dave mcbride
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Posts posted by dave mcbride
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2 minutes ago, T.E. said:
Exactly. And it was obvious that was going to happen.
Again, he was very good last season, which was post-contract.
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Just now, Simon said:
He created some quick pressures that forced Stafford to get rid of the ball and his assists were actually tackles, they just happened to be on plays where another guy got there at the same time. He played hard, was more effective than he has been most of the year was not the problem yesterday.
Not saying at all that he's not playing hard. He just isn't making the sort of plays that he's paid to make, and that was the case yesterday too. Maybe my standards are too high for him, but "almost" plays aren't good enough, especially when he's made those actual plays in the past.
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1 minute ago, ProcessImproverMan said:
He got paid and then learned from the school of Albert Haynesworth. That's what happened.
He was good last year, and that was after the contract.
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3 minutes ago, Simon said:
This is simply not true.
Oliver had 3 tackles, led the team in QB hits and could be seen several times successfully anchoring against doubles and hustling downfield to run down ballcarriers.
Rousseau's only "play" was a single tackle in the 4th qrtr and he could be seen multiple times standing around unengaged, waiting for his teammates to finish plays.
Oliver has not been good this year, but he was not the problem yesterday.
Oliver had 3 assists, no actual tackles, and a couple of hits on the QB that, IIRC, didn't materially affect the play.
I am happy he can anchor, but a physically quick and explosive three-technique needs to make plays behind the LOS. He just isn't this year.
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22 minutes ago, Simon said:
Both Oliver and Daquan Jones were fine yesterday; the DT's behind them were not (although I would like to see Quinton Jefferson get some more snaps).
Yu want to see a shameful performance? Go watch film of that utterly pathetic effort from Greg Rousseau yesterday, absolutely horrible.
The Bills had far bigger problems in their secondary yesterday than they did up front.
Rousseau at least made one play (a TFL). Oliver, as per his standard game this season, made zero.
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I felt this deserved its own thread given his draft position and his contract, but mods, if you think it should be merged with the d-line thread, that's fine.
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/O/OlivEd00.htm
Oliver has only eight tackles this season (through 13 games, although he missed two) and had 34 last season. He has one sack, two TFLs, and 8 QB hits. He had 9.5 sacks last year and 14 TFLs. What the hell has happened to him? He's arguably the worst producer on the entire defense this season - definitely worse than Daquon Jones.
And I don't buy any "he does the dirty work" sort of argument. 3-technique DTs are supposed to explode through and make actual tackles in the backfield.
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3 hours ago, <bills4life> said:
Add 0 turnovers. The record is 245-0. Well until yesterday anyways. Couple that with 13 seconds. McDermott is an enigma. Does virtually everything right as a coach on so many levels and then blows it all away in the final two minutes of close critical games.
I do consider a blocked punt returned for a TD an actual turnover regardless of the NFL's statistical categories. It turned out to be the game-deciding play.
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2 hours ago, The 9 Isles said:
From PFT :
“The Bills are the first team in the Super Bowl era to have six or more touchdowns and no giveaways
and lose. Previously, teams that did that were 245-0.
Receiver Puka Nacua had 12 catches for 162 yards and two total touchdowns.
Josh Allen had three passing touchdowns and three rushing touchdowns. He's the only player to do it in a regular-season game. The only other player to ever do it was Otto Graham in the 1954
NFL Championship.”
.
How one can consider a blocked punt returned for a TD NOT a turnover is beyond me.
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41 minutes ago, Bermuda Triangle said:
For those who are actively or passive aggressively defending the coaching in this game, do you think that the coaching put the team in the best position to win this game?
do you trust this staff in a tight game, high-leverage situation?
They were better than our slow secondary and WEAK pass rush. Starts an ends there.
2 minutes ago, TheWeatherMan said:Zero half time adjustments made with the Bills defense. Staying in zone with single coverage on Puka worked so well in the first half they decided to double up in the second 🤦🏻♂️.
The D, collectively, is slow. Belichick said it 10 weeks ago.
