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BarleyNY

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Posts posted by BarleyNY

  1. 19 hours ago, FireChans said:

    There are lots of obscure things about NFL field goal protocol.

     

    For example, just about every kicking unit in the NFL is 7 yards behind the line of scrimmage. This is the way it’s always been done. But this adds on an extra 7 yards every attempt.

     

    What I’m suggesting is the Bills move it a little bit close. Let’s say 5 yards. Suddenly that 50 yard FG is a 48 yarder. Suddenly that 40 yard FG is a 38 yarder. And even extra points are just a little bit easier.

     

    It the long run, this will play huge dividends. The difference between a 39 yard FG and a 41 yard FG is about 7% in conversion rate. Over the course of a few seasons, that’s a huge amount of conversions.
     

    The real secret is don’t tell anybody you’re doing this. Don’t tell the refs, don’t tell the media, don’t tell anybody. Just move up a bit and reap the rewards. 

    Hear me out…….

  2. 17 minutes ago, Shaw66 said:

    What's he done?

     

    Well, he's beaten Josh Allen in the playoffs. 

     

    His career passer rating is 6 percentage points higher.  6!   He has better completion percentage, yards per attempt, and fewer interceptions.   

     

    Other than that, he hasn't done anything. 

     

    Burrow has beaten KC/Mahomes in the playoffs too. And he made it to a Super Bowl. 

     

    I haven’t heard any big uproar of criticism of Allen this offseason either. Do people say that he (and the Bills and McDermott) can’t get it done in the playoffs? Absolutely yes. That shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone since, you know, they haven’t gotten it done in the playoffs. People said the same thing about Peyton Manning until he won his first. There’s only one way to change that narrative - Allen, McDermott and the rest of the Bills need to get it done. Until then, the existing narrative will only grow louder and stronger. 

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  3. 3 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

    Said differently,”the money could be spent adding value to my home. I need to resurface the driveway and pool area.” Those same dollars will pay for my 2 PSLs. I’m not taking away from any necessities or strong “wants.” I’m electing to purchase these PSLs and waiting on the driveway. These are the types of decisions that many of us will make. People aren’t deciding between food and PSLs but they may be deciding between a vacation and PSLs. They are going to take up a portion of discretionary income that none of us have ever committed. 
     

     

    Having season tickets for an NFL team - or even simply attending an NFL game - is a luxury. If people want to spend their money on that, that’s great. If they don't and would rather spend it on a vacation or a pool or save or invest it, then that is great too. To each their own. 

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  4. 3 hours ago, mrags said:

    when you have a PSL you own the right to a seat at any event held in that arena/stadium. Period. (Except for the SuperBowl which we won’t ever have to worry about anyway)

    This is not necessarily true. I had PSLs at a stadium in another city and only had the rights to the seats for football. The Pegulas can make other events part of the PSL package - or not. It is 100% up to them.

     

    Functionally it doesn’t make much sense to tie PSL holders to their seats anyway. One issue is that some seats won’t even be used for concerts as they’d be behind the stage. Also additional seats would be added for an event like that and other seats would be in much better or worse locations than for football. It’s easier to just allow PSL owners to buy the seats they want before the general public. 

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  5. 19 minutes ago, transient said:

    Yeah… well I hope they both implode while Trubisky lights it up in the 4th quarter every game because the Bills are annihilating their opponents weekly, and he parlays that into a SB ring and a huge contract as an NFC starter with a reasonable degree of success.
     

    The following season I hope the same scenario plays out with Fields after he’s cut from the Steelers and signs on as the Bills backup while the Steelers flounder with a Zach Wilson-level FA replacement. 

     

    Fields will be a FA after this season unless the Steelers extend him or pick up his $25M option (which is incredibly unlikely).

  6. 8 minutes ago, Yantha said:

    I had a little extra time on my hands this morning... so I ran some simulations (10 each) with PFF, Pro Football Network, and NFL Mock Draft Database.

