BullBuchanan

he's at 499 yards. He could hit 1K, but he's never done that before. He's also never played a full season before and he's 27 years old. Dude is fragile.

Sheehed is the definition of mid. Why he gets hyped up around here, I don't understand. He's never healthy, and when he is, he puts up WR 4 numbers.He's a Harty, Goodwin, Mckenzie level player. If you want that, we already have Samuel & Moore. He isn't meaningfully better than those guys, he's just used more effectively.

Ray Davis isn't in that photo.

I'm interested in 3 players: Breece Hall, Dexter Lawrence, Budda Baker. The Bills have told us who they are. They want to run the ball and play great defense. Breece upgrades our offense by giving us one of the best backup RBs int he league, allowing Cook to remain fresh at all times and giving our offense an insurance policy should he miss time. Lawrence upgrades our entire defense, giving us more push up front, which should in turn make our secondary more effective. Baker hopefully prevents those ridiculous 3rd/4th and 15+ from being converted, which is the only reason we didn't blow the doors off KC.

Olave is one hit away from a nice lady feeding him porridge the rest of his life.

He was just givin' him the business. What happens int he pile stays in the pile. Just be thankful Allen never had to play against Bill Romanowski.

Big same. The only reason I'd even care about the #1 seed is to deny it from KC/Baltimore and perhaps Denver. I don't think the others matter very much. LA/Jax doesn't even have a fanbase.

Our TE's had a feast tonight.

Well, if the Bills offense wasn't secretly elite as of yesterday, what about now? KC just allowed their first 100 yard rusher, AND their first 100 yard receiver, AND the second highest point total of the season.

Simmons and Lawrence are both out there and would be better upgrades.

That's PRECISELY what he was and why he was brought here. He was a force multiplier that elevated the entire squad.

In terms of kicking we're very good. 7th overall in percentage.

None of that was what I was talking about, unfortunately. I think your insistence on looking at aggregate metrics vs production per play is a trap that doesn't have any merit. Sorry. Does that video exist? The video you shared doesn't make that claim.

What part do think is the strawman? The premise is questioning how NFL teams evaluate the quarterback position, why QB performance fluctuates, and if it's better to build an elite team with a less elite QB vs having an elite QB with a less elite team. There's no gotcha here. It just comes off like you want to be mad about something and you're taking it out on this guy.

you posted HIS own video. You're trying to use his own content to prove he's a fraud and that his science is invalid? How? I watched that video already.

There's no evidence to any of this, and this is an evidence based discussion. He follows a rigorous, science-based approach to all of his content, and you're literally the only person I've ever seen try to dismiss him out of hand as a fraud. If he's so intellectually dishonest, I'd love to see your own proofs. Should be easy for you, right? You can't disagree with something you don't even understand.

At 5:20 he graphs expected yards per play when the offense runs and the defense uses a run defense vs pass defense and does the same for pass. I don't know where he got the expected yardage values for the calculation, so if we want to say that's wrong, that's fine. I missed where I said I was relying on hope for anything. This whole discussion is about the Bills showing us their plan already, or at least the framework for it, and whether or not it just might be deceptively effective.

If you watched it, why would you say that when he talked about it explicitly in the calculation and graphed it. Right, but they aren't leading the league this year. Every year is its own beast. You don't go into it with the same plan. This year James Cook is the top dog, and barring injury, he'll likely stay that way.

I dunno, wasn't a problem for Saquon or Derrick Henry. Of course, the simple answer is, if they're trying to stop the run, it should be easier to beat them with the pass, so do that. Again, worked just fine for the Eagles when KC over committed to stopping the run.

Well, it seems you didn't watch the video either. The argument is made there that according to game theory, you should be running 54% of the time for maximum yards per play.

Does he have to?

Except apparently the math says that rushing slightly more than passing is the maximum +EV move. Then why are you even engaging with my post? The entire premise here is to talk about how Michael's insights correlate directly with what McBeane has been telling us, and if it's possible they've cracked the code. If you just want to cry about how we should pass the ball more/better, there are already 1000 threads for that. This isn't that thread,

Passing yards per game isn't a stat that tells you anything meaningful. You could be 1st in passing yards per game with the lowest yards per attempt in the league. That doesn't mean you're good at throwing the football. It means you throw the football a lot in spite of how bad you are at it. In the Bills case, they're the 5th best team in the league at throwing the football. They just happen to not throw it that much.

How do you figure it's only efficient with a lead? Did you even watch the video? We've made deep runs plenty of times now and we've fallen short for the same reason every year, namely our defense wasn't up to the task (especially in 2021), and we didn't execute the couple plays a game where we needed to on offense (2023,2024). I think if we had an elite defense, which they tried to build by getting Von Miller, then we'd see them just keep airing it out like they used to. In absence of that, it's come down on Josh's shoulders needing him to be perfect, which he was until he wasn't on the final plays of 2023 and 2024. The scheme they are running now, takes that pressure off of him, because now Cook can carry an equal or even outsized share of the load. A use of 2 and 3 tight end sets with 3 TEs capable of being dangerous int eh passing game, allow sus to take advantage of anyone that decides they want to try to shut down the run game. You stack the box, they go over the top to Knox, Hawes and Kincaid. You bring in lighter personnel to defend that? Cook buries you on the ground. We tried that for years, and it always failed in January. Should we keep doing it until Allen retires?

And the data shows we have balance. What you're suggesting is a hypothetical future in which we don't have balance. That scenario does not exist. If opposing defenses want to stack the box against Josh Allen, it will likely result in some of the most hilarious outcomes in the history of professional football. You do realize we still have Josh Allen, right? Just because they aren't asking him to be Daunte Culpepper dropping bombs to Randy Moss all day, doesn't mean he lacks the ability to exploit a one-dimensional defense. I'd recommend worrying about things that are actual issues, like the state of our RB room, or our defensive playmakers, rather than something that will almost certainly never happen.