pennstate10
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Posts posted by pennstate10
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7 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:
Do they teach finance at Sandusky State?
Unused cap dollars can be rolled over from one year to the next. So if you don't spend it in 2018 it's available in 2019 and so forth.
Conversely, money wasted then is money not available in subsequent years.
Which leads to having to borrow future cap space to fill current roster space.
Follow?
It should have been pretty obvious to any moderately astute observer of the salary cap that when Brandon Beane both combined to create what was then the largest amount of dead cap in NFL history in his first 12 months on the job AND subsequently purchased a large 2018 free agent class of unimpactful and wildly overpaid free agents.........that the lack of production he was getting for all of that money was going to lead to future cap trouble and compromise.
Sorry you’re wrong.
The amount of cap dollars Bills have rolled over in the past few years is minimal. I doubt any competitive team has rolled over more than 10% of the cap during their successful years. The teams that roll over 10% of the cap are the losing teams that don’t have good players to pay.
If you’re trying to argue that Beane SHOULD have been rolling cap dollars over every year since 2018, I’d say rolling cap dollars into the future when you’re in Allen’s peak window is not a wise move.
Every team pushes cap money into the future. That’s the entire concept of amortizing bonuses. I’m pretty sure that no bonuses paid in 2018 are factored into Bills 2024 cap.
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12 hours ago, klos63 said:
My whole family is white, we are not in the coaching pool, so no, the US population really has no impact on NFL hires.
56% of NFL players are black, I'm gonna guess that most coaches played at some point... that's where the pool comes from.
The flaw in this line of reasoning is the assumption that most NFL head coaches are drawn from the NFL player pool. They’re not.
Bellichek, Lombardi, and Walsh are probably the 3 best NFL HC of the modern era. They collectively played zero downs in the NFL.
What is true is that almost all NFL HC played high school football. Or lower level college football. That is the real pool that’s being drawn from.
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13 hours ago, jwhit34 said:
A good transition would be to name Babich DC but McDermott calls the D. Have him do that for 1 year, kind of like an apprentice gig, then 2025 turn the calling of the D over to him. He can do all the other stuff a DC does. That's a logical progression.
Im pretty sure that is exactly what will happen.
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14 hours ago, Brand J said:
As a GM, the only trade up I would do (in general) is for a QB. Maaaybe I would trade up for an athletic freak at DE, but all other positions? It’s proven they can be had anywhere in the draft, just gotta hit on the right guy and get lucky.
We traded up for Elam when much better corners went later. Traded up for Kincaid (hated it at the time) and although that pick worked out, another player was drafted later who is at least on par with him. Traded up for Edmunds when Darius/Shaquille Leonard and Fred Warner were still on the board and in Warner’s case went much later.
The draft is a lottery and if I were a GM, I’d try to stockpile the most 1-5th round picks I possibly could year after year. I’m not sacrificing those to move up, because in doing so I’d be sacrificing the chance to hit on a guy who could be a steal.
Good post. The only move ups that I think make sense are putting 6-7 round picks together to get another 5. Rounds 1-5 are where the moneys at, so try to get as many of these as you can.
And yes, I know Benford was a 6th round pick. But what other 6-7 round picks have the Bills made that were quality starters for the Bills in the last 5 years?
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On 1/26/2024 at 10:52 PM, BADOLBILZ said:
I like Beane but the biggest reason he is in the situation he is with the cap can be traced directly to his terrible personnel decisions in 2018.
He spent $100M on total garbage in free agency.........and actually paid out a ton of that even when he should have been cutting bait later in those contracts.
He has gotten much more efficient on the job but it's been a gradual climb from terrible to mediocre to improved levels of efficiency.
Blaming the cap situation on the cap figure dropping due to covid is a cop-out........but the truth is if he were honest about the fact that he was terrible wrt pro personnel and cap management in his first couple years there would be nothing to gain from that honesty whatsoever. Just more criticism.
He has basically faked it til' he's made it.........and NOW that he has a better grasp on what he's doing he really needs to put that expensive experience to work and knock it out of the park in the next few offseasons.
