I won 12 on my pick 'em in the first week (Bills were my upset). I have the Bills winning this week. I do not see it being close.
Denver is horrid and almost took Oakland at home. Campbell is an awful QB and Denver's days of run stopping are down. Basically, the Broncos are a mess and sliding down.
Bills look to be improving and going up. Let's look at their defense:
DL: This unit is their core. Kelly and Seymour are just beasts and the ends are good compliments.
LB: Now they are starting to get weaker. That LB corp is average-to-good, the exception being pass rusher Wimbley. Screens are good to get passed the pass rush and Jackson is a good receiving HB.
DB: I consider this the weakest part of their defense. Very young, very raw and not too deep. Patience and timing will allow the Bills receivers to open up against them. This might be a game where Nelson and Chandler (holy crap. . .I mentioned a TE in the Bills offense) could do well.
Let's look at their offense:
QB: Campbell? You're kidding, right?
HB: More than solid, but also bruising. This part scares me completely, but again, if Charles can be shut down, so can McFadden.
WR/TE: There is NOTHING here that scares me. Their receivers are average at best. . .their QB is G-d awful and with no run, there is no pass with Oakland. Just like Chiefs.
OL: Good, solid line that protects well.
Comparisons:
QB: Bills edge (I'll take Fitz over Campbell once a day and twice on sundays)
HB: Even (both are about the same, except Spiller is more of a speed back and Bush is more power)
WR: Bills edge (I smell a big day for Nelson and Stevie)
TE: Slight Bills edge (if Chandler wasn't a fluke)
OL: Raiders edge (I still do not have faith in our line completely)
DL: Even (yes, our DL has improved that much with Dareus and Williams)
LB: Bills edge (Barnett is a major improvement and I believe we will see more of Davis and Morrison this week)
DB: Bills edge (McFumbles, Williams, Florence, Wilson, Byrd, Scott and Corner{?} are a bit better than the Raiders
K: Raiders BIG edge (never been a Lindell fan)
P: Bills BIG edge (Moorman should have his number retired)
Bills edge: 6
Raiders edge: 2
Even: 1
On paper, this should be a major blow out at home. Bills are favored -3 and the over/under is 43.
Bills to win and beat the spread. I'd go for the under.
Final score: 31 - 10 Buffalo