Game week thread - Bengals at Bills (flexed to 1pm ET)

[Matt_In_NH]

7 hours ago, Einstein's Dog said:

It's an opinion expressed IMO with undue optimism when stated as "will probably make the playoffs if they win out".

 

 When in actuality you mean they might be able to squeak out winning their division if they win out and a lot of things break their way.

Per the NYT’s playoff simulator, the Bengals have a 76% chance of making the playoffs if we win our remaining 5 games. It’s unlikely we can make it as a wild card, seeing that multiple teams would need to implode weeks 13-18. Therefore, our best bet of making the playoffs is for us to win the AFC North

 

76% means probably and is not undue optimism.  It’s based on data.   It’s fine if you don’t believe it or want to actually understand the scenario.   Go to the simulators and you will see if you want, or just pontificate…whatever you want to do.  
 

My whole point is that you going to get a big effort from the bengals because they will feel they are still alive and the division is in play.  

Edited 2 hours ago by Matt_In_NH

[todd]

8 hours ago, balln said:

Well I guarantee the bills are going to run the same 3 running plays and try and play it safe with ground and pound. Especially w WR 1 and TE 1 not evening being able to complete a walk through fully. Still.  
 

I’m getting to the point where there’s no hope for a gameplan coming from McBrady to throw it / air raid …… McD wants to minimize his “hurt D” …. Just feeels like the same script over and over again. But worse

 

So how did that ground and pound plan work out last week? Obviously stupid and not a recipe for success.

[finn]

9 hours ago, Scott7975 said:

 

 

Come on man. Just come to terms that NE is a damn good football team with a legit QB. It's ok bro. Every week people say NE could lose the game. This week people had the Giants beating them FFS. Like that was ever going to happen.  I'm not going to sit here and say they won't lose another game but they aren't going to dump 3 games. Miami may have had a little streak but in years past we all know Tua and the fish dont play well in Dec/winter months.

 

The answer is that on paper, no it isn't out of reach. Thinking logically about it is another story.

I am thinking logically--about an illogical season that has turned expectations upside down. The Raiders beating the Ravens? The Panthers beating the Rams AND Green Bay? Miami blowing out the Bills? As you say, "Like that was ever going to happen." But it did. So, yeah, New England could easily lose three more games. A few injuries like the Bills have had, a few bad bounces, Diggs doing his diva thing, and the bottom could fall out for them. And I for one would love to see it. 

[finn]

9 hours ago, balln said:

 

so let me get this straight. He has been out with a hamstring. Hasn’t played. Hasn’t really practiced. And somehow with today’s walkthrough he has a knee AND hamstring listed. What is with the injury reports! This year has been very weird and suspicious. I love Sal trying to explain it away with nonsense 

I want to know what is with the walk-throughs. By my count, they've led to injuries to Rapp, Bass, Sanders, Kincaid (twice now), Dequan, Samuel, Palmer, Milano, and Bernard. It's just practice for god's sake! What are they doing, throwing woodstoves to each other? 

12 hours ago, jkeerie said:

By the time NE plays Miami, Tua, Waddle and Waller will all be injured.  It's just the way NE's schedule has played out.  The football gods are smiling on them.

So far. I suspect a reckoning is coming. They're a lovely football team, ripe for a smackdown.  

[PaattMaann]

13 hours ago, newcam2012 said:

Ok if you say so. Maybe reread what I said sentence by sentence word for word. With the exception of the first sentence what do you disagree with? 

 

Such a dumb comment that you back track and agree with me. 

 

It's all good though. No offense taken. 

 

Go Bills. 

 

I was only taking umbrage with that part of your statement though, something that was factually incorrect and I wanted to point out its been one of our strengths, which seems to be what you couldn't understand from the beginning. 

 

Go Bills. 

[boyst]

9 hours ago, Scott7975 said:

 

I'm not saying your wrong. I actually agree that another position would have benefited us. However, I think they were enticed by the idea of 2 pass catching TEs that could also help block. Its actually part of Brady's system to show same formations with them in that could either be passing or rushing. DCs have figured this out though and good ones seem to know the tells too.  All that to say is that I think they actually wanted Kincaid and it wasn't some panic spend like another poster suggested. I could be wrong, but thats what I think. Reason being is that they have been wanting to run the football since McD got here and couldn't figure it out and that was the answer to a better run game for them while also giving them a pass catching target.

I like this to Tyler eifert. He was gonna be HOF and light the world up ... But never did. 

 

That's how I saw Kincaid. 

[Sierra Foothills]

18 hours ago, Buffalo4Life01 said:

Someone please remind me, what injury is Palmer dealing with again?  

 

Spleen.

 

17 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

Unless my maths failed me, he has played in 42 out of possible 49 games as a Bill.

 

I know that in addition to missed games he has also played through injury last year but still. 

 

According to Pro Football Reference, Kincaid's played in 37 of 46 regular season games and 5 of 5 playoff games so 42 of a possible 51... 82%.

 

That prorates to exactly 14 games played and 3 missed per 17 game season.