they change it. We aren't fast enough to attack the boundary through the air, but if they do - there needs to be an element of misdirection like a play action, a screen, a double move, etc. The outside leverage screen isn't working that well these days. -
At the time, many mock drafts had both jefferson and aiyuk off the board. So we were getting mocked Higgins and Pittman in the 1st. Both turned out to be good players though so i guess it would have worked out. I think the challenge here is that only buffalo gets to use hindsight to know what JJ is pre-draft, not the lions or giants who picked busts at 3 or 4.
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Latu was elevated as a 3rd tight end in case someone is injured, and to play special teams. Most 3rd tight ends do some combo of that like Morris did for Buffalo for a couple of years, we just use Hawes more because he's such an impact blocker and kincaids missed so much time this year.
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Doubt ur getting a 1st for a WR with one cheap year left, who's never hit 1000 yards, and was suspended for a really bad DUI. I'd say best case you're looking at the 3rd for pickens, but probably less. And paying him closer to 20.
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Game reminds me too much of Zach Wilson that its hard to see him being successful. To be fair... the trade was not executed during the draft. They traded for diggs before the draft, not knowing who would be available at the pick. So to say they didn't see value in a player they didn't know would be available in their draft slot is a bit of a stretch.
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Wildcards can and do catch fire come January. Brady's Bucs were 7-5, losers of 3 of 4, and got blown out 38-3 at home by New Orleans before going on their run. Helped playing a 7-9 division winner with a backup QB in the first round, but that's the kind of thing that happens in the NFL. A Nix/Jones/Maye injury and suddenly the favorites aren't so favorite. Just going through their playoff run and its so strange... Washington - Heinicke in the playoffs - played the best game of his life with no run game and got them pretty close. TB was a 10 point favorite though and Washington kind of sucked New Orleans revenge game - 21 points off turnovers, and lived off some short fields. Packers - The scotty miller TD comes to mind as the difference in a 5 point game. Ball at midfield with :28 left in the half and somehow they get a 40 yard TD pass with 8 seconds left in the half. Another short field turnover/TD to open the 3rd quarter and it was 28-10. Brady threw 2 picks in the 4th quarter and GB made the strange decision to kick a FG down 8 from the 8 yard line. They never touched the ball again. Chiefs SB - Pretty terrible first half by KC but its still 14-6 with 1 minute in the half, and KC gets 50 yards of PI penalties on the drive to go into half down 21-6. Which essentially screwed what was left of their gameplan.
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The reason you use mesh is it sets open window reads and they're all really rapid. So you know - this guy uncovers first, then this guy, then finally that guy - and this guy over here is the hot. But if none of them uncover in rhythm (because the opponent knows you're running mesh) - they know once you move off read 1, you don't have time to go back to read 1, so i no longer have to cover him, then you end up with these busted plays where no one is open. There's plenty of ways to beat man coverage beyond mesh or rub routes. The challenge with the construction of these plays is always going to be proper diagnosis of coverage, identifying when players will uncover, and knowing when you have to get the ball out. Plus route running will help, but it's more of an issue of timing. When you run a timing based offense the ball goes to the same place at the same time. If you're running double moves to shake tight man coverage, that takes more time regardless of how fast you are. Part of the challenge buffalo is running into on a lot of scramble drills also reflects on the route's they're running. They run too close together so buying time doesn't create space since there will be multiple defenders in the area of bunched receivers. End of the day - if they're getting home with 4 THAT consistently, you have to change your approach.
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I put a lot of this on brady. We just never adjusted to their pass rush, it felt like we were consistently trying to beat them in spread looks with mesh and crossers. Allen's first INT seemed to spook him on the spot routes in the middle, and too much stuff was happening way too far down the field with how quickly pressure was getting there. Houston never had to really adjust and essentially played a man under game with a spy on 3rd downs.
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The sideline passes in condensed formations would be an issue. It was typically run by teams that blitz a lot, during an era of football when most teams ran the ball. And like every other defense in the 80s/90s it requires your safeties and linebackers hammer anyone over the middle, which you can't do anymore. I more meant it as reading a bear front to be something like a 46 defense - which has a number of players at or near the LOS - which is when you give up large runs (and passes for that matter). Could you mix it in? Sure - but i don't think you can come out of that on 1st down more than a couple times before teams are passing out of condensed sets to race to the sideline, or attacking your boundary corners in obvious single high looks.
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This is true of strength training in general when you don't put a good enough focus on flexibility. Steroids tend to allow you to easily overtrain and over work muscle tendons, but it's common in athletes who lift a lot.
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Going heavy with a single high safety has usually been where buffalo gets gashed for huge runs
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Which is kinda what you want at that pick for Javon - a cheap player who can play special teams and provide some depth. Bishop's finally starting to come around after a lost 2024 season. Carters been injured (I don't give them a mulligan, but you can't really control that kind of thing), and Davis hasn't really had a path to playing time (he'd have had to really earn it and i haven't seen it). Other late RBs that have performed above draft position are Irving and Tracy, but they also didn't have someone like cook ahead of them either. Comparable usage to a Guerendo, Estime, or Davis (NYJ) from the same draft. Not a "sexy" pick, and not providing a ton of value, but its hard to look through everyone picked after davis and argue they missed. He's a cheap backup running back, which is what you need if you plan to pay a running back. I don't think the book is written on coleman yet even this season, lot of football left to play.
