BADOLBILZ

Yeah it's really an old line of discussion for 40 years ago. Trade value charts were created to put a finer point on the value of picks. Those keep evolving.

By that leap of logic........the Bills second round pick is then like a 3rd round pick. The reality is that the success rate in general drops in each subsequent round so a first round pick is still worth more than a second round pick, etc..

Yep. The easiest way to look at it is "needs change fast". Nobody thought the Bills need DL help in spring of 2014.........when they could have just saved picks and selected Aaron Donald, the best DL of the first quarter of this century. By spring of 2016 they were reaching for Shaq Lawson and Adolphus Washington in the first 3 rounds of the draft.

Oh, I read it all. I clearly addressed your point about the import of WHERE players line up on the LOS. In real application, it matters. What you are talking about is compromising with regard to matchup advantages. That's a very "on paper" view of the game. And on paper Stef Diggs should have been putting up big numbers in the postseason in Buffalo. Unfortunately, on the field, his lack of physicality diminished his impact when the officials inevitably tucked away their flags. There are clear advantages to having both size and speed on the perimeter. Especially with the type of QB the Bills have. Whether you call that a "need" or not is just semantics. It's just unintelligent to not aspire to it.

They don't have the appetite to keep the team together. The Brown family have clawed their way from Paul Brown owning like 5%-10% of the team originally to now owning 97%. They could generate some serious cash without relinquishing any control. If they wanted to. They do not.

There is also this phenomena where the further fans get from the regular season the more they start to connect dots that they had known that the universe will not allow to meet just months earlier. "We don't need an X receiver" was once "sure, Trent Edwards probably CAN run a no huddle offense if you give him Lee Evans and TO". The deeper we get into the offseason the more people forget games aren't won on paper, they are won on TV......where it's much move violent. Mini-camps with their no-contact don't help quell the delusion.

Yeah what @Mikey152 is missing is the critical importance of big plays. Defense now is all about preventing them.........and the offense desperately need them because it's hard to execute 10-18 play drives in an era of such turnover and so little practice without unforced errors........let alone the forced one's. It's why scoring fell off around the league last season. A lot of teams who thought they had enough good weapons going into last season found out they did not. Those outside positions..........particularly the X being on the LOS and thus allowing you to put another receiver in motion to free them up.........are critically important because it's easier to get chunks out there if your QB can get the ball deep. And Allen is a unicorn on a lot of deep throws. He isn't a great bucket-ball tosser but he can reach parts of the field with ropes that defense's just aren't going to be able to consistently cover without leaving something wide open underneath or in the middle. Not leaning into that strength would be organizational malpractice. People think that the Bills were killing it offensively under Brady but the truth was that it was a struggle. They were having to run Allen almost 10x per game down the stretch to make their small-ball passing game work.

Yep and I'd also add that the Bills don't "need" to win a Super Bowl.

The crazy thing is that he's sort of a Khalil Shakir comp. 6' tall T-Rex armed slot receiver who has transitioned gradually more outside and put up big numbers. Maybe @Alphadawg7 is selling Khalil way short. And truth is........guys who compare to St. Brown basically never turn into anything at the NFL level. His list of physical comps is a bunch of players who never made it.

They look like kicky ball "kits".

Well Brian Thomas Jr. basically ran a Gabe Davis route tree.........which means anything he catches in front of coverage is going to be while moving forward or at a dead stop. Tall, leggy players aren't going to get YAC in those situations. Most players don't, actually. Gabe couldn't be used over the middle because his hands were atrocious. They'd try him in the slot in camp and/or preseason every year to see if his offseason of work had improved his hands so he could be used as a big slot to expand his usefulness........but it never did take. BTJ's hands are not a strength either but Gabe was a very different situation.

Yeah, ultimately I just question if a team will buy into him for any sustained period of time now because in the locker room you are what your record says you are.........and his record says "not a capable championship coach". Fair or unfair, young men in pro sports see things in black and white like that. Pegula and Adams just gotta' know that coming in to avoid wasting more seasons.

Good enough hire for one year. He will get them back to some of the basic thresholds of professionalism. Like Dick Jauron did in 2006 when cleaning up the disorganized mess that Mike Mularkey left behind. But then they need to be ready to pivot quickly to something better..........which is also something that should be a given for an NHL franchise.

They aren't THAT rare though........Jefferson isn't the bar.........he's just currently the very best. The way I see it, Beane went from one extreme(big/slow) to the next(slight/nifty) with the Diggs/Beasley/Brown/Sanders types and he's just missed the sweet spot for playoff success. I think Kincaid can be a Kelce-lite, which might be the ideal for playoff football. They NEED to add to that on the boundary.

You'd hope that the playoffs would have taught the Bills their lesson in this regard though. Get-open little guys are great in the regular season when the refs are calling penalties for interference/holding in the secondary........but you want physical WR's in January/February. Gotta' find a medium. It exists. Harry and Benjamin weren't really athletic enough. Parker had the tools but not the desire and injuries probably sapped him of his juice. Tee Higgins and DK Metcalf are giant sized WR's who have produced in the regular season and whose games have translated to even more success in the playoffs.

Because it's a great investment and gets your foot in the door to gain controlling interest of a team in the future?

