dave mcbride
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Posts posted by dave mcbride
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Just now, Bangarang said:
There was plenty of room there for Cook if he had caught the ballThere was a blatant block in the back by Brown that almost certainly would have been called. It was that obvious. Probably better that he dropped it.
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On 12/24/2023 at 10:27 AM, Hebert19 said:
He will be active rest if way. Key here. 4 career fumbles. Ya you read that right. He has only fumbled 4 times. Plus he has big game experience and is a great receiver and blocker.
He fumbled twice in his rookie season, and since then he has 2 fumbles in his last 1,145 touches! That is amazing — a 0.17 percent fumble rate since 2018. Cook’s rate this year is 1.6 percent.
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20 hours ago, Logic said:
If there was to be one thing that concerns me against the Pats, it's this:
The Bills have been mostly living off the run game lately. Their WRs have not been getting good separation, and they generally haven't been lighting it up through the air.
The Pats, meanwhile, have a very good run defense, as you pointed out. If the Bills are unable to run the ball, and the pass game starts out slow -- as it is wont to do at times this year -- then this could be a closer and more anxiety-inducing game then it needs to be.
I still think the Bills ultimately find a way to take care of business at home, but I don't think it's going to be a 37-13 snoozefest or anything. I have the sneaking suspicion the game may be closer than Bills fans would prefer. Here's hoping I'm wrong.‘The Bills have produced 350 or more net yards nine times this season, and 20 or more first downs 11 times. New England’s defense has yielded 350 yards just four times, and 20 first downs five times.
It all starts with the Patriots’ beefy defensive front, which is holding teams to the second fewest rushing yards in the NFL – 84.8 a game. The Pats are No. 1 in yards per carry allowed – just 3.17. If that number holds up for the full season, it will be the lowest yards per carry allowed in the NFL in the past eight years.“It starts with their interior, not only eating up blocks, but keeping gap integrity,” Bills center Mitch Morse said. “I think they do a phenomenal job of keeping gap integrity, understanding how offensive linemen are trying to play them, not only before the game, but during the game. I just have the utmost respect for how those guys play, and for us to have any success, we’re going to have to compete.”’
12 hours ago, Neo said:I am not a betting man and this won’t change this weekend. That said, I’m curious about what the learned here think. If i had to bet, I’d take the points. The Pats are always prepared and it’s a December divisional game. Bills by 7 to 10. What say the informed?
I think it’s crazy to bet on the Bills given this spread. The Bills are 0-3 vs the spread when they’ve been favored by 10+ points and six of the pats’ last seven games have been one-score games. The one that wasn’t was a loss to the chiefs on the road, and it was only by 10 points.
That said, I WISH that the Bills crush it and win by 28.
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17 minutes ago, RoyBatty is alive said:
Lets be honest, pour special teams have sucked. I give a massive plus to the Pats except we do have the superior field goal kicker.
Our punt protection and out punt coverage has been dreadful I am fearful Belichek is going to scheme in an overbalanced line to clock one of our punts. If we do get it off, our lane discipline is terrible and we allow for large returns. Also Martin's delivery to punt is slow and he too often pumps right down the middle of the field really exposing our punt defenders.
Martin is 32nd out of 33 qualifying punters in net yards per punt.
The Bills have straight-up lost two games on ST blunders on the final play: vs the Jets and the Broncos. That's two too many.
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4 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:
It makes no sense from a developmental or a team stand point...but it does make sense from the point of view of a desperate HC trying to find a way to save his job. Rivera is probably desperately hoping to show he can win with better QB play and that QB play has been the issue and not him to try and survive another season.
It might simply be that the players have basically told him that Brissett needs to start. There's also the issue of Bienemy -- if Brissett gives them a better chance to win, then he'll be doing a solid for his OC, who will be looking for a job too. A similar thing happened in Vegas when they shifted from Jimmy G to O'Connell.
I am quite certain that Rivera is not delusional enough to think he will keep his job. But he's not the only person involved here -- there are assistants and the players themselves. This is a team with a defense that is 32nd in both points and yards allowed. He is gone and he knows it.
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1 minute ago, Chicken Boo said:
I can't argue with that. The first one was a solid team effort. The 2nd one, he played well. Even that final throw was a good one, it was just an excellent read and react by Malcolm Butler.
That was Pete and Bevell's fault. I still can't believe it happened.
He played very well in the first one too - 18/25 for 206 yards and 2 TD throws; 8.24 ypa; 3 rushes for 26 yards; and no turnovers.
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1 minute ago, EmotionallyUnstable said:
Yes.
