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Beck Water

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Everything posted by Beck Water

  1. This is something I've looked at some. Yeah, the odds are best in the top-10 picks of the 1st round. "Get a 2nd contract from the team that drafted them" may not be the best criteria - lots of reasons for that. Look at Baker Mayfield, the guy can arguably play football, but coaching changes and the team's decision to back up the Brinks truck for a "sick *****" got him slung out of Cleveland Using a pretty permissive value of wAV from pro-football-reference, in the 1st round overall between 2016 and 2021, ~1/3 of the guys drafted in the first round, just didn't establish themselves as decent, starting-quality football players over the long term. One could argue about the details (should guys like Wentz and Trubisky and Edwards Helaire who had 1-2 decent seasons count as 'decent football players', or not?) but the overall conclusion is the same.
  2. For a former 1st round pick, a 5th and 6th round pick swap is pretty much free.
  3. Media too. Watching them melt down is oddly satisfying. Pats got a solid player, and Hollins got a solid payday.
  4. Not counting the game where he was injured, I see a low of 24% and a high of 78%. Average is around 50%. There were 4 games where he played more than 60% of the snaps, and 5 games where he played less than 50% Unsure of your point?
  5. In his first 6 seasons, Bosa played ~75% of the snaps (69-86% year by year). The last 3 seasons. he's played 50%
  6. It can happen to anyone anytime, but it tends to be more likely to happen to 30+ year old players.
  7. LOL if you want some amusement, check out the Patriots boards or media after they signed Mack Hollins. They were expecting a brand new Ferrari and think their FO delivered a rusted-out Hyundai. Salty AF.
  8. Did I miss something? Did we re-sign Hollins or is he a FA?
  9. Ask your doctor if a prescription for Zofran is right for you This is basically it. I'm trying to think what talking head it was - maybe Emmanuel Acho? said that winning teams need to have about 3 "Freakazoids" each on offense and defense - impact players who can take over and turn the game. The Bills have Josh Allen, who is a Super Freakazoid. Then they have some quality NFL players on both sides of the ball. But as far as Freakazoids, Nah. We need more.
  10. I can see the steam rising from Jimbo Cook and his agent's ears.....wonder if they and Beane are working on one? Seriously, did not expect to see Beane prioritizing extensions! Shows what I know! Yes, it's "up to" $60M. The devil is always in the details.....
  11. I understood the Carr thing. I don't mean it made sense, but I understood it. Josh McDaniels did a similar thing in Denver: he shipped Jay Cutler out of town in favor of Kyle Orton (I don't mean the players are the same, but it's the same theme: Mr Big Stuff doesn't want to adapt to the players he has, he wants his own guys.) But McVay traded for Stafford and won a Superbowl with him. So....
  12. Kirk Cousins IMO is a big step down from Stafford.
  13. Kelly Stafford is "a lot" but let's be real... Stafford is going to be 37 next year, and the ROI the Rams have gotten from him since the Superbowl have been "meh". It's not that he's played badly - not at all - but the year they won the Superbowl, he passed for 41 TDs and 287 ypg. Doesn't look as though he's gonna return to that performance. If Stafford were still lighting it up, his wife could be yattering on Social Media all she wants I played a bit with Spotrac and I think the Rams only save about $4M if they trade Stafford.
  14. Exactly this. He can flex as he pleases about wanting to be the 2nd highest paid RB in the league. Beane will put cold hard football facts on the table, and then we'll see.
  15. It's an interesting thought. On the one hand, Cook and his agent may know Beane puts extensions 4th in priority, so they're throwing down "this is what we expect as a portion, better leave that room under the cap for us when you start cooking up extensions" On the other hand, you're right - this does give Beane the chance to maybe put a higher priority on Ty Johnson, maybe make different FA and draft moves You just might be right that if he'd waited until after the draft, Beane might be thinking "k, got RB locked down" and wind up with fewer options
  16. I don't think the Bills much care for it either. They've previously made clear they don't want to negotiate contracts in public. Beane would extend Cook for the same reason he's extended other players with a year remaining on their contracts: -players really don't like to play on a 1 year contract because nothing is guaranteed if they get hurt, so the team has a bit more leverage -the team can talk up getting new money up front/guarantees while the player has the choice "play for us on a 1 year, or take a new contract that might be less than the open market would give you IF you don't get hurt and IF you have another great year Beane will definitely prioritize negotiating with any of the team's FA he wants to re-up, then negotiating with FA, then the draft, before he tries to extend guys who are currently under contract. As far as how he prioritizes extensions, arguably Cook is the one with the most notable stats across the league. Of the RBs who are top-20 for attempts, he is 16th for yards (reflecting his lower number of attempts, but 5th for Y/A and tied for 1st in TDs. I personally feel that Shakir is the least replaceable player simply because of how reliable his hands are and how little else the Bills have at WR, but as a receiver his stats aren't that remarkable. I'm not sure, but I think if the Bills want the best pass-protecting RB or the best route-running, receiving RB, Cook is neither - so it's bench time.
  17. Hailee is actually an accomplished singer. You can search Youtube for her videos.
  18. What do you feel this means, practically speaking? Bills don't need to franchise tag Cook at this point. He just finished his 3rd year. He's under contract for 2025.
  19. I don't think Cook is bad for asking for it. But I think he's asking for more than the market. It causes problems when you pay one player well over market. You get other players who aren't FA looking over at him going "OK, what about me?" What was it the Bills coaches used to tell guys "watch who gets paid"? No one would object to Cook getting a market-value extension early, or even a high market value extension. Way over market value? Eh. As @BarleyNY pointed out, $15M a year would make him the 2nd highest paid RB. It's a point worth noting that the highest paid RB, Christian McCaffrey, is a total game changer and elite weapon in the run and in the pass game - and that his team has not received the desired ROI, as he played in only 4 games last season.
  20. Call the repairman! Posted because You Are Enough(tm) and I care!
  21. You know what I do when I give zero ****s about something? I run right over to my keyboard, log into a board on that topic, and make a post telling everyone on that board how I could care less! Nothing is more persuasive that I truly give zero ****s than putting in that effort! ^======sarcasm, in case anyone's detector is broken ======^
  22. WTF? Let's be clear here. There is no "we". You're a Chiefs fan visiting here. No, we did not at all see Shakir's ceiling in 2023. We saw him being used in a somewhat different way in the first part of 2023 which changed after Brady took over. In 2024 he had more 1D, more TD, and more Y/G (while having less Y/R because of the Bills offensive changes under Brady). Shakir adapted to the changes and got 72% of his yards after catch in 2024.
  23. It's a guess, but let's just say there might be a reason why Richie Incognito wanted a funeral home to cut off his deceased father's head in 2018? Who knows, but a lot of bullies learn to bully at home....they get verbally and sometimes physically abused by parents in the guise of "tough love" and "toughening them up", and they take those behavior patterns with them to school and to sports and activities. And sure, drug use (including steroids) and mental problems played their role. As far as good on the field, actually.... Incognito was a mixed bag. Yes, he could be physical and dominating and athletic, all you want in an OL. But he had a reputation for stupid penalties...I think his final year in St Louis he had 3 personal foul or UR penalties....IN ONE GAME! leading to the head coach screaming on the sideline "WHAT THE ***** IS WRONG WITH THAT *****?"
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