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1 minute ago, CincyBillsFan said:
The answer is absolutely it will show up as it has in every year the Bills have been in the playoffs in the Allen era. By my count there has only been ONE elite defensive playoff performance by the Bills since 2019 and that was against Baltimore.
And it was a sustained 25-30 mph wind throughout the course of that game.
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8 minutes ago, HappyDays said:
But also the extra 3rd down play gave them 40 more seconds to run off the clock which absolutely mattered at the end. If the Bills had managed the end of the game appropriately we wouldn't have even needed to onside kick. We would have had all 3 timeouts and like 1:40 left after we scored our final TD.
Our decisions in the final minutes turned a winnable game into a certain loss.
The Bills’ D was *SHREDDED* all game long. Starts and ends there. No late-game decision excuses allowed.
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1 hour ago, Success said:
Accepting the penalty on the Rams drive.
Then, calling TIME OUT. Could have rushed to the line there & still been able to stop the clock. That ended the game. Dumb, dumb, dumb.
Literally everything about this game was the Bills’. HORRIFIC defense. Starts and ends there — full stop. @Success
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Just now, HappyDays said:
Whelp at least now we have a chance at a double dip... Need two TDs here, can't trust the defense to do a damn thing today.
This reminds me of the second half of the 2020 Rams-Bills game. McVay outschemed McDermott on virtually every play, but the Bills were saved by Allen heroics and a really shaky illegal contact call on Gabe Davis on 4th down at the end of the game. The combo of Stafford, Nacua and Kupp are built to skewer zone schemes.
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1 hour ago, Jauronimo said:
The end around to Reggie Bush lost 8 yards and Carpenter missed the ensuing 45 yard field goal. We would lose in OT. A win could have made the playoffs and end of the drought a reality.
Well, it felt like 15-20 yards!
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20 hours ago, Jauronimo said:
13 games, 12 carries, negative 3 yards, and 1 TD. Reggie must have run that 1 TD in backwards?
I recall that ridiculously negative play vs Miami in OT where he lost like 15-20 yards
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38 minutes ago, Gregg said:
Maybe just USC for CFB.
The Rose Bowl is SO far from campus that it's a joke -- 25 miles!
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31 minutes ago, Gregg said:
LA has never been a great market for the NFL. The Rams left there and went to St. Louis. The Raiders went there from Oakland and then back to Oakland before going to Vegas. But the league wants teams in big market LA for $$$$. When it comes to sports LA is basically the Dodgers, Lakers and maybe USC and UCLA football.
UCLA football fan enthusiasm captured in a single image (I went to UCLA, as it happens):
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22 hours ago, Success said:
First, I hated to see Lawrence hurt like that, as I'm sure everyone did, and hope for a full & fast recovery.
When the hit 1st happened, my reaction was the same as everyone else. Dirty. Unnecessary. I was kind of angry.
But then the entire NFL community goes into self-righteous mode about a play in a game that is inherently violent. We all watch replays countless times in slo-mo, and think that players who are playing the game at a high speed can adjust on a dime. And there is also the consideration that some QB's try to game the rules around sliding a bit, and trick defenses. That slide yesterday did appear to be one that was started late, after or simultaneous to the defender positioning for the hit.
Obviously, the NFL has to protect QB's. The hit WAS unnecessary - but I think the reaction against the player has been over the top. If a player has a pattern of illegal hits & dirty play, that's a different story.
I just hate how this stuff gets so black & white, and people turn into villains instantly.
He's a villain because he's a JAG defender and both the overall business of NFL and actual teams are built on QBs. Headhunting QBs is really bad for the league and bad for 53-man teams that no longer have a credible QB. I don't think the penalty is enough given the absolute centrality of competent QB play to watchable football.
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https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/buf/2024.htm#team_stats
The numbers in this link are pretty remarkable. They are terrible against the run and good vs the pass in terms of yards per play surrendered, but they also rank 20th in plays per drive and 19th in yards per drive (meaning they're fairly bad on third down defense - ranked 20th). They are also 19th in the number of sacks made. Yet they are 6th in points allowed and 11th in yards allowed.
