I have been on record saying that this "twice in one season" thing is mostly BS. If I flip a coin and it's heads, I am just as likely to flip it again and have it be heads. It's only after you flip it twice (or however many times) can you say, wow, getting heads twice happens 25% of the time. That said, to the extent that there is learning and adjustment between the first and second games, and perhaps the revenge factor, then maybe the second game isn't independent of the first. If that's the case, then it's not as clean as two coin flips (or similar analogy like rolling the dice). But I imagine it's still close.