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All_Pro_Bills

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Everything posted by All_Pro_Bills

  1. I saw the post and thought today was April 1st. Funny..
  2. To me its more of a read and recognition issue than accuracy. If you're not mentally processing the options available to distribute the ball to the receivers and select an option with the best potential for a positive play then you're going to select a receiver that might not be open or the best choice which makes the throw a lot harder. Short version, make the smart throw.
  3. I'm more interested to know who tests positive for antibodies since a large percentage of the population has been infected and isn't even aware of it because they never felt sick.
  4. The NBA roster size is small compared to an NFL training camp roster of some 90 players. So any plan is more manageable. The NFL plan should include developing a detailed understanding of current treatment and testing options and what treatment and testing options are expected to be available by September. This and developing a customized and personal risk assessment for each player, coach, training staff, and other team personnel. So they can understand each person's specific risks of getting infected and the potential for serious illness since not everyone is going to feel sick and very few will have a high chance of dying.
  5. The problems with the Sabres is they make bad trades, don't draft well past the obvious picks, sign expensive and unproductive free agents, and hire the wrong people. The team has no identity and no vision on what kind of style or image they want to communicate. When you think of Sabres what image comes to mind? For me its draft lottery. The problems facing the fracking industry were well articulated by many several years ago but ignored. More or less living on borrowed money and not generating enough income to service the loans, energy in greater than energy out, and very high depletion rates which required more and more drilling to just keep pace while seeing lower flow and production rates from new wells as fields got played out.
  6. Your insights on the virus are headed in the right direction. The thing most people don't seem to understand is the risk of getting infected is distributed fairly evenly across the population but the risks of getting severely sick or dying are not. The risks of a severe case or dying are generally concentrated in older people and those that have conditions that impact their immune systems ability to fight the virus. This leads to a serious immune system response called 'cytokine storm'. This is why the virus is dangerous. Do we see cases of "healthy" young people getting very sick? Yes we do but its a rare situation and it's possible they have some undiagnosed condition they're not aware of. The key thing going forward is clearly identifying "high risk" individuals and taking actions to protect them or at least minimize their risk of getting infected. And better treatments and testing which are coming soon. A vaccine? I wouldn't count on it anytime soon. There's going to be football this fall. It might require some adjustments but the season will happen.
  7. Its most likely deaths would occur among the coaching staff or other support personnel rather than the players. Fatalities from COVID are skewed towards old patients. My county has report 439 deaths and 97% have been in people over 50. 52% over 80 years of age. And of the 3% under 50 most had other health issues. This is consistent with state-wide data. I haven't analyzed national or international data but my guess is that's consistent too. These young athletes represent one of the most unlikely groups to catch a fatal case of COVID. At most, the majority that test positive might get the same physical impact of a cold or mild flu. Some that test positive may be asymptomatic and not even aware they're infected if not for being tested. Being infected might not even impact their abilities and performance. The issue is the potential to infect others that might be classified as high-risk. Is there a possibility of a fatal case? Yes, but the probability is very low. The fact lost by most people I speak with is the risk of contracting infection is assumed to be evenly (researchers don't know this) distributed across the population but the risk of impact (impact being how sick you might get) from the virus is not evenly distributed across the population. College and professional football players are a very low impact risk group when it comes to severity of illness and deaths. By September we'll see home COVID tests similar to the home pregnancy test. You spit on a stick and wait a couple minutes for the result . Positive or negative. Along with more effective treatments that will dramatically cut the duration of the infection and bring the fatality rate down significantly. A vaccine, that's a long-shot even by this time next year if ever. I say all this as someone that works with health care analytics and data which includes a large amount of information and data on COVID and having done 100's of hours of extensive research on testing, treatment, and vaccine work done by public and private researchers.
  8. I recall Jamal making noise last off-season about wanting out. Maybe this is some annual rant or something. Being down here in "enemy territory" I know a lot of Jets fans. As a group they have a very depressing mental state towards the team. Even more depressing than we Bills fans had at our low points..