I haven't seen anyone on TSW suggest Josh Allen wants a trade because he hates Sean McDermott. Never seen that once on TSW. Yes, Buffalo sports fans have been beaten down by never winning a SB or Stanley Cup and a lot of unfortunate turns of event. But your gross exaggeration of what's been said.......and your mental health related screen name..........leads me to believe you might be dealing with some mental health issues. Star players change teams if they think it furthers their careers. Very few of them play their entire career in one place. LeBron left his home town TWICE to chase titles. He has a hell of a lot more invested in Ohio than JA has in WNY. It's a business not a personal attack on fans.

You feel that way because YOU love the Bills. It's what we do. We project the way we feel onto players and coaches that we like or are optimistic about. It's the same phenomenon we have here when new people are hired. Everyone presumes that the new people see things the same as they do because the last people clearly did not. We saw it with McDermott and Beane. For most, everything they did was greeted with unquestioned support. Over time the faith in McDermott in particular has eroded. Now they think he can't see what they do. The next guy would. I think we'd be lying if we said the guy we thought Josh Allen was in 2020 is the same guy we think he is now. Back then he was seen as having Tom Brady's single-minded desire about improving himself as a football player. He was a grounded guy with the same girl forever and would settle down and not look back because he was raised that way. That narrative has gradually changed. We've re-set our expectations of him professionally and personally.

I think almost everyone agrees that Allen has been left in the dust of Mahomes' history making. But I really doubt Josh Allen feels that way. Going 1-0 against Mahomes in the SB would draw him a lot closer in the court of public opinion than some might think. The excuse would be made that he'd been playing with one hand tied behind his back with McDermott as his coach. It feels over, but it's not. When Manning finally won his first, it put him back in the potential best-of-his-generation conversation because he had always been so much better statistically than Brady. The subsequent 18-0 Patriots regular season really changed the perception of Brady from product of Belichick's system to truly great individual performer. And then at one time Ben Roethlisberger drew within 3-2 of Tom Brady in SB wins.......and the Steelers future looked so bright that it was all but presumed he'd catch and pass Bradshaw's 4 at least. The Pats went 10 years between SB wins #3 and #4.

So Anthony Rizzo is playing like he's still concussion addled. He is embarrassing himself in the field and has turned into a slap hitter because he can't barrel up the ball anymore. Perhaps a result, the Yankees just promoted their slick fielding AA first baseman TJ Rumfield to AAA. I kinda' wonder if the problems in the field continue if Rizzo might pull an in-season retirement. Also, perhaps the Yanks move Spencer Jones back to 1B, where he once played a lot, at AA and start grooming him as a Cody Bellinger-esque CF/1B combo. Saw this story though too. As @4merper4mer knows and the article points out his Cardinals are a tired old bunch of basement dwellers. They are really struggling with the balanced schedule when they used to fatten up off all those extra games against their cheap-assd central division rivals. Could Goldie go to the Yanks? He'd be a hit for a half season in NY. It would be to the jewish community what Rizzo/Gallo were to Italian fans when they were acquired. Ain't going to be no blockbuster tho. He's on his last legs at 37. https://www.si.com/mlb/cardinals/cardinals-superstar-linked-to-yankees-in-possible-blockbuster-trade

He wouldn't be avoiding Mahomes. He'd be aligning to not play him until the biggest game. History doesn't care too much about who you had to beat to get to a SB........just whether you were there and if you won. Losing in the divisional round to Mahomes or Burrow every year is forgettable. Like a Philip Rivers or even most of Drew Brees career in the playoffs. Afterthoughts. Winning against them for once in the playoffs would be nice but he'd still be 1-4 against them. Winning a SB against them makes you 1-0. Allen, Burrow and Mahomes being on the same side of the draw and the QB-loaded AFC facing system QB's Jalen Hurts and Brock Purdy in the grand finale is rather anticlimactic for the league.

If he cares about his legacy he's not going to wait until his mid-30's to try to win one Super Bowl like Matt Stafford did.........he'll get out while he has the runway to get back in the conversation with Mahomes. And why not play where you have chosen to make your home? He values the opinions of guys like Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers and I am sure they'd tell him to follow the path of least resistance to his life goals. Right now, I'm just most concerned with the Bills finding a way to win without Allen having to carry the ball 10x per game just to make the playoffs. If that doesn't change I'd say he's off to greener pastures in the next couple years. Then........if they do show that they are making a concerted effort to maximize his talent and earning potential into his late 30's.........I could even see a tiny portion of ownership being dangled to keep him from being drawn elsewhere.

Being "built different" might help your short arms get off press..........but also might not.

Thanks for the effort with the write-ups.........but you played yourself here. Beane was talking up Dane Jackson like he was a CB1 before he drafted Elam. It's what he does. Set the bar of expectations low. -"Hmmmm.........maybe WR isn't REALLY a need? Beane's got this!" -"Oh, we got a WR in round 1! I know it wasn't a need but I'm glad Beane got us one. Dude is a wizard!" Don't worry, you'll forget Beane even said it later.

It's very simple..........Beane says whatever fits his agenda. And that's fine. "Don't expect any big moves" can just as easily mean $120M contract to Von Miller is coming with Beane. That was an example of a bald-faced Big Baller Beane lie. It was a move that had been in the making since the trade deadline the previous season. But if you think that was a spur of the moment decision then it's not surprising that you get puzzled so easily. That's what he's counting on from Bills fans. He sets bars that he can realistically, if not EASILY, surpass and that makes he and the Pegula's look good and prevents the unwashed from keeping receipts on them. That's something the Pegula's gotta' love about him with all the heat they get for their greater personal involvement with the Sabres.