Ozymandius Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 advance scouting on Jets-Rams Here's an Insider article previewing the all too significant Jets-Rams battle where they predict the Rams will prevail. The central argument being pushed by these "Scouts" is that the Rams WR's have huge mismatches against the Jets CB's, and with Abraham out and the Rams playing for their playoff lives on home turf, Bulger should be able to take advantage of this situation to score points. When the Jets have the ball, the Scouts believe that the Jets will punish the Rams on the ground, but that the Rams can play Archuleta in the box enough so that it won't be a total mismatch due to Pennington's girlish arm. It's a good article, their points are valid, but I'm not sure I buy them. Pennington's effeminate arm has been in place the entire season, yet the Jets still have 10 wins mostly by beating up on crap teams like the Rams. This game will of course take place in the dome and not the wind, so I don't believe the Rams can take ridiculous advantage of Penny as the Patriots did. As for when the Rams have the ball, the mismatches against the Jets secondary exist on paper, but the Rams have such a mistake-prone offense, I'm not sure they can take advantage. For every big play they create, they're going to give up a sack, INT, or fumble. Sure, the Rams can win... any given Sunday, right? But I'm not going to give them the matchup advantage like these guys are. If the Rams win, it's an upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawk Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 And I think that game is our only chance to get in. The colts are gonna tank their game, hoping they get the Broncos at home and not the bills in the 1st round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scribo Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 Without really knowing all the details, I cannot believe Abraham isn't going to suit up. he must be hurt more than the national media is letting on, or he has no heart. This game is huge for the Jets. They won't win 10 games next season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Griz Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 Don't forget about Stephen Jackson. He should force the Jets D to keep a few guys in the box, which will further exploit their secondary. He sure looked good last week. The Jets will score points, but the Rams will win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffOrange Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 Good article....I think they're stealing from my post yesterday. http://www.stadiumwall.com/index.php?showt...04entry183804 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadBuffaloDisease Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 It's a good article, their points are valid, but I'm not sure I buy them. Pennington's effeminate arm has been in place the entire season, yet the Jets still have 10 wins mostly by beating up on crap teams like the Rams. This game will of course take place in the dome and not the wind, so I don't believe the Rams can take ridiculous advantage of Penny as the Patriots did. As for when the Rams have the ball, the mismatches against the Jets secondary exist on paper, but the Rams have such a mistake-prone offense, I'm not sure they can take advantage. For every big play they create, they're going to give up a sack, INT, or fumble. Pennington's "girlish arm" hasn't been the same since the Bills injured him 2 months ago, and you'll notice that most of those 10 wins came BEFORE that time (and they are 1-2 since Pennington's return, with the lone win being against the lousy Seahags in Jersey). That's why the Rams will cheat-up to the LOS to shut down the run and force Pennington to beat them deep, which he won't be able to do. Now if Pennington's arm were at normal "girly" strength, I'd say they have a good chance to win. But most of the factors are working against the Jets, namely Pennington's injury, Bulger's and Martz' record at home and in the final month of the season, and the Rams playing for the playoffs as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillnutinHouston Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 Hopefully the Rams fans don't come up soft. They were surprisingly quiet on Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenews Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 Pennington's girlish arm. LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Tuesday Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 Unfortunately, after watching what the Jets did to the Seahawks - a team with a better o-line and defense than the Rams - I'm not all that optimistic. The Rams had a difficult time with the Eagles' backups last Monday.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scribo Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 Unfortunately, after watching what the Jets did to the Seahawks - a team with a better o-line and defense than the Rams - I'm not all that optimistic. The Rams had a difficult time with the Eagles' backups last Monday.... 184991[/snapback] Rams beat the Seahawks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohninMinn. Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 Hopefully the Rams fans don't come up soft. They were surprisingly quiet on Monday night. 184968[/snapback] I think the subdued nature of the fans and the Rams was brought on by the Eagles pulling McNabb and folding the tent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Tuesday Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 Rams beat the Seahawks. 184994[/snapback] The Dolphins beat the Rams... that's not the point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROCCEO Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 The dolphins also beat the patriots, who beat us twice, while we beat the dolphins twice and beat the rams AND the seahawks....what am I getting at you ask? Absolutely nothing....it's ANY GIVEN SUNDAY in the NFL and thats what we're going to get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maddog Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 What many observers seem to be overlooking is the fact that St. Louis is considerably better at home than on the road. Similarly, after the San Diego game in week 2, the Jets performance on the road this year has been subpar. In my view, there is no way the Jets should be favored to win this game. Consider the following: 1 - Since the San Diego game, the Jets have scored 7 touchdowns in 6 road games. 2 - The Jets are considered a good running team, yet their yard per rush is 3.7 on the road versus 5.3 at home. 3 - The Jets have a total of 4 sacks in their last 4 road games and will likely be without their best pass rusher, John Abraham. 4 - The Jets have a good third down conversion % of 44%, yet it is 55% at home and 30% on the road. 5 - In their last three home games, all wins, the Rams have averaged 35 rush attempts for 182 yards and are averaging 4.9 yards per rush at home. I don't expect a blowout. There are areas of concern, specifically, the Rams penchant for turnovers (2 per game at home), sacks allowed (almost 3 per game at home) and their horrendous kickoff coverage (giving up 27 yards per kick and 12 yards per punt at home). Plus, you never know when Martz will get really stupid. However, the Rams should win this game. I will remind you that last week I had a similar post suggesting that Houston had a good shot at beating Jacksonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandius Posted December 30, 2004 Author Share Posted December 30, 2004 Daaaamn. Those are some great stats, maddog. Thanks for posting them - I feel a lot better about that game now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SF Bills Fan Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 We have to hope that the speedy receivers of the Rams overwhelms the Jets D. That's the best hope here. The Jet's have a good run D. they can stop Faulk and Jackson. The old adage is that the run opens the pass, but I think it'll be the opposite here. I like what I saw of Jackson on Monday. That guys got some power. Faulk isn't the same runner anymore. If Jackson plays well, they can win. The Rams also have a short week to prepare. That's not good. Luckily, it's in the dome in St. Louis. If this were in Jersey, no way Rams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Like A Mofo Posted December 30, 2004 Share Posted December 30, 2004 This is how the Rams can lose: Rams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turf Toejam Posted December 31, 2004 Share Posted December 31, 2004 What many observers seem to be overlooking is the fact that St. Louis is considerably better at home than on the road. Similarly, after the San Diego game in week 2, the Jets performance on the road this year has been subpar. In my view, there is no way the Jets should be favored to win this game. Consider the following: 1 - Since the San Diego game, the Jets have scored 7 touchdowns in 6 road games. 2 - The Jets are considered a good running team, yet their yard per rush is 3.7 on the road versus 5.3 at home. 3 - The Jets have a total of 4 sacks in their last 4 road games and will likely be without their best pass rusher, John Abraham. 4 - The Jets have a good third down conversion % of 44%, yet it is 55% at home and 30% on the road. 5 - In their last three home games, all wins, the Rams have averaged 35 rush attempts for 182 yards and are averaging 4.9 yards per rush at home. I don't expect a blowout. There are areas of concern, specifically, the Rams penchant for turnovers (2 per game at home), sacks allowed (almost 3 per game at home) and their horrendous kickoff coverage (giving up 27 yards per kick and 12 yards per punt at home). Plus, you never know when Martz will get really stupid. However, the Rams should win this game. I will remind you that last week I had a similar post suggesting that Houston had a good shot at beating Jacksonville. 185323[/snapback] Impressive, but can we trust Fartz not to mess it up, for the sake of his massive ego? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaBills Posted December 31, 2004 Share Posted December 31, 2004 Rams beat the Seahawks. 184994[/snapback] Twice for that matter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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