dave mcbride
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Posts posted by dave mcbride
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45 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
There is a difference between forfeiting the game / not trying to win and pressing a player who is not fully healthy into action ahead of time. If this was week 18 and a win and you're in game, or it was a playoff game they should do absolutely everything to get Cooper on the field. But it isn't that. It's a regular season home game at 8-2. If you play Cooper this week and he re-injures or further injures the wrist I think that would go down as a bad risk/reward decision.
The chances of the Bills making the SB with the bye are far, far, far better than if they don't have the bye. Disagree with this logic.
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7 minutes ago, boyst said:
the money and the bets are all on KC despite Buffalo winning odds.
It's amazing and shows the effect of betting on the chiefs to cover ATS and all they usually do. maybe the sharps haven't put in yet or maybe they're afraid to.
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10 hours ago, Buffalo716 said:
That Miss last game was so minute... That's a tracking issue at the NFL level .. and I really like Kincaid.. but the best can track the ball without losing speed
It's one thing if you overthrow a guy by six yards... If it's within fingertips of the guy and he's running down the field he's not doing a good enough job tracking it
Watch guys like DeSean Jackson track a football 60 yards in the air.. they can maintain 19 20 miles an hour while tracking it over their shoulder
While other NFL guys the same ball they dipped down to 17 miles an hour to track it.. and that's the difference between a catch and a fingertip miss
One thing if it's 5 yards overthrown.. when it's that close at the NFL level it's generally a tracking issue.. he needs to get better at tracking
The best wide receivers or pass catchers when the ball goes in the air they have another gear
And yes there is some hyperbole to this there is obviously a such thing as a bad pass but it's the small things at the highest level
The problem with this comp is that Allen doesn’t throw rainbows like Aaron Rodgers, Hurts, and Russell Wilson that allow receivers to track. His arm is frankly too strong for that and his deeper throws are therefore lower trajectory. It’s an apples and oranges thing. It’s also crazy to blame Kincaid for that play. Allen gave him no chance on that one.
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On 11/11/2024 at 11:52 PM, Mark Vader said:
He never really seemed to get much appreciation for how good of a coach he was. Maybe because he was coaching teams in the west?
RIP, Sir.
I think that’s because he took over for a well-acknowledged legend, John McKay. There was always a sense that he inherited a total powerhouse and all the recruiting that came with that.
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9 hours ago, GunnerBill said:
I do think this season is different to the last three. He has been excellent for the last 3 years even if the numbers don't always jump off a page. The underlying analytics were excellent. But they support the eye test this year, he isn't winning his matchups, he isn't moving QBs off their spot and he isn't making impact plays at the line.
The rest of your statement I agree with. His two worst seasons are 2020 (Star opted out) and this season (Jones is washed). I don't think that is a coincidence.
… which means he is dependent on other players for his success, which also means he’s a … semi-JAG. Difference makers make differences no matter who surrounds them (ie, Josh Allen). Oliver is an OK to decent player. Not much more than that. The pretty solid cast of DEs on the Bills suggests that he should be taking advantage of the surrounding environs, but he’s not.
7 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said:....and he never will be unless you put a quality 1T next to him. DQ has not performed in a way to advance Ed's strengths.
Lotta DTs still put up numbers after their partners go down.
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59 minutes ago, Back2Buff said:
JNS, Flowers, and Addison getting to 20-23 and not trading up, then going up for Kincaid at 25 was devasting to me. We had a well rounded TE already, we needed another receiving threat and I would always lean towards an actual WR vs a TE playing a receiver.
Kincaid is an excellent receiver who excels at getting open and then becoming elusive once he has the ball. He has very good hands too. His stats aren't a good measure of his talent, and it's still early days anyway.
25 minutes ago, PoundingDog said:Ed Oliver is who he is. I don't expect any late surge for his level because he relies heavily on his get-offs. That is not something improves when you age.
Maybe we are all had too much hope for Kincaid. He's an older guy (25 already) coming out of college. 25 - 28 are generally the peak of peak of players development. ESPN, PFF all kind of had him at around top 5 in TE before the season. 10 games in, he's kind of middle of the road on passing stats. Certainly not bad. But not the kind of lead dog I think OBD had hoped for.