  9. Count me among those supporting the players right to protest. I did some investigation on police shooting statistics and this is what I found. Stats on people shot to death by police: 2017 White 457, Black 223, Hispanic 179 2018 White 399, Black 209, Hispanic 148 2019 White 370, Black 235, Hispanic 158 2020 White 172, Black 88, Hispanic 57 We can adjust the number proportionally to population or per capita view but these are the raw numbers. I didn't generate the numbers as they come from a data service called Statista and while I have no reason to suspect the source is unreliable I haven't validated that assumption.
  10. The idea of eliminating traditional police departments and replacing them with some sort of community patrols is an intriguing idea but city officials and people that support the idea are letting their emotions outrun any real thinking about the consequences of making such a change. As every action has a reaction people will evaluate the environment and adjust to the changing situation. If you eliminate the police force then: 1. residents with the ability to leave the city and concerned about their safety will leave the city. 2. businesses with the ability to leave the city and concerned about the safety of their business and their employees will leave the city. 3. insurers will cancel policies or raise premiums as their assessment of risk rises. 4. independent truck drivers and teamsters will refuse to deliver goods inside the city limit because the danger of hijackings and personal injury will increase. (happening already) 5. tax revenues will crash and cities will be forced to cut services and lay off employees. 6. non-residents will avoid the city decreasing business revenue and tax receipts. I could keep going and for reference some or all of these things happened to cities after the 1968 riots and some never recovered.
  11. The Post writer has developed a chronic drinking problem from being stuck at home for the past 12 weeks. I'm bookmarking his prediction with the intent to send it back with a little holiday note at the end of December.
  12. I agree with your take here. I've done a lot of listening and had discussions with people that have views on the issues from one end to the other. All while keeping judgement out of the discussion and respecting everyone's view. I think that's going to be a key thing to finding some solutions that everybody can agree to and that are realistic. Respect and actively listening. At the end of the day I believe I have no right to decide who's right or wrong as you need to walk in somebody else's shoes to get a real taste of life from their perspective. As for the police, I think it boils down to which of these two statements you believe is true or maybe you fall somewhere in between or in the middle. People that support the protests see the police as a tool of state oppression that enforces a formal social order which benefits whites and keeps targeted ethnic, racial, and religious groups from progressing economically, socially, and politically. They see actions by the police as enforcing this social order targeting specific communities and ignoring similar transgressions elsewhere. People that don’t support the protests see the police as a mechanism for enforcing laws and a social order that protects citizens from harm that is caused by other citizens. They see the police actions as responses to crime. They may or may not see situations where bias is involved but they generally feel it is not the primary motivator of law enforcement. One of their dominant themes is that if you don't commit crimes the police won't bother you.
  13. The issue with Cam seems to be his injury history and the inability of team's to have his health evaluated because of the circumstances created by COVID. But as those problems move closer to resolution I could definitely see Newton as a legitimate option for some team seeking QB help.
  14. That's a simple yet fundamental question about what drives human behavior and thinking. I'm going to play the cynic here and rather than say yes or no I suggest people act and behave in a manner that's consistent with whatever they determine is in their best interests. In this case white NFL players that claim they now see the light, were wrong to not see this earlier, and support kneeling for the anthem to protest racism are lying or misrepresenting their motivations. What really happened is circumstances have changed that require them to change their view in order to support their best interests. In this case not being viewed as opposing actions and beliefs held by the majority of their teammates. How would you feel if you had to walk into a work environment every day where you pissed off 70% of your co-workers? Do you really believe all the blood sucking politicians that knelled in the capital were expressing real and genuine support and compassion over the killing of George Floyd and the issues facing African-American communities? The truth is its in their best interests to deceive people into believing that and they could care less about the man and see it as an opportunity to get more votes and support. It really was a nauseating display of patronizing. Or that white liberal academics that are the brains behind Antifa and other leftist causes have any real concern for inner city communities? It's all a ruse to try to wrestle political power from others. They are just using the BLM movement for cover to execute their street level operations (and deflect any blame or negative consequences on them too). If you hated white bikers would you go into a biker bar and shout out "white bikers suck" because you believed it even though you'd get a real ass kicking? I have my doubts. Do you think all the citizens of North Korea really support Kim Un? If they don't they get shot or imprisoned. So they go along with it. So if people are really changing the views, opinions, and beliefs its not out of compassion or desire to help others its because they've evaluated the circumstances and see it in their best interests to alter the views they express (even if they really don't believe it). Humans learn to lie at a young age and we are all very good at it which gives everyone reading my post justifiable cause to believe I'm a liar too!
