Jump to content

TPS

Community Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,635

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by TPS

    Bills FA rumors thread

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    I don't actually.  Beane said up front last season that we would not be big players in FA.  He's usually a pretty straight shooter.

     

    And we did sign Sanders for $6M

    It's possible he re-thinks this position given "notable" players are expressing interest in the Bills, assuming they'll take a slight discount to join the super bowl contender.

    Thoughts on draft

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    3 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

    So as this has kind of become a place to post your mocks here is one I did on pro football network last night:

     

    Round 1 - Pick #30 - Treylon Burks, Wide Receiver, Arkansas

    I traded back from #25 to #30 with the Chiefs. I swapped #129 for #62 in the process giving me an extra 2nd round pick. Not sure how realistic the Bills trading with the Chiefs in the 1st round is but if the trade makes sense (and this one did because there were still 5 guys I liked on the board) they shouldn't be scared to do so. Keep stacking weapons for Josh Allen. I think Burks is going to have a good Combine and secure himself as a round 1 pick. he is a YAC monster and that has been missing from our offense. 

     

    Round 2 - Pick #57 - Kyler Gordon, Cornerback, Washington

    I'd consider Gordon at #25 and I really expect him to go early, but he was still there on this mock. He would be a steal at this point of the draft. Immediate upgrade at corner #2 and his ceiling is as a #1 corner. 

     

    Round 2 - Pick #62 - Boye Mafe, Edge, Minnesota

    I used the extra 2nd rounder to snag Boye Mafe who is an raw, physical and explosive pass rusher. Had a great Senior Bowl and improved his stock. I still think a day 2 pick though and if he makes it to this spot he is great value. Adds an explosive quality that the Bills Edge group lacks. 

     

    Round 3 - Pick #92 - Daniel Faalele, Offensive Tackle, Minnesota

    I traded back again with Green Bay from #89 to #92. Swapping #168 for #131 while doing so. The Bills need to add to the offensive tackle group. I'm not against taking a guy early but I think the round 1 level guys will fly off the board. Faalele is a developmental guy who I am not sure would be ready to start year 1. He is physical but he has some technical deficiencies that need refining and at times looks a bit mechanical in his movement. 

     

    Round 4 - Pick #131 - Cade Mays, Guard, Tennessee

    Physical mauler of a guard who actually fits the Bills if they are moving to more of a gap and man blocking scheme. He isn't a fit for all the Shanahan style outside zone teams but he would likely be a starter by the end of his rookie year on the Bills. 

     

    That left with picks #184, #202, #229 and #244 (so two 6ths and two 7ths). With these picks I tried to prioritise guys who I thought had a shot at making the roster. 

     

    Round 6 - Pick #184 - Jerrion Early, Running Back, Mississippi

    The only running back on the Bills roster who I would say is an absolute lock for the 53 at this point is Devin Singletary. Zack Moss is probably back but there is a spot for a speed back alongside them. Early is explosive. He might be a little undersized but I like the fact that he isn't afraid to get north and south. He would compete for a roster spot. 

     

    Round 6 - Pick #202 - Bo Melton, Wide Receiver, Rutgers

    Melton is a developmental slot guy who could even do some of the gadget play type stuff that Isaiah McKenzie has done for this team in recent years. If McKenzie is not back (which looks likely to be the case) then Melton can add competition for that spot and he has experience as a returner which is still an open job. 

     

    Round 7 - Pick #229 - Jelani Woods, Tight End, Virginia

    Wood projects as a #2 tight end and this is the weakest area on the Bills roster with zero real depth behind Dawson Knox. He was mainly used to block at Oklahoma State but he had 598 yards and 8 touchdowns after transferring to Virginia as a senior. Was a stand out in the Shrine Game. 

     

    Round 7 - Pick #244 - Clarence Hicks, Linebacker, UTSA

    The linebacker room is another where there are potential backup spots to be won. Hicks is a bit of a tweener, hybrid type who started his college career on the edge but has increasingly played more in space as an off the ball 'backer. Can imagine Beane and McDermott liking him as a chess piece type player and I can imagine him flying around on special teams. 

    Should be an interesting draft.

    Beane mentioned it is not stocked with a lot of high-end talent, but a lot of depth, which is why your trade back in R1 is certainly possible this year.  However, he also said lack of elite talents in R1 mean rankings for teams can be all over the place, so it's also quite likely someone slides to them that other teams don't rank as high. 