If the browns lose out and we win out (but Miami doesn’t lose) we can take the 5 seed
It actually really matters because it means that the Bills' likely opponent as a WC (assuming Miami beats Baltimore and the Bills win out) will be Indy, Jax, or Houston. Otherwise it's probably at KC.
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Just now, JustHewIt said:
Did they? They had 273 yards on 65 plays, took five sacks, and kicked a bunch of field goals thanks in part to great drive starts after turnovers. That yards per play would rank at the bottom of the league average
Yes, they surely did. A team with that level of talent should have been held to 170 yards and 3 points. They were HORRIBLE talent-wise on offense in that game. That same offense had 123 yards vs the Raiders before garbage time kicked in (late in the 3rd quarter when the Raiders were up 49-0). The Bills didn't force any turnovers either against that horrible unit.
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12 minutes ago, eball said:
If the Bills had blown out the Chargers I'd feel exactly this way...but because that game was closer than expected I am looking to see a highly motivated Bills team on Sunday afternoon. I could be wrong, but that's my gut feeling...
I hope you're right.
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16 minutes ago, Buffalo03 said:
10 have been one score games. But how many of them did the Patriots score more than 10 points or 15 points? Let's not give them a ton of credit like they are a good team on the wrong side of high scoring one score games. They lost one game 10-6, another 6-0 and another 10-7. I wouldn't give credit for that. Losing games 33-30 is one thing. Losing games 10-6 and saying "well, they were one score games, they aren't that bad" is another. They are a bad team.
They have a bad offense and a good defense. Problem is, they run a style -- taking the easy stuff in the middle of the field in the passing game -- that the Bills pass D struggles with. The Bills seem to do much better against defenses with elite receivers and QBs who work the boundaries than against teams that prioritize always taking the easy passes available in a zone D. The Chargers did it last week and did OK with virtually no talent, and the Pats shredded the Bills zone D in the first game this season.
But yeah, the Bills should win. I just worry it'll be an ugly game.
Honestly, after they got to 2-10, I felt that Belichick owed it to Mr. Kraft to lose out and maximize the chances that they can draft a franchise QB. Belichick isn't going along with that obviously correct strategy, however.
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3 minutes ago, Draconator said:
Will his seat have an obstructed view?
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11 minutes ago, Limeaid said:
I do not think he is willing to be paid less than elite money so will be unsigned. He does not love football so much like other players.
He likes fame, and will lose that if he stops playing. And someone will pay him $15 million-plus a year (at least). That's far more than he'll be able to make in any other line of work.
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29 minutes ago, RunTheBall said:
Diggs and Kincaid have both been banged up. It’s pretty obvious watching Diggs - he can’t separate anymore and every time he gets tapped he takes himself off the field.
Kincaid is a combo of getting hurt and Brady using more varied personel to help the run game. If Brady can continue to be game-plan specific in attacking a defenses weaknesses, I think this is potentially a good thing.
Pats* weakness is NOT defending the run, so we should see fewer runs out of heavy sets and more 11 personel or if in heavy, more throws out of it to Cook or Knox/Kincaid against LBs who are awful against the pass (although their safeties are good against TEs)
I’m a Brady fan but he must have a good game plan against NE. We have a bunch of banged up guys on O, and a QB who has been showing signs of inaccuracy the last few weeks. A solid game plan that gives Josh easy throws and schemes open receivers instead of relying just on their talent to separate (which is very lacking in our WRs minus Shakir) is essential.
Excellent points. The Pats defense has been playing well lately. They've only given up 300 yards once in their last 6 games (326 to the Chiefs on the road) after giving up 300+ in the previous six games. This game is no gimme, although the Bill should win. If the Bills lose the turnover battle, though, they could easily lose. Ball protection has to be first and foremost in Allen's mind.
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30 minutes ago, HappyDays said:
The defense was not good in the 2020/2021 playoffs. The Colts offense produced more than their season average, Allen is the main reason we stole that game. The Ravens game was not a real game of football, come on now. Then we gave up 38 points in the AFCCG, nobody on the team at that point was ready to compete with the Chiefs.
I once again am begging Bills fans to please watch other Super Bowl contending teams and develop proper expectations.
Agreed. That Ravens game was one of those howling wind games where passing games go to die.
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1 minute ago, GunnerBill said:
I agree he will find a home. He will start a season somewhere next year. Whether he finishes it I am less convinced. Depends on the team and where they are at.