     

    The ADP for JPJ were as follows:

     

    PFF (only ran one sim since I don't have a subscription):  Picked at 26

     

    Profootball Network:  Range was from pick 16-26, ADP was pick 24 (Dallas)

     

    NFL Mock Draft Database:  Range was much wider from pick 16-46 and basically if JPJ slipped to round 2, he would tumble to 35 (Arizona) or 46 (Panthers in a trade down).

     

    So I guess you just never know how a board will fall.  Every year there's a handful of players that were thought to go in the top 25 that slip the the bottom of the first or beyond.

     

    Now we are getting pretty close to the draft and conversations are getting into the weeds.  Love this time of year.

    As we get closer to the draft I think we are getting a much better idea of what the impact of scarcity will be. Excluding the elite prospects, teams can wait on positions like WR (quantity in the draft) and DB (due to so many remaining available in FA), but DL is going to go fast. Not a lot of good ones there. 

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  7. 1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    He has some talent but I think he has been slightly overhyped by some in the process. He is very quick, but for someone with so much speed he isn't open as often as he should be and the reason is he is not a good route runner - often imprecise and gives up leverage willingly. I think some of that is coachable, and there has been some improvement in his hands but he is early 3rd round in terms of grade for me. He is in a little cluster with Ricky Pearsall and Javon Baker for me in my kind of 4th tier of receivers (would be a 3rd tier in most drafts) and I think I like him the least of those 3. 

    Gonna be a crazy, wild draft at WR when we look back in 5 years. So many WRs with talent that need to improve - or are permanently deficient - in one or more areas of their game. So many factors - development, talent, role, work ethic, QB, etc. - at play regarding each of their successes or failures. There are going to be a lot of GMs lauded and others taking real heat over this one. Just have to hope we take a good shot and hit. 

    • Like (+1) 4
  8. 24 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

    What if it turns out that McGovern actually makes a great Center? What if he was sitting there waiting for Morse to retire? Do we know that he isn’t? 

    Seems like the Bills plan is probably to figure out the best combination of McGovern, Clapp and Edwards to put on the field. Plus there’s now some injury insurance, which is nice.

     

    On McGovern, he was a much better pass blocker than run blocker last season. I can see why a move to C might work out for him since he will be doubling DTs in the run game a lot more consistently than he was at OG. It’s certainly worth a shot. 

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  9. 3 hours ago, MJS said:

    Carl Lawson and Michael Danna would be good, in my opinion.

    I agree that they are the two best options left. Danna had 8 sacks last season and Lawson had 8 in 2022. I’m not sure why he didn’t get much playing time last season. Still, compared to last year there’s just not much there in the FA pool compared to last year. 

  10. 1 hour ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

     

    There's still guys like Yannick Ngakoue, Emmanuel Ogbah, Carl Lawson, and Michael Danna available. Teams could release someone after the Draft depending on who they Draft. And Yannick didn't sign until very late last offseason. There's still a good chance we sign someone after 6/1 when Tre's money comes in.

    That’s a brutal list. Last off-season there were a bunch of good Edges that waited until after the draft to sign. Obviously that’s not the case this year. It is what it is. The worst thing you can do is fool yourself into believing that something exists because you need it. The more things shake out, the more I think the Bills will draft an Edge in round one. If they do, I hope the player is worth it and it’s not simply a reach for immediate need. 

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  11. 33 minutes ago, mrags said:

     

    Exactly what I expected @BarleyNY  the number of suites have been cut in half in the new stadium. So the 60 or so suites that have been removed, those people would be prime targets for these upgraded club seats in the new stadium. How many people were in that suite when you went? Imagine that many people times 60. That’s the target audience of what the Bills are currently looking at now for 40 to 40 sideline club seats with some extra amenities. I remember years ago I know someone that was looking into a suite and I think it was like $80k for the year. I’m sure they’re more now. So that’s the target audience. Someone might not pay over 100K a year for a suite in the new stadium but they’ll buy 8 tickets with a 20-30k PSL fee once and then 8k a year on each seat. It’s still less than a suite would be. 

