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strive_for_five_guy

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Posts posted by strive_for_five_guy

  1. The real problem with the Bills is that you don't come to Buffalo to win. Winners don't seem to want to go to Buffalo. Example, Mario Williams. He came here to be financially secure for his family and 8 generations of family from now. If you are interested in winning, you go to a team that has a winning culture like New England.

    So how does Pegula change this?

  2.  

     

    Yes. That was cold...even for a fridge.

     

    As for the playoffs, I'm still hoping... but we do need Pitt to fall on their collective faces and the Jets to find another loss besides the Bills. The path is dark but not impossible. The Mularkey Bills that got crushed by Pittsburgh should have never had a shot at the playoffs (in the last game). The odds were very, very long but all the stars lined up over the last few weeks. Too bad the Bills blew it.

    If you believe in the NFL fix theory, the stars will align so that Week 17 Bills Jets means something and the game will get flexed. So many storylines for the NFL in that scenario.

  3. I went and set the criteria to win %age (I feel it's the most accurate)...

     

    Assuming the Bills win out (I know, I know), here's what we need:

     

    Denver over Pittsburgh in Week 15

    Pittsburgh to lose one of their two final road games (at Baltimore in Week 16 or at Cleveland in Week 17).

     

    So basically PIttsburgh-Denver is the big game other than Buffalo-Washington this week.

    The playoff machine seems wrong. How do we beat Steelers in common games in that scenario? They are 2-3

    and we are 1-4 (NE, CIN, IND, KC)....

     

    Never mind, looks like we would have a better conference record there. Answered my own question....

  4. Here's the rule:

     

    As far as I can tell, what's happened is this: coaches like Chip Kelly coach their offensive lineman "within two and one half positions" of the defender who jumps to fake an "immediate reaction" that is "against impending contact." It's like flopping in the NBA or in soccer. This is the kind of penalty call that kills the flow of the game. For decades a defender who jumped (and didn't make contact) had a chance to get back behind the line of scrimmage before the ball was snapped. Smart QBs could sometimes call for the snap before the defender got back -- the result was a free play and a guaranteed 5 yard penalty, but it didn't require faking anything. The remedy: just don't call the neutral zone infraction. Call the offensive lineman for a false start instead unless the O lineman's action was immediate (not the delayed "acting" reactions we're seeing) and was reasonably caused to protect himself "against impending contact."

    Or just don't go in the neutral zone prior to the snap

  5. Well that didn't quite work out.

     

    I still believe we would be a team nobody would want to face in the playoffs, but that doesn't really matter now since we'll never know.

     

    Another disappointing season effectively ended today. Here's looking forward to April even I will once again start to believe we have what it takes to win it all.

    I think you would have been right 😉

  6. Pre-meditated storming the field or court is just wrong. Let it happen organically. In the right mixture of emotion and alcohol (emphasis on the alcohol) sometimes things just happen and its f@$#ing special. But you god-damned millenials have turned once recklessly proud traditions into Hallmark, plastic wrapped, single serving bastardizations of our finest moments. Organized campaigns to storm the field are just perverse. I know your generation grew up with mandated play dates where you were bubble wrapped and braided each others hair for exactly 45 minutes under constant supervision but REAL life isn't scripted. No one plans to dizzybat face-plant into a bus, or get caught fornicating between two Chevelles, or get recorded blasting lines off a chunky girls lap in the 300 section but when you're open minded, in the moment and fantastically drunk, sometimes the magic finds you.

    As a millennial burdened by the societal debts of prior generations, who says planning ahead is such a bad thing?

  7. Yeah, it is curious, but I will trust that the coaches know better than me.

     

    I think the bigger mystery is Mills versus Henderson? It sure seems that Mills was more productive, but it was one game. I've read mixed reports on who would be starting, any word today?

    I hope there is something with Mills there. Got the Miller/Mills connection on the right side!

  8. I've read numerous articles about the players beginning to adapt to Rex's defense. I still feel a little suspect after the Texans game, but wonder if they can put it together for the stretch run. Getting Aaron Williams back would be sweet.

     

    But I still feel that we don't play our DE's wide enough to get heat on the QB. Watching Freeney tonight and seeing Denver, Seattle and Arizona line the DE's wider and get heat on the QB makes me wonder if Rex's scheme will work.

     

    Granted better linebacking will help but Bradham and Preston both seemed to regress in this scheme. Lawson hasn't had much impact and Mario is in a bad cycle too. Overhauling personnel that gave us such a fierce defense last year seems wrong, so what do you think we should do on D?

     

    On offense, we seem to be getting better and keeping the line intact with a new RT and a solid #2 WR and #2 QB could build some serious continuity for the future. I say bring in Kapernick and let the best man win. I am currently sold on Tyrod. I think when he is used properly, he can win.

