From a talent standpoint: 1. Jags 2. Broncos 3. Bills
I think this is the most likely order:
1. Broncos 2. Jets 3. Bills
The only real downfall with the Broncos is their O-line is bad.... very bad... So if Cousins hated the Redskins O-line issues last year that may deter him from going to Denver
Just for the record: Belichick was not a disaster in Cleveland. He led them to the playoffs in his 3rd season and it all fell apart for him in his 4th season when the Browns were moving to Baltimore. Take away that last season and he is 31-31 in his tenure as the Browns coach.... not amazing but hardly a disaster.
Jaguars cannot leap Patriots unless the Patriots lose to the Jets. Patriots lose to the Jets and the Jags have a bye.
That said imagine facing Marrone in the first round of the playoffs?
At this point I just need the Chargers to lose a game. I think the Titans lose out.
That said what a wonderful Christmas present a Ravens loss would be.
Titans/Bills same record:
Depends on how the Titans and Bills are tied. If they are 9-7 and the Titans beat the Rams and lose to the Jags the Bills will. If the Titans lose to the Rams and beat the Jags than they do. If both teams are 10-6 then the Bills own it.
I think a big problem is I'm tired of watching 4 teams play on MNF and SNF. The matchups are bad. Ravens vs. Texans? Packers vs Steelers? These are totally different with Rodgers and Watson but did anyone think the Texans or Packers would win? They both loss by one score and I never thought once they'd win. They need to start flexing MNF games
I'd definitely watch out for the Ravens. At this point as long as Mariota doesn't get hurt Tennessee will get in. Jags will probably have a first round bye (crazy? Look at their schedule and show me the losses). Ravens will own a Tie-Breaker over the Bills probably (5 same games.... Bills are 1-1 versus Ravens 3-0. Bills play the Dolphins twice, Bengals play the Bengals again and both play the Colts. Bills need to sweep the Dolphins and beat the Colts and the Ravens need to lose both games in order for the Bills to have a tie-breaker)