Generic_Bills_Fan

he had a serious groin/abdominal injury in 2022 that caused him to miss the second half of the season and sort of lost his role in kc in the following offseason Likely a pretty serviceable player still…playing for next to nothing contract wise on top of that

I think ‘this is incredibly hard to read’ might’ve been banged up bills commenting on the font choices they made for that graphic tbh 😂. Black font on dark red is a ridiculous choice

Shakir didn’t practice for personal reasons…he’s def playing

I’m having trouble seeing how this team is any worse than the team we fielded against the chiefs in the playoffs last year but I’m afraid to say it the way this thread has been going doom level-wise lol the safeties and corners we had available after benford went down were absolutely horrendous in that one but bishop seems like he’s developed into a pretty good player that might be flat out very good by then. Wide receivers were probably even worse last season, I know people talk up cooper having some impact drawing coverages but he looked pretty cooked to me post wrist injury and I don’t think he even saw the field much in the playoffs. DEs were worse last year (bosa is pretty effective rushing the passer at least). Assuming Shaq comes back to take snaps from Milano LBs were probably worse last year as well we’ll probably lose another important player but Ed will likely come back too

It’s really weird but as bad as the defense is 90% of the game they seem to come up with late stops a good amount haha I really don’t understand it

This is a really good point…even the Eli manning/joe Flacco type guys almost always go on insane playoff runs the year they win it. Saying a qb needs to be elite to win a Super Bowl is a pretty ‘water is wet’ type statement these days haha the examples of like ‘broncos defense dragging Peyton’s corpse to a superbowl’ are pretty few and far between. Even that broncos example took some luck…gostkowski missed a big extra point in that afc championship

It really all starts with the oline…people try to turn football into ‘only the qb matters’ and it’s a pet peeve on mine lol look at mahomes in games where his oline gets pushed around and games it doesn’t. if your oline is playing well, your good qb looking elite isn’t some big ask. the only team in the afc playoff picture right now that I think just a good game from Josh might not beat is Baltimore and ironically we are 2-0 against them in the playoffs with Josh being good not elite imo 😂

Palmer has looked pretty impressive whenever I’ve seen him josh just wasn’t lookin his way a while lot early in the year. The two games we’ve looked awful he’s missed significant time in or missed the game entirely

Can’t really sit him when Shaq is hurt…we have seen this before with Milano I have to say where he is absolutely terrible after returning from injury then turns it on late. Seems like he is very taped up and it looks like he’s probably got some kind of harness on too. if Shaq was healthy milano would definitely be sitting right now because I don’t think he’s quite healed up in the first place.

Yea if Baltimore is as scary as people say I don’t think anyone is beating them for us so who cares when you see them.. you’ve gotta go through them whether it’s first round or third

The bills have very quietly won 4 of the last 5 against Baltimore lol kc has won 7 of the last 8 against them (should’ve won all 8).. as stacked as they are on paper something is going very wrong for them in those big afc games very consistently and for some reason these head to head stats never seem to be brought up by anybody it’s pretty bizarre. it is for sure a scary matchup on paper though I was just talkin about that somewhere on here 😁

I figured this was hyperbole but looked it up anyway just for kicks lol The team with the best Super Bowl odds is the eagles at +500 right now…bills are +800ish. Rutgers is at +3000 to win the Ohio state game 😂

Oh it is and we did it some in the last playoff game against them I just meant it’s tougher to do effectively against the ravens offense because they’ve got multiple good pass catching TEs and Lamar is a bit better than Daniel jones is haha

The hypothetical indy game is definitely a Shaq Thompson Dorian Williams play a lot of base defense and see if Daniel jones can beat you type game. I think the hypothetical Baltimore game is even scarier than that because you don’t really have that option lol the Shaq Thompson injury has been huge cuz we’re kind of stuck in the nickel which is a bigger shame than usual since taron hasn’t even been good

Milano getting swapped out for Shaq Thompson is gonna make a pretty big difference imo. LB seems like the big problem area and I hate to say it but Milano might be a bottom 5 LB in the league right now and Shaq Thompson is one of the better ones Somehow going from Shaq Thompson to Matt Milano turned into a Christian benford to kaiir Elam level dropoff 😂 if playoffs started today and we had everyone available that’s not out for the season I really think Milano and taron might get benched for cam lewis/shaq Thompson

Might be in a position to throw a game week 18 and drop in seeding if that’s the route it looks like we’re headed…I doubt we’re avoiding Baltimore altogether anyway though assuming we go on some kind of run which may not even happen in the first place 😂. So seeing them in the first round is more psychological fan stuff than anything

Obviously this is grain of salt type stuff for sure but a lot of the advanced metric type places have them at pretty much average. DVOA they’re 17th, ELO they’re 14th,FPI they’re 14th. im gonna take a look at the success rate of teams rated that low in those metrics late in the season out of curiosity but I think they’ll likely be the lowest rated 1 or 2 seed in recent history should they end up there.. Last year the top 6 teams by DVOA were Baltimore,philly,Detroit,gb,Buffalo,kc as an example so this stuff isn’t usually way off

I think they’re probably losing the bills and ravens games and will just hold onto the afc east but will lose their first playoff game if I had to guess if the bengals weeks were flipped and they got the likely game with burrow instead of us I think we’d have a good chance at stealing the division back

Lots of hidden yardage in this one the bills special teams mostly crushed it…bills outgained the Bucs by a ton if you factor in return yardage

Wouldn’t be shocked to see them drop three tbh…I really don’t think they’re a great team but they’re definitely good. Wouldn’t be absolutely stunned if someone like Miami beat them in the rematch…beating every team you’re supposed to is deceivingly hard

That kinda cuts both ways for them…someone’s gotta lose games like that but someone’s gotta win too. Colts losing to Texans puts an obscene amount of pressure on the chiefs Texans game just as one example. Two of the teams that could quasi-collapse are so far ahead of the chiefs right now that all it will do for them is add even more wildcard competitors to the party lol something like the bills dropping one to the Texans or Steelers screws them

If we want to think of pit as a wildcard team right now they are a game and two conference losses ahead of the chiefs too Ravens will probably jump from out of contention to division winner by the end of the season knocking pit into the wildcard mix

They might need help at 10 even imo…they’re in really bad tiebreaker position. I think the 7 seed is gonna win 10 and if multiple win 10 the chiefs aren’t making it

If Ed can go and Shaq Thompson stays healthy to replace Milano I think they can beat anybody on the afc side tbh Baltimore will be a struggle though. One of kc or Baltimore not making it would be huge today’s shootout felt a bit ref assisted there were holds all over the place.

Yea it could…non throwing at least and I don’t think mason Rudolph is the worst backup qb