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The Wiz

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Posts posted by The Wiz

  1. Yes, the Bills are worth more in a bigger city. But so would the Chiefs, Saints, Vikings, Bengals, Browns, etc, every team in a city that isn't NY, Chicago or L.A. If Jerruh wants the pie bigger then how about moving every NFL franchise to the top 10 markets? I'm sure Jerruh won't mind 3 more teams in Dallas. After all, it makes the pie bigger.

     

    PTR

    Would definitely make the fan rivalries interesting.

  2. I haven't seen it mentioned in any article yet. If they are going to have a bank soon to do the vetting process, then they must already know who is and is not going to bid for the team. Toronto being so quiet makes me nervous.

    Silence is golden?

    No news is good news?

    When the rosters are crowing and the cows are spinning circles in the pasture?

  3. If Canada gets a team they will be renegotiating that deal for sure. They will have the same schedule (if they don't already) as the US. They will be selling the Thursday Night, Sunday night, Monday Night, Sundays, etc...

    They already have NFL Network and RedZone as well. But no ESPN. But you are right, with the addition of a team in Canada the NFL would be looking to add missing games and renegotiate the existing deals.

    I remember reading somewhere before that currently the Canadian TV market does not factor into the current US TV market/viewing polls/ratings/etc for the NFL. so it would only make sense to have it changed.

     

    I would be curious to see the TV ratings in Canada (Toronto area) for Bills games.

  4. On the revenue comment, it would be nice, real nice if he cited a source.

     

    One detail that some may be overlooking is that Ralph set up both his wife and niece as half of the four-person trust. I highly doubt that Ralph would risk putting his closest family in the crosshairs of Buffalo fans, therefore it says to me that the trust is empowered to find the best local owner for the team. A local owner acceptable to Ralph's trust + a new stadium commitment should = Bills in Buffalo for the next generation.

    I think he is referring per capita. Bills are 29th-30th in revenue annually according to forbes but they also pull in the 3rd most money per fan.

     

    http://www.bizjournals.com/buffalo/blog/playbook/2012/09/what-forbes-doesnt-tell-you-about-the.html?page=all

  5. I didn't hear it but I worked on the sale of an NBA team twice. It was a pretty wild (and grueling experience). The whole thing boiled down to 2 things really: long term lease & raise the revenues. The Bills situation is a little different but not entirely. The thing that isn't being factored in on the national level enough are the provisions in the lease and non relocation agreement (think that's what it's called). The Bills and NY have stacked the deck against the out of towners. It doesn't mean that it is impossible but it isn't a fair fight either.

    Those are two of things he kept saying as well. Raising the revenues is an interesting thing because he talked about how in the Toronto market you have a better chance of selling advertising and luxury boxes and then dismissed the idea of a new stadium in buffalo as a "novelty" period. I get that you would raise revenue with advertising and luxury boxes but moving the team to toronto in the first place would have a "novelty" period and if the team didn't improve it would end up being similar to the Jags stadium after 5 weeks into the season (more empty seat than filled). I also wonder what the impact would be on TV rights since it would be outside of the US.

  6. They have access to that information but at this point in the process haven't spent much time on it. His philosophy (and all owners) is self serving. What will Buffalo contribute to the league with a new stadium? What would Toronto contribute with a new stadium? What is the delta? Is that delta worth the risk of the ill will created amongst fans, threat of pulling the antitrust exemption, unknown of the Toronto market and the strength of owners looking to keep the team vs. the Toronto group? These are the factors that will be weighed in terms of whom each owner would want. At the end of the day though it is completely out of their hands. The only say that they have is to declare the owner selected by the 4 person panel as a worth candidate for NFL ownership. The people with the real information at this point are the candidates doing their due diligence. They are reviewing the lease, concession agreements, renewal rates, sponsorship deals on the table, current sponsorships, business plans, revenue projections, ticket sales, staff costs, tax breaks, etc...

    I don't know if you had a chance to listen to WGR this morning but they had a "stadium analyst" on and the guy basically rattle off most of the things you are referring to. Also said if the stadium committee did their due diligence the team has no right to be in Buffalo and should be in Toronto regardless of the owner. Then I stopped listening because he was comparing the team now being worth ~1 billion and could be worth almost 1.5 in Toronto.

     

    This guy: http://www.wgr550.com/Sports-Economist-is-not-optimistic-about-the-Bills/19045887

  7. I dropped a good friend off at the airport today. He is going out to Vegas for a business trip for 4 days but is going to only have 1 day worth of work. On his departure I gave him $5.00 to put on the Bills to win the Superbowl this year. NOW... before you all go crazy calling me names and making fun I am a realist that the odds they have on the Bills to win it at 75 to 1 (only the Raiders and Jags were worse at 100 to 1) I told him that I know you might as well light that $5.00 bill on fire right now since those odds are pretty realistic. The moral of the story is that if you call yourself a Bills fan, you make that bet even if it means $5.00 less in your pocket is almost as much of a sure thing as the national debt increasing from 2014 to 2015. And hey, if lightning strikes I'll be $375 richer! GO BILLS!

    75 to 1? My boss is there right now and told me they have the bills winning the SB at 200 to 1. I believe he's at New York, New York.

  8. I think Buffalo is catching up to the curve and helping to defining a new one at the same time. They doubled-down on EJ and drafted an amazing receiver (catching up to the curve). At the same time, they grabbed some big bodies to help out with pass protection and likely getting FJ/CJ room to run. With the amount that we ran last year (albeit because we had a rookie QB, 2nd and 3rd string QB playing) they are looking to make it a more balanced offense of run and pass plays.

     

    We've seen teams heavily favor the run (Bills, Vikings) and other that are balancing run/pass (Chiefs, Saints). The interesting stat to point out is the teams that are heavy on the pass and are successful with it, don't need to rely on the run but the teams that run a lot also pass a lot. There is no run heavy team that doesn't need to rely on the passing game. Common sense I know but the scale does tend to tip in favor of a pass happy team.

     

    The best example I can offer is the Chiefs. They were set at the running game 2 years ago but had Matt Cassel at QB. In comes Alex Smith in 2013 and the team went from 2-14 to 11-5. I know 2012 was a woeful year for the Chiefs with injuries to key players but it helps me prove my point so I'm sticking to it.

  9. Well I believe Cleveland franchise sold for 1 billion, so 700 million is way less than "a bit below" the Cleveland deal. Since Ralph threw this out to highest bidder, if a new owner committed to keeping the Bills in WNY is not willing to pay that price, we are out of luck. That was my point. And I am always surprised that people continually speculate that Ralph may have expressed "private thoughts" to people that he had a preference Bills be kept in Buffalo - that's wishful thinking. The actual fact is he had plenty of time to fashion a very simple, non binding preference that Bills be kept in Buffalo - he chose not to.

    I'm surprised you haven't found the return key yet considering your long posts.

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