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Jrb1979

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Posts posted by Jrb1979

  1. 9 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:

    McD isn't getting fired.  

     

    Watch the breakdowns by Kurt Warner, JT O'Sullivan, Dan Orlovsky, Eric Turner, etc...   The problem with the offense isn't as simply solved as getting Diggs the ball more or getting a vertical threat - though I would love the latter.  Orlovsky gives a good breakdown of Dorsey's flaws in scheme and play-calling.  Warner gives a good breakdown of Josh's mistakes.  Cosell says we're not a high-talent offense yet we're trying to win matchups instead of trying to win with scheme.  And so on.  They don't all agree but they do all make good points.  There are a lot of things contributing to the drop in offensive production.  Josh's decision making, sadly, is one of them.  

    Bolded is why I don't think Brady is going to change much. Also why I don't see them all of a sudden going on a run in the second half. 

  2. 3 minutes ago, Einstein's Dog said:

    I didn't say the Bills didn't have a difficult schedule.  I was responding to someone who said Miami had an easy schedule.  And I don't think the NYJ are easy.

     

    IMO, the division title is not out of reach.

    They have a winning record against teams below .500. I don't see that changing. IMO wild card is the only way and with 4 AFC losses already it's going to be tough. They lose this weekend it's done. 

    7 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

     

    I did the same thing.  Just picked games as I think the teams would win.  There were a few I picked that wasn't sure of but picked one.  The Bills had to beat the Jets, Chargers, Cowboys, and Miami.  Loss to Philly and KC.  The Bills really have zero room for error.  I know I say that and show two losses but they can still easily lose to Chargers, Cowboys and Miami.  Anyone of those are losses, then we aint making it.  Im sure you could play around and sub one of those teams for Philly and or KC but... we need to win and win almost all of them against a gauntlet.

    I agree with what you said. I just don't see how so many are so sure they beat the Cowboys. 

  3. 1 minute ago, Einstein's Dog said:

    But Miami does have Dallas and Balt.  The Bills just need to be within a game by week 18 for the division title to be at stake.

     

    Also, Miami plays NYJ twice.  And with all the QBs that have gone down who would have guessed Tua hasn't missed any time. 

    The Bills have Dallas, KC and Philly.  

     

    It amazes me how everyone here has all these other teams losing to the top teams yet the Bills will beat those same teams. 

  4. 13 minutes ago, JerseyBills said:

    I love that Hou and Jax play twice. Likely only 1 gets out that division. 

     

    Again, despite all the b.s , we have a clear path to the playoffs 

    They don't have a clear path. They need help to make it. 

    • Agree 1
  5. 18 minutes ago, Success said:

     

    So, you have us losing to every good team on the schedule.

     

    Interesting.

     

    I do. I can also see them winning against the Cowboys but losing to the Chargers just as well. In the end it will even out. They will win a game they're not supposed to and lose one they are supposed to win. 

     

    Being 5-5 at this point is going to cost them the playoffs. 

    • Agree 2
  6. 15 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

    The Miami dolphins are not that far ahead of us, and they are totally known for blowing their season at the end of years
     

    To rule out that we might catch up next little sense

    And they have not beaten a team above 500 this season

    If that continues they go 5-3 to end the season. What hurts the Bills is they already have 4 AFC losses. I have the Bills going 4-3 to finish the season with losses to Cowboys, Chiefs and Eagles. If they lose this weekend, start focusing on the draft and new coach hires. 

     

    I don't see this team making it at all. They have regressed a lot since the 13 second game 

  7. 36 minutes ago, Success said:

    Burrow's injury just adds to the narrative that anything can happen 8 weeks out.

     

    Some of the posts on here make it seem like it's impossible for a 5-5 team at this point.  A ton of things are going to happen between now & January.  We're still very much in the mix - for the WC, and for the division.

     

    Yes a lot of things are going to happen between now and January. You also have to take teams schedule into effect.  Anything is possible is true but you can't dismiss other teams either. 

  8. 1 hour ago, Success said:

     

    I'd be kind of shocked if 5-2 didn't get us there.

     

    I think people are overestimating the strength & potential for wins w/ the teams that are ahead of us.  The wheels could fall off for any of them.  They kind of have for the Bengals already.  The Browns now have to go w/ a backup QB the rest of the way.  The Steelers are complete frauds and despite the wise words of Parcells, are NOT as good as their record. 

     

    The Texans, who knows.  I can't dismiss what they've done - but rookie QB's have fallen off at times after hot starts. I remember when Mac Jones was the hype for much of his rookie season, then regressed significantly in December.

     

    I think we need to take one of Eagles/Chiefs.  I could also see us losing a road game like the Chargers. The rest, obviously, we have to take care of business, including the Cowboys at home.

     

    I don't see them going 5-2 the rest of the way.  I see 4-3 with losses to Cowboys, Chiefs and Eagles. I'm not sure that gets them in. They would need a lot of help. 

  9. 6 minutes ago, Shaw66 said:

    Yes, Bob, Josh has done all the things you complain about, but that's Josh.  That's what the coaches have to work with.

     

    We've seen Josh NOT throw into double coverage, NOT ignore the underneath routes, STAY in the pocket, throw with TOUCH.   We've seen him throw accurately.   We've seen him do EVERYTHING a great QB does.  He CAN do it, without question.   

