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Posts posted by SDS
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So true stay away from Chrysler. My wife got the PT Dream Cruiser and the extended warranty. They gave me such a hard time repairing a faulty ball joint at about 20 thou. Plus this POS gets damm awful gas mileage. Lease is up in March and we are dumping it. IM not going to go thru the hassle of fighting with these jokers everytime something under warrenty needs to be fixed. That wasn't the only problem we had, just the worst. This was our first and will be our last time dealing with Chrysler.
my saving grace is that my former neighbor is head of the mid-Atlantic Sales division and all the dealers in the area jump to the moon when he talks.
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well, are you saying styling doesn't matter at all? Surely it plays a part....
These have a lot of Benz technology in them. I'm not an MAerican car person myslef, but I applaud Chrysler for trying new designs.
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that's the 300M... The 300 is new for this year.
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is it too gangster looking??? I think I really like it....
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if you upload your avatar, but see a red "X" instead of your picture, go here:
http://www.stadiumwall.com/avatarfix.php
enter your member number, which can be found on the left by your post total in one of your posts. then select the file type. this should be a temp fix for your problem.
let me know if you have problems.
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not to bum you out, but assuming I'm right - I believe I am - then if you include OUR odds of WW then all the scenarios play out to a 10.5% chance of occuring...
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I doubt that is correct either because you only need one loss out of 2 possible tries for each team. If it was the final game - yes, but not now.
I think it is 0.75^3 = 42%
WW, LW, WL, LL = 75% success for each team....
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I don't know the right answer, but I know that you're wrong....
flipping a penny is an independent event too, but the prob. that it is flipped tails 3x in a row is not 50%.
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Thanks for missing the point. The point is that if the Bills won that game on the last play, or the Nate play, the practices the next week and the mindset and the effort and the gameplanning and the coaching and the EVERYTHING would have been slightly if not significantly different. So you cannot assume that everything else would have happened the same in the next 13 weeks.
the faulty line of reasoning usually happens within the game. 3 missed FG's and a dropped TD turns into 16 missed points. However, we know that we can only count one of those scores and the rest of the game would be different.
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Fair point. Can't blame the season on NC, and really I wouldn't call a 10-6 season a failure regardless. BUUUUUT, just for the sake of argument, as much as I might buy into your butterfly effect theory, I'd think it's more likely that had the Bills won that game against Jax they would've been more confident in the early part of the season, with the likely outcome that we could've won a few of those other ones we lost... in other words, 12-4 would've been within the realm of possibility.
moving one from the loss column and putting it in the win column would obviously be a good thing in most scenarios - but the bottom line is we just don't know. Maybe a bunch of happy Bills jumps on Lee Evans and he strains his back. Nobody knows.
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I am the biggest Nate Clements basher on this board, and there is ZERO excuse for him losing the game for the BIG BONEHEAD.
That said, we really, in all fairness, cannot assume that just because we lost that game that we can assume all other games would have played out as they did. If we were 1-3 instead of 0-4, perhaps we would not have regrouped like we did. Perhaps if we won the first we wouldnt have blown it in the second against Oakland. The point is only that we cannot look at the first game as a one play loss, even though it was, and then just assume the entire season would have played out the same. It simply wouldn't have.
thief - see my thread posted at 7:50....
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because you can't go back and change the outcome of an event and expect everything else to follow as if the change didn't occur.
If Nate knocks that ball down and we win - our next week practice would have changed, etc... there is no telling how the season would have unfolded. A win in week one is just that - a win in week one. Maybe those loses were necessary for us to maintain this streak? Maybe we win week one, but lose today....
[OT] Chrysler 300....
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
I just got off the phone with my contact, whom I believe is an honest guy. He claims that the 300 is the finest car they have ever built in terms of quality. He readily admits to the problems of the past, but he claims they have come a long way the last 4 years at DC.
He also said Mercedes is NOT putting out top of the line stuff, but that they used tried and true Mercedes components, such as E class rear suspension, in the 300. He's driving one himself and it just received Motor Trend's Car of the Year.
My deal would be 4-5K off the sticker, which he says is 5% below cost. I assume he means dealer cost.
He is hooking me up with a test vehicle from their MD HQ's for a few days...
Anyhow, I hope American cars can reclaim the reliability ground and style from oversees competitors.