The counting stats are a function of the Bills system, not him.
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1 minute ago, Sojourner said:
Eberflus is a problem, undoubtably.
But Williams has an insane amount of talent on that offense, some of the problem has to fall at his own feet.
Jayden Daniels, with a lesser cast of weapons, is killing it in Washington. Kliff bombed in AZ and there was question marks whether he could facilitate the growth of Daniels. He’s played his part but credit has to go to the QB himself just as much.
The talk is their firing their OC so Eberflus is already finding a scape goat.
I didn't watch much of Williams in college, but when I did (vs UCLA last season, for instance), he looked to me like a player who might have trouble transitioning to the pro game. I am sure I missed some amazing games of his, but he was sloppy with the football and seemed to have trouble reading the field. He held the ball way too long and took a lot of sacks. Notre Dame made him look pretty bad too.
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11 minutes ago, boyst said:
If Miami loses all Florida teams in the NFL, FBS, And FBC level lost this weekend.
0-11
Let's go Rams!
I now want the Rams to lose a little faith. I am ok with them losing. Not saying it’ll help the Bills, but I’m looking for any edge!
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1 hour ago, Sojourner said:
When I saw the thread title I just asked myself “why would they cut their most productive linebacker?”
He’s not their most productive linebacker but their most productive defensive player next to their FS Julian Love.
I absolutely agree with you. Something has to be coming that they are privy to. Doesn’t make sense otherwise.
Either that or they are in a "heads have to roll if we're going to revitalize our season" mode. At 4-5 they are not out of it, but things are slipping away and if they want to save their season maybe they think they need to take drastic action. The weird thing is that he led the team in tackles vs the Rams (their most recent game). Tackles are an overrated stat, but still.
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On 11/9/2024 at 1:35 PM, Einstein's Dog said:
I think the intent will be to replace Hamlin but will be done in a face saving kind of way. Maybe even let Hamlin start and work Hyde in, and then eventually (playoff time) have the switch happen (maybe some type of hamstring injury for Hamlin).
Hamlin has done better than expected IMO. He beat out M Edwards somehow (M Edwards must have had problems as has the rookie). And Hamlin has some good stats, but the eye test kind of makes the stats look like fortunate Forrest Gump like coincidences. He took Tua out with what looked like a rather soft hit. One of the interceptions was an incredible overthrow. Most of the time he looks slow, lanky, soft, and indecisive -it's just not a good look for a starting safety.
The other INT (vs TN is garbage time) was a vulture INT - he wasn't the cause of it.
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13 hours ago, Utah John said:
After 10 games each year:
1994 5-5
1993 8-2
1992 8-2
1991 9-1
1990 9-1
I wonder what the seasons where they were 8-2 or better had in common?
11-1 in 1988.
10 hours ago, Big Turk said:They are 9-0.
As they roll up 415 yards and 30 points for the 4th straight time playing their C- game with their top 2 WRs downs and then losing Kincaid after halftime.
Kincaid did come back in the third but went out again later. The fact that he came back after having his knee examined has me optimistic that the injury is minor and won’t keep him out of the KC game.
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6 hours ago, GunnerBill said:
Despite being down our two best receivers.
Shakir is quite probably better at what he does than both of those two at this point, but granted, he plays a very specific position in the WR system.
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3 minutes ago, HappyDays said:
Arizona would have five straight TD drives to start the game if not for the clock at the end of the 1st half holding them to a FG.
I literally just said the same thing to my wife and sister in law a couple of minutes ago. This is shades of NE at Buffalo in January 2022.
Also, that Bills victory vs AZ was a quality win. They are good.
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1 minute ago, gonzo1105 said:
I keep wondering if Adams is just disinterested because his team is a dysfunctional mess or he is actually really regressing as a # 1 type WR or a combination of both. Obviously bad QB play at his last couple of stops has not helped
Again, pretty sure it was tipped.
1 minute ago, DCofNC said:Btw Murray might actually be good.
He is very good. And the Cardinals are a good team with a lot of studs. That comeback win in week one was a very good win for the Bills. A quality win.
