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Aiden Hutchinson - Massive Contract Extension
billsfan89 replied to LabattBlue's topic in The Stadium Wall
The funny thing about Jerry is that he is actually running the team in a somewhat competent manner in terms of being the GM. The Cowboys were known to trade away draft picks for big name players and chase names in the draft. But now they draft fairly well (probably a lower top 10 drafting team in recent years) and they don't over spend in free agency. His issue is that Dak is currently a good QB being paid like a great one and that no good coach wants to deal with him as an owner. The team will probably oscillate between Mediocre and pretty good but not a threat the next few years because they wont' get good coaching and Dak is overpaid. -
I agree what you are saying that there's going to be big draft picks, free agency signings, and other roster construction avenues that we look back on and say these were the reasons that the team couldn't get over the hump. But I also think that you can't just look at things in a vacuum or act like there aren't many reasons why teams have or lack success beyond a handful of even big roster moves. We will just have to hope that the roster can continue to be built up around Josh and they get the luck they need as well.
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The Diggs money they are out from under on, Von after this season they are out from under on. Teams eat dead money all the time, KC has consistently had a dead cap around 15-22 million a year. The Bills have been fairly comparable in terms of dead cap outside of 2024. From 2019 to 2023 the Bills dead cap numbers were in the 12-22 million range mostly in line with KC. 2025 the Bills at 30 million dead cap are a bit higher but still mostly a good healthy number by NFL standards. I think both contracts were attempts by the Bills to keep going for it under Allen. Von I didn't like as much at the time because he was older but it looked like it could have worked had he not gotten hurt on a somewhat freak injury. Diggs they extended him in his late 20's after back to back great seasons. It kept him happy in 2022 when he helped carry an offense that outside of him and Josh didn't have much (poor RT and guard play along the O-line, lackluster TE and WR's outside of Diggs, and RB's that were pedestrian) and then in 2023 he got hurt after a hot start. The Bills were still able to get a 2nd round pick worth of value for him in a trade so it isn't a big deal esp since the team improved in the year they were getting out from under that deal. Von's deal being reworked in 2024 made the out in 2025 less bad. But I don't think that the Bills fortunes in 2025 are that much more dramatically shifted if they had 7-9 million more in cap space to work with. I don't think they make a trade for DK if they have a moderate amount more space to work with. The WR's signed above Palmer weren't that great outside of Devante Adams whose 13 million more than Palmer AAV on 2 seasons (with a large 14 million dollar dead cap hit for 2026). I don't think those deals are the sole reasons for Josh not winning. I think it has been a combo of a lot of things, some on the roster building side, some on just the luck side of things, some to do with coaching and coaching decisions.
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1/2 Way Through: Which Coach has the Hottest Seat?
billsfan89 replied to ryguy101's topic in The Stadium Wall
I would say that McDaniels is probably the hottest seat in terms of an in season firing. Titans already fired their coach so the first one fired thing is done. Looking at the truly bottom teams in the NFL. 1- Jets - If they fire Glenn I think it will be at the end of the season. Glenn's in his first year and the team seems to still be playing hard for him. If they move on to reset at QB and HC they will do so in the off-season. 2- Browns- Probably won't move on from their coach in season. I think they even bring their coach back in 2026 to try to work with a younger QB. 3- Giants- I don't think they want to create more instability for Dart, Daboll is likely gone after the season. 4- Dolphins- They just won a game so the pressure is off for a week but this is the likely "move on" spot if things get ugly and the team really quits on him. 5- Raiders- Carol might have been passed by but I would also say that they aren't going to fire a vet coach in season. 6- Saints- First year coach I don't see them moving on in season. I think their longer term plan was to always use this year to slowly get out from under their issues. 7- Cardinals- A sneaky one at 2-5, this would be my second choice for fired in season coach. 2-5 in a very tough division, a couple of more losses and the team could quit on their coach and they could reset. TLDR: Most likely McDaniel and Gannon of Arizona will be the ones to lost their team and be fired in season. -
Feeling like the Bills will be in gear against KC but also feeling like KC will "bring it" going to be a tight game likely coming down to turnovers or a late game big play. Overall I am just feeling like a Bills victory. I think the bye plus a blowout in Carolina got this teams mojo back a bit. I think KC also having one less days rest and having to travel is also a positive for the Bills. 24-20 Bills is my feeling.
