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How bad have we drafted?


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If I was GM I would never draft a RB, CB, S, P, PK, in the first round. I would pick a G only at the end of the round and reluctantly. Unfortunately these are the positions the bills continue to waste first round picks on.

. . . . unless I was one player away from the Super Bowl. And even then, . . . maybe. Edited by maddenboy
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Looking at RBs on the best teams by record this season...

 

Michael Turner - 5th round

Matt Forte - 2nd round

Adrian Foster - undrafted

Ahmad Bradshaw - 7th round

Frank Gore - 3rd round

Ray Rice - 2nd round

Cedric Benson - 1st round / Alex Green - 3rd round

Adrian Peterson - 1st round

Stevan Ridley - 3rd round

 

So, while there are 1st round backs like Peterson, Lynch, and McGahee in the top 10 rushers in the NFL, most of the teams with 5-3 or better records get their ground game out of talent not drafted in the 1st round.

 

Side note: 4 of the top 10 rushers so far in 2012 were 1st round picks. 2 of those drafted by Buffalo. Both of them no longer on the team.

 

Drafting 1st round RBs, especially when they go on to play their best elsewhere, is indefensible strategically.

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Looking back at the last 9 drafts(not including 2012) we have selected 83 players, out of those 83 just 5 have made a pro bowl. That's right 5! Those 5 are:

 

Kyle Williams 1(as an alt)

Jairus Byrd 1

Marshawn Lynch 1(no longer with the team)

Willis Mcgahee 1(no longer with the team)

Terrence McGee 1(as a special teamer)

 

That is depressing.

Pro Bowls are not the measure of successful drafting.

Playoffs are the measure of successful drafting.

Pro Bowls are a popularity contest for players on successful teams.

 

That being said the Bills are on a decade long poor drafting streak of which has not been seen in any of professional sports.

 

The worst.

 

So what else is new?

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That's a relief. I was getting tired of thinking the Pats we're going to keep winning the division.

 

Baltimore and Pittsburgh are foolishly on their way to the same fate.

 

Nice signature. Couldn't have said it better myself.

 

Who have the Bills developed at the key positions, QB, WR, OT, CB, and pass rush? Haven't drafted a QB, developed no WR's, appear to have 2 decent OT's in Hairston and Glenn (it's early), may have a good CB in Gilmore, missed on A. Williams, and bought a pass rush.

 

It's nice to draft solid guards, linebackers, safeties, and running backs. But doing so never makes up for not finding good players at the aforementioned 5 positions.

Edited by BillsVet
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In this post yes I am.

Would you like me to base it on how many starters this team has drafted? Out of those 83 picks only 31 have been a starter for 1 season or more and out of those only 21 were starters for 2 years or more. So less than 1 in 4 who were drafted were able to maintain a starting job in the NFL for more than a year.

That is actually a more effective argument.

 

Basing it on Pro Bowl selections is not all that practical. Some players will make the Pro Bowl on reputation, and there are times when players make it on popularity.

 

Remember Vince Young made it to the Pro Bowl as a rookie and he threw more Interceptions than Touchdowns that year.

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Looking at RBs on the best teams by record this season...

 

Michael Turner - 5th round

Matt Forte - 2nd round

Adrian Foster - undrafted

Ahmad Bradshaw - 7th round

Frank Gore - 3rd round

Ray Rice - 2nd round

Cedric Benson - 1st round / Alex Green - 3rd round

Adrian Peterson - 1st round

Stevan Ridley - 3rd round

 

So, while there are 1st round backs like Peterson, Lynch, and McGahee in the top 10 rushers in the NFL, most of the teams with 5-3 or better records get their ground game out of talent not drafted in the 1st round.

 

Side note: 4 of the top 10 rushers so far in 2012 were 1st round picks. 2 of those drafted by Buffalo. Both of them no longer on the team.

 

Drafting 1st round RBs, especially when they go on to play their best elsewhere, is indefensible strategically.

 

I agree that the Bills have used far too many first round picks on RBs over the last 1 - 2 decades. I also agree this is indefensible strategically.

 

A GM--and especially a Bills GM--should have an anti-RB bias, to prevent this misuse of resources. But there will be times when a first round RB is enough better than the other players available to overcome that bias. Spiller seems to be a good example of this. He's averaging 7.3 yards per carry this season, as compared to a career average of 4.1 yards per carry for Lynch. While some of that difference is attributable to the very good job the Bills' offensive line has been doing this season, I also think it's clear that Spiller is a much faster, more athletic, better RB than Lynch. What the Bills need to do at this point is resist any temptation to use additional early picks on RBs, at least for the next 6 - 8 years. Spiller needs to spend his career in Buffalo.

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Add to this the clear poor management (without regard to whom you want to blame for this it is clearly a poor outcome) prior to the Donahoe item which begins your list the history just prior to this was:

 

Early 90s- The glory years for a team led by several now HOF quality players like Bruce, Jimbo, Thurman and near HOFers likeTasker and Reed.

1996- Ralph makes a handshake deal onlly he could make to reward Jimbo in his next contract (a move which is totally illegal on the salary cap and demontrates blatant disregard for his fellow business partners in the nFL and I suspect is part of the reason for the difficult to justify delay in his entry into the HOF). This football judgment by Mr. Ralph was simply wrong wrong wrong and happened in conjunction with his fiiring of Bill Polian as GM.

 

1997- on Due to Kelly retirement the team rushes Todd Collins to start (even though he clearly has happy feet under the pass rush. This leads to the team making a series of failed movves at QB featuring desperate acquisitions of bad players (like Hobert), stupid overpayments (RJ), violating their word (team told Fluties he wou8ld get a shot to win the job on the field but the guaranteed contract to RJ showed this was a lie and then they mismanaged the contracts given sso when Flutie met his performance targets the Bills were forced to extend him.

 

1998- on- Mr. Ralph demonstrably mismanaged time with Wade Phillips as HC as he not only fired Philips (the last HC who led the Bills to the playoffs) but then was forced by the league to pay him when we tried to stiff him

 

2000= Mr. Ralph demonstrbly developed a poor relationship with GM John Butler who left the team in a lurch for SD which led to the hiring of Donahoe.

 

We owe mr. Rlph a debt f gratitude for keeping the team here when there was likely more $ to be made if he moved the team to LA, but it seems pretty clear that along with the deserved praise for the 90s he is directly in charge of the mismanagement of this team from the mid 90s on

 

Excellent Post. And more or less factual. Many on this board have a Ralph Love fest.

He is THE reason for the success and the failure.

Over his time as owner = .414 winning percentage.

 

More failure than success.

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