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2 minutes ago, stevewin said:
Adams drops TD lol
Pretty sure it was tipped. Regardless, you HAVE to kick the FG there to make it a 2-score game. 4th and 4 completely takes away the run option.
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Just now, boyst said:
End up going for it on fourth. Poorly plan the rest of the scheme and go for a field goal
That was just sloppy on scheme, play calls, execution and delivery
They did take slightly over 2 minutes off the clock.
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Just now, BuffaloBillsMagic1 said:
Why no Indy penalty?
It didn’t deserve a penalty. The defender laid off.
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28 minutes ago, Big Turk said:
Not necessarily...broken wrists could heal much faster than torn ligaments/tendons depending on where and what. Broken bones are straightforward...tendons and ligaments not so much...and they heal much slower due to lack of blood supply. Torn tendon or ligament could mean season ending surgery.
Chris Hogan played the second half of the 2015 season with a torn wrist ligament. He had a lot of drops and wore off his shine in Buffalo as a consequence. Next season, he's catching four key passes in a Super Bowl victory for the Patriots. The injury definitely impacted his play, but he did play through it.
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24 minutes ago, NewEra said:
I expected Miami to go for two on that last TD. Better chance of converting that one play than any other way imo.
I think Miami would definitely have gone for two if there had been, say, 20 seconds on the clock when they scored. With 1:38 left, they had to kick the XP because even if they make the 2P conversion, you're giving the Bills four chances to get ten yards instead of three (assuming the Bills would have punted on a fourth down and not in FG range). With Allen, that one extra down is one too many chances. McDaniel said as much. They also could have failed the 2P conversion, and bear in mind that going into yesterday the success rate on 2P conversions this season across the NFL is 31 percent.
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4 minutes ago, NoSaint said:
If it’s that bad he shouldn’t be out there though, right?
I just don't know. Maybe playing with it doesn't aggravate it but simply hampers you? I don't know the diagnosis.
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4 hours ago, thenorthremembers said:
I think there is a lot more going on with Samuel than meets the eye. I don't know if it's the injury, an inability to understand the offense or what but the bottom line is the guy can't catch passes thay aren't thrown to him
There were times he was split wide to one side of the field and they went 2 or 3 wide to the opposite side of the field. When Josh took his progressions his head didn't even make it to Samuel's side of the field.
Kind of a tough situation to be in because he makes 9 million next year and it includes nearly 8 million in dead money if they release him.
My take: turf toe is a really crappy injury to have to deal with. I'm guessing that it's really limiting him.
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On 10/29/2024 at 10:09 AM, dave mcbride said:
The collective passing game numbers for the RBs (Cook, Davis, Johnson):
33 targets, 27 receptions: 82 percent completion rate
289 yards on 27 completions: 10.7 yards per reception
289 yards on 33 targets: 8.8 yards per target
turnovers (fumbles, INTs on targets): 0
touchdowns: 3, for a 9.1% TD rate on passes thrown their way (a sky-high rate)
Allen's passer rating when targeting RBs in the passing game: 133.46
These numbers are shockingly great - almost unbelievable, really.
Updating this:
The collective passing game numbers for the RBs (Cook, Davis, Johnson):
41 targets, 34 receptions: 83 percent completion rate
384 yards on 34 completions: 11.3 yards per reception
384 yards on 41 targets: 9.4 yards per target
turnovers (fumbles, INTs on targets): 0
touchdowns: 4, for a 9.8% TD rate on passes thrown their way (a sky-high rate)
Allen's passer rating when targeting RBs in the passing game: 138.21
(Also, if Cook makes that easy catch yesterday and takes it in, the rating would be 147.31, but I digress.)
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Mack had a sack and 2 TFLs today in a dominating defensive performance for LA: https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401671629/chargers-browns
Kincaid update? (now declared OUT for Sunday)
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by dave mcbride
Allen is often accurate; it's when he's not that the catches aren't there. He's not a "general vicinity" deep thrower like Russell Wilson, who specializes in the deep pop fly that his receivers can chase down and shag relatively easily. Allen is basically Giancarlo Stanton. It's why I don't think it's quite fair to criticize his receivers for failing to track the ball.