Maybe 50-50 that he can be a decent serviceable QB that can, with the right tools, manage this team to the playoffs.  25% confidence that he will be a top-10 QB in the league.  3% confidence that he will be a top-10 all time QB like Manning or Brady who can carry a bad team no matter the talent around him. 
  
This is not a slam against EJ!!!  I like him a lot, and desperately want him to be the next Joe Montana, but will need to see marked improvement before my confidence goes higher!