johnwalter

actually, neither of those statements are factual.

lol, "Potential"

i dont see any situation in which woods becomes our number five. as i see it (with evans) our wr depth chart reads something like: 1. evans 2-T. johnson 2-T. woods 4-T. williams 4-T. goodwin i.e. woods wont be lower than our number three.

faster? yes. bigger? certainly not. but yes, if a team gets him past pick 55 they're getting a steal; mason and greg robinson combined to create a running game that carried that auburn team.

this terrifies me

if both are on the board, taking ebron over matthews would be lunacy if matthews is there he will almost certainly bpa.

if the bills walk away with matthews or evans in the 1 and ASJ in the 2, i'll be the happiest boy in the world

we certainly did resigned chandler to be a #2. chandler is like stevie, a low-end #1 but a high-end #2. so without a comeback from moeaki, yes, we would be wise to draft a te. 1BD agrees, just take a look at our pre-draft visits: Ebron, ASJ, and Niklas, 3 of the top 4 TEs in the draft. i'm really hoping we go after seferian-jenkins.

a team is built like a car, the engine, the gas tank, doors etc, all the pieces must be chosen to fit with each other and must therefore be chosen to fit into a single, focused plan. 2BD would be a terrible GM for many reasons, but mostly because the opinions on 2BD are guided by so many distinct and non-compatible plans. also, in general, we tend to over-react on the internet, im sure many of those things (like cutting dareus? dafuk?) were posted in moments of passion, or, perhaps, a little bedtime 2BD after a night at a bar. what has spiller done to make you believe that he is a me-first player?

66%

i know ive got a lot of bills fan bias in me, but it seems to me like spiller is at the tipping point of his career and i really think 2014 is going to be his year. easy call for 1bd not to trade him, especially in his current undervalued state. if only we could extend him now, after his down year.

aldon smith is much too good at football to be let go his crimes are not malicious in any way, it just seems like he's still growing up

so happy to hear we are bringing ASJ in. getting him in the second round would be make this offseason for me.

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap2000000340813/article/casserly-seven-qbs-in-2014-nfl-draft-rate-ahead-of-ej-manuel ouch

EJ Manuel's future success is just a random variable on a distribution from JP Losman to GOAT, each outcome with an associated probability. I'd say the probability that he sticks around as a starter is around 50%, the probability that he's a 'franchise' quarterback is around 25%-30%.

This is implicit in every MNF game we play.

i would love to see us make a play for dustin keller

another reason not to draft ebron: austin seferian-jenkins.

this headline has been built out of a bunch of nothing

if the bills pass on evans for ebron, lewan, or barr it will go down a their biggest mistake since aaron maybin

tom brady (as much as it hurts to say it) in the running: luke kuechly, andrew luck, aaron rodgers, jacoby jones, marshawn lynch,

interesting - before i opened the thread my assumption was that buf would target oakland and the 5 spot which at first glance seemed like a better position for our immediate needs. to everyone saying that this is a bad year to trade up because of the drafts depth: dont believe that to be true. gm's understand the draft's depth as well as you do (contrary to what you might think, they're better at this than us) reducing the demand for trades up and consequently, the price of such a trade, giving it a fair value. 'the invisible hand' fairly values things in the NFL just as well as it does in any market.

"Mike Evans has the best hands I've seen since Calvin Johnson." Gil Brandt

being an NFL GM is simply a unique form of investment (asset management) where the GM's assets under management are his available salary cap. if it is in fact the case that winning with an elite quarterback is overly difficult because of an oversized quarterback contracts, then this simply means that these quarterbacks are being overvalued. if this is the case, then economic forces ('the invisible hand') will slowly correct this over-valuation (a downward correction in quarterback salaries), in other words: the league will take notice of these observations and adjust the magnitude of elite quarterback contracts accordingly so that they better reflect the actual value of the quarterback. the teams that win do so in two ways: 1) by evaluating talent better than other teams 2) by being ahead-of-the-curve on the previously discussed trends, i.e. realizing that quarterbacks are over-valued and, say, corner-backs are under-valued before other teams make this realization, then acting on this realization by stocking up on undervalued cornerbacks (LOB) and acquiring a lower-tier quarterback (russell wilson) (of course other factors come in to play: how attractive is the teams location/current roster to free agents, hometown discounts, even luck, etc..)

if the FO truly believes that EJ has a > 70% chance of becoming our franchise guy then i do not believe that they should draft a qb at 1. (football success is a probability, and i think ~70% is about the threshold that i'm comfortable with.) our FO got woods right, got kiko right, got FA 2013 right, got gilmore and glenn right, and im starting to trust them, so i'm willing to go along with their assessment of EJ. that said, i really hate the idea of passing on bridgewater. i watch a fair amount of college football and i think this guy is a lot more of a sure thing than he's getting credit for in the media right now. i challenge you to find one game from the last two years that makes your nervous about drafting him. maybe it's because of the style of quarterbacks i've seen fail in a bills uniform, but i have more of an affinity for the guys who win by making the right decisions and are comfortable in a muddy pocket than i do for the guys drafted for their physical upside or arm talent. when you read criticisms of bridgewater what are the real reasons given for the authors doubt... that he doesn't 'look like' a quarterback (too skinny)? wilson and brady should have taught you better than that. that he had a subpar pro-day? funny how everyone says pro days don't mean sh*t until a prospect's pro-day performance fits their argument. im starting to get the suspicion that bridgewater is being undersold for two reasons: 1) he's gotten 'boring' because he has been in the conversation for so long, and everyone's just overexcited by new, trendy prospects like bortles 2) 'pocket-passer racism' - that scouts are only comfortable with black quarterbacks when they're five star athletes who they can label as 'mobile' and both of those reason are entirely illegitimate.