thebandit27

That is highly suspect Agreed on all counts

Why not? Jeffery has been an 800-yard receiver for 3 consecutive seasons, and he's totaled 15 TDs during that time. In the last 3 seasons, Watkins has averaged 700 yards per season and scored 19 TDs. He's also 4 years younger than Jeffery.

I'm sure that all fan bases do to an extent. I will say, however, that I've noticed that Buffalo sports fans naturally gravitate toward the bottom-of-the-roster guys.

We loved David Nelson because he was an UDFA.

Actually, that's exactly how it happens.

Again I say: compare Davante Adams' career numbers to Watkins', then tell me that Sammy shouldn't get $14M AAV

I still believe that hit makes a lot of sense for Cleveland to offer picks 33 and a 3rd or 4th round pick to move from 4th overall to 2nd overall, allowing them to take Barkley and the QB of their choice. They would still have two 2nd-round picks and 6 others in rounds 3-7

I agree with your assessment that those are the only CFAs that Buffalo is likely to lose. There's a small chance that a guy like Deonte will fetch a CFA-level contract, which would help the team's chances at comp picks, but the reality of the team's situation is that right now they have about 13 spots on the final 53 that are open. If Kyle decides to return and they manage to re-sign Leonard Johnson and either Shark Thomas or Colt Anderson, they can cut that down to 10, but there's absolutely no way they're going to fill all 13 of those spots without signing a number of FAs. I suppose it's possible that they're able to fill as many as 5 spots with draft picks, but you'd need to feel really good about your ability to sign street FAs after June 1st in order to only sign 2 CFAs come March 14th.

Zero teams moved out of the top 5 last year. Chicago moved from 3 to 2 with SF dropping from 2 to 3; that was it. Tennessee had the Rams' pick from a 2016 trade. Only one team moved from outside the top 10 into it, and only 2 teams moved from outside the top 24 into it. The 2017 first round featured 6 total trades--3 that involved top 12 picks, and 3 that involved picks 25-31. All of that is to say that your numbers are off. Now, is it hard to move into the top 5? No, not hard at all. It's costly, but finding a dance partner isn't tough. There's plenty of reason to believe that any of NYG, Indy, and Cleveland (4) would be willing to move out if given the right ransom.

They offered him $11M AAV...he rejected it.

Then please go ahead and list the 300+ draft-eligible guys that will be there so that you can add some much-needed purpose to this discussion. We're all waiting with bated breath

Duane Brown hadn't been on the field for the final 4 games of 2016 and held out for the first 6 of 2017, and he fetched 2nd and 3rd round picks. Cordy Glenn missed the final 8 games of 2017, but has a LT contract already and won't be holding out.

And no others! Honestly, I couldn't find a good argument to put guys like Davenport and Payne in there, as much as I wanted to; the closest I came was Derwin James Hah! See above! No...it's easier for me to list the 12 guys I think will definitely be gone by 21 than it is for me to list the other 200+ draft-eligible guys that I've watched.

A bloody lock I tell you

Sam Darnold Josh Rosen Josh Allen Baker Mayfield Saquon Barkley Quenton Nelson Bradley Chubb Vita Vea Tremaine Edmunds Roquan Smith Denzel Ward Minkah Fitzpatrick

Probably very close to the 2018 3rd round pick and 2019 2nd round pick that Seattle surrendered for Duane Brown

The numbers simply don't support that. https://www.theringer.com/nfl/2017/12/6/16740258/patriots-defense-improvement "Stephon Gilmore’s improvement in that stretch has been a major factor for the defense’s overall jump forward, too. During the team’s first four games, he surrendered nine catches on 13 targets for 151 yards, one touchdown, and one pick for a 101.8 passer rating against (74th). In his five games since (he missed weeks 6-8 with a concussion and ankle injury), he’s given up just 18 catches for 164 yards, one touchdown, and one pick for a 67.7 rating—15th best." That means that after allowing 9 receptions on 13 targets for 151 yards and 1 TD for a 101.8 rating in his first 4 games, Gilmore went on to allow 39 receptions on 69 targets for 459 yards and 2 TDs for a passer rating of 77.2 in his final 9 games, including the playoffs. He was actually really, really good after the first month of the season.

I realize that most of this board hates Gilmore for going to the Pats (which is fine, screw him), but the above is simply wrong. https://nesn.com/2018/02/now-we-know-why-patriots-valued-stephon-gilmore-over-malcolm-butler/ https://patriotswire.usatoday.com/2018/02/19/pff-patriots-able-to-get-more-out-of-stephon-gilmore-than-bills/

I think he'd have to be willing to take a team-friendly deal, since I'm pretty confident that they're going to try to re-sign Solder and Burkhead, and they only have $19M in cap space

Torrey Smith would save them another $5M; Brent Celek another $4M; Mychal Kendricks another $4.4M

SF would make a lot of sense. Perhaps GB wouldn't be as snug a fit, but I think there'd be mutual interest there as well

I assumed that's what you meant--and I'm not saying that others haven't said as much, just that I haven't seen it. And for the record, I disagree with it.

Who said that they don't want to draft a CB because of other needs? CB is still a need on this team, and is one of the premium positions in the league

If true, get him. Now.

If Sammy gets a D. Adams-like contract, I imagine the reaction from many fans will be quite similar to Gilmore getting paid last offseason. I'm sure that's true...I'm always watching the market because it has an impact on the whole league. The D. Adams contract is a great example: paying $14.5M AAV for a guy that's never had 1,000 yards or come anywhere near to elite status was quite surprising to me, and I think it's going to have a ripple effect on the WR market.