    We're about to hit the dog days of the offseason, after the combine.  Almost time for @Virgil's TSW mock... :beer:

    • Like (+1) 1

    Bills are on the clock at #25

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    1 hour ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

     

    The rationale that Gunner and I are talking about is getting a good LT prospect and then deciding whether he or Dawkins is better in camp and moving one of them to guard.   I'm assuming Dawkins would be the LT for at least next season.........but that's an every down player either way.

     

    Not all LT's can transition inside........but that is mostly evident in footwork and hand traits on tape that indicate if the player plays well in tight spaces.    From what I've seen........including some actual guard play in place of Incognito as a rookie.......Dawkins is most certainly one of those guys.     He's BEEN a fringy Pro Bowl alternate LT in what might be his prime 2019-current........but I think he might be an All Pro at LG. 

     

    Then if your LT misses time you have another LT talent on hand for the most important position on the line..........rather than moving Brown and plugging in Doyle and making both tackle positions considerably worse(Doyle is REALLY raw and I love Brown's potential but he isn't even good in pass pro at RT yet and he wasn't a LT in college either).

     

    I don't expect a top LT prospect to be left at #25 but I didn't think Rousseau would fall to #30 at this point in the draft process last year.    It's still a distinct possibility because there are a good number of them.

     

    As for the other positions............I'm all about getting a tremendously fast RAC guy to add to this offense.....OR..........signing Gronk and drafting another TE in mid-rounds and going 12 personnel and just using Diggs and Davis as the two WR's in those sets.    

     

    So as much as I value adding a WR........that 3rd WR might not be an every down player..............and of course there are more options there in UFA than there will be at tackle.

    It's all too early at this point, but it is the off-season...

     

    While I get your POV, I agree with the poster who said OT in R1 will never happen--they won't move Dawkins inside after paying him LT money, especially when your current LT is already a "fringy" pro bowl alt.

    As I said, I think the best indication of the OL improvement is how they protected in the KC playoff games this year vs last: 2 sks and 4 hurrs vs 4 sks and 13 hurrs.   For 2022, the biggest need on the OL at the moment is RG. 

     

    As for backups, you open an entirely new can of worms; e.g. If Diggs goes down, then what?

    At any rate, I'm looking forward to seeing what Beane does in FA. Cheers. :beer:

    Bills are on the clock at #25

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    18 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

    Yeah it would have to be a transcendent talent for me or @GunnerBill to spend a first rounder on an interior player.    Linderbaum ain't that.   He's very undersized,  which might not prevent him from being a star in some systems........but it will always be a limiting factor that his team has to scheme or support with additional personnel to prevent from becoming a liability.

     

    As for CB and WR being more pressing needs than OT..........not really.     The Bills were good at CB in 2020 even without White.....who will almost certainly return to be better than his replacement Levi Wallace, in 2021.   Only did the Chiefs really have their way with them at the end.......but they incinerated the All Pro White in the 2020 AFCCG as well.    CB is a want.   Stefon Diggs is a better WR than Dawkins is a LT.    Davis is probably a better WR2 right now than Brown is a RT(he sucks in pass pro).   So WR is also more of a want than a need compared to OT.

     

    I get it though.........the moment the OL starts to play better people want to quickly wipe that off the needs list because it is a lot more fun to add playmakers.........we saw that last offseason when many assumed Williams and Feliciano returning meant that the OL was going to at least stay the same if not improve due to the continuity.    What happened was FAR from either.    They got much worse.........at mid-season they were arguably one of the league's worst..........statistically worse than Cinci in pass pro even.........and finally at the end they had to change the offense and turn Allen into a 10+ carry per game player to overcome the systemic issues with their OL.

    Seems you're assuming Dawkins' play in the latter part of the year is not representative, whereas I would say it is.  I would also argue that Brown will make a significant jump in year 2--the guy barely played 2 years of OT at NIU (previously TE) and didn't play at all in his draft year.  You're also assuming the Bills can draft an LT at 25 who will be better than the pro-bowler Dawkins. I don't believe that will be the case.  They do need to upgrade RG, but we agree that shouldn't be done in R1. 

    Regarding your last point, I think a lot of people were worried about the OL, especially Williams and Feliciano, after last year's AFCCGI, and I think it's clear the OL was much better in pass pro against KC in this year's playoff game (4 vs 13 pressures).

     

    As for WR, given the pass-focused O, the Bills absolutely need a third WR to replace Sanders.  It is clearly the case that any of the currently rated R1 WRs are a significant improvement over Gentry or Hodgins. I would say the same about CB, anyone picked in the first 3 rounds will most likely be better than Jackson or Lewis, the current list of CB2s (though, I agree, CB is more a want than need). 