Once you look around the league, you can see that he's a clear upgrade for some teams. Atlanta in particular sticks out like a sore thumb. The only reason they are under .500 is godawful QBing. They have no talent at the position.
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16 hours ago, C.Biscuit97 said:
I agree with you. Rivera is “trying” to save his job and is desperate for wins. Tommy Devito 🤌 was a nice story but he was pretty terrible and might not be in the league next year. Daboll’s job is safe but coaches and players still want to win. Those 2 guys give you a much better chance at that.
personally, I think Taylor and Brissett should be allowed to be traded to a playoff contender team that needs a qb right now.
Howell will be the next Gardner/ Fitz. Good in spot starts but gets worst the more he plays. He will have a nice career as a backup but he’s not a starter.
tommy D should milk the pizzerias for money because he’s a borderline nfl qb.
Good call on Howell. He is a gunslinger who will pull out some surprising wins over a long career, but he's never going to be very good. His key issue right now is the sacks. He is a sack machine: 9.7 percent rate. You would think that's fixable, but then you look at Rob Johnson.
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Just now, GunnerBill said:
Russ is done. Finished. Toast. His stats this year are a mirage. I have watched a lot of the Broncos. I think I have seen him play well once. The Broncos have just acknowledged the reality.
Well, he'd be an upgrade in Atlanta, which if it had Wilson would probably have won that division. The Steelers would be a 10-win team if they had him. He'll find a home. He's not the worst starting QB in the league even if he's clearly not elite.
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4 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:
Why would they concede the playoffs? The HC claims they are "desperately trying to win" and that Stidham decision is based on "a spark".
My favorite part is this: "one of the things we saw when we signed Stidham in the offseason, not only from preseason games but regular-season games, but he's a guy I'm excited to see play." Stidham took 4 snaps and attempted zero passes this year.
Payton is a bum. Washed up. Same will be true next year when they sign a guy like Minshew or The Passtronaut, while they try to groom a rookie QB. That team is going nowhere with him.
Yes they will cut him. If they do it in March as has been reported, he would be a 50 million cap hit in 2024. If they let him go in June, they pay him 35.4 million.
I feel like Kirk Cousins would be a fit in a Payton offense, but he'll likely be too expensive given the cap situation.
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34 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
Hmmm. If he had two rings he would be a shoe in. I still lean towards yes. But it is an interesting question.
There is NO conceivable way that Wilson doesn't make the HOF. Warren Moon is the only Black QB in the HOF, and Wilson is by far and away the most accomplished candidate (over McNabb, Vick, etc.). You and I both know that voters will be conscious of this issue. Mahomes and Jackson will get in, but they have a lot longer to play. Wilson's 167 career AV (from PFR) dwarfs everyone else's (McNabb is second at 138). People forget that he's had a bunch of spectacular statistical seasons.
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28 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
Hmmm. If he had two rings he would be a shoe in. I still lean towards yes. But it is an interesting question.
All the well connected Broncos reporters are saying that decision is made.
Smart comment by Florio here. I'd take the entire cap hit in 2024 if I were them, but to be fair I don't know their cap situation well enough. It might be smarter to spread it out. Also, no one really talks about the actual money saved, but $37 million is a lot!
"The transaction will result in $89 million in cap charges, arising from money already paid and his 2024 fully-guaranteed compensation of $39 million. The Broncos can either take the entire hit in 2024, or they can designate Wilson as a post-June 1 release and limit the cap charge to $35.4 million in 2024 and $53.6 million in 2025.
The Broncos eventually would get a credit for Wilson’s earnings elsewhere in 2024. If he takes the one-year veteran minimum of $1.21 million from his next team, that’s all the Broncos will get by way of credit.
It’s still better than the cap consequences of keeping him. His cap number for 2024 would be $35.4 million under his current deal, along with $55.4 million in 2025. That’s $90.8 million. Also, cutting him saves $37 million in cash.
Will this hurt Denver’s ability to field the most competitive team possible in 2024? Sure. But it won’t be impossible. The Buccaneers are closing in on a division championship despite carrying more than $75 million in dead money, with $35 million of it coming from Tom Brady. Also, with the cap going up and up and up, the relative impact of seemingly staggering cap charges continues to drop as the cap continues to rise."
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9 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said:
Figured I’d give my 2 cents on how the matchups will be like (IMO).
BillPass O v Pats Pass D — Bills by a lot! The Pats secondary is a bunch of scrubs off the street with a hurt Jonathan Jones leading them and he is at his best in the slot. The only chance NE has here is if Uche and Baremore have career type days and force Allen into mistakes.
