Jump to content

BillsFan130

Community Member
  • Posts

    11,839
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by BillsFan130

  1. Just now, ProcessTheTrust said:

    My Pats hate is #1 due to the more recent history, but the old Fish hate is still there! All hate set aside, I can't see any good reason to root for Miami tonight. Logically, it makes sense for the Fish to get all but knocked out of the hunt tonight.

    I agree, it would be better for the Pats to win. The winner of the Pats Steelers game next week is going to get home field throughout the playoffs, so even if NE loses tonight it really won't mean that much. Just makes more sense for the dolphins to lose

  2. 29 minutes ago, ExiledInIllinois said:

    Okay.  Put it this way.  Why would you let everything ride on one play?

     

    Because you are in control of that play?

     

    Why not give yourself more plays to control your destiny?  Even if that means being on D.

     

    That is what a snow game brings to the table more often.

     

    He let go.  It was gutsy but he did it!

    Man everything wasn't riding on that one play lol. You are making it sound like it was 4th and 10 from their own 20.

     

    It was 4th and 1 from the Colts 40. If they don't get it, stop the colts and you still get the ball back at the 20 yard line with plenty of time... It really wasn't that big of a risk to go for it

  3. 4 minutes ago, ExiledInIllinois said:

    75% in conditions like this?

     

    I put it at winning 75% in these conditions.

     

    Can't worry about the tie.  So be that.

    What do you mean don;t worry about the tie?

     

    You understand that if they tied, they would basically be eliminated. Right? That's the main thing I think you are missing here. If the tie helps them then yes punting is smart. But the tie is virtually the same as a loss

  4. Just now, ExiledInIllinois said:

    And this decision today was brilliant. It won the game.  

    Lol We'll agree to disagree. I think the bills lose or tie that game 75 percent of the time if he punts. Today, the 25 percent went their way. Doesn't mean it's the right decision to me.

     

    But like I said, we'll agree to disagree

  5. 6 minutes ago, Bills Pimpin' said:

    No. But McD knew the QB was Brisset. You think he would have punted if it was Tom Brady? In fact it was Hilton that made the play or it was pick 6 for White.

     

    Possibly. He's a very conservative coach. 

    And even if it is Brissett. That was the easiest pitch and catch ever. McD got very lucky today

  6. 2 minutes ago, Bills Pimpin' said:

    No...I agree if the Bills get in field goal range, I would venture to say the 20 and they make it, the colts don't score. But I think the he thought with the weather and the situation called for a punt and defense. With the way the game played out he in turn made the correct decision.

    If Brissett hits a wide open Ty Hilton on 2nd and 10 would you be saying the same thing?

  7. 1 minute ago, Bills Pimpin' said:

    They had to score a touchdown dude. Do you not know the rules?

    I'm well aware of the rules bud. You were so confident the defence was going to stop them after the punt, so if the bills got a field goal in that situation, I'm sure you would agree it would be almost impossible for the Colts to get 3 points back... Right?

  8. 1 minute ago, Lfod said:

    Harder to say it was an incorrect decision when they win the game. I wanted them to punt too but would not advocate that hard for it after a win. Yes I think the outcome should factor in on the judgement of calls a coach makes.

    I don't. I think they got very very lucky on multiple plays. 

     

    Getting one yard on 4th and 1 and then picking up another first down to set yourself up in field goal range seems a lot more realistic with less factors involved to win. Opposed to you know,.. stopping the other team and then completing a hail Mary with your 3rd string quarterback to 4th receiver in a massive Snow storm...

  9. Just now, dubs said:

     

     

    Well, it’s certainly more important of a factor than highly questionable projections or gut feelings or what Mike Schoop and the Browns would do. 

    Put it this way. I strongly disagree with the decision to punt. And that has nothing to do with the odds ESPN had or whatever.

     

    If you agree with it then that's your opinion and fair enough.

     

    But don't say it was the correct decision just because they won the game..

  10. Just now, dubs said:

     

    Poker hands can project odds because of the limited number of cards. This situation was unlike anything so I’m not sure your metaphor is really applicable. 

    You're missing the point bud. I'm saying just because they won the game, doesn't mean it was the correct decision

  11. 16 minutes ago, dubs said:

     

    You have no idea what you’re talking about. You’re assuming things with no facts to back it up. 

     

    But since you said it I will ask. What were the odds for each decision at that moment, in those conditions, with those players, at that point in OT?  

     

    McD made a call and it worked, that’s all that matters and all he should be judged on.  The rest is total conjecture based on assumptions that have no basis in fact and certainly not facts for the exact situation. 

     

     

     

     

    I went all in with pocket 2's in poker and the guy had pocket aces. I won even though the odds weren't on my side. Does that make my decision correct?

    • Like (+1) 1
  12. 4 minutes ago, ExiledInIllinois said:

    Simple, they go for it. Odds are bad they ppound it through.  Better odds punting deep.  Worrying about tie, not an issue.  You worry about game being played first.

    Because they would have to have had a TD... And that was 1/2 a snow covered field away.

    No they would have most likely only needed another 20 yards and a field goal pretty much would have won the game.

     

    That to me has a 10 times better chance to Win opposing to stopping the Colts and going roughly 50 yards with a 3rd string QB... I really don't get how people disagree with that.

     

  13. 1 minute ago, ExiledInIllinois said:

    14 points were scored the whole game.

     

    People's risk assessment is really screwed.  No way they are going 90 yards.  A kick then wins it for BFLo.  Sure, a kick wins it for Indy.  But, no way they even go 70 yards in that quagmire.  

    They didn't need to go 90 yards. They needed 2 first downs and the Bills season would have been over. 

     

    If Brissett hits Hilton who is wide open, the Bills would have all been eliminated from the playoffs today.

     

    That's literally how close they were from being eliminated

×
×
  • Create New...