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The Bills are usually very good at managing their dead cap. From 2019-2023 the Bills were bottom 10 if not bottom 5 most years on dead cap. 2024 it spiked up due to the house cleaning they did on the roster but this year the Bills rank 21st or 11th lowest in dead cap just outside the top 10 lowest dead cap numbers. And that's with the Bills eating a lot of money on Von and Tre's old contract both combining to about 19 million in dead cap. The Bills do figure to in 2026 be taking probably a similar dead cap hit in terms of cap percentage as they are this year (around 35ish million) largely due to void years from Milano and Bosa (totaling 18 million) and some other smaller void years from AJE and McGovern (Combining for another 7.5 million). Those 4 void years will total 25ish million. Add about another 10 million on cuts like Samuel (3 million in dead cap) and a few other smaller cuts and you get to around 35 million. You obviously don't want large void years eating up 10% of your cap but the Bills needed to get out from under a large Diggs and out from under a can kicked down the road on Von. Afterwards you then also have some other vets to clear out but I think the Bills largely should be in a decent place regarding dead cap going forward.
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Wide Receiver Train Full Speed Ahead- CHOO CHOO!
billsfan89 replied to Pete's topic in The Stadium Wall
A late 3rd swapped for an early 5th is roughly equal to a mid 4th round pick in terms of draft capital. To get them to throw in Godchaux would probably mean swapping a 3rd for a 7th which I wouldn’t hate either even at the added capital. -
Wide Receiver Train Full Speed Ahead- CHOO CHOO!
billsfan89 replied to Pete's topic in The Stadium Wall
She could also be looking at places where he brother could be traded to on Google and seeing the Bills a lot. Who knows but if the Bills could get him it would be a nice add but I wouldn’t look too much into it. -
Wide Receiver Train Full Speed Ahead- CHOO CHOO!
billsfan89 replied to Pete's topic in The Stadium Wall
Swap a 3rd for a 5th for Shaheed seems fair. I would also look to trade a 7th for Harrison Phillips if he’s available. Mid range moves that could make a difference -
Ed Oliver bicep injury - likely out regular season
billsfan89 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
Jordan Phillips and Logic are marginal talents and Jones and Ogunjobi are decent vets but both are older and have injury histories (Jones is currently hurt) Walkers a big guy with back issues. Sanders might come back but wasn’t exactly lighting it up when he was playing. Hoecht is more of a DE who flexes inside on a few snaps not a guy that’s gonna eat many snaps there Seems like if they could get a cheap competent vet to eat snaps at DT that might help keep the older players healthy and not force them to rush back Sanders. WR is the much more pressing need but if they could trade a 5th for a 6th and a Harrison Phillips type DT I would do it -
Von was great the first 11 games of 2022, he had 8 sacks in 11 games (including a game he didn't finish the one he got hurt). Made all the more impressive by the fact that he was only playing 55% of the teams defensive snaps (for reference Myles Garrett that year played 75% of his teams defensive snaps). He he stayed healthy he probably would have turned in a All-Pro season in 2022 and still at least been a very good player in 2023. Even in 2024 he wasn't tragic as a situational pass rusher. The Bills in 2025 had to move on they had to eat the dead cap and take the savings they could. The got Bosa a better younger player to fill that stop gap vet and got in Hoecht to also be in the mix past this season while drafting Landon Jackson for longer term considerations. Overall the Bills had to move on. As far as Von's sack totals 4 sacks is solid but are they really him kicking ass or are they coverage sacks? Hard to tell without knowing the context but most Commanders fans seem to think he's OK, kind of like the Bills fans last year, more so he's just a situational pass rusher at this stage of his career.
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Floyd got off to a hot start in 2023 but he faded down the stretch. In 2024 in San Fran he had a similar season 8.5 sacks with a lot of sacks is a small stretch of games (5.5 sacks in a 4 game stretch, 3 sacks the other 13 games he played). He's not having much success with 1.5 sacks in 7 games thus far with Atlanta in 2025. In 2023 Floyd had 6.5 sacks in the first 6 games of the season. He then had a 2.5 sack game against the hapless Jets. In the other 10 games he played he had just 1.5 sacks. The last 11 games of the season he had 4 sacks most of which was concentrated against a really bad Jets team. Floyd was also going to be 32 going into the 2024 season so I think moving off of him was probably the right thing to do. You can complain about Beane on other moves but moving off a 32 year old Floyd who faded down the stretch is not one of them.
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My god, do you hear that? It’s Gabe Davis’ music!
billsfan89 replied to FireChans's topic in The Stadium Wall
If this team is turning to this version of Gabe Davis as a savior at WR then this team deserves to not win this year. Bills need to be trading for a WR that can make an impact not turning to a WR that should only be used in an emergency...
