transplantbillsfan

This is a weird draft. I'm almost more excited about the players we're going to draft in rounds 2 and 3 (and even 4) than I am about round 1. I'm more nervous about who we'll draft in round 1 than anything.

Buffalo trades up for Kyle Hamilton in the 1st and then Breece Hall in the 2nd.

Agree. Trade up for Kyle Hamilton.

2 picks I'd love: Kyle Hamilton (trade up) Breece Hall (somehow falls) 2 picks I expect: Daxton Hill John Metchie 2 picks I'd settle for: Zion Johnson Cam Taylor-Britt

Did you see that picture of Josh Allen with Gabe Davis? The answer is obviously Josh Allen

Fair enough. I just don't think you see teams let go of Elite QBs unless there are serious medical issues (Peyton Manning), character/legal issues (Deshaun Watson), long-lasting conflicts in terms of QB & organization (Wilson & Brady), or age (Brady & Manning). Now, by the time Allen's current contract extension runs out he'll be 32. We certainly can't discount the possibility of injury with the way he plays, but I don't think that's as likely as others might think because of his natural physical build and the fact that I think we're going to start moving away from all the designed runs. He won't be too old at 32, so that won't be a question. Josh Allen's character is impeccable, so I can't see character or legal issues ever coming into play. I know your reasoning earlier was all about "bright lights." I just don't think it's a viable reason. He's getting all the national attention he could ask for already in Buffalo. And it's not like these guys don't travel or do commercials in the offseason. I can't say that reason is completely impossible because anything's possible, but I'd say it'd be 1% or less that he wants to go play in a bigger market because Buffalo is too small. That's actually rarely happened in NFL history, anyway. QBs make their teams bigger market teams that are more nationally viable... see Brady, Mahomes, Burrow, Rodgers, Wilson (who didn't leave Seattle because it's a small market isolated in the upper northwest), etc. Allen has already done the same for Buffalo over the last 2 years. That leaves organizational friction as the most reasonable possibility. But even there, as long as we have a healthyJosh Allen at QB, I would think we will be a playoff contender every single year and a Super Bowl contender most years. That kind of success maintains organizational consistency in terms of the "big 3" in the coach, GM, and QB. Again, I can't see that type of situation driving him out. Never say never, but highly unlikely. As for my name. I moved to Hawai'i out of college when I was 23 from Rochester and have lived here for the last 18 years going on the rest of my life. I'm a transplant to Hawai'i from the mainland. Hence, my name.

For me this is a conversation we should come back to in a year or 2, whether we draft Hall or not. Beane hasn't been very adept drafting RBs. Singletary is a nice player. Moss kinda sucks. I understand everyone's argument that that you can find really good RBs in the later rounds. The problem is, Beane hasn't struck gold on any of those, yet. So to me, if Beane believes Hall will be a true #1 RB who can be a difference maker in the way Singletary hasn't been, draft him and see if fans complain in a year or 2 if he becomes one of the 5-10 best RBs in the NFL. Of course, if Hall is a disappointment, it's clearly a horrible pick. But any 1st round pick that busts is a disappointment. I prefer Hall in the 2nd. If we can trade back from our 1st pick or trade up from our 2nd pick to get him, that would be ideal. But I do think that a 1st round talent at the RB position could make a huge difference in our offense that pushes us over the edge immediately... especially considering that RBs are typically successful immediately.

If Josh plays the way we all expect and stays injury free, he'll retire a Buffalo Bill. It amazes me that you think we'd let him walk after this contract. Are you thinking he's going to be unhappy and will want brighter lights of a bigger city? Do you not pay attention to who Josh Allen is? it moved it moved again

Zion Johnson (or any IOL) in the 1st. I realize we need another Guard, but I really don't want to see one in the 1st.

Gunner... thanks for the work you put in here. I want to ask about a few prospects... if you wouldn't mind sharing your thoughts: Treylon Burks gets a first round grade from you. It sounds like a wide array of opinions out there on him and he really seems like he fell in the draft process because of testing numbers. I assume your 1st round grade on him is based purely on his tape. Do you have concerns about him? What are they? How would he fit in with the Bills? Chad Muma gets a 2nd round grade from you. He's a guy I know Joe Marina raves about. Do you think he would be a player to step in for Tremaine in 2023 if we were to draft him in the 2nd or 3rd (you think we could get him in the 3rd?)? If we did that, what would we get from Muma that would be better than Edmunds and what would the step down be? What are your thoughts on Dylan Parham? Do you think he'd be a good fit with Buffalo and when do you think we'd have to draft him? Cam Taylor-Britt seems to be universally loved by at least all the gurus I listen to, yet he's considered a 3rd round prospect. What's the deal with that paradox? How do you feel about him? How would you feel if we didn't address the CB in round 1 and drafted him in round 2? He seems like a riser, to me. Or how would you feel about him in the 3rd round? Why is he a 3rd round prospect rather than a 2nd rounder? Finally, I see that you rank prospects broadly, but how would your top 5 CBs and WRs look if we asked you to rank them in terms of how they'd fit with Buffalo?

