MAJBobby

I will look for it. I know Trent Murphy called the paycut bluff back in year 2. Beane balked and it burnt him. Since then it hasn’t happened again. And why Butler was on this team instead of Jefferson because Butler took the pay cut Jefferson didn’t.

I remember at least 3 late Singletary TDs a little swing taken to endzone from 12-15 out. moss similar. but Bills WRs for as good as they run routes typically don’t break them. Beasley for example this year went down on first contact.

Sal reported it on the time I believe if I remember right. Just like what will likely happen with Beasley this offseason.

I don’t expect Tre back until week 7. I fully anticipate him on the PUP at the start of the season and why I would sign a starting CB before draft and Draft one in first.

So if he doesn’t take the paycut is he staying? Trent Murphy called Beanes paycut bluff back in the day and Beane blinked and got burnt. Won’t happen again. brown was approached with a paycut and he said no. Brown was released. Only way Williams stays is with a straight paycut. At least IMO

Ok let’s say we pay 6M for a BU. You are now 7.5M over the cap. Can free up easily 26ish without major issues. so now sitting at 19M. Need get a CB2 (5-7M) before draft. So looking at 12M. Let’s say we re-sign Phillips (5M) now down too 7M in space. Take out 3M for the 1st and 2nd down to 4M in space to address a starting LG, and depth at DE, WR, TE. the money isn’t there.

That is what Palmer and Dorsey do. When you are in the land of a paid QB you cannot waste assets on a “mentor”. So tell me Fitz will play for 3M and I will say sign me up. How many games has Josh missed in the last 2 years. It is poor Cap management thinking otherwise. Without looking could you tell me who Mahomes BU was? It wasn’t Henne. We are over the cap already and have other major issues to spend the little cap we will free up before we even get to BU QB.

Too much. My BU QB cap hit has to stay under 3M. So something like a 3 year 8M with 5M guaranteed is most I would go. That gets the below 3M cap hit I would aim for

I am fine with that was 1.5M last year I believe so a 3 year 8M contract is fine for him. With say 5M guaranteed.

That’s fine if he slots into the 2.5M range. definitely not paying 10M for a BU. so if you tell me on Day 1 of UFA he signs for 2.5M (accounting for Minimum cap hit per the veteran exemption). Sign me up. If you are saying will be over 3M then I am passing Which is fine as long as You tell me he will sign for no more than 3M.

I am really interested in him on these team as a BU behind Allen and maybe get in the Allen regiment of Palmer as well. Shouldn’t need to change offense at all. And with development could pull top picks in the QB trade Market.

On to probably the easiest one to write which is good seeing it is the most important position on the field. So as a formality to make sure I hit all Position Groups we are On to QB. I think I will do the OL next. The standard disclaimer. I use SPOTRAC for my salary information, I know more like OTC, so numbers might be a little different I just prefer SPOTRAC more. I also use profootball reference for the stats. So here we go… Bills CAP Space: Top 51 = -1.330M Yep Still negative. Quarterback – 1 player on contact taking up 7.78% of CAP, 20th highest in the NFL. Free Agents UFA Mitchell Trubisky – 27 years old, Cap hit in 2021 – 2.5M – Before I start the writeup on him which will be minimum actually I will say if I can get him back right around the same Cap hit of 2.5 – 3.0M AAV I would be all over that, though this signing would be likely after the draft and He didn’t get a contract in the first stages of UFA. Not much in terms of numbers, but that is what I want to see from the BU QB, low meaningful numbers but he did take the Victory Formation Snaps well when he was in for those. I personally thinks he comes back looking at the UFA list of his tier QBs, and the possible movements of Starting QBs to other teams. On Contract Josh Allen, age 26, 7.78%% of cap, 16.372MM cap hit (No Savings) – Even though I said there is no savings, there could be a couple Mil (2.4M roughly with a simple restructure), with that said I would not do it (Next year is the first real year to do that with, very similar to Mahome’s contract). His numbers Highest in his career in attempts at 646, with a 63.3% completion %. 4407 yards, 36 passing TDs and 15 Picks and a 92.2 rating. 26 sacks (tied last year for lowest in career). Added another 763 yards running and 6 TDs. 8 fumbles (lowest in his career). So, all those numbers are very good for him, and I think this shows that 2020 is not a fluke and we can sit there and be happy to know we have our franchise QB for the next Decade plus. I could write on and on about Josh with the accolades, but I wanted to focus on what he still needs to improve. Zone play I think still can be improved on; I think there was some issues that popped up with the number of Cover-2 shells he saw. That area is still an area I think he needs to improve but did a much better job this year at taking what the Defense gives him. Finally, as he mentioned in his end of year learning how to slide a bit more. This is all great that our QB is self-aware enough to know where he still needs work and I fully expect him to put the work again this offseason with Palmer to get there. One thing I will also say when it comes to the weapons on the Bills I would fully hope Beane and Dorsey and Company come to Josh to just get his thoughts, not that Josh is making the decision but I would hope they would seek his input. Notable UFAs – This list is actually quit long, there are a lot of veteran QBs, that will fit in the range of pay that I would give a BU (in the 3M max pre year range). I will list those that I think will be a good teacher and BU. Brandon Allen, age 29, Cincy Ryan Fitzpatrick, age 39, Washington Andy Dalton, age 34, Chicago I am not addressing the BU QB until after the Draft IMO. Let the UFA stupid season do its thing, get to the draft (ideally find the BU there) and worst case if you need to grab a Veteran after the draft there will be a lot of them there sitting in the range that should be spent on a BU QB at this point. I possibly COULD see the Bills going a bit higher here on a 1-year deal, but ideally, we start those BUs being on rookie contracts when the real money kicks in with Josh. Notable Draft Picks 4th round Carson Strong, 6’3”, 226, Nevada – Had a chance to impress at Senior Bowl and move up in the rankings, but struggled at the Senior Bowl likely cementing him here and as a BU in the NFL. Aqeel Glass, 6’3” 228, Alabama A&M – Big QB with powerful arm and can run, think a poor mans Allen. Would not have to change the offense at all if he had to come into the game one he gets integrated in the offense we run. 5th Round Chris Oladuokun 6’2” 240, South Dakota State – Has the athletic ability that has really failed to flash in the smaller school all-star games, however can move and has a live arm, What I would do: I am not re-signing Trubisky before the draft unless I get him in the number of 2-3M AAV. I am also not touching any QB in UFA unless we are talking in that number range (I personally wouldn’t sign any) but maybe could get that deal with a Fitz were you sign him to a couple Mil but he only counts against the cap as a league minimum. That veteran exemption thing that the NFL has but teams really have not used that often (at least the Bills). But I am going into the draft with only ONE QB on the roster and I will look for the BU in the draft sometime after the 3rd round. If I cannot get one that fits the grade post draft I am brining on one of these many Veterans that will still be looking for work to back up Josh in 2022. Past Writeups: Defensive Line Linebacker Secondary

