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Levi Brown - odds stacked against him


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For those of you with pipe dreams that Levi Brown is going to come out of the woodwork and become a franchise QB, take a look at the list below. It is most of the starters since 1980 that came out in round 4 or later (I left off some lesser knowns, who started 1-2 games). Not to say that it can't be done, but most of the guys are fringe starters and journeymen backups, with the exception of a few (i.e. Brady in 2000)

 

1981 8 210 Wade Wilson

1985 11 285 Doug Flutie

1986 6 146 Mark Rypien

1987 4 98 Rich Gannon

1987 4 110 Steve Beuerlein

1989 6 141 Rodney Peete

1992 6 166 Jeff Blake

1993 5 118 Mark Brunell

1993 8 219 Elvis Grbac

1993 8 222 Trent Green

1994 7 197 Gus Frerotte

1995 4 99 Rob Johnson

1998 6 187 Matt Hasselbeck

1999 4 131 Aaron Brooks

2000 6 168 Marc Bulger

2000 6 199 Tom Brady

2000 7 212 Tim Rattay

2002 4 108 David Garrard

2005 4 106 Kyle Orton

2005 6 213 Derek Anderson

2005 7 230 Matt Cassel

2005 7 250 Ryan Fitzpatrick

2007 7 217 Tyler Thigpen

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1986 6 146 Mark Rypien

 

Grr, *seeth*

 

Romo, Warner and Matt Moore were all undrafted. I believe Jake Delhomme was undrafted.

 

But you're right. any Bills banking on Levi Brown being the future of the franchise is fooling themselves. As a 7th round pick, it will be a plus if he makes the roster ( which I think he will) and if he ever develops into a solid number 2, then you would have to call that a fantastic pick. If you get a starting franchise QB out of it, then you're looking at one of the best draft picks of all time.

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For those of you with pipe dreams that Levi Brown is going to come out of the woodwork and become a franchise QB, take a look at the list below. It is most of the starters since 1980 that came out in round 4 or later (I left off some lesser knowns, who started 1-2 games). Not to say that it can't be done, but most of the guys are fringe starters and journeymen backups, with the exception of a few (i.e. Brady in 2000)

 

1981 8 210 Wade Wilson

1985 11 285 Doug Flutie

1986 6 146 Mark Rypien

1987 4 98 Rich Gannon

1987 4 110 Steve Beuerlein

1989 6 141 Rodney Peete

1992 6 166 Jeff Blake

1993 5 118 Mark Brunell

1993 8 219 Elvis Grbac

1993 8 222 Trent Green

1994 7 197 Gus Frerotte

1995 4 99 Rob Johnson

1998 6 187 Matt Hasselbeck

1999 4 131 Aaron Brooks

2000 6 168 Marc Bulger

2000 6 199 Tom Brady

2000 7 212 Tim Rattay

2002 4 108 David Garrard

2005 4 106 Kyle Orton

2005 6 213 Derek Anderson

2005 7 230 Matt Cassel

2005 7 250 Ryan Fitzpatrick

2007 7 217 Tyler Thigpen

 

It's a bit of a stretch to think that Levi will become a Jim Kelly or even a Joe Ferguson. I do not think it's a stretch that he could become the next Frank Reich. I would be Ok with that for a round 7 pick. He is a long shot to become a franchise QB but according to your stats it would not be the first time!

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Rich Gannon and Tom Brady were pretty decent.

 

Kurt Warner and Jake Delhomme had some ok seasons.

Rich Gannon was pretty decent yet Kurt Warner just had some ok seasons? Warner has won the Superbowl and has been league MVP, Rich Gannon was a fringe starter.

