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Everything posted by CodeMonkey
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"Experts" Picks Week 11 vs the Patriots (AKA Cheaters)
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Added the rest of the models. -
I took a look and didn't see last seasons data.
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It would have to be a MUCH weaker opponent. The reason for the big jump this week is because NE is the much stronger team. The stats in general get better as the season goes on so what you are saying is of course somewhat true about their meaningfulness. But I have found that they tend to be much more accurate, and worth considering, the second half of the season. Not just that last couple of weeks.
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"Experts" Picks Week 11 vs the Patriots (AKA Cheaters)
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
And it's a prime time monday night game. -
Report - Rob Ryan to be fired in NOLA
CodeMonkey replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Gone according to this. http://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/new-orleans-saints-fire-defensive-coordinator-rob-ryan/ar-BBn4zEn?ocid=ansmsnsports11 -
SportsClubStats disagrees with you. If the Bills win it thinks the Bills playoffs chances go up from 41.6% to 61.5%
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"Experts" Picks Week 11 vs the Patriots (AKA Cheaters)
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
But if they do manage to shock the NFL world, SportsClubStats probability of making the playoffs goes from 41.6% to 61.5% Besides, almost half the people here do! http://forums.twobillsdrive.com/topic/182809-week-11-mnf-patriots-game-preparation-bills-75/ -
CBS with Spread (Bills +7.5) : 5 take the Pats and 3 take the Bills. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/11) CBS Straight Up: Clean sweep, all 8 take the Pats. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/11) ESPN: 12 and "pick'em" take the Pats, 1 (Allen) took the Bills. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana (Went 4-10 in week 10): Patriots 79% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight: (Went 4-10 in week 10): Patriots 84% chance of winning with an Elo point spread of 11.5. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/) Amos: (Went 5-9 in week 10) Patriots 85% chance of winning. (http://trevorbischoff.com/nfl-2015-week-11-predictions/) FiveThirtyEight predicts a 9-7 season record for the Bills this season with a 36% (up from 28%) chance of making the playoffs and a less than 1% (unchanged) chance of winning it all. Amos predicts a 9-7 season record for the Bills. SportsClubStats (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NFL/AFC/AFCEast/Buffalo.html) predicts a record of 9-7 for the Bills this season with a 40.9% (up from 28.9%) chance of making the playoffs.
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Bills will wear new red unis vs jets
CodeMonkey replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
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"Experts" Picks Week 10 vs the J-E-T-S
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
On 538, the Bills jumped 21 Elo points after the win last night and they show as a 9-7 probable (but just barely) record now. -
I Can't Picture Buffalo Winning... or Losing
CodeMonkey replied to BuffaloBaumer's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
No reason to get nervous. Sit back and enjoy the game. -
Bills and Sabres playing at the same time tonight
CodeMonkey replied to Charles Romes's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That's why God invented more than one television! -
"Experts" Picks Week 10 vs the J-E-T-S
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That's how I read it as well, 60.8% actually But it also thinks 7-9 is slightly more likely than 9-7. -
"Experts" Picks Week 10 vs the J-E-T-S
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Thanks to whatever MOD updated my post for ESPN Updated ESPN and added Amos. All in now except for 1 ESPN straggler. -
"Experts" Picks Week 10 vs the J-E-T-S
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Ditka, a former Bears coach, dressed in mortal enemy Pack gear and waved a Pack flag to make a few bucks in a McDonalds commercial too -
FanDuel and DraftKings Banned in NYS
CodeMonkey replied to CountDorkula's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Not intimate knowledge of the game, intimate knowledge of what all the players (fan duel and draftkings players) were doing. They had access to all of the data so they could see trends and create lineups to take advantage of that. So not football knowledge, insider knowledge. A HUGE advantage. -
FanDuel and DraftKings Banned in NYS
CodeMonkey replied to CountDorkula's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I actually changed my vote to should not be allowed. The recent insider betting issue made me reconsider. Way too easy for private entities to cheat. Would need to be regulated and on the up and up for me to want it to be legal. -
"Experts" Picks Week 10 vs the J-E-T-S
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I suspect the general public already sees the Bills as an also-ran. A win maybe changes some minds, and a loss puts also-ran in the minds of most Bills fans too I suspect. -
FanDuel and DraftKings Banned in NYS
CodeMonkey replied to CountDorkula's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
NYS needs their big cut, just like the lottery and horse racing. -
"Experts" Picks Week 10 vs the J-E-T-S
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Added CBS and Cortana. -
Those new uniforms has a purpose
CodeMonkey replied to Jimmy Spagnola's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Everyone knows the Bills are wearing red because it is a closer match for the Clemson football helmet Rex is going to wear on the sideline. [And Terry needs more money from merch sales] -
CBS with Spread (Bills +2.5 ) : 4 each, Bills and Jets. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/10) CBS Straight Up: 4 each, Bills and Jets. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/10) ESPN: 9 pick the Jets 3 take the Bills, 1 hasn't picked and the "pickem" took the Jets. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana (Went 9-4 in week 9): Jets 63% chance to win. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight: (Went 8-5 in week 9): Jets 56% chance to win with a point spread of Bills +1.5. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/) Amos: (Went 7-6 in week 9) Jets 60% chance to win. (http://trevorbischoff.com/nfl-2015-week-10-predictions/) FiveThirtyEight predicts a 8-8 season record for the Bills this season with a 28% (up from 21%) chance of making the playoffs and a less than 1% (unchanged) chance of winning it all. Amos predicts a 8-8 season record for the Bills. SportsClubStats (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NFL/AFC/AFCEast/Buffalo.html) predicts a record of 8-8 for the Bills this season with a 28.9% (up from 20.1%) chance of making the playoffs.
