CodeMonkey

Well, that's what the majority of the human "experts" and all of the models seem to think anyway.

All the models are in. Most of the humans as well.

Everything seems to go their way because of far better coaching, one of the best if not the best QB of all time, far better front office, and better players in general (due largely to the FO). It sucks, but NE is just the better team in every way except for fan base (I mean, how many teams have a fan throw a dildo onto the field or body slam other fans through flaming tables, of drink alcohol out of a girls ... well, you know! Or continue to buy season tickets and merch when the team has sucked for most of their lives? ). Noone without their Bills homer glasses on expected anything different. It is what it is, on to the Seahawks.

With a healthy Shady I'd tend to agree with you.

In Seattle, in prime time, it's hard for me to disagree unfortunately.

Yeah but the hawks have a pretty good defense too. I see like a 10-3 type of game.

Have you guys met?

That's a lot of points for 2 teams with no offense,

Not just inaccurate, but bad decisions. He throws to receivers that have a freight train heading their way far too often. Reference 4: Bush is returning kicks because the Bills can't afford to get any more WRs or RBs hurt.

CBS with Spread (Bills +7): Seattle 5 and Bills 3. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/9) CBS Straight Up: Seattle 6 and Bills 1 with 1 not in yet.. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/9) ESPN: Seattle 7 and Bills 0 with 2 not in yet.. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Went 8-5 (tie counted as a loss) week 8. Bills 45% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight:. Went 9-4 (tie counted as a loss) week 8. Bills 31% chance of winning (but, gave Seattle a 70% chance of beating NO this past Sunday). ELO point spread 5.5. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos: Went 31% week 8. Bills 45% chance of winning. (http://trevorbischoff.com/2016-amos-nfl-predictions/) FiveThirtyEight has the Bills 2nd in the AFCE with a record of 9-7 (Pats 13-3) and a 31% chance of making the playoffs Amos has the Bills in 2nd in the AFCE behind the Pats with a record of 8-8 (Pats 12-4).

Low scoring really bad game to watch. 10-3, either team could get the W. Depends on who gets the break that leads to the TD.

No chance in my opinion. The Bills need to decide if they want to pay TT 27 mil for 3 years after this season or move on. Plus Rex is still in fear of his job so he will try and get to at least 8-8 if at all possible.

Actually I have hope against Seattle. Their defense is pretty good but their offense really sucks. I expect a really boring game, like 10-3. But the Bills could get the W, particularly if Shady magically heals before then.

Big fan of Greggy and all the bounty BS were you?

The players came out and said they couldn't win? I've never seen that before.

Shady is the offense. What's Lynn going to call without him that will be effective? He was under that same restriction last week.

I always chuckle at this. Have you seen a professional sports team where the players didn't believe they can win?

I think Shady would be 1A in your scenario, but I can see the other way as well. Look at the difference between the first half last week with Shady and the 2nd half without if you want to see what difference he makes. Shady was in last week, but also a good point that he was not himself in the first half and missed pretty much the entire second half.

Shady isn't the Bills best player in your opinion?

What's weird about that? Vegas adjusts to keep the betting fairly even. Just means John Q. Betting Public was betting on the Bills a little more than expected.

Lots of other threads about this, have a look. But make sure you dress warm and prepare for rain

Yeah that's the big weakness for the data driven models in a sport like football in particular where injuries are common and one player can make a HUGE difference. Plus such a short season.

No.

What do you mean, this says the IS hope! Amos: Went 67% week 7 (and called the Bills game correctly). Bills 51% chance of winning

Yeah I have to believe the models are still biased by the NE data without Brady.