     

    The suite was pretty full. I think two of us were the token representatives to keep it a business expense. Also I think that the company is primarily or fully owned by one family. They packed it with their family, friends and some additional key employees. I can see them dialing it back to a chunk of club seats. The president of the company told me that was an option. 

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  12. 9 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

    I don’t think it’ll be a “mass migration” but we will see some attrition. The only mass migration will be he people that were in the lower level between the 30’s. Those were the most underpriced seats in all of pro sports. Those people will move away from midfield or up. The people that we are hearing from now are the most vocal. I’d be curious to know what percentage of the people that have gone so far have declined. We know that some have been vocal but how many have declined?

     

    There are also people out there that aren’t current ticket holders because they couldn’t get a desirable enough location. We will see some of these people entering at the $50k PSL. It isn’t an enormous universe but when you look at the whole region (Toronto, Rochester, etc..) that will offset some of those people lowering their spend.

     

    I should be coming up soon (got the call the other day). It sounds like my PSL will be higher than I originally anticipated (at least I think). I was anticipating like $12k a seat ($15k on the high end). I think that it’ll now be $20k a seat. That’s annoying but I’m not likely to bail over it. The way that I’m looking at it, is an extra $20k (after finance fees over 10 years). It’s $2k more a year than I hoped. That sucks but I blow money on stuff that I care WAY less about than the Bills all of the time. 

     

     

    There will be plenty of professional resellers that will be happy to buy up the premium seats too. Those are the ones that can generate real revenue and even see an increase in PSL value. 

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  13. 16 hours ago, AlCowlingsTaxiService said:

    Apparently one of the more prominent funeral home owners decided against it, and I’m sure they’re not going  to be the only ones

     

    Went with my wife to a suite of a vendor she does business with for the TB game last season. It was behind an EZ so not the most expensive one. They said they were unsure if they could keep it when the team moved to the new stadium. At the pricing they had seen they couldn’t make it work, but they thought it might come down to where they could.

  14. 49 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:

    To make sure I’m clear, a PSL becomes a personal asset, correct?  So if one decides to spend the money, it is sellable someday, if one also chooses?  And the value could potentially increase?

    It’s an asset that would require the holder to buy season tickets every season. That’s a big caveat. Look around and see how many are on the market for more than what they originally sold for. Not many people choose to sell their PSLs during good times. A glut of available PSLs would happen during a prolonged bad run though.

     

    edited to add: I’ll guarantee that the team will charge a fee for and/or take a cut of any PSL transfer transactions 

  15. On 3/25/2024 at 7:52 PM, BigDingus said:

    What happens if you buy the PSL but don't buy season tickets?

     

    I never understood why you need to pay for the right to pay for something else. It's the dumbest scam in the sports world, and it's shame that so many fans proved to owners this works. Hopefully it fails miserably in Buffalo, and PSL prices will be significantly reduced.

     

    But if that happens, all the people who paid the $15k - $50k for their PSLs will be losing out huge in their investment. Wish the state money used to fund the stadium came with the stipulation that ownership could not charge for PSLs, otherwise they would have to reimburse the taxpayer funding.

     

    If a person owning a PSL does not buy the season tickets they forfeit their PSL license. The team is then able to sell the PSL again. In the interim the team can sell the individual game tickets through their regular channels. 

     

    PSL holders do have the option to sell their PSL to someone else at whatever price they can get for it. However, what  tends to happen is that a large number of PSLs become available when a team goes through a multiple season losing streak. The PSL for less desirable seats don’t sell for much - or at all - and the holders have to decide between continuing to buy season tickets for a bad team or simply giving up their PSL for nothing or next to nothing.

  16. 12 minutes ago, Process said:

    Pressure from who? I doubt there is much pressure being put on him from the Pegulas. He is probably as secure in his job as any hc in the NFL. 

     

    Regardless of the Pegulas’ thoughts on McDermott, the job he’s done for them or their support of him, I would be shocked if he was not putting a ton of pressure on himself to bring a championship to Buffalo. That has to grow every season. 

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