Gunner I'm probably going to bombard you with questions in the next couple days leading up to the draft. I don't hide the fact that I really don't watch ANY college football, but I'll say that I feel a bit more educated about this year's draft than any other year. I've been spending a lot of my time as I wash dishes or do work around the house or get ready in the morning or driving to work listening to podcasts from the likes of Joe Marino, Dane Brugler, Daniel Jeremiah/Bucky Brooks, Bruce Nolan, etc. Everyone seems to share the concerns about arm length for McDuffie. Yet, everyone also seems to believe he's one of the top 20 players in this draft with a true 1st round grade. So... let me ask you this since you watch these prospects: Is McDuffie's film truly just that good? Is the only real concern about him his arm length? That's an honest question and I'm genuinely curious about your answer. My feelings are that if his game tape is truly just that good and for everything else he tested well (isn't 4.44 fast enough for a CB?) and the only concern is his arm length... aren't the chances pretty decent he'll be a good starting CB if he can make up for those few inches in arm length if he has more fluid hips and better instincts and can be right in the hip pocket of the guy he's covering at all times?

Shot in the dark: Jahon Dotson and Breece Hall But now even as I look at what I just posted I want to change this to Andrew Booth and Breece Hall

Boy... @Virgil should correct me if I'm wrong, but pretty sure you just completely misread his post. Are you generally just really bad at reading the room or is it just with me? I sure do love the free rent, though...

Sorry this is a slow time of year as we wait for the draft. I watched this little clip from Allen. Let's all remember that Josh Allen is now an absolute celebrity. He's facing off against Tom Brady in The Match in June with Patrick Mahomes for God's sake. Yet, this is what Josh Allen says when asked about actually wanting to be in Buffalo for something as mundane as OTA's... I encourage you to listen to the entire clip:

Well that's sure going to be a lopsided Thanksgiving game.

This one's for @teef... Super Bowl!!!

Are you just trolling? Center as our top need? Cornerback as our 6th highest need? TE as our 2nd highest need? No. No. No. Morse was just extended so even if you don't like him, he's not going anywhere. Regardless of whether you like him, though, he's good. He played really well last year and most who watch film professionally agree. We have 2 TEs that are high upside potential TE1s on the roster for 2022. Yes, we can look forward to 2023, but Buffalo likes to keep its own developed players. Dawson Knox isn't going anywhere... especially considering his relationship with Josh Allen. Yes we should draft one, but probably no earlier than the 3rd round because he'll be TE2. CB is our biggest need. We don't know if Tre White will even be ready to start the season and if you're okay with Dane Jackson, Cam Lewis and Taron Johnson as our starting 3 CBs you're nuts. I agree WR isn't highest on the list because we have 4 out of our 7 wide receivers from last year locked up through the 2023 season and I legitimately think Gabriel Davis is a strong #2 WR and McKenzie is plenty capable to man the slot. But if there's a guy like Jameson Williams who can take the top off the defense and add another component to our offense, we should probably draft him. This just had to be trolling. If you said something like Safety, I might agree with you. I can absolutely see Beane drafting Kyle Hamilton if he falls and either trading Poyer or keeping him and using Hamilton as a hybrid guy on the field or drafting Daxton Hill and putting him at CB2 (and most experts believe he can more than capably be a CB) before moving to Safety.

One of the best shows on television... and that ending pushed it across that line for me. When does season 2 come out?!

Ya know, the more I think about round 1 and Brandon Beane, the more I think it's going to be a traits guy we draft over anything like a "safe bet" or "great college production. 2018 he drafts Allen and Edmunds in round 1.... TRAITS!!!! 2019 he drafts Oliver... TRAITS!!! (yes I know he's small, but the traits weren't his size) 2020 we had no 1st rounder 2021 he drafts Groot... TRAITS!!! It almost seems like a better bet that Beane goes out of his way to figure out how to draft the physical freaks of this draft (Watson, Drake Burks, Booth, Jameson Williams, Stingley, Sauce, Kyle Hamilton) over the more polished guys with college production (McDuffie, Gordon, Olave, Wilson, McReary, Dotson, Moore). And notice I said "better bet." I don't think the guys on that 2nd list are off our board, it just seems like Beane really values unique physical traits f some sort. And I know all those guys on that first list don't share the same physical traits, but there's something physically with them that stands out. It actually makes me wonder how high a guy like Tyquan Thornton is on Beane's board.

I don't think Moss was even good in his rookie year. I'm hoping he's not on the roster next year because we've either traded him (hopefully) or cut him after a TC battle with Singletary, Johnson and whatever rookie(s) we draft. He's Devin Singletary except slower, more injury prone, and with poorer vision.

Severance is one of the best shows I've watched in awhile. Can't wait for the last episode of season 1 on Friday! I finally watched Peacemaker. I wasn't going to watch it initially because I thought The Suicide Squad was horrendous (I actually liked Suicide Squad). Peacemaker was actually really good, though. By contrast, I brought up Our Flag Means Death earlier. First half of the series was fantastic. The ending of the season was AWFUL!!!