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Everything posted by dpberr
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I'd bet you that every single pandemic that has started in China in the last decade has originated from that lab. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Feel free but the facts bear it out - that system broke under the strain of disinvestment. A couple bucks in the north is wholly irrelevant. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
To a degree, the models were based on Italy's experience with the virus because it was providing the most transparent data to model. I always thought that was going to jack the numbers up significantly. Italy is a flat broke, corrupt country that invests zero dollars in anything infrastructure related, including its healthcare system. You layer on top of it it''s one of the oldest and unhealthiest countries in Europe and just so happened to also be frequented heavily by Chinese workers and tourists in the months prior to outbreak, and you could see the disaster taking shape in hindsight. People thought the United States was caught off guard - it was 100 times worse in Italy in terms of shortages of equipment and hospital infrastructure. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
IMO, we're on borrowed time after Easter on the eastern seaboard. The government has really ratcheted up that pressure here in PA - they've closed the liquor stores, closed parks and trails, and in Philly, they even removed the basketball rims. That's on top of weeks without work, school and pay. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
In PA, inpatient hospitalization as a result of the virus is low. It's not being readily broadcast because people are idiots and many would blindly assume the crisis is all over and do all sorts of stupid things to erase the progress that's been made. Despite the media's absolute thirst for the bad news, some states are indeed beginning to turn the corner. Delaware hospitalizations are low as well. Ohio and Maryland hospitalizations are a little higher. NY and NJ are obviously considerably higher. -
Buffalo Bills worst draft choices.
dpberr replied to BuffaloBills1998's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
C.J. Spiller was a phenomenal athlete but a terrible football player. He couldn't understand a playbook and IMO, that was his downfall as a professional player. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Instead of saying all that, why doesn't he just say "hey, as President, I am going to make sure the United States ends its commitment to the WHO" and really send the shot? Why pull punches, which is what he's doing there? -
Whoops, my bad.
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He didn't follow the proper chain of command. He wrote the letter instead of talking to his immediate superior officer first. He also sent that letter to several people in the Navy, without the authorization or knowledge of his superiors. Unfortunately, you can't do any of that when you're in charge of an aircraft carrier in the United States Navy. He was in trouble regardless, but the Navy leadership, from what I read, believed he deserved a hearing, and that it did not rise to being immediately removed from the Navy. Hell, the Navy has had captains of submarines that have hit fishing boats and ships that hit all sorts of stuff and they received due process. This captain...wrote a letter. Was he going to remain as captain of the ship? Highly unlikely as it doesn't show the best judgement, even under the stressful conditions. You always follow the chain of command. You just don't write a four page letter and send it to whomever you want.
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Another not so bright one. Although most will point to the speech as to what did him in, I suspect it was his decision to relieve the captain of the Roosevelt against the recommendation of everyone in the military leadership that put the pressure on him to resign. I will say it does take some pretty big balls to fly to the ship and give a speech and talk trash about the guy you just fired. Either that or a ridiculous amount of stupidity and hubris, which the Trump cabinet appears to have a lot of these days. This whole episode was stupid and avoidable. The captain acted stupid. This secretary just doubled, and then tripled down on it.
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Buffalo Bills worst draft choices.
dpberr replied to BuffaloBills1998's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Maybin stands out to me because he had all the red flags that the alleged football professionals should have seen and then thought about before making the pick. They were waving those red flags in Pennsylvania. He was a one -year wonder, undersized for the position, and had questionable interest in football even in college. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I like Dr. Brix and all her scarves. She's grown on me. They aren't going to open up the country with the deep south, Detroit, and Chicago all on deck. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
On a daily basis, Kushner, Kudlow and Navarro routinely battle each other for who's the largest moron in the cabinet. I think Kushner is dangerously stupid. Kudlow probably still thinks the virus is contained and Navarro just likes making Trump happy. I don't buy for a second that the United States was caught completely by surprise by what was happening in China. It's just that we either didn't care, were too distracted, or not smart enough to figure it out, and that's on *everybody* in Washington. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I don't think Trump has managed the pandemic as effectively as he could have and could be. The federal confusion has put a lot of mediocre governors in positions of actually having to lead and make really big decisions. However, much like 2016, the Democrats have selected a person that inspires even less faith in managing a crisis like this. Joe Biden inspires zero confidence. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Both men are correct despite the messengers. That's the difficult problem. Yes the "mitigation" works. It is giving hospitals time and saving lives. However, in perpetuity, it will seed civil unrest and put exceptional strain on already battered cities, police departments, the NG and the supply chain. That's the scenario when the grocery store closes. The virus is trouble. The virus with looting, fires, and a 24-7 crime wave is the big trouble that has so many more vulnerable people than the virus alone. . -
The NBA season is over. The MLB 2020 season probably won't be played. I doubt the NFL season starts on time. Sure, we might knock this first wave down but with the fall comes cold weather, and you can't have tens of thousands of people packed in stadiums. If they do it, it's probably a fan every other seat, zero tailgating.
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I was an early purchaser of your #2 theory, actually. I think both the 2009 swine flu outbreak and this outbreak were the results of Chinese screwups in their labs. In both instances, the US government seemed to have a heads up about something awry in China well before the outbreak came into focus for the rest of the world. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I enjoy a good conspiracy theory. Please share with the class. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The government is going to have to balance deaths from the virus vs. deaths from the rioting/looting/fires that are going to break out if you lock down the country for weeks on end with no money and nothing to do. Battling the virus is bad enough - imagine trying to do it with Baltimore, Los Angeles and Philadelphia all on fire and out of control too. There aren't enough police, national guard and military to handle that crisis on top of the health crisis. You add on top all the nutbag militas and groups out there itching for an opportunity too and you have quite a powder keg of problems. Trump isn't 100% wrong about not wanting to do a lock down for months. You'll have cities on fire in weeks, not months if things continue. -
As someone who has had the chronic version of GBS for twenty years, what he did in coming back and playing at a Pro Bowl level is nothing short of a superhuman feat of will, mental toughness and an unbelievable level of physical conditioning. This disease spends every minute of every day robbing you of your muscular strength and it's the ocean and you are the sand castle on the beach.
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Thanks everyone for your replies both on point and off. ? Decided to go with Stihl - a pro saw MS261. I managed to shop at a Husqvarna store before the governor shut the state down to make a more educated decision.
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Did The Bills Dig to Deep for Diggs Some Think So !!
dpberr replied to T master's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Draft pick: Lottery ticket scratch off Diggs: Wheelbarrow of dollars Your choice as General Manager. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
dpberr replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You will get criticized for your position but IMO, it has some merit. An endless quarantine will massacre the entire economy and in short order, you're not going to have order. You have lots of families with now with zero money coming in and you have millions of people sitting around doing absolutely nothing, with nowhere to go, day after day. That's not going to last long. I'd give it another week, tops. You have millions of square feet of lightly guarded, fully stocked, all but vacated, retail in a country filled with heavily armed, bored, very panicked citizenry. The more the governors keep taking away stuff, the more the risk for unrest will grow. Just like the healthcare system isn't built to handle a pandemic, the law enforcement apparatus isn't built to handle widespread, heavily armed unrest that can break out at any time of the day...because nobody has anything to do or anywhere to go. The government needs to give people a purpose other than "just stay at home."