  15. This isn't another George Floyd killing. That was homicide, murder, or whatever they want to call it. That was clear. The incident in Atlanta was an entirely different situation. Did they have to shoot him? Perhaps no. Did he have to engage in a physical confrontation with the police? Well no to that too. So maybe, just maybe we need to stop making excuses for bad behavior. A balanced view would be looking at both parties and assigning some shared responsibility for the outcome. But right now everybody is automatically inclined to just place 100% of the responsibility on the cops. They didn't stop this guy to hassle him because of his race. They were called to the scene to check on some guy that fell asleep in the drive thru line of a Wendy's and was found to be driving drunk. And what did the crowd that gathered do in response? Well burn down the Wendy's. Simply brilliant.
  16. I did watch the video and am familiar with some of these practices like red-lining and school funding. In reading your story I found some common themes with my life as I also had some issues to work through when I was younger and perhaps got a break from the cops that you didn't get. I also had a strong pair of parents and through listening to stories of others and sharing mine through cultural workshops and events I've come to find that it's a common theme for most people that manage to navigate effectively through life whatever their race, ethnicity, religion, and so on might be. Something to think about, in pursuit finding common ground to discuss and define solutions in an environment of civility, honesty, and respect to move forward. I heard it said once there's three sides to every story, yours, mine, and the truth. So while I agree systemic racism exists to some degree I also believe some of the problems faced by African-American communities are self-inflicted. I'd be interested in hearing some feedback. They are: Crime and violent acts committed by members of the community against other member of the community. A dysfunctional educational system to leaves students without the basic skills needed to start life as young adults. A social services system that fosters dependence and discourages the formation and maintenance of family units. A self-serving political system that provides power, money, and prestige to members of the political class but produces no real benefits to their constituents in the community.
  17. I had an interesting conversation with a successful African-American business person I know about the current state of race relations and one topic was kneeling before the flag. Their views were a lot different from the dominant narrative being played out almost everywhere. And while they would hesitate to say these things publicly for fear of being attacked their insights opened my mind to viewing things from a lot of different angles. Its goes like: "From the perspective of a minority person I think blaming white racism for all the problems faced by African-American people and communities is blacks saying the white man has the power to decide our fate. And the only way things are going to get better for us is if white people become less racist and treat us better. And white people joining in kneeling isn't so much joining us in the fight but rather them giving us their permission to try to improve our conditions. The entire concept ignores the principles of free will & control of your own destiny and replaces that with a mindset of dependence. Other minorities that prosper in America don't have this mindset. Think about that?"
  18. The primary thing you need is to have a good testing protocol in place. There are several approved tests and one is saliva tests that is self-collecting which can be run and while you need a medical device to process the samples I expect each NFL team could afford the cost for that and bringing on a lab tech or two to run the tests. Any player testing positives would be sent home and quarantined. Knowing that players are not positive on a daily basis renders social distancing and mask moot as the reason for those are because we don't know who is positive and who is not. Testing would provide that answer. [edit: discussion of what role Rantes plays and whether it's a suitable diagnostic -> covid19 threads please]
  19. I read this comment in response to an editorial on a news services board earlier. When I read your comment I thought it might be appropriate to paste here. I found it insightful and thought others here might too. "The author obviously thinks racial prejudice is the cause of the police abuses that he described, including ones that he personally suffered. But other than donating money to black organizations and spending money patronizing black owned businesses, all he really prescribes is a combination of going through the motions of pontificating social equality to others while not violating it yourself. I believe that NOTHING he prescribes will be effective to end or substantially reduce the police abuses he described. That is because he falsely believes that racism is the cause of those abuses. Racial bias is undoubtedly often (but not always) the motivation of cops who abuse blacks. But it is not the cause. The cause is that which allows and facilitates cops to act on their racial biases. All the racial bias in the world will not harm a single black person if the biased person does not act on his racial bias. The real cause of the abuse by cops against citizens of all colors (though disproportionately against persons who are