As I've said before, Howie Roseman wasn't always a great GM.........he grew into it. Beane needs to build off of the successes in recent drafts and the more efficient(if not always satisfying) results he's gotten in free agency. Also needs to be a bit more ruthless, IMO.
Disagree completely with your first sentence. It’s simply wrong. There was no player contract signed in 2018 that is in force today. It’s not up for debate. The statement is clearly wrong.
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2 hours ago, GunnerBill said:
Yea possibly. I am sure I heard it somewhere though.
EDIT: found the rule:
"Must play a role in the development of the game plan but is not required to call the plays during games."
Final decision where there is dispute is for Old Roger. And teams are required each year to submit their coaching heircarchy and job descriptions.
? What am I missing here.
It seems that the guidance specifically states that playcalling is NOT a requirement. -
1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:
Promoting Babich means nothing unless they are giving him playcalling. He would still be nickable.
Congrats coach Washington. Although I wouldn't be delighted by this if I was a Bears fan.
I’m not sure that what you say about nickable is correct.
I doubt there is anything in the nfl rules about a permissible lateral move being dependent on playcalling. I think it would be impossible to enforce, especially since playcalling is often fluid.
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28 minutes ago, BarleyNY said:
Diggs was open earlier though. If Josh had gone to him he’d have gotten the ball off cleanly. I will very rarely complain about a player or coach being aggressive, but Diggs was the right throw for that reason. I like that Allen wants to go for the big throw, but that wasn't the time.
The bleeding the clock argument is valid as it is a legitimate strategy in situations like this. Even if we would’ve had to settle for a FG, it would have been much shorter and there would have been a lot less time on the clock. Or we could’ve won outright with a TD.
This is the most useful post in the thread.
it’s not a clear cut right/wrong decision. For instance, the fake punt was the wrong decision for many reasons.
Here, you had a clearer throw to Diggs without 600 lbs of beer in your way. But that wouldn’t have been a td. But it could have led to bleeding the clock. But Diggs had the dropsies.
there were a ton of variables going into the decision, and many unknowns.
I can’t say Josh made the wrong decision. On balance though, I would have liked the higher percentage throw on that play
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9 hours ago, Goin Breakdown said:
That's fine. It's totally cool to have different opinions and I respect what your saying. There is a lot about the play I don't like, but I am happy we have a coach that had the guts to do something aggressive. It's not the play that lost the game, that's for sure.
No. That’s exactly the problem. McD hears that he’s too conservative, so he decides to shut up his critics and be aggressive at the wrong time. Yes, it was an aggressive call. You know what else? It was a stupid decision.
Penn States coach (James Franklin) does the exact same thing. Calling a fake FG from the 2 yd line. Is that aggressive? Yup, no one expects it. Why? Because it’s stupid.
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I actually consider Kelly to be a Super Bowl winning QB.
he did exactly what Brady did to win his first Super Bowl.
Guided his team to a game winning FG in the last minute of the game.
Not his fault that the kicker failed.
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1 hour ago, finn said:
Good point. Jones' push might have affected the throw to Diggs, too, especially since it would have been over Jones' head. Posters are assuming it was a gimme vs. a difficult throw. Again, even a touchdown there might not have won the game.
If the Bills had won, it would have been a (accurate) story of Allen overcoming an injured defense and an AWOL Diggs and mastering a top defense with discipline. He couldn't have played better. On the other side, the (accurate) narrative would have been Mahomes couldn't even beat a badly depleted defense. Instead, we're going to get seven months of Mahomes the godhead and Allen the eternal bridesmaid.
Lost in this entire discussion is the fact that the throw to Diggs would have been substantially easier than the throw to Shakir.
The throw to Diggs, if Allen had taken it, would have occurred about 0.5 sec befor the throw to Shakir. When there wasn’t 600 lbs of beef in your face. A much easier throw. Josh gambled that he could hold the ball another 0,5 seconds to allow Shakir to uncover and then throw. It was a reasonable gamble given that the reward (TD) for the throw to Shakir was much higher. The safe play was the throw to Diggs.
Given all the variables, including Diggs dropsies, shaky FG kicker, ability of KC to drive down field, it’s really impossible to say which was the right choice.
