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CodeMonkey

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Everything posted by CodeMonkey

  1. CBS with Spread (Bills +6) : All 8 take the Pats. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/8) CBS Straight Up: All 8 take the Pats. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/8) ESPN: 8 and Pick'em take the Pats and 1 Bills. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Went 7-8 week 7. Bills 47% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight:. Went 8-7 week 7. Bills 48% chance of winning. ELO point spread 0.5. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos: Went 67% week 7 (and called the Bills game correctly). Bills 51% chance of winning. (http://trevorbischoff.com/2016-amos-nfl-predictions/) FiveThirtyEight has the Bills 2nd in the AFCE with a record of 9-7 (Pats 12-4) and a 50% chance of making the playoffs Amos has the Bills in 2nd in the AFCE behind the Pats with a record of 10-6.
  2. It was a clean hit with his shoulder. Sucks that it happened and sucks more that it was on Williams. But it was clean.
  3. It picked the Bills last week and by more than the other models. It also kicked the crap out of the other models getting 80% last week as well. We'll see!
  4. CBS with Spread (Bills -3) : 5 Bills and 3 Fish. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/7) CBS Straight Up: 7 Bills and 1 Fish. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/7) ESPN: 6 and PickEm take the Bills and 3 take the Fish. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Went 8-7 week 6. Bills 66% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight:. Went 9-5 week 6 with one no-pick. Bills 64% chance of winning. ELO point spread 4. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos: Went 80% week 6. Bills 44% chance of winning. (http://trevorbischoff.com/2016-amos-nfl-predictions/) USA Today - Jeff Sagarin: Bills are a 4.66 point favorite. (http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm) FiveThirtyEight has the Bills 2nd in the AFCE with a record of 10-6 (Pats 11-5) and a 72% chance of making the playoffs Amos has the Bills tied for first with the Pats in the AFCE with a record of 10-6.
  5. Shady, Shady, Shady and Chip Kelly. Chip's play calling was superb today, for the Bills
  6. Chip sucked today to be sure. How many runs up the gut for no gain or maybe a yard? Several after checking off and everyone getting the play from the sideline. I was laughing my ass off.
  7. Added most of ESPN, Updated Amos and added the Amos season prediction for the Bills.
  8. I doubt it. They beat the Cards who turned out to be a pretender. The Pats with a rookie 3rd string QB with a injured throwing hand, and a Rams team that I don't think even knows who or what they are yet and had been lucky until then. All wins are good wins, but given who they beat and the fact that it is at the Ralph they won't be overlooking the Niners, with or without mega-fro Kaep.
  9. CBS with Spread (Bills -7.5 ) : 5 Bills and 3 Niners. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/6) CBS Straight Up: All 8 Bills. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/6) ESPN: All 9 and Pickem Bills.. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Went 8-6 week 5. Bills 83% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight:. Went 8-6 week 5. Bills 81% chance of winning. ELO point spread 10. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos: 43% week 5. Bills 85% chance of winning. (http://trevorbischoff.com/2016-amos-nfl-predictions/) USA Today - Jeff Sagarin: Bills are a 9.63 point favorite. (http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm) FiveThirtyEight has the Bills 2nd in the AFCE with a record of 10-6 (Pats 11-5) and a 65% chance of making the playoffs Amos has the Bills tied for first with the Pats in the AFCE with a record of 10-6.
  10. Create rows in the standing sections with railings. That would be the same as seats in the sections where people stand all game already.
  11. I wish I knew. It is very far off from all the other models as well as the humans.
  12. The Amos model seems to be extremely aggressive this year and weights the most recent game very heavily. Since the Pats got shut out by the Bills and sucked in pretty much every category doing so, it's giving Cleveland the nod this week, Also, it has no concept of individual players so it does not know of Tom Terrifics return.
  13. CBS with Spread (Bills +2.5 ) : 4 Bills and 4 Rams. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/5) CBS Straight Up: 3 Bills and 5 Rams. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/5) ESPN: 4 Bills and 5 and Pick Em Rams. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Went 7-8 week 4. Bills 48% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight:. Went 7-8 week 4. Bills 46% chance of winning. ELO point spread 1. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos: 6-9 week 4. Bills 7% chance of winning (Yikes!) (http://trevorbischoff.com/tag/prediction/) USA Today - Jeff Sagarin: Rams are a 0,5 point favorite. (http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm) FiveThirtyEight has the Bills 2nd in the AFCE with a record of 9-7 and a 47% chance of making the playoffs
  14. !@#$, I would too. I have to admit, I loved this yesterday. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wyhjUFcXgo0
  15. My brother was a fisherman and Bass Pro was his favorite place to go hang out. If you aren't a fisherman it tends to get old real quick.
  16. Yeah it makes you wonder how any spot fairly out in the open like that could be that far off. Good thing was, it was SO bad that it was an easy call for Rex to challenge,
  17. Every win is good, every win against the Pats is great by definition. But lets try and not get too far ahead of ourselves. The offense got one TD and 3 FGs. The defense shut out a Pats offense with a gimpy Gronk playing in his first game of the season, and a rookie 3rd string QB with an injury on his throwing hand playing in the second game of his career. Plus the zebras were favoring the Bills for some strange surreal reason and everything was going the Bills way (example being in the TD drive I believe two consecutive passes were tipped at the line and still went right to the Bills receiver, as the TV announcer said when it's your day, it's your day). So long story short, enjoy the win, Bills nation. It is certainly a particularly sweet one. But this team still has a long way to go before TBD gets a block of tickets for the superbowl It certainly was, but it was a Rex coached team move. The Fivethirtyeight model shows the Bills have a 46% chance of beating LA next week, But the model hasn't recalculated using yesterdays games yet. I suspect that will change
  18. Not terribly amazing. The same thing happens here after every loss.
  19. And that's exactly the point, the evil hoodie isn't like Rex at all. Polar opposites in fact which is why if Edleman starts the Bills have a very good chance of stealing that game.
  20. Vegas is not a good way to gauge who they think is going to win IMO. They are trying to figure out who the betting public is going to support and adjust the odds to try and balance it out.
  21. Yes it's an imperfect world. And the Bills need every stubborn old bastard fan they can get. Maybe a seat in the 200's is the [albeit expensive] answer? I suspect they don't stand all game in there.
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