     

    Of course, perceived needs will change significantly as they go through FA, since Beane likes to make sure he's not in a position of needing to draft a specific position.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Bills are on the clock at #25

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    19 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

     

    Pretty sure former All Pro Daryl Williams had a long stretch where he was grading out like the best RT in the league.

     

    Oh, wait, that was 2020.........then he was awful at RT in 2021. ;)

     

    Dawkins is a good player who struggles with conditioning.........a lot of times players like that hit a wall in their mid-late 20's where the natural athleticism alone ceases to be enough.    

     

    For some they can change their habits and not lose a step.........others can't and it's a career killer..........for others it just changes their role.

    No doubt he looked out of shape early which could've been covid-related, who knows.  My response was related to drafting an OT in R1, though @GunnerBill clarified for me the point was in relation to drafting interior O vs OTs in R1 in general , and I agree (though I'd support taking Linderbaum if he was there).  

    To Dawkins, I think he's a top 10 LT at the very least, and I think the Bills will be just fine with him for the duration of his contract (he'll be 30 at the end of it). There are more important needs to address than OT in this draft.  My personal preference is the other skill positions--CB, Edge, and WR, depending on who drops. 

     

     

    Bills are on the clock at #25

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    I don't think anyone is saying Dawkins can't play tackle a few more years. The point I think is that the Bills need to upgrade the line... if you are doing that in the 1st positional value decrees that has to be a tackle unless you are talking an elite level prospect elsewhere. And the Bills shouldn't avoid drafting a tackle just because they have Dion who is decent and Brown who was serviceable as a rookie. If tackle makes sense at #25 in terms of the players on the board you take him and then work out who plays where later (which would most likely be Dion at guard). 

     

    That said I think the 4 tackles who would be day 1 upgrades are all gone by the time we pick. It is more likely to me that receiver or corner provides a guy who is 1. A genuine 1st round talent; 2. An immediate upgrade; 3. At a premium position. 

     

    I was hopeful Trevor Penning would slide. But he killed any hope of that by dominating the senior bowl.

    Dawkins had a lot of issues early in the season, but according to this source, he was the highest rated LT since week 13.

     

    • Agree 1
    • Awesome! (+1) 1
    • Thank you (+1) 1

    Brandon Beane: Top priority for offseason - protecting Josh Allen

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Florida Bills Fanatic said:

    You may very well be right but I expect someone on the DL either within the first three rounds of the draft or as a FA signing.  I also believe that the Bills are confident in Doyle and he will be the swing tackle as long as Dawkins continues to play well.  Some season down the road Brown will be the LT and Doyle will be the RT.  The Bills will probably be looking at a guard or center or both this year.

     

    Beane's free agent moves usually provide a strong indication of his draft direction.  

    Saw a tweet last week about Dawkins being the highest rated LT by PFF since week 13. 

    As long as they bring back Bates and re-sign Boettger for depth, I think at most they look for someone in R1-3 who can play G/C, then maybe another late pick.  I'm in the camp that thinks it won't take much to fortify--meaning finding their top 8--the line this year.

    • Like (+1) 1

    What type of Offense will Ken Dorsey bring?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Beerball said:

    Keep what works, fix what doesn’t. Personally, I’d like to see far fewer Allen designed runs. I get that the guy is a freak, but a body can only take so much. Hate to see him washed sooner than necessary.

    Yes, be cautious during the regular season, but open up the playbook come playoff time.

    2022 Offseason Primer Position Group: Secondary

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    I enjoy your write-ups as they help in the doldrums of the off season.

     

    I think we all suffer from be "our own worst critics" when it comes to the Bills.  Regardless of schedule and QBs played, this secondary and D was ranked statistically near the top, and safeties (P&H) always receive praise from his holiness BB.  I agree with another poster, I think you're being overly critical of Poyer. Unless you have access to the all-22, it's hard to evaluate if he's slipping or not?  I think the team D, and the Pass D in particular, are evidence that P&H had outstanding years. 

    The other point I would disagree with is your assessment of J. Johnson.  What little we have seen, I think he's done well. He also represents a significant investment in their system, so I think he's much more valuable to the Bills than to other teams (though I wouldn't be surprised if someone takes a chance on him like the Bills did with Poyer).   I don't know enough about him, but I have seen flashes.  I prefer to trust Beane and McD on what they do here.

     

    I think Levi is more a product of their system and would not pay the projected market value. It will be interesting to see what he commands in the market?  Since they most likely won't retain him, I think there's a good chance the Bills draft 2 CBs, one early and one in the mid-rounds. 