Bills Run O v Pats Run D — Pats, I say this because they have one of the best Run D in the NFL. I expect roughly 4 yards or less a carry…
Pats O v Bills D — Pats O is historically BAD! Add in they lost their #1 RB and WR in Bourne and Stevenson and well YIKES! The positive for this sad sack of a group is Zappe looks like a decent backup and Pop Douglas should be a good #2 or #3 in the future. The only way this group will be dangerous is if the Bills D sleep walks through the game and even then the most they could score is 24. HUGE ADVANTAGE BILLS
FG Kickers — Pats rookie has been average to bad… Advantage Bills
Punting — Pats have a great punter, he has gotten a ton of work! lol (even)
Special Teams — Pats are jeckyl and Hyde on Special teams this year, some weeks they are very good other times bad. I honestly don’t pay close enough attention to the Bills special teams to know but at best it’s even for the Pats..
Overall it should be a win for the Bills
Bills 21
Pats 10
The Pats have played 14 games and 10 have been one-score games. 6 of the last 7 have been one-score games, with the 10-point loss to the Chiefs being the exception. The Bills are also 0-3 vs the spread in games where they've been favored by 10+ points. I hate to say it, but I am envisioning a one-score game with an 11-point win the extreme boundary for the point difference. The Pats are an extremely well coached team on defense and will probably make life difficult for the Bills. I have a hunch the Bills will pull out a victory at home, but I also think it'll be a little ugly.
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58 minutes ago, Beck Water said:
Fair points. Agree completely on the impact of sacks - some coaches rate them as similar to a turnover. But, I hadn't watched enough Broncos games to have a sense of whether Wilson was at fault or whether they were expecting him to operate behind scraps and turnstiles on OL.
I had the impression, the latter, but there may well be designed hot reads Wilson isn't taking, as well - he certainly had a pattern as a Seattle QB of ignoring the hot read to try to extend plays and create. (As Allen has done at times)
He does have 10 fumbles, only 5 fumbles lost FWIW.
The thing is, if they're going to bite the bullet, eat the massive dead cap next year, and move on from Wilson, What's the Plan at QB? They've been a bit too successful to draft a QB high. They still owe the Saints their 2nd round pick this year as part of the trade for Sean Payton so their maneuvering room in the draft will be limited.
No argument from me! If I wanted to win the next two games, I'd have started him. But maybe they think the season is effectively over given all of the 8-7 teams, the Bills, and Browns.
The one intriguing QB option would be signing Kirk Cousins, who is a FA and is the definition of an efficient system qb.
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14 minutes ago, Beck Water said:
The Broncos have a mediocre scoring offense and a bottom-dweller defense, despite being mid-pack on offensive turnovers too (meaning the offense isn't putting the defense in bad positions an excessive amount). They have a "meh" rushing offense, but are near the bottom of the league for rushing TDs, which says they're hanging on Wilson's arm to score.
He actually put up decent numbers. 26 TD, 8 INT, 204.5 ypg, 98 passer rating are all QB numbers a team should be able to win with. Decent "bounceback" year. On the other hand, they're not paying Wilson to be "a QB you can win with", they're paying him to be a Star of Stars.It's clear that Russ has not been the game changer that the Broncos envisioned when they traded for him so I can't disagree with the Broncos on the financial decision, but to me, this recks of scapegoating Russ for the pretty putrid defensive performances Payton started off the season with. As we know, Payton has such a great track record*** for how he handled the QB position and cap/personnel decisions in general in N'Orleans at the end of his tenure there, so he must know what he's doing 🙄
***sarcasm font enabled
Wilson’s numbers are very deceiving. He has a sky-high 9.1 percent sack rate (it was even worse last year: 10.2) which is why they are 21st in net yards per pass attempt, 25th in yards overall, and 28th in plays per drive. Sacks are very often the fault of the QB, and in Wilson’s case it seems pretty obvious from the games that a lot of it is him. Sacks are total drive killers, and you simply can’t be a sack machine — especially when you can’t compensate for it by being a great running qb, which he no longer really is. He’s only slightly above average on that front now. He also has 10 fumbles.
21 minutes ago, TheyCallMeAndy said:26 TDs - 8 INT
3000+ yards
66%
7-8 as a starterYea he sounds like the problem.
I advise that you check out the sack numbers. They are sky high.
PS: In comparison, look at the sack rates for Brees over the years: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/B/BreeDr00.htm
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Patriots @ Bills game thread - 1st half
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Is there a reason bass isn’t kicking it into the EZ given what happened on the first kick? Is he losing his leg? I worry about that.