sherpa

Without commenting on this individual, the lack of business people in the Dem party is what drove me away. The true talent in the US is in business, not politics. It is an infinitely more merit based group, which politics is absolutely not. Still, you have to have some level of understanding of international issues and some exposure to the military. That is why I supported Nikki Haley. She had everything. Trump is not my guy, and Harris is the single worst candidate for national office I have ever seen. Just my view, but I much prefer an ex Governor who has prepared and lived within a budget, has that executive experience and has some knowledge of the military.

Iran has had a really bad month.

I'm a bit confused. You had a dead guy and an electrical fire on the same flight? Anyway, regarding the issue, a passenger would not know the best course of action. For instance, in your example, the strongest jet stream winds on earth are over the northern Pacific east of Japan during fall and winter. Often over 200 knots. That means that if you continue east towards the US or continental North America, you would have a 400+ knot groundspeed advantage over turning back west to Japan. Regarding in flight stuff, a dead passenger would not cause a divert. A serious medical emergency would, depending on the circumstance. I've had a few of these. Nobody dead, but a couple of rather serious medical events, including one on a Japan to Chicago flight.

To answer the question, you always have a "primary divert," which is an airport that can service your airplane, has access to medical facilities etc. On routes from Japan to N. America, after a few hours it switches, generally, from a Japanese airport to Anchorage. There are other options depending on how far south the route is, but generally its Anchorage. You also have an an emergency divert, which you would go to if you absolutely had to get the airplane on the ground as fast as possible. The only real criteria is weather above minimums and a long enough, wide enough runway and taxiways. These things are discussed in the cockpit as the flight progresses, and you load them in the nav system and change them long the way.

I expect much less than you think. Other things US, but not tech stuff, and they are proving it every week, to the shock of Hezbollah, Hamas and Iranian leaders, now dead.

I think this view misjudges the position of this alliance. Israel is not the step child of the US, and their sovereignty and self preservation is their own business. They are involved in a battle for survival, and pleasing the US, while it would be nice, is not their top priority. Given recent dismissive diplomatic insults by the US, they seemed to have determined to do what they need to do without "permission" from this administration. Regarding tactical questions, like "how are they going to get to Iran to counterpunch," they seem to have done a pretty good job the last month without direct penetration. The tactical question is too big for this thread, and there is nobody here who can discuss it with accuracy. I know I can't, and know quite a bit about strikes, weapons, ranges and other factors involved. Best.

Didn't want to anger you, I was just unsure of what you were saying, and on this site, best to be certain. Anyway, what Israel wants is an end to offensive actions orchestrated in Iran and carried out by it's militias. They also want to not have to deal with a nuclear ballistic missile launched from a country determined to destroy them. However they achieve those goals is not something the US controls, and the last few weeks have seen an absolute diminishing of this alliance.

I'm not sure what you are saying here. Too many undefined pronouns. If you are suggesting that the US won't allow Israel to strike Iranian oil fields, I don't think that is true. The US has lost a good bit of influence over Israel over the past six months in my view by clearly slapping them by not having the VP, who heads the Senate, not attend Netanyahu's address, and then having our UN Ambassador not attend his UN speech. Those are diplomatic insults directed at a head of state. Stupid and intentional, and I think they realize they are on their own for a bit. Regarding their "oil fields," I don't think that is the best way to effect their income. They have a rocky and shallow shore, so they use oil platforms at sea to export their product, as large tankers are much more easily supplied by those. Either way, something is going to happen, and probably pretty soon. Either way, I think the Biden Admin has lost a good deal of influence over them.

His "quest for war?" He's defending his country from seven belligerents, all funded, trained armed and equipped from one country that has a countdown to Israel's destruction in a main marketplace in their capital. "If you want war, we are masters of war," reads the slogan at the top, written in Farsi. The slogan underneath, in Hebrew, reads: "Israel must be wiped from the face of the earth and this is the beginning of the story."

Last week you said I was a bigot. I'm neither biased nor a bigot. What I am is indifferent regarding the nonsense you accuse me of. Completely indifferent.

Just like the "rant" claim, I'm not trying to obfuscate anything. Further, I'm not trying to make anything "work."

No rant whatsoever. Don't care enough about this to rant, and not my style. The job growth numbers, and a number of other metrics, have been distorted over the past two years by coming out of covid influences and strong government job acceleration. I have no concern regarding who claims the credit for it, because people who watch this stuff know it for what it is. Biden has done nothing to effect it, and his VP doesn't even understand it. Never has and never will.

Job gains have been disproportionate because of Gov job additions. Indisputable. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/biden-administration-job-growth-numbers-175321823.html I couldn't care less, but the claim that job numbers, or anything else coming out of covid is somehow a positive for Biden or his idiotic, doesn't have a clue VP is ridiculous. The Dems do what they always do. They appoint career pols to offices. They disregard the true strength in the US, which is industry and those who have been in positions of influence based on merit, who get fired if they fail, and they continuously blame others for everything, and beg for relief when things don't go their way. Big pharma. Big oil. Never ends.

I trade equities every day. I have no regard for political vectors on this, so.... Say what you want. Don't care.

The title of this thread, indicates no wishing for a recession. It does indicate a false claim that we are in one, which by definition is two quarters of negative growth. Either way, this administration, whomever that is now, and nobody knows except it isn't Biden, has does nothing positive.

Typical. What I stated was job creation over the past four months, and specifically stated I had not looked at the latest. I don't follow these reports the day or week of, because the model is flawed and it takes time to get an accurate report. Again, the report is encouraging, but nothing political for either side in it. Could you point out the evidence for your accusation that he is "cheering for a recession"?

I don't see him cheering for a recession, but I do follow the jobs data. This last report is very encouraging, and the specifics are not out, but.... Jobs gains to this point, at least in the last four months, have been gov related. Those contribute nothing to GDP. When you print 5 trillion, that capital is going to find a way to a performing asset with a return. Simple.

Yep. I guessed. A guy I used to fly with built those huge mushroom production facilities in that area. Very big capital investment, over a million each, but really interesting and cool.

A little inside baseball on this. Last week there were a lot of headlines about this conflict. One of the issues that did not get much press, because the press is not bright, is what the Israelis did in Syria. The Israelis have a massive range problem getting attack aircraft into Iran. What they did was to destroy very specific anti air defenses in Syria, creating a corridor they have confidence to get through, cutting the range required. Pay attention to the small things.

Central PA?

Well, that was effective.

I really wish two things happened in this forum, actually a lot more, but two economic things. One, stop taking one month economic reports as trend. Smarter to see a six month moving average. One month's data is notoriously distorted and not illustrative. Two. Stop with the assigning of US economic performance with the administration. There isn't a single thing this group has done to positively effect it. On the other hand, they can hurt it, which is exactly what would happen if this insane proposal to tax unrealized capital gains would do.

I hesitate to respond because I don't want to be disagreeable, but if anyone can do it, it would be the US with an assist from Israel's human intel capability. The Iranians are not stupid. Their nuc program is dispersed over many sites, suggesting some degree of redundancy, and it is underground. It would takes many days, if not weeks to eliminate it. The Israelis do not have the tanking or electronic warfare capability to eliminate it, though they could significantly impact it, unless their on the ground capability inside Iran is multiples more capable than anyone knows. It's simply too big for them to handle.

A very difficult task.

This has gotten too stupid to continue. Not interested in the least about thread creep to discuss our election. We don't control Israel. They are a fierce and capable ally, our only truly reliable one in that area.