
Einstein
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I wouldn’t be so quick to say that. Sometimes teams that fire a coach have a bit of a temporary rejuvenation.
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Around the NFL, Week 6, October 13-14.
Einstein replied to Ridgewaycynic2013's topic in The Stadium Wall
I know some people think Daboll could be fired in NY, but I think they’re crazy is they let him go. He is very hampered by his QB but still calls a great game. -
Around the NFL, Week 6, October 13-14.
Einstein replied to Ridgewaycynic2013's topic in The Stadium Wall
Love this play calling by Daboll. -
Around the NFL, Week 6, October 13-14.
Einstein replied to Ridgewaycynic2013's topic in The Stadium Wall
This may be clearer. -
Around the NFL, Week 6, October 13-14.
Einstein replied to Ridgewaycynic2013's topic in The Stadium Wall
You don’t see Hutchinsons ankle/foot snapped and wrapped around another humans knee? -
Around the NFL, Week 6, October 13-14.
Einstein replied to Ridgewaycynic2013's topic in The Stadium Wall
Mods can delete if this is deemed too gruesome. -
Around the NFL, Week 6, October 13-14.
Einstein replied to Ridgewaycynic2013's topic in The Stadium Wall
Ben Johnson is a savant of offense. -
What’s the problem, Allen, Brady, Oline, Talent?
Einstein replied to Meatloaf63's topic in The Stadium Wall
This thread may interest you: https://www.twobillsdrive.com/community/topic/256487-chris-simms-good-and-detailed-breakdown-of-allen’s-struggles-vs-houston/page/15/ We discuss most of what you questioned. As for Maye, I watched that game… he had so much more time than Allen had, he could have built a hammock and relaxed compared to what Allen went through. -
Around the NFL, Week 6, October 13-14.
Einstein replied to Ridgewaycynic2013's topic in The Stadium Wall
Feels like Dalton has been in the league forever -
It is in this case. I posted this after a game last year where Gabe got hurt. Before Gabe was hurt Allen: 4/8 (50%), 67 yards, 0 TD, 2 INT AFTER Gabe left the game Allen: 26/30 (87%), 360 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT Did you know? Over the past two seasons, a little under 40% of Allen's interceptions occur when targeting Gabe Davis? Yet, Davis is not targeted very much… Allen played his absolute worst when targeting Gabe.
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True. Not our kicker, of course. But teams with good kickers will only need to get a couple first downs to nab 3 points.
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There was no forward momentum. Coleman (and the defender), came to almost a complete stop. I think Coleman thought he finished his job for that play. Thats not true. Starting from rest, he would have reached Cooks speed in 0.9 seconds. I broke down the math of this here. That defender is why Allen didn’t throw the ball. He stares right at him.
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Lol this is the first time i’ve seen someone reference another poster here as a source. And i’m not sure if you’ve noticed, but Gunnar has begun to soften his stance on this topic. Give me a few more days and I may have him completely converted. As for Simms, it’s pretty clear he didn’t analyze the play because he completely misrepresented it. He didn’t even mention Coleman not clearing his defender. Or the missed run.
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If Simms actually analyzed the film, he wouldn't have said what he said. The problem is that he has to talk about 32 teams so he went with what the intern gave him. I said it before - but notice how most of the plays he showed was beginning of the game? That's because they started the game film and just grabbed the first 3 or so plays they saw an open player on. This is cut and paste journalism. 31 other teams to get to. So its not that Simms is dumb. He is smart. He knows football. The problem is that he didnt actually analyze the play.
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He doesn't need to! He covers Coleman until Allen begins his throw and then he leaves Coleman. He doesnt need to cover the low when the low is no longer a threat. This is not rocket science. It happens all the time in the NFL. And because of the positioning (Coleman not slanting deep enough), he was in perfect position to intercept Cooks route.
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This is where math can help us figure out what will actually happen. That way we wont have to guess. - Let's say Cook is running West at 4.5 yards per 40 yards (8.89 yards per second) - Defender on Coleman is is 8 yards further west of Cook and 4 yards North and lets say he starts from rest (he isnt moving) - Both players run at the same speed: 4.5 seconds per 40 yards (8.89 yards per second) When do they reach the same position? Well, we have a kinematics equation we can use to start that process. v^2 = v0^2 + 2(a)(x) First let's figure out acceleration... 8.89^2 = 0 + 2a * 4 ... 79.08/8 = that's 9.88 yards/second accel Then we have to figure out how fast Defender on Coleman can accelerate the 4 yards South to meet the same axis as Cook ... v = v0 + (a)(t) 8.89 = 0 + 9.88 (t) = 0.9 seconds. During the 0.9 seconds that Defender on Coleman takes to go from standing still to reaching the axis of X, Cook who as you said is already running at full speed will cover 8.89 × 0.9 = 8.0 yards. Cook started 8 yards back from the Defender on Coleman. So even though Cook makes up 8 yards in the time it takes the Defender on Coleman to go from standing still, to accelerating to the X axis that Cook is running on, they will reach intersection at approximately the same time and about the same speed. In other words, the Defender would have absolutely caught up to Cook IF he leaves the second Josh decides to throw the ball. Obviously there are some other variables involved. For example, stumbles, slips, yada yada. The "eye test" for judging time and distance is notoriously unreliable. Always turn to math when possible. .
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If Josh throws the ball, the defender leaves Coleman. That's how it works. As soon as he starts his throwing motion, that defender is leaving Coleman. This happens all the time in the NFL. And Josh has to make that determination in a fraction of a second. Josh from a couple of years ago, throws that ball. And Josh from a couple of years ago, maybe gets picked off. You can literally see Josh, on tape, stare at that defender before moving on. Yeah, I find it surprising that anyone thought one would need to be Usain Bolt to beat someone in a foot race with a head start. I think my fat butt may have had a chance.
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Yes, he was. And I'm a Simms fan saying that. It was not his finest hour. But I can understand why he screwed up. The issue resolves around people not understanding that these analysts have to talk about 32 teams each week. A fan only watches the clip the analyst makes for their team. But the analyst still has 31 other teams to analyze. Its simply not possible to review tape for them all. So... They just take what the interns give them and try to make lemonade out of it. Example: Clueless intern sees Josh was 9 of 30 or whatever it was, concludes he was bad, takes a few clips of footage, circles open guys, and marks it ready for production. Notice how most of the plays were at the beginning of game? It's because the intern takes the first things he sees (beginning of the game), and moves on to the next team.
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In what world do you need to be Usain Bolt to run less distance than another person? The defender is 7 yards further downfield than Cook. He has a 7 yard head start, AND the angle. If you think it takes Usain Bolt to run the black line, faster than Cook runs the red line, then there is no point in discussing further. This is correct. It's actually the entire design of the play. Brady has 2 clear out routes - one on each side of the field. The problem is that both failed. Coleman didnt slant far enough and Knox whiffed on his rub. There may have been. No argument there. But you have to remember that Allen has to make a risk/reward choice here. He chose to move on to the rub on the other side. I don't blame him for that. It's only a lower percentage play because Knox missed his assignment. Ding! Ding! Ding! Winner! Winner! Winner! Bingo.