     

    I have said almost since Josh arrived that of all the great QBs, Josh is most similar to Elway.  Premier physical talent - in fact, Josh is physically better that Elway was.   Elway didn't win Super Bowls until the end of his career, because coaches failed to get him and his game under control.  

     

    The answer is not to say that Josh makes mistakes, because without more that implies that the Bills should move on from him.  The Bills should not move on from transcendent talent.  Every great QB needs to be managed.  Elway, Favre, even Manning.  The only answer is to get coaches who can help him realize his greatness. Josh needs to be coached and managed.   He is a supreme talent, and he can and should be executing an offense that is dominant in the league.   It's up to McDermott and his offensive coordinator to reach that objective.   

     

    While I agree with most of that, they also need to play to his strengths. He is and never has been that great at reading a defense. Meaning he's not like Manning and seeing what the defense has lined up and call an audible. 

     

    What they should be doing is on top of the underneath stuff, add designed runs for him to open up downfield throws. Taking away his running is what made the offense so good  

  10. 9 minutes ago, CincyBillsFan said:

    Please with the "truth hurts" crap.  The fact you can't understand my point about the TD/TO ratio being a better metric then just total TO's is not my problem.  As to whether I ever post anything "negative" about Allen this is what posted 14 minutes ago on this thread:  "Agree.  That was a bad INT under the circumstances.  And this is where Allen can improve his game."

     

    Maybe it's that when I'm negative I'm just not nasty about it.

     

    And when a high number of TO's is accompanied by a high number of TD's then yes the defenses ability to force TO's is related to the success of the team. 

     

     

     

     

    That shows he really isn't having as great a season you think he's having. 

     

    1699991241857.thumb.png.ca3e674dfa54c1a73522c96d8981b170.png

    • Like (+1) 1
  11. 16 minutes ago, Roundybout said:


    You simply cannot use this stat without also saying he leads the NFL in touchdowns since 2019. It’s just who he is.

    Allen is an elite athlete that plays QB. IMO he will never be the elite pocket QB they are trying to make him. He struggles reading the defense. Let him scramble and make plays. At least the offense scored when they were playing that way. 

     

     

  12. 1 minute ago, Avisan said:

    The problem is that this isn't a sustainable approach.  Defenses have started rushing three and double-spying on third down, for example.  You can't just scramble and pull rabbits out of hats forever.  We used to complain about our offense relying on Josh being Superman-- I don't think that was ever true.  I think Josh WANTS to scramble and do Superman stuff because the pocket passing is difficult for him, and teams have adjusted to that.  If he wants to be an elite QB for the rest of his career, he needs to develop his pocket game.

    I don't think he will ever be that elite QB. For one he doesn't seem interested in leaning it. If he was interested, he would spend the off seasons studying. At this point this is who he is. 

  13. 2 minutes ago, Avisan said:

    Yeah.  The coaching staff may well have some insurmountable limitations, but poor player execution is the demonstrable cause of many of our offensive woes, and most of those errors don't appear to be due to design complexity or anything unusual or novel at the NFL level.

     

    Like okay, replace the coaches-- is that going to solve our ability to read the defense, catch the ball, hang onto the ball, or finish tackles?

    IMO it's not all play calling. IMO it's that Allen has regressed as a QB the last year and a half. It goes back to making him something he is not. He is not a pocket passer. He was at his best when we was scrambling and making throws off of that. He's never been good at reading the defense. 

  14. 59 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

    How is it garbage lol, it's just more confirmation 

     

    If it was garbage you'd expect a delta between offensive EPA and offensive production

     

    Instead we have Bills offense 5th in offensive points scored and 3rd in EPA over the last 5 weeks

     

    That's very consistent 

    Since you watched the video you would see why EPA is so high and why the issues aren't likely to change anytime soon. 

  15. 2 hours ago, Cache said:

    The Bills have not even been close to covering the spreads the last few games...well, mostly with the games they have been favored in.  That said, this team needs to send a message Monday night. They are currently favored by 7, but IMO, no excuse why they shouldn't win by 17!  Regardless, they need to fix things and this is the best and last real time to show they are serious. We are running out of weekends. Handle the Broncs convincingly, then do the same to the Jets.  After that, they take a stroll down murderers row, but IF they get thigs right these next two games, there is NO reason we can't regain that needed swager and get back on the track we all expected!

    What makes you and others think this offense has ever been high powered this year. In 6 of 9 games they have played they failed to score more than 24 points. At this point this is who they are. 

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  16. 6 hours ago, mannc said:

    The Rams didn’t have a quarterback…they had limited options…teams with bona fide, top three franchise quarterbacks shouldn’t have to mortgage their future like that to make a Super Bowl run…they’ve already hit the lottery.

    I disagree. Sure they upgraded their QB but they also added a lot more playmakers to win the Superbowl.  

    9 minutes ago, HoofHearted said:

    Florio is a hack. Dude doesn’t know a thing about football. How this guy has been successful of of his click baity nfl rumor mill website blows my mind.

    I thought he made some good points in this video. 

  17. 1 hour ago, PromoTheRobot said:

     

     

    I'm sure no one would mind a couple year playoff drought, that's if making the playoffs is so unbearable.

    It's not that making the playoffs is unbearable. My point is I agree with going to route the Rams did. Go all in by trading a bunch of picks to get elite playmakers on both sides of the ball. Yeah it's going to hurt a few years after but if it gets you a championship it's well worth it. 

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