black or brown) is that cops are essentially above the law. Cops know they are above the law and thus the only thing that restrains them from acting on their prejudices or any other bad motive is their personal ethics and conscience. Unfortunately, many cops have no personal ethics or conscience. And even the "good" cops who don't themselves abuse citizens nevertheless refuse to report or testify against the cops who do abuse (so, how "good" are they really?). Indeed, they often lie for the abuser cops to protect them. Cops are above the law because: 1) The government has made a different law for police than for all the rest of us, a law which essentially gives them license to abuse and murder citizens simply by mouthing words similar to "I thought he was reaching for a weapon" with no requirement that such a thought was reasonable under the circumstances. 2) Fellow cops lie to cover up for cops who abuse citizens. 3) Supervisors cover up for cops who abuse citizens. 4) Corrupt prosecutors strive to protect bad cops from prosecution rather than to protect the public from bad cops. 5) Timid jurors fear that police forces will retaliate against the public if they convict cops. Nothing will change until cops are made subject to the same laws as the rest of us, and until those laws are enforced against cops who violate them. Even if the laws were thus changed, they will never be enforced if left to local prosecutors to enforce them. Every state should establish a special out-of-town state-level prosecutor office that focuses only on prosecuting cops. You will never get rid of racial prejudice. It has existed since time immemorial nearly everywhere in the world. Trying to change deeply ingrained biases in adults is an angelic pursuit that will prove futile in nearly every attempt. It will be much more effective to focus effort on what people do rather than what they think."
  20. That may be true but that approach doesn't get us any closer to the environment needed for defining constructive solutions to move forward.
  21. Whether or not I agree with Brees is not important. You'd think he's entitled to his own view and to express it. And I'd hope that the people attacking him would have some recognition or self-awareness about their reactions to his statement and perhaps assess their ability for tolerance and understanding. But not so much of that. There doesn't seem to be much room at this time for mutual respect and understanding which could lead to sitting down and discussing grievances and issues in a constructive setting. Very sad.
  22. Interviewing more minority candidates won't do much good if none of them get the job offer. And there's a fine line between offering opportunity and preferential treatment. So the issue is very difficult to address but the theme of the issue is that qualified minority coaches are being overlooked and the head coaching jobs are given to less qualified white candidates. Along with every new head coaching hire I think teams needs to disclose their thought process on selecting their new head coach. And provide detailed explanations about why the other candidates were not selected. Maybe this just stays between the NFL league office and the and the teams ownership? I suggest this because a lot of the head coaching decisions we see are very puzzling. And to this day I'd really like to know the thought process that went behind the Pegula's hiring Rex Ryan. My first question would be, "you beat his Jets team twice last year and scored over 80 points total so what in the world leads you to believe this guys is some kind of defensive genius?" Obviously from the results of his tenure it wasn't a wise choice as is the case with many other team's head coaching hires. So if owners are indeed discriminating and hiring less qualified candidates they only end up hurting the quality of the their team which is counter to what you should be doing here. Or they could simply be inept at managing the hiring process
  23. I was expecting all 16 Bucs games to be TNF, SNF, MNF, or at a minimum the 4 PM national game along a new 24/7 Tom Brady Network with web cams in Brady's home and SUV with special bonus features of him going to the grocery store and kids after school and sports activities so only 5 games is a surprise.
  24. Mr. Shaughnessy is suffering from what is called linear thinking. When some circumstances or conditions occur with regularity over a long period of time people come to believe those circumstances and conditions will continue forever in the same direction at the same rate. In this case the Patriots have been good for a long time while the Bills, Dolphins, and Jets have been bad so they can't comprehend this ever changing. But nature and life in general, and professional football too is a cyclical thing. And when things change they never see it coming. It's all right there for him to see but he's blind to it.
  25. The other thing S. Korea has going for them was they did not outsource almost their entire medication/device supply chain to countries like China. So when we needed additional test kits and materials there was none to be found domestically. This is being addressed now but the window of opportunity to suppress the outbreak has passed. When all this finally resolves I suspect the entire globalization and outsourcing work to other countries is going to suffer some massive political and social backlash. With hope we get some football this fall and a return to somewhat "normal" life.
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