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2 hours ago, Matt_In_NH said:
This would be the dumbest draft by any team ever.
Mike Ditka would like a word.
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2 hours ago, Julio Hopkins said:
Everyone is talking about the Diggs drop but I’m not seeing anyone talk about both of Sherfield’s big drops.
Sherfield shouldn’t have gotten so many damn reps this season. Receiver was a position of need going into the season and proved to be a position of need going into the trade deadline. Beane sat on his hands and traded for a corner. These guys can say whatever they want in their press conferences. What they actually do shows they don’t understand how to win.
In fairness, Sherfields first drop was clearly DPI missed by the official. DB had his arm so he couldn’t get 2 hands on the ball.
Burns me that they let this one go, but called a dpi on 42 that clearly wasn’t dpi.
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On 1/4/2024 at 4:45 PM, Maine-iac said:
Can we boot Harty and Sherfield and take a 2nd WR in the 5th or 6th who can return punts and use the money to sign Josh Reynolds? I don't think we'd bring him in as WR 2 or 3 but he's probably what we wanted when we signed Sherfield.
Bills already did that. Signed KJ Hamler.
good signing if injuries haven’t sapped his speed. -
5 hours ago, FilthyBeast said:
I've said this for years and been flamed for it.
Doug Marrone and Rex Ryan would have taken this team to at least one superbowl by now. Won't go as far to say win it but they were/are upgrades with a QB like Josh Allen.
And before people brush this off remember that both have won road playoff games (something McD has never done) and both have been to at least one AFCCG which is the same career highlight as McD. They also did this with Blake Bortles and Mark Sanchez as their respective starting QB's.
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It might be my imagination, but I think the Bills have more miscommunication leading to TDs or missed TDs than most of the top teams.
For instance, last night Kelce first TD, the Allen end zone INT 2 weeks ago, the missed winning TD to Davis in Philly OT.
Why do Bills have all these miscommunications?
In Malcolm Gladwell's book “Outliers”, he outlines a "10,000 hour" rule; it takes 10,000 hours of intensive practice to achieve complete mastery of complex skills and materials, like playing the violin or shooting slap shots, or running a pool table. I'm not taking this rule as gospel truth, but I think it is a good starting point. As you practice any skill, you acquire a "muscle memory". Which can be intellectual as well, knowing and reacting, not thinking, because you're practiced a situation a zillion times.
Maybe 20 yrs ago, the best teams (ie, Manning's Colts) started organizing their own off season passing drills. They won a Super Bowl, and organized team activities (OTA) became a trend.
Here's the thing. Bills dont really seem to have great "buy in" for their OTAs. Key players routinely miss these, and the mantra is "they're voluntary". Yup, players who are truly motivated volunteer for these. I hear about how certain players refuse to lose, and are hyper-competitive, but some of these same players don't show up for OTAs. Its their time off, per contract. Which is true. By the way, how many of you get 6 months vacation per year?
A couple years back, one of the backup Bills QBs organized passing drills. Maybe not coincidentally, the passing offense in 2020-2021 was outstanding.
Bills have one of the most talented rosters in the NFL. And a supreme talent at the most important position. And hard working, well respected coaches. But I'm thinking that until the players show comparable dedication, the playoffs is their peak. To scale that peak requires dedication.
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Nice play dhskir
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Another uncalled penalty
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More holding.
The guys are terrible.-
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That was such a bs call.
it was 100% wrong -
Too close to overturn.
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1 hour ago, KeLLy1278 said:
Here we go with the crying… I get it I get it.. the league is rigged against the Bills. Obviously.
Not crying. Just pointing out an obvious foul that wasn’t called.
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Now they call fouls when it doesn’t make a difference.
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Detroit = Cleveland = Buffalo - The Curse of Lake Erie?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
I haven’t read this thread but I will predict some dweeb will be saying, “well, the analytics say if you go for a first down on both of those plays you increase your win% to 53.472%.
That’s the crux of the entire analytics problem. Going for it on 4th dandy 5 at your 30 yd line when you have Mahomes and Kielce playing against some scrubs is a world different than Goff and whoever against the 49ers defense. But the analytics doesn’t know how to properly weigh situations when there are infinite relevant variables.