My takeaway? They are heavily reliant on preventing big plays that result in short scoring drives (in terms of the number of plays on the drive) and turnovers (they are second in the league in turnovers forced), and turnovers are more likely to happen on drives with a large number of plays -- the idea being that the offense will make a mistake sooner or later. They are 3rd in passing TDs given up and 6th in rushing TDs given up, which seems to confirm the philosophy.
Will this approach work against the better teams in the postseason? I have no idea, but it hasn't really worked in the past. That said, I do think that they are better at getting after the passer than they were in, say, 2021 - despite the overall low numbers for sacks (2.4 per game).
Finally, they are 11th in opposing team passer rating: https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-average-team-passer-rating. Solid, but they've always been better than this in the Allen/McDermott era: 4th in 2019, 7th in 2020, 1st in 2021, 2nd in 2022, and 7th in 2023. Differential in team passer rating is the greatest statisical predictor of team success/failure in the NFL.
Last thing to add -- the scoring numbers for the D really speak to the importance of complementary football. The offense is second in the league in terms of fewest turnovers given up, and they are first in fumbles lost (meaning the least). Opposing offenses therefore are gifted with hardly any short drives, and the Bills haven't allowed a defensive TD score all season.
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1 hour ago, FireChans said:
There’s also a reason they traded a 3rd round pick for Douglas after Elam got roasted vs Jacksonville lol
Forbes has no shot tbh.
He was previously very bad. Now with a new HC and defense and they decided he wasn’t worth sticking with MIDSEASON. Massive red flag after red flag of a dude who was probably over drafted by 2 rounds. No thanks.
Forbes has been AWFUL.
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15 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:
In would argue the most detrimental thing that can happen to a franchise is having a QB that seems just good enough to keep
Bill Walsh's famous quote about Steve DeBerg: He's just good enough to get you fired.
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On 11/3/2024 at 11:13 PM, dave mcbride said:
Mack had a sack and 2 TFLs today in a dominating defensive performance for LA: https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401671629/chargers-browns
Bill Belichick just said on Manningcast that Khalil Mack is probably the best two-gap and best power rusher in the NFL. @PromoTheRobot care to opine vs BB?
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10 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:
Stat wise, George had the far better career. He was having better passing seasons in the 90s than Jones is having today where it’s never been easier to put up bigger passing numbers.
https://stathead.com/football/versus-finder.cgi?player_id2=JoneDa05&player_id1=GeorJe00&request=1&utm_source=pfr&utm_medium=sr_xsite&utm_id=GeorJe00&utm_campaign=2023_01_wdgt_player_comparisonJones is a really bad passing qb.
EJ got like 10 games and had a better start to his career than Jones while having Nate Hackett as 1st time nfl OC and his qb coach!!! He got benched in his 2nd year at 2-2 with 5 tds and 3 ints.
more qbs are ruined than developed in the nfl. So I get not moving on too quick. But imagine if you’re Saquon struggling to get $10 million while taking handoffs from Jones making $40.
With regard to George, there are lies, damned lies, and statistics. That first season where he had 29 TDs and 9 INTs, he was actually awful. He was a sack magnet and consistently crumbled in the stretch run of games. The Raiders went 4-12 that season and were done with him before the midway point of the second season of his contract. Gruden had come in and quickly discovered that George couldn’t — and didn’t want to — run his offense, so they shifted to Gannon and George was out.
I will say that played pretty well for MN in 1999. But that was not on the Raiders contract and the Vikings were done with him after just that one season.
the last time a healthy McVay-led healthy Rams offense played a healthy Bills defense (2020)
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by dave mcbride
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/202009270buf.htm
The Bills gave up 478 yards and allowed 7.25 yards per play. They blew a 28-3 lead and in the second half, and the Rams moved the ball at will. In the second half, the Rams ran 23 plays on four straight TD drives for 201 yards (with the longest playing being 31 yards). That is 8.74 yards per play. Two of the plays were one-yard TD runs, so take those successful plays out, and they gave up 203 yards on 21 plays (9.7 yards per play).
Clearly, McVay knows how to attack this defensive scheme.
(In the September 2022 game, Stafford was dealing with an elbow injury, Van Jefferson was out, and their o-line had gotten banged up during preseason.)