Yep but I do want to see what Kromer can do with Ford. I don’t think he makes the final 53. But I also don’t think he gets cut before camp because I think they are going to want to see what Kromer can do with him. unless of course Kromer comes in and says move on immediately there is nothing I can do with this player, then like the doesn’t make it to camp.

If he reduces his hit to 5M I would be fine with that, and I will write to that when I do the OL writeup. I think Feliciano is Traded to NYG as soon as possible. likely brings a late round pick, but that is the trade that likely happens immediately. Daboll there, Schoen there, Bobby Johnson loves him, will come in and help teach the scheme and would be a good contract for them post trade

Right now they Dont. Zimmer and Phillips are NOT on the roster. The Reality is Phillps coming back is vital to protect on the Star Cut (it will come early imo as a designated June 1 cut), as soon as Phillips is Signed. Then the Reality is my 1st round TGT is not a DT it is a CB, but if you dont have a starting 1 Tech on the roster come draft time you will have to address that position early.

I am signing Harrison Back. I am willing to bring Zimmer back as well on a Minimum Deal. So I am not sure what the argument is actually.

Some of the YAC is on the QB as well, along with the type of routes we run. If I take Chase and have him running outs and curls how much YAC does he get. But I have seen our WRs and RBs multiple times take a 3 yard pass or a Pop Pass and gain 20. And I can get a Starting OG and a BU Tackles it isnt that bad. I still am not paying 9M cap to Williams. He has to take a pay cut or leave IMO

Morse isn’t retiring. Actually I see an extension for Morse (who was our second Best overall lineman last season). the concussions is the only concern with say a 5 year extension. I could see a 2 year extension that looks like a 5 year though. Except it does happen with the Bills. I can go point to a lot of them. A short pass with 16-17 yards in YAC.

And a 6M savings. So yes they can afford that dead cap

He is an over paid and below AVG RG yes. His play as RT in a contract year in 2020 was good. Allen hid a lot of that. But end of the day Williams can stay as a BU if he takes the paycut. If not he gone. 4M cap hit is fine for Williams not almost 10M who had to move positions because he lost that RT job to a raw rookie.

They have him 2 gapping as a MIke. Instincts and attacking are mitigated because of the responsibility of 2 gaps in your Run fits. The Scheme and the responsibilities placed on him hurt those instincts. bills players have said as much as well. when he was out the Defense Changed with Klein as he played the traditional MIke Role read and react. end of the day Edmunds isn’t going anywhere and will get a good extension that pays him based on his value to the Bills. is he Bobby Wagner at this point? Nope he isn’t. And he won’t be paid in that level either.

Pro football Reference has the Picks, Sacks PD and TFLs. Basic math = 12 plays.

I didn’t know that. About the in line and thanks for the tip. I also understand where Zimmer played. That isn’t what he is. He played 1Tech because guess what Bills don’t have 1Techs outside of Star on their starting 53. I get it. Zimmer a good story from a small school. A fan tav. And completely Replaceable if his “demands” go above a minimum contract. Star is gone.

He is a top 15 LBer. That is the reality. Again used YOUR definition no trying to caveat it because the answer you got didn’t fit your narrative.

So you are GOOD with a 9M cap hit below AVG backup. you should care about the cap seeing the Bills have to and are currently NEGATIVE space