     

    Thanks for your efforts and looking forward to the remainder.

    How Do you Feel about the State of The Buffalo Bills-just a little offseason discussion

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, pocoboy said:

    There's definitely a hinge point right now.

    • You've lost presumably one of the primary guys who helped develop Allen.
    • But on the flip, in the same man you've also lost the guy who struggled to make the run game threatening enough to be the counter to the potent passing attack.
    • You have to have some turmoil right now with whatever gets decided is the real story behind the 13 second collapse. If only that Allen has to have some real difficulties accepting the fact he won that game and the other facets botched it in such excruciating fashion.
    • With all of that, you've also seen a team respond to some early season woes & improve in the process. The run game became competent enough to allow Allen some better looks through the air. And the defense mostly shored up their issues in terms of stopping the run.

    I feel Dorsey will offer some continuity. He's gonna need to figure out ways to spring Diggs in the games where teams take him away. Hopefully the learnings from the 2nd half OL carousel can give them a solid footing when they hit August. I think the future is bright, but the KC debacle needs to be the last time we see such a sorry display - the Hopkins Hail Mary was bad enough, it's tough to believe they found a way to top that...

    In terms of helping JA improve his mechanics, Daboll certainly wasn’t primary. In fact, the biggest improvements came after Dorsey arrived. In terms of understanding defenses, I’m sure Daboll was important, but experience is more important. 

     

    Cincy squib kick before halftime - an FU to Buffalo???? As per Bill Simmons

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Billsfan1972 said:

    Really was no need for it as there was plenty of time and every other kick was through the endzone.  

     

    Know this was brought up on Sunday (and then merged with other gameday topics), but just was listening to the Bill Simmons podcast and that is how he referred to the squib kick as.....  A FU to Buffalo.  

     

    BTW it took up 5 seconds and returned to the 19 yards line.

     

    Yep not over it......😜

    The thought crossed my mind when it happened.

    Josh Allen should change his jersey number

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    1 hour ago, BringBackFergy said:

    I've been interested in numerology for some time.  I've studied how numbers affect our lives and thought I'd research how numbers may affect our team (especially JoshAllen). It might explain some of the problems he's facing and whether he will regress in the next few years.  My analysis indicates that Josh should, in fact, change his number.

     

    https://www.mastermindcontent.co.uk/symbolic-meaning-of-the-number-17/

     

    Relevant excerpts:

     

    In the ancient world, the symbolic meaning of the number 17 was highly spiritual and represented love and peace – or sin and evil. If you fail to make the right decisions, as seen in number 16, you will continue to encounter obstacles. 

     

    Significantly, 17 reduces to eight in gematria. This system was initially used by the ancient Babylonians and in alchemical traditions who state the eight is to where “knowledge of the Great Secret is attained.” 

     

    In Shi’ite mysticism, seventeen was the number of dead bought back to life, an idea the ancient Greeks also believed. Essentially, the myth refers to resurrection.

     

    Also:

    Seventeen is the only prime number which is the sum of four consecutive primes (2,3,5,7). Any other four consecutive primes summed would always produce an even number, thereby divisible by 2 and so not prime. The sequence of residues (mod n) of a googol and googolplex, for n = 1, 2, 3, ..., agree up until n = 17.

     

     

    Take it for what's it's worth, but there's a sound case for changing the number on his jersey.

     

     

     

    With respect to the last point about 17 = sum of 4 consecutive prime numbers, I think that suggests JA will make up for the 4 losses with 4 consecutive Lombardis....

    KC Sports radio - loss is on Mahomes but it took Bills and Bengals to take the Chiefs out of the SB

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    1 hour ago, TheBrownBear said:

    I don't know so much about this take.  KC came out fired up and ready to play.  They were an absolute machine until the end of half gaffe by Mahomes/Reid.  I think that sort of took the sails out of their wind.  In the second half they looked almost disinterested or like a team who thought they could turn it on when they needed to at the end.  Goes to show you how quickly a game can change and that once you lose momentum it's hard to lock in and wrestle it back - even for the best of teams.  That's why I've always believed that you should put the pedal to the medal the entire game the way we did against the Pats.  You take a breather and you're inviting in what you saw yesterday from the Chiefs.

    This is exactly what I said to my buddies in our group text for the game, that once they went up 21-3, they became disinterested because they thought it was a cake-walk at that point.  There was a play or two where it looked like Kelce simply stopped playing when he thought the ball wasn't coming to him (that last sack of Mohomes in regulation being one).  People under-estimate the mental aspect of sports, yet this happens all the time.

×
×
  • Create New...