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For those of you with pipe dreams that Levi Brown is going to come out of the woodwork and become a franchise QB, take a look at the list below. It is most of the starters since 1980 that came out in round 4 or later (I left off some lesser knowns, who started 1-2 games). Not to say that it can't be done, but most of the guys are fringe starters and journeymen backups, with the exception of a few (i.e. Brady in 2000)

 

1981 8 210 Wade Wilson

1985 11 285 Doug Flutie

1986 6 146 Mark Rypien

1987 4 98 Rich Gannon

1987 4 110 Steve Beuerlein

1989 6 141 Rodney Peete

1992 6 166 Jeff Blake

1993 5 118 Mark Brunell

1993 8 219 Elvis Grbac

1993 8 222 Trent Green

1994 7 197 Gus Frerotte

1995 4 99 Rob Johnson

1998 6 187 Matt Hasselbeck

1999 4 131 Aaron Brooks

2000 6 168 Marc Bulger

2000 6 199 Tom Brady

2000 7 212 Tim Rattay

2002 4 108 David Garrard

2005 4 106 Kyle Orton

2005 6 213 Derek Anderson

2005 7 230 Matt Cassel

2005 7 250 Ryan Fitzpatrick

2007 7 217 Tyler Thigpen

 

Lots of teams don't have a "franchise" QB, but have/had good, serviceable quarterbacks. Brunell and Green certainly were quite successful. Frerotte, Blake, Grbac, had good seasons.

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Rich Gannon was pretty decent yet Kurt Warner just had some ok seasons? Warner has won the Superbowl and has been league MVP, Rich Gannon was a fringe starter.

If you're going to feign to be wise ass, know your stuff. Rich Gannon was NFL MVP in 2002 and played in Super Bowl 37.

 

I was underselling all four names, two of which you didn't even put on your list.

 

Your point is meaningless. What makes a successful QB isn't where he is drafted (or undrafted in some cases). More great players are drafted earlier in the draft, (wow! shocking!) but great players come in many different ways and being drafted early is well-documented as never being a guarantee to success. Ryan Leaf and JaMarcus Russell being prime examples.

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If you're going to feign to be wise ass, know your stuff. Rich Gannon was NFL MVP in 2002 and played in Super Bowl 37.

 

I was underselling all four names, two of which you didn't even put on your list.

 

Your point is meaningless. What makes a successful QB isn't where he is drafted (or undrafted in some cases). More great players are drafted earlier in the draft, (wow! shocking!) but great players come in many different ways and being drafted early is well-documented as never being a guarantee to success. Ryan Leaf and JaMarcus Russell being prime examples.

 

 

+1 DING DING DING!!!!! :blush:

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Warren Moon and Jeff Garcia were undrafted.

 

Going way back in the day Roger Staubach was drafted in the 10th round.

 

Staubach was a Naval Academy student, and IIRC he had to serve some time (4 yrs I think) in the service after graduation before he could play in the NFL. No doubt that was what brought him down so low in the draft.

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If you're going to feign to be wise ass, know your stuff. Rich Gannon was NFL MVP in 2002 and played in Super Bowl 37.

 

I was underselling all four names, two of which you didn't even put on your list.

 

Your point is meaningless. What makes a successful QB isn't where he is drafted (or undrafted in some cases). More great players are drafted earlier in the draft, (wow! shocking!) but great players come in many different ways and being drafted early is well-documented as never being a guarantee to success. Ryan Leaf and JaMarcus Russell being prime examples.

You got me there. :blush: As for the missing people, I didn't have any UFA's on the list.

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Staubach was a Naval Academy student, and IIRC he had to serve some time (4 yrs I think) in the service after graduation before he could play in the NFL. No doubt that was what brought him down so low in the draft.

 

 

Absolutely...he was a class act...and a steal in the draft.

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You fail to note the success rate of 1st and 2nd round picks at QB. While slightly better it's hardly considered a lock. The bottom line is that any QB you draft has about a 50-50 chance of succeeding in the NFL.

 

PTR

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You fail to note the success rate of 1st and 2nd round picks at QB. While slightly better it's hardly considered a lock. The bottom line is that any QB you draft has about a 50-50 chance of succeeding in the NFL.

 

PTR

 

You could probably extend that to pretty much any position too.

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