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HappyDays

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Posts posted by HappyDays

  1. I think i would rather have a QB that doesn't put himself into a position where he needs to come back every game.

    Me too. I also wonder how much of his good 4th quarter stats happen in garbage time. For reference here are his DVOA rankings:

     

    2013 - 16th

    2014 - 11th

    2015 - 32nd (!!!)

    2016 - 13th

     

    He's been disappointing. And if you think it's just a bad offensive line:

     

    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2017/quarterbacks-and-pressure-2016

     

    he had just the 14th best DVOA when not facing pressure last year (when facing pressure he is 4th best).

  2. Trade the farm for Luck, they get the farm and number 1 pick.

    Since he's so terrible we should be able to aquire him right?

    I didn't say he was terrible. But he also isn't elite. He's pretty firmly a top 10 guy but only because of his 4th quarter stats and game winning drives. Throughout the game as a whole he's inconsistent.

    Then how did the Colts manage to go 5-3 without him in 2015? With a 40 year old backup, no less?

    This is a great point that many people choose to ignore.

  3.  

    Luck does play his best in the 4th quarter.

    11 TD/2 INT in the 4th.

    Down but within 7 points, he's 6 TD/2 INT with a 102 rating.

    I know, that's my point. I don't care how well he does in the 4th quarter because he's so bad early on that it puts his team in a hole. I'd rather have a 1st quarter superstar at QB because that's how you pull away from your opponent and control the game. And he throws too many picks for the team they have. Turnover differential is incredibly correlative to making the playoffs and he isn't doing his part.

  4. Andrew Luck is awful in the 1st quarter. And throws too many picks. He is far behind where the Colts expected him to be at this point.

     

    This is his 1st quarter passer rating since 2013:

    2013 - 82.7

    2014 - 81.5

    2015 - 42.2

    2016 67.1

     

    And his interception rankings:

    2013 - 22nd most

    2014 - 6th most

    2015 - 12th most (t-3)

    2016 - 13th most (t-1)

     

    It's funny because people here want a QB that plays his best in the 4th quarter, throws more picks and more TDs, and can hold up a crap defense. Well...

  5. I think you are confused. Screens are thrown to dynamic athletes. Guys like Desean Jackson, not Hines Ward

    I want my screens going to guys that have good YAC ability. Funny enough Jordan Matthews was top 5 in screen receptions his rookie year. In 2015 Sammy had a YAC per reception of just 2.8 which is really bad. Woods and Hogan each had 3.0 the same year. I can't even find him on the rankings for 2016 here:

     

    https://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/yards-after-the-catch/2016/

     

    And that's including receivers with as little as 2 catches so that's pretty odd. He just doesn't get yards after the catch very often. Why would he be good on screens?

  6. I don't remember Watkins lowering his head to pick up a 1st down. He's talented, but that doesn't mean he's one for contact or going over the middle.

    This is all I mean, I'm not saying Sammy is a crap receiver or anything. He's obviously a great receiver when he's healthy on the field but I also don't think he's the kind of receiver you throw screens to. I always thought that was an overblown complaint.

  7.  

    Not physical is the last thing I think of with Sammy.

     

    Just watch his release off the line--he straight plows DBs. It's one of the reasons that teams give up the short stuff to him so willingly--if you get in his face he's going to steamroll through you and climb over the top with his speed.

    Whatever elite traits Sammy has, they come from his speed/agility and ball tracking skills. I don't think of him as a physical receiver like Julio Jones or AJ Green. I'm surprised anyone does.

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