     

    Special teams may need a new kicker and returner, love Colton, he is the man. Overall, if Rex can coach better we should be able to be a competitive playoff caliber team for 3-5 years and hopefully more. I also think Whaley's done enough to deserve another year. Rex however, gets next year. This team should be 8-4 at the worst and in the drivers seat for the WC.

     

    I place the blame for this on Rex with a little help from the Refs. Overall, I think we can be headed in the right direction if the coaches can get it together.

     

    Top needs:

    RT

    LB

    DT

    #2 WR

    #2 QB

     

    Time to ground them Eagles! Go Bills!

     

    BUffalo-Bills-Fans.jpg

     

     

    LB and #2 WR is where I would focus most. The most dangerous offenses in the league tend to have at least two WR threats. For LBs, I think we need some depth plus a guy that wreak some of the havoc that Rex's defenses are known for.

  9. With how healthy and disciplined this team is, I can totally see 8 wins in a row to make the SB.

    Hahaha lmfao

    This thread is going into the database for later use.

     

    Ballsy call. Unlikely. Whatever. Still Ballsy.

     

    But...let's be objective for a sec. The 57% point was my first thought, but I see somebody already posted it.

     

    My second is: of the likely playoff teams, I don't see very many tough places to play a road playoff game...other than KC and Pittsburgh. I saw the Pats fans get silencioed by the Eagles. No big rally from them, like there would be at our place, if we were in the same spot(yet more evidence of "bandwagon"/it's back to the suck when Brady leaves). Denver? Not really. Colts? :lol: Jets are no different than the Pats. Get them down, they sit down, and they don't get back up. Texans? See: Colts. Christ, I bet the Jags have a tougher home crowd than all of these teams.

     

    If by some miracle the Raiders were to get in, then we'd be talking...but...that means KC doesn't get in. Also, if we are in, then either KC or Pittsburgh is out. Thus, together they only count as one(1).

     

    So, besides KC/Pittsburgh(you want to add Denver go ahead, but I don't see it), it's not like home field is really an advantage for most of these teams. If they make it, one of these teams will be the other WC, so we wouldn't see them until the Championship game, and would only play at their place if we are #6.

     

    Still not convinced? Reverse the roles: what wouldn't a team do to avoid having to play a playoff game in Buffalo? That would be a very short list, because they'd do just about anything.

    If we do get in, it will probably be opposite KC. This would mean we wouldn't have to play them until the AFC championship. This assumes several unlikely events occur, so most likely don't have to worry about playing at KC in the playoffs.

  10. I know 5 in a row is unlikely, but not impossible. You have to look at who they played, and what were the injuries. These are three upcoming weak teams. They can beat us any week, but we certainly can match up well against each one of them. The most dangerous game to me is Washington. They play well at home, and look better than Philly and Dallas.

    .

     

    Yea it's possible they win out. If you give them a 60% chance to win in each of their last 4 games (which may be optimistic in some cases, pessimistic in others), then the chance of winning all four is roughly 13% (.6 ^ 4). The chance of winning 3 of 4 would be 35% ((.6 ^ 3 * .4 ) * 4). That leaves a 52% chance the Bills win two or less, which would most likely not be good enough to make playoffs. Obviously depending on what odds you give the Bills in each individual game, the combined odds would differ.

  11.  

    Except that these Bills haven't won 3 in a row all season, and have only one set of back to back victories.

     

    4 wins in a row from a team that's as inconsistent as these Bills, against teams still in the playoff race, seems very unlikely

    Agree, Bills haven't won 5 in a row since 2004, so I wouldn't bank on them winning out. Losing one is best case scenario IMO.

  12. What some people fail to realize is that the Texans and the Raiders and really the Jets for that matter, don't really matter that much at this point. If we are in a position where we have the same record as the Texans, we're not making the playoffs anyway. Same goes for the Raiders. Even if we go 3-1, either of those teams would have to go 4-0 to pass us. Not happening. The Bills need to win out and get one loss from the Steelers or lose one NFC East game and get two losses from the Steelers plus one more from the Jets. And to the person who said, "can you really picture the Chiefs winning out..." Yes, I can. They are really good. I think they'll lose one but it would take them losing two AND us winning out for us to pass them. Not happening either. It's all about beating the Eagles and rooting for Cincinnati to get that one Steelers loss out of the way. It's actually simpler than it sounds. Yes, Jets loss would be nice but we'll get our shot at them regardless.

    If the Steelers can lose to the Bengals, Bills win 2 of next 3 and Jets lose 1 of next three, it's almost impossible for the Bills to be